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Managing Next-Gen Expectations


As we break through the gates of new console hardware, it's always hard to fight the expectations and "wishlisiting" that comes along with such a rare occasion. Players are often waiting five-plus years to get their hands on new gear, and the last generation really pushed people to the limit. With Kinect and Move delaying the onset of this new generation, we had to sit through unnecessary sequels as well as solid but uninspiring yearly releases.

Now that the new hardware is here — and because it took a couple of extra years this time — gamers naturally want some of the first games to deliver on some of these hopes and dreams. But we have to back up and realize that our expectations are based on a mature platform, Xbox 360 or PS3, that had years to find its groove and produce meaningful games that were enjoyable to so many. Each platform had (and still has) a rich ecosystem of products, either digitally or at retail. There is plenty of choice, and there is plenty of quality.

In our mind's eye, we see the new hardware as an augmentation of what's already there — an established ecosystem made better by superior hardware and design. To some extent, that's true. However, there is often a good deal of re-learning that has to take place with a new set of tools (see: Playstation 3), and that means that developers often take years to get comfortable with a new platform and new dev tools. In some respects, a new generation of hardware initially moves somewhat diagonally, as it brute forces its way forward with tech but then moves sideways in terms of developer nimbleness and confidence.
 


This is to say nothing of the business realities of new hardware. None of us can realistically expect a large game publisher like Sony, Microsoft, EA or 2K to play a losing hand right off the bat. They aren't going to do that, no matter how hard we want them to throw out the old and bring in the new. This means we get hedged bets in the form of generation-straddling releases, such as the Madden, NBA 2K and FIFA franchises, as well as the upcoming NHL 15 (even though that looks to have a meaningful XB1/PS4 version).

Something like EA Sports UFC is kind of a one-off — EA taking one for the team, if you will. That's a publisher/developer saying: "This is what we can do on the new hardware … but we're going to use all of our other franchises to finance it." There's no way EA Sports UFC can end up being a meaningfully profitable venture when there are only ~10 million potential next-gen game players. Sure, it may make its money back and then some, but it's only by sheer force of will — heavy marketing, prime position in EA's portfolio, long dev cycle, etc. In today's game development world, there just aren't many companies that can even contemplate a risk that big. EA was probably very careful in marshalling the resources that were used on that game, maximizing the game's impact while reducing cost. Honestly, one of its main functions is to serve as a sign post for where the new hardware's visuals can be, which has the added benefit of inspiring EA's other dev teams.
 


We only have to look back to the start of the previous generation to see how slow the ramp up was for quality sports releases. Remember FIFA 06: Road to FIFA World Cup? How about NHL 2K6? Madden 06? Honestly, the first few years of each franchise were kind of rough. It wasn't really until about 2009 that we got meaningful releases in any of the major sports areas (hockey, soccer, football, golf, etc). Sometimes it just takes that long for developers to really find their footing in a new paradigm, especially one that's as unstable as this one. With the encroachment of mobile, the re-emergence of PC, the swell of indie development and the fall of the once-mighty (Nintendo's current predicament and Microsoft's stumbles), it's probably an interesting time to be a AAA sports game developer — or a developer of any big franchises, quite frankly.

The real spark moment for sports games last generation — I think many would agree — came from the Fight Night Round 3 demo in early 2006. That was a game that really captured the public's imagination. The insane visual fidelity of those faces going all stretchy and getting punched was something to behold, and it announced loudly that the new generation had arrived. Still, it wasn't until a couple of years later that we really saw a complete boxing game — and complete games in other sports genres, too. I think EA Sports UFC could be that moment this generation as well — a game that may ultimately be surpassed in several years but that serves as waypoint for where the generation can go in terms of its look and style. This sort of happened a bit with NBA 2K14 and MLB 14 The Show, but I think EA Sports UFC pushes things further by making the actual participants look closer to reality than ever before.
 


That is sort of the compact we all agree on as consumers of bleeding-edge media: early games will pave the way for the amazing products later in the generation. It's definitely tempting to want the best and brightest to arrive right away, but every piece of hardware has its learning and iterative stages. It's not feasible to expect big games to have a completely unrealistic bar when they're on an annual cycle. If we choose to participate in the ecosystem of iterative sports games, we have to accept the growing pains that come along with it.


Member Comments
# 1 BQ32 @ 06/02/14 01:37 PM
OSguy, I completely disagree. Play Fifa or 2k for an extended time on the new consoles and then go back to last gen. It is difficult to look at. Kind of like when Blu-Ray first came out. Most people saw there was a bit of a difference but didn't think it was very large. After watching Blu-Ray exclusively for a while going back to dvd became very off putting. Fifa and 2K are cross gen titles, I think we will see even more substantial difference as the games are developed with the new consoles in mind first. I.E. EA UFC.
 
# 2 SHAKYR @ 06/02/14 02:59 PM
Fight Night was never a complete game the series always left true fans of the sport cheated and wanting overall realistic representation of the sport. A casual and arcade boxing fan would only enjoy it for the long haul.
 
# 3 dghustla @ 06/02/14 03:45 PM
While the "wait for the engine to hit it's stride" theory applied to the last gen of consoles, i have to disagree that it should apply to this current gen of consoles. PS4 and Xbox1 are as close to PCs as gaming consoles have ever been. The devs have had access to this tech with enough time to make a bit more of the splash. Some devs have already done so while others are still waiting to build up. Watchs Dog and Infamous seconds sons are only scratching the surface of next gen power and still manage to be impressive games. 2k and The Show have struggled shoring up their servers for online play but the solo game, plays and looks amazing for both. Sure it's not the final product we'll get 5 years from now but you can see and feel the improvements over their current gen versions.

Personally i don't think many next gen owners are asking or expecting these games to take full advantage of next gen power at this point. I think that like myself many ppl want to see an improvement over current gen and that's why we made the investment to next gen.
 
# 4 dghustla @ 06/02/14 03:49 PM
I applaud companies that push their titles back when the realize that the need more time to reach their goals. instead of releasing a half finished product and telling the consumer it's the best work they've ever done.
 
# 5 CujoMatty @ 06/02/14 03:59 PM
I know im in the minority here but next gen has exceeded my expectations so far. Fifa was a mile betrer next gen. And then there was nba 2k. Sure it has some issues but its way better next gen. Next came mlb 14 the show. A lot of people say they dont see much difference. I have it for ps3 and ps4 and its not even close. Add what ufc is looking like and that screenshot of the next nhl. Like I said its exceeded expectations.
 
# 6 bballshawn24 @ 06/03/14 10:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SA1NT401
I said it prior to the new systems launching....

We ain't gonna see nothing AWE-inspiring for another 2-3 yrs.....

Look at watch dogs. If it can be played on last gen systems, then to me, it isn't NEXT GEN.


Aside from being a bit crisper and brighter.... ZERO DIFFERANCES after that.


Don't even get me started on madden. That shouldn't have even been made.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
haha my exact thoughts
 
# 7 vickijmorgan @ 06/06/14 10:23 AM
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# 8 Culture Rot @ 06/07/14 12:41 AM
This is the worst era for sports games and i think we havent even hit bottom yet
 

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