NCAA Football 11 News Post

OS College Football Simulation with WhatifSports.com

07:28 PM - August 27, 2010 by RaychelSnr

The 2010 College Football season kicks off next weekend, but we have you covered with simulations of each major conference today with our friends at WhatIfSports and NCAA Football. We took the average of each simulation and came out with a final result.

If the simulations are any indication, we will end up with a pretty wild season, with several teams coming out of nowhere to contend for a National Title in one of the craziest BCS messes yet, with representatives from each major conference being in the mix for a BCS Championship game berth. Find out how the simulations did after the jump. And for more college football goodness, check out the Season Simulation WhatIfSports did by heading over to their site!

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# 21 Cusefan @ 08/27/10 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mgoblue678


	And those defenses at Syracuse had talent? Obviously that falls on his recruiting ability in terms of why they didn't, but those Syracuse defenses had even worse talent than Michigan's defense last year. And what you fail to realize, is it is a little different being both the head coach and defensive cordinator as opposed to just the defensive coordinator. One gives you more time to focus strictly on only the defensive coaching aspect. Like I said you whole opinion of him is based on what he did as the head coach of Syracuse, you basically said as much. The easiest point to prove you otherwise is the number of credible/successful coaches who have hired him in the NFL and college. Obviously if he blew as much you claim those coaches shouldn't even have considered him let alone hired him.

Ok, I have backed up my statement as to why Grob Sucks as a coach. He was a Decent DC in the NFL, He shared DC duties in Texas, He was literally the worst coach in Big East History, and His 2009 Michigan Defense was not good. These are all facts, undisputed facts. We will see how many teams want him for a DC after this season.

# 22 mgoblue678 @ 08/27/10 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cusefan


	Ok, I have backed up my statement as to why Grob Sucks as a coach. He was a Decent DC in the NFL, He shared DC duties in Texas, He was literally the worst coach in Big East History, and His 2009 Michigan Defense was not good. These are all facts, undisputed facts. We will see how many teams want him for a DC after this season.

All you have proved is that it is hard to have a good defense as a defensive coordinator when your defense is lacking in talent or depth. It is not impossible to, but very unlikely.

On a side note have fun expecting Syracuse to finish 4th in the Big East as this "simulation" predicts. I very much doubt that happens.

# 23 Cusefan @ 08/27/10 11:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mgoblue678


	All you have proved is that it is hard to have a good defense as a defensive coordinator when your defense is lacking in talent or depth. It is not impossible to, but very unlikely.

The Defensive Coordinator you guys fired in 2008 is not having a problem. Scott Shafer turned around the Worst Defense in the Big East to one of the best. Syracuse Hired Grob because he was a Defensive "guru", he is obviously not.

I will be in these Forums Next Saturday, If Michigan Wins, I will be here for you to laugh at me. Just do not get upset when I say " I told you so"

# 24 mgoblue678 @ 08/27/10 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cusefan


	The Defensive Coordinator you guys fired in 2008 is not having a problem. Scott Shafer turned around the Worst Defense in the Big East to one of the best. Syracuse Hired Grob because he was a Defensive "guru", he is obviously not. I will be in these Forums Next Saturday, If Michigan Wins, I will be here for you to laugh at me. Just do not get upset when I say " I told you so"

Giving up 28 points per game qualifies as one of the best in the Big East? Big East must have some terrible defenses if that is the case.

The only thing that looks improved from Syracuse's defense from last year to the year before is the rush defense. Pass defense stats still look terrible.

Shafer also coordinated the worst defense statistically in Michigan history two years ago when the talent on paper wasn't that bad. In fact the stats under Schafer were so bad, that the defense actually improved all be it incrementally last year under Robinson compared what they did under Shafer the year before.

# 25 patsfan188 @ 08/28/10 11:43 AM

The only team I could see Bama losing to this year is Penn State. That will be a very good game.

# 26 charter04 @ 08/28/10 01:42 PM

Not surprised the guy with a Michigan Logo would be complaining about UConn beating them. Michigan Sucks. One of the guys on ESPN game day picked UCONN to win the Big East. UCONN will be good.

# 27 charter04 @ 08/28/10 01:45 PM

As far as sims go. This one is not bad. I hope Arkansas has that type of year. I just wouldn't bet on it yet, until I see their Defense a little more.

# 28 BigRick47 @ 08/28/10 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by charter04


	Not surprised the guy with a Michigan Logo would be complaining about UConn beating them. Michigan Sucks. One of the guys on ESPN game day picked UCONN to win the Big East. UCONN will be good.

What the hell has Arkansas done in the last 20 years? Not a damn thing, and you can thank us for your current quarterback. Even when you had two good runningbacks, McFadden & Taylor? you still sucked Nationally and in the SEC...

# 29 NYJets @ 08/28/10 05:51 PM

Don't know why everyone's piling on mgoblue. I like UConn's chances a lot, but 95% is crazy.

# 30 stlstudios189 @ 08/28/10 06:28 PM

totally agree this has gotten way off base he never said that UConn would lose he just disagreed with the 95% part. If it had UConn winning 60% would be more realistic. Heck I am a Toledo fan and Uconn would realisticly have a 70% chance of victory. Overall it looks somewhat believeble but, college football is too crazy to predict.

# 31 superjames1992 @ 08/28/10 06:48 PM

Well, we'll find out what happens with UConn/Michigan in six days, 22 hours from now, so no need to argue about it now!

# 32 Palo20 @ 08/28/10 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by patsfan188


	The only team I could see Bama losing to this year is Penn State. That will be a very good game.

Not Florida?

Florida > Penn St

# 33 mgoblue678 @ 08/28/10 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stlstudios189


	totally agree this has gotten way off base he never said that UConn would lose he just disagreed with the 95% part. If it had UConn winning 60% would be more realistic. Heck I am a Toledo fan and Uconn would realisticly have a 70% chance of victory. Overall it looks somewhat believeble but, college football is too crazy to predict.

I actually do think UCONN will lose, but your right the 95% part is what I was pointing out as being ridiculous and for some reason people were disagreeing with that even though that it is crazy.

Like I said before the match ups in this game lead me to believe me that Michigan will win this game. Not to mention I expect the first game in front of home crowd to give Michigan a little extra in terms of their energy and effort. I would also expect that simply because the players know they have alot to prove and are probably sick and tired of hearing or reading all the negative things that have been said about the program. To the odds makers at least Michigan is the slight favorite in this game as well.

I just find it funny so many people in this thread assume what Michigan will be this season based solely on the last two seasons. I don't know if you guys realize it, but teams do have the opportunity to improve year to year especially when they are a team that had as many younger players as Michigan did last year.

And really I don't care what Gameday says about UCONN, they are a solid team nothing more nothing less. I wouldn't expect them to win the Big East this season. If they pull that off though with a subpar to average qb, subpar to average wr's and a highly questionable secondary than they deserve a lot of credit. I think if they did that would say a whole lot about the state of the Big East in terms of it not being that good.

Edit: And like I said in a previous post, the other site I read the 95% thing on, there were other examples showing why this "simulation" was lacking credible as well. I think somebody plugged in different matchups that had already happened and needless to say the majority did not come out to the outcome that had actually happened in terms of who won the game or the score. If a "simulation" can't accurately predict past games a good percentage of the time I don't see how it has any credible for future games.

# 34 Jistic @ 08/29/10 11:47 AM

Nothing like the college football forum where homers completely derail threads.

# 35 Buckeyes_Doc @ 08/29/10 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mgoblue678


	I actually do think UCONN will lose, but your right the 95% part is what I was pointing out as being ridiculous and for some reason people were disagreeing with that even though that it is crazy. Like I said before the match ups in this game lead me to believe me that Michigan will win this game. Not to mention I expect the first game in front of home crowd to give Michigan a little extra in terms of their energy and effort. I would also expect that simply because the players know they have alot to prove and are probably sick and tired of hearing or reading all the negative things that have been said about the program. To the odds makers at least Michigan is the slight favorite in this game as well. I just find it funny so many people in this thread assume what Michigan will be this season based solely on the last two seasons. I don't know if you guys realize it, but teams do have the opportunity to improve year to year especially when they are a team that had as many younger players as Michigan did last year. And really I don't care what Gameday says about UCONN, they are a solid team nothing more nothing less. I wouldn't expect them to win the Big East this season. If they pull that off though with a subpar to average qb, subpar to average wr's and a highly questionable secondary than they deserve a lot of credit. I think if they did that would say a whole lot about the state of the Big East in terms of it not being that good. Edit: And like I said in a previous post, the other site I read the 95% thing on, there were other examples showing why this "simulation" was lacking credible as well. I think somebody plugged in different matchups that had already happened and needless to say the majority did not come out to the outcome that had actually happened in terms of who won the game or the score. If a "simulation" can't accurately predict past games a good percentage of the time I don't see how it has any credible for future games.

No one said Michigan can't improve. But UCONN can improve too. I do think Michigan will improve this year, same with UCONN. I believe UCONN is the better team and will beat Michigan. I was being sarcastic with my 99% comment as that is ridiculous, I don't care about percentages.

# 36 Cusefan @ 08/29/10 12:56 PM

We are less than a week away, We shall see...

# 37 BurghFan @ 08/29/10 01:40 PM

HAIL TO PITT!!! Looks good.

# 38 WWF80sKid @ 08/29/10 06:38 PM

UConn beating Michigan 95% of the time is definitely ridiculous. Vegas usually has it about right on, and they have Michigan winning by 3. That is hardly UConn winning 95% of the time.

As far as the simulation goes, it looks flawed in some parts, and believable in others. I wouldn't be surprised to see Bama and Ohio State in the National Championship.

# 39 Cusefan @ 08/29/10 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Matt_GoBlue


	UConn beating Michigan 95% of the time is definitely ridiculous. Vegas usually has it about right on, and they have Michigan winning by 3. That is hardly UConn winning 95% of the time. As far as the simulation goes, it looks flawed in some parts, and believable in others. I wouldn't be surprised to see Bama and Ohio State in the National Championship.

Actually Vegas sets the odds to get people to bet, then adjust the line to represent what the people are betting. It would not surprise me to see that game ending up being a Pick em.

# 40 NYJets @ 08/29/10 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buckeyes_Doc


	No one said Michigan can't improve. But UCONN can improve too. I do think Michigan will improve this year, same with UCONN. I believe UCONN is the better team and will beat Michigan. I was being sarcastic with my 99% comment as that is ridiculous, I don't care about percentages.

Yea, can't say Michigan could be better, and then completely right off UConn's passing game when they have a QB who played much better down the stretch last year and has only made 9 career starts, and young receivers who have shown signs of breaking out.

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