04-03-2024, 04:38 PM
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#6
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MVP
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2024 Season Preview
2024 MLB Season Preview: Kansas City Royals
K.C. isn't expected to compete this year, but there must be signs that a solid foundation has been built by year's end.
By MLB.com Staff
03/26/2024
2023 Record: 56-106 (5th, AL Central)
Manager: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)
2024 Payroll: $115 million
Key additions: RHP Michael Wacha, RHP Seth Lugo, OF Hunter Renfroe, RHP John Schreiber, RHP Chris Stratton, IF Adam Frazier, IF Garrett Hampson, RHP Nick Anderson
Key losses: RHP Jackson Kowar, OF Edward Olivares, RHP Zack Greinke
Expectations for 2024
After tying a franchise record for losses with 106 last season, Kansas City really can't go anywhere but up — on paper, they seem to be a lot better than last year, acquiring such players like Renfroe, Wacha, Lugo, and Frazier without losing a lot from last year's squad. In fact, there was a survey of all of the MLB teams, and the vote totals overwhelmingly favored Kansas City as the team most likely to surprise in 2024.
Matt Quatraro is back for his second season as the team's skipper; and after tinkering with the lineups nearly day-to-day and using the most openers in baseball last season, he noted early on in the spring that he would likely cut down on the use of openers going forward. The additions of Lugo and Wacha lengthen the rotation, giving the Royals four competent-to-above-average starters; and then Alec Marsh, who can fill in as a fifth starter and long-relief option. They also added Kyle Wright from the Braves via trade, although he will miss the entirety of the season due to injury.
"Last season was a lot of evaluation and just trying to figure out what pieces fit the best, and how we could make the team better going forward," he said late in the spring season after much of the roster had been pared down. "This season, we have a better idea of who goes where, and there should be less experimentation with the roster, for lack of a better term."
That commitment to the big league roster is reflected in the Opening Day payroll, which is the highest it's been since 2018 when they clocked in at $122 million on Opening Day. They also extended star shortstop Bobby Witt Jr to an eleven-year, $288 million contract, shattering the club record by over $200 million. However, there are plenty of ways that BWJ can opt-out, starting after the 2030 season.
With the relative weakness of the AL Central, it's not difficult to imagine that the Royals could be better, perhaps double-digit games better than last season. But even a ten-game improvement over 2023 is still just a 66-win team, which would be disappointing coming off such a promising offseason.
What would constitute a successful season? This team still is a longshot to make the postseason, but if the young talent led by Witt continue to impress, and one or two of the veteran arms they added perform up to expectations, I like this iteration of the Royals' chances to at least be a thorn in the side of the top contenders in the league.
Stories to watch
With an extension now in hand for Witt, who would be next to get extended by the club? There's some talk that Vinnie Pasquantino is next up, but there's been little chatter over the last few months in that regard. Missing the last three to four months of the 2023 season due to a knee injury really put a damper on extension talks, but a healthy 2024 would go a long ways towards re-starting those conversations.
There's also the stadium issue hanging over the franchise right now. With the site picked out and renderings released to the public, on April 2nd, a sales tax extension, not an increase, is expected to pass to fund the new downtown facility. In the event it doesn't, they would likely turn to the Kansas side of the state line. Perhaps it would be built near Children's Mercy Park, where the MLS' Sporting KC plays. It's still unlikely that happens, as the Royals have always been in Missouri and want to keep it that way, but the longer the delay in getting a stadium built, the further you have to push back the timeline. A 'no' vote would push the initiative back at least six months to a year.
It was thought that the new stadium, if started by Opening Day this year, could be finished in time for the 2031 season, it will be 2032 or 2033. Again, this is not a tax increase, but rather a 40-year extension of the current sales tax in Jackson County. Oh, and the Chiefs will also use some of the money for renovations of Arrowhead Stadium, as well.
Final outlook
Much of the success of the Royals in 2024 will hinge on two things -- one, the health of the starting pitching; and secondly, can they find some additional thump in the middle of the lineup? The rotation of Ragans, Lugo, Wacha, and Brady Singer is pretty solid, but a major injury or two could really put them up the creek. There's not a lot of depth in the upper minors, as much of it after Daniel Lynch IV is unproven or doesn't really have the upper-minors track record as of yet. Kris Bubic, who had two strong starts before getting shelved in 2023, isn't expected back until July. As mentioned earlier, Wright won't pitch this year. Marsh is the other besides Lynch that has starting experience, but was much better in relief than as a starter.
Offensively, we liked the Renfroe signing, and Frazier is a competent bat that can fill in at multiple spots. However, we're really hoping they can get some additional production out of Velazquez. Again, he had a rough spring, but has tremendous power with less than ten AB per homerun. It would also be nice to see Renfroe return to the form that has made him one of the better RH power bats in baseball, as he has five seasons of 25+ homeruns already on his ledger, including two over 30.
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