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The Ace Garrison (English 2014) Draft Detailed Review
- Quarterbacks: Three QBs worth a first-day pick this draft: Garrison, [Tennessee] and [Kansas]. Ace Garrison is good but flawed: perfect learning, but only a great arm, not particularly elusive in the pocket and not particularly tough. Combined with his knucklehead tendencies and the high pick required to get him, and you're better off without. [Tennessee] can be had out of the top 10, is a Guru, and has all the skills you'll need to compete at a far lower salary, especially if you have good QB special skills by this point in your career. He's almost a copy of [2013 Brown] - and a cinch to re-sign if you want him down the line. [Kansas] is another good player, but also a PITA - not someone you'll want to start for you or plan to re-up in 2017-18. As always, [Ga. Southern] brings up the rear.
- Halfbacks: The Talented Trio are usually gone in the top 10 picks, if not the top five, but IMO none of them are worth the price paid. The POT of Scooter Chapman and Tank Lockwood (usually taken first and third of the halfbacks) is inflated by their high learning: Chapman is neither a workhorse or very tough, while Lockwood has only good speed and isn't a good receiver. Usually taken second among halfbacks (but still in the top five overall), Markus Brooks outperforms his LRN score, but I've never seen him drop into "affordable" territory, and more-or-less equivalent running backs can be had for a fraction of the cap. [N.C. State] is a first-day pick that isn't worth his price.
The most cost-effective option in this draft is probably [S.F. Austin]: while a knucklehead, he's also big, durable, and an athletic home-run threat as part of a committee-back system. [UNLV] is a good athlete but not particularly durable, while [Texas Tech] has more LRN than POT and only good speed. [Richmond] is, as always, himself.
- Fullbacks: Both high-POT fullbacks can't pass-protect and are LRN differential examples - not seriously worth your time.
- Wideouts: Oh, how I miss wideouts from previous draft classes - this is not a group that plays to the particulars of HC09. [Syracuse] is only 6' with good CIT skills, while [Ohio State] is 6'1" with not-as-good CIT skills. The best-in-class award goes to [Connecticut], a 6' talent with good (not elite) durability) - but still, only 6'. Tall ball is not his strong suit, or really anyone else's in this class that you would want.
[Auburn] can't outrun cornerbacks or even some linebackers (SPD 87). [Notre Dame] is a tall 1st-round near-bust. [Alabama] isn't smart enough to be more than a #4 WR in most systems, and neither [Columbia] nor [Alcorn St.] are talented enough to seriously dent an English-path roster. The remainder are short and/or can't make contested catches.
- Tight Ends: Nick Fallon is your best option in the class, available late 1st or early 2nd round. His best physical feature is his height, which caters to tall ball better than any TE in the English path yet. Even so, on my depth chart he's behind Cousins and Kirby because Cousins is a better overall athlete and player and Kirby is a much better blocker (and I had to pick someone). [Tennessee]'s POT is inflated by his LRN; you're just about as well off with [Delaware St.] who isn't a knucklehead.
- Offensive Tackles: It's not a good year at left tackle. Adrian Grant is huge with a great personality, but not a good run blocker and not fast. [Georgia] is a flat-out bust due to his poor LRN. The rest are all slow and/or not bright.
On the right side there are several talented players, some of whom are better at other positions. [Connecticut] is a talented Commander: big (6'4" 325 lbs), speedy, durable, high LRN, and well suited to zone blocking. [Boston Coll.] is more of a prototypical power-scheme tackle, but not as fast and a knucklehead. [UCLA] is a Tobi Crisp-like Ally who's a better guard or (especially) center than tackle. [North Texas] is really fast, and also better at center, but not especially durable and a knucklehead.
- Guards: All slow/zone-scheme-only. RG [Michigan St.] is the best of the lot, and one of the few good ones whose POT is higher than his LRN.
- Centers: Other than the tackle-to-center candidates described earlier, the most talented guy is the speedy and undersized [Air Force], a knucklehead with questionable durability. [Texas] is a big fella who could be a good backup tackle, also burdened with a PITA personality. The remainder are backups only due to low LRN.
- Defensive Tackles: A talented group. Twan McKinley is a big mean SOB, a shorter thicker Quincy Sims. He can escape the top five, but his diva traits may make you look elsewhere. [Auburn] is a versatile mid-round talent: he's not really Kevin Williams, but he'll make your team and contribute both in run-defense and pass-rush situations for 4-3 and 4-4 based schemes. [Colorado] is an undersized nose tackle for 3-4 squads, or short run-stuffer for 4-3 teams - a pass-rusher he is not. [Hastings College] and [UTEP] are undersized penetrators for Tampa-2 teams or depth for others. [W. Michigan] is a poor man's Earl Whitaker: a big speedy pass-rush specialist. With his limited LRN, you can sub him in on nickel and dime defenses, but that's about it.
- Ends: The right ends are an awful, awful group: the best is backup-only [Oklahoma]. At left end, a pair of top-ten players, [UNLV], and crap. I described Lawrence Cross and Dan Scott up-thread.
- Outside Backers: The best candidates are on the left side. Knucklehead Delmar White is a capable starter and good value after pick 16. In the late-round/UDFA bin, [N. Arizona] is a fit for man-scheme 3-4 team who wants OLBs as dedicated pass-rushers. [S. Carolina] is a major bust with perfect LRN and awful ATH. On the right, [Georgia] is also limited athletically, while [Massachusetts] as a UDFA is like LOLB [N. Arizona] but not as talented. Overall another bad group.
- Inside Backers: I'm underwhelmed by this bunch as well. [Ohio State] can't cover man at all; the best may be [Iowa State], who though beat-up is at least durable and athletic.
- Cornerbacks: Here's some nice talent: at least three first-round guys plus sleepers. Reggie Kenton is short but awesome - if you play Tampa-2, he can Ronde Barber like the best. [Miami] is a good talent overall and a knucklehead. [Georgia Tech] is another talented guy, and a health risk, in the late first.
Among the two tall mid-round corners, I thought [Wash St.] was the better option, but I checked [UNLV] for this review and my eyes got wide: I don't know whether he went through a Game Changer, was always a developmental guy or Ophamer bought Motivator in the preseason, but all of a sudden his potential stats are Through The Roof. If anyone else has an "unbiased" reading on him post-draft, please post it here. [Wash. St.] is a capable nickel or dime CB, with limited upside in coverage. With enough special skills, he can outperform his POT.
The two sleepers are [Holy Cross] and [TCU]: both 5'11" zone- or man-cover studs. [Holy Cross] is marginally healthier and more durable, as well as stronger, a better tackler and a better learner; [TCU] is faster and a better catcher. It's tough to go wrong with either player on your depth chart.
- Safeties: Not a good class. Free safety class-headliner Brock Williams can't cover in zone at all, which... is what free safeties do 80+% of the time, right? Yeah, I don't know how that works either. [Kent State] is a PITA who isn't as good as he thinks. SS [Tulane] will similarly underperform, because he's not a good enough athlete to play SS: he's kinda... not strong, for one thing. As a nicer guy, you may consider shifting him to FS if you must have a safety this draft. You may have better luck on the free-agent market or in a trade.
- Kickers/Punters: Just say "no" to all the punters in this class. If you think you can develop him and pay his eventual price tag, [UL Lafayette] has sky-high potential as a kicker; [Buffalo] may serve you just as well, for a cheaper salary and without the drama.
Conclusions: If you're in the middle of a major roster makeover at this point in the English path, heaven help you - because drafts like this won't. It's relatively deep at halfback, right tackle, center (with a little work), defensive tackle, and cornerback. Its weaknesses are everywhere else: defensive end outside the top 10, quarterback outside the first day, wide receiver and tight end mostly anywhere, safety, and OMG the linebacker class... Another horrendous linebacker class - what is the deal with that?
Special skills in your coaching staff will help to make up the difference if you must - but dang, I hope you made your money as a GM in English 2009 and 2010. Those players should be starting for you and sustaining you through less-than-stellar drafts like this.
Players with Balanced POT >=90: 28
Last edited by ebongreen; 08-13-2012 at 02:53 PM.
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