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Final Statistical Analysis...

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Old 01-09-2009, 03:58 PM   #1
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Final Statistical Analysis...

Ok, this isn't meant to say "Conference A is better than Conference B". It's simply some interesting numbers I've gathered in some key areas where I feel you can get an idea of how strong a conference happens to be.

What I did here was go thru each BCS conference and determined their record/various percentages against the other BCS conferences, Notre Dame, the MWC and Boise State ( since the MWC was so strong this year and Boise finished in the top 25 - only non-BCS/MWC team to do so). Basically the MWC is a BCS conference...of sorts...in this analysis. Where you see ties in percentages...I worked 'em out on the calculator so they're legit even though I only rounded two spots. Trust me.

OVERALL RECORD VS. THE BCS, MWC, ND AND BOISE

1. MWC...11-6
2. Big East...11-9
3. ACC...17-14
4. Big Twelve...14-13
5. SEC...12-12
6. Pac Ten...12-15
7. Big Ten...7-14

ROAD RECORD VS. THE BCS, MWC, ND AND BOISE

1. MWC...5-2
2. ACC...6-3
3. Big Twelve...3-5
4. Big Ten...2-4
5. SEC...3-7
6. Big East...2-6
7. Pac Ten...2-8

PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL NON-CONF GAMES PLAYED AGAINST FCS OPPONENTS (lower the better - obviously)

1. Pac Ten...6%
2. MWC...15%
3. Big East...15%
4. SEC...16%
5. Big Ten...18%
6. Big Twelve...18%
7. ACC...24%

PERCENTAGE OF OVERALL NON-CONF GAMES PLAYED AGAINST THE BCS, MWC, ND AND BOISE (higher the better - obviously)

1. Pac Ten...75% (absolutely amazing)
2. ACC...54%
3. Big Twelve...49%
4. SEC...43%
5. Big East...43%
6. MWC...42%
7. Big Ten...41%

PERCENTAGE OF NON-CONF GAMES PLAYED ON THE ROAD AGAINST THE BCS, MWC, ND AND BOISE

1. Pac Ten...28%
2. SEC...18%
3. Big East...17%
4. ACC...16%
5. MWC...15%
6. Big Twelve...15%
7. Big Ten...12%

************************************************

Interesting stuff here. Few thoughts...

The ACC did a solid job of winning their big games, winning on the road in said games and having a solid percentage of their overall games against big boys. But then the weird stat - 24% of their non-conf games were against FCS squads. Almost as if they either played a toughie or a cupcake...not much middle ground.

While the Pac Ten struggled in their big games (12-15) they did a hell of a job in playing the least amount of FCS and played the highest percentage of big boys.

The Big Twelve and SEC, for all their hype, were pretty middle of the pack here.

And finally...my God...the Big Ten is HORRIBLE.
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:05 PM   #2
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

I think this further confirms that the Big 10 ain't what it used to be.

Also, I was surprised at how many people (including myself) don't give the Pac 10 enough credit.
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:08 PM   #3
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

Nice post and analysis!
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:09 PM   #4
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjussawalla
I think this further confirms that the Big 10 ain't what it used to be.

Also, I was surprised at how many people (including myself) don't give the Pac 10 enough credit.
Yeah, the Big Ten got problems.

The Pac Ten continues to play the least amount of patsies, travels the most and isn't afraid of the other big boys. They went 2-6 vs. the MWC this year...which stung. But we have to remember that the MWC went the following...

Pac Ten: 6-2
SEC: 2-0
Big Ten: 1-0
Big Twelve:1-3

0-1 vs. ND and 1-0 vs. Boise

No games against the ACC or Big East
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:14 PM   #5
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

Quote:
Originally Posted by buckeyefan78
Yeah, the Big Ten got problems.

The Pac Ten continues to play the least amount of patsies, travels the most and isn't afraid of the other big boys. They went 2-6 vs. the MWC this year...which stung. But we have to remember that the MWC went the following...

Pac Ten: 6-2
SEC: 2-0
Big Ten: 1-0
Big Twelve:1-3

0-1 vs. ND and 1-0 vs. Boise

No games against the ACC or Big East
You are right in saying the Pac 10 plays less patsys, but they also play 9 conference games every year, as opposed to 8 everywhere else. That means they have less schedule to fill
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:18 PM   #6
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

Quote:
Originally Posted by dagger55
You are right in saying the Pac 10 plays less patsys, but they also play 9 conference games every year, as opposed to 8 everywhere else. That means they have less schedule to fill
Yeah, but that shows me they got balls.

When the NCAA added the 12th game they forced their teams to play a conference foe (a BCS school). MOST of the other BCS conferences (cough Big Ten) went out and got Pop Warner squads.

EDIT: Hell, how do you spell the plural of patsy?

PATSIES

OR

PATSYS

LOL
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Old 01-09-2009, 04:52 PM   #7
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

I would like to see some future MWC and Big East match-ups.

I could very well see in the next round of BCS/bowl negotiations the MWC making a claim to be a BCS conference. If that happens, then I could see Hawaii and Boisie moving to the MWC.
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Old 01-09-2009, 05:08 PM   #8
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Re: Final Statistical Analysis...

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjussawalla
I would like to see some future MWC and Big East match-ups.

I could very well see in the next round of BCS/bowl negotiations the MWC making a claim to be a BCS conference. If that happens, then I could see Hawaii and Boisie moving to the MWC.
Fresno State would likely be in the mix to join the MWC if the MWC was looking to join the BCS.

In their last 30 games against BCS foes Fresno is nearly .500 at 14-16.
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