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Projecting Stephen Strasburg's Career with MLB 2K10

Earlier this summer, baseball fans everywhere witnessed one of the most anticipated professional debuts in the history of the game. When Stephen Strasburg took the mound against the Pirates on June 8, the entire sports world watched in anticipation. With a 100-plus mph fastball and devastating curveball, Strasburg exceeded expectations in his first start, throwing even more coal into the furnace of a hype train about to break the sound barrier.

The day after his first start MLB 2K10's MLB Today debuted Strasburg's virtual doppelganger with an overall rating of 87, which made him one of the top 15 pitchers in the game. Since Strasburg has continued to impress in each of his real life starts (until he went on the DL) and has quieted many naysayers (myself included), I wanted to take a peak into the future of Strasburg's career and see just how good/bad/or indifferent his Major League career could be using MLB 2K10. Utilizing the "Living Roster" from 6/18, I simulated Strasburg's entire MLB career.

So how did the most exciting prospect this side of Ken Griffey Jr. fair according to MLB 2K10? Here's a hint, Nationals fans will be very happy but not exactly for the reason you may think. Read on to find out.

2010

Strasburg finishes the year with a strong rookie campaign. Strasburg boasts a 3.77 ERA and 182 strikeouts on his way to winning 12 games and losing 8. The Nats finish in the NL cellar, and Strasburg does not win rookie of the year.

2011

In a season Nationals fans everywhere want to forget, Stras goes 7-14 with a 4.97 ERA and 178 strikeouts. Strasburg started the season 5-0 before imploding, shocking the baseball world after a solid rookie campaign.

2012

Stras recovers from his disastrous second season and manages to win 11 games while losing 7. His ERA dropped a full run per game to 3.79, and he managed 172 strikeouts. Washington fans grow restless as their star pitcher underwhelms for a second straight year, and the team finishes in dead last in the NL East. One positive note is that Strasburg is now rated an 89 overall -- the highest of his career to this point.

2013

As a team the Nats manage to finish in second place in the NL East, only four games behind the eventual World Series champion Braves. Strasburg's career continues to plateau as the one time sensation finishes 13-12 with a 4.34 ERA and 175 strikeouts.

2014

Strasburg hits rock bottom. In a year that saw the Nationals fall from their 2013 pedestal back to last place in the NL East, Stras goes 6-14 with a 4.72 ERA and 140 strikeouts. Next season is a contract year for Strasburg, and after a poor showing in 2014, no one is quite sure if the Nationals will bring him back. (Fun fact: another NL East team wins the World Series -- this time it's Philadelphia taking home the hardware.)

2015

Strasburg improves upon his terrible 2014 output but still only manages a mediocre year at best. Winning only 11 games as opposed to his 13 losses and 5.49 ERA, the Nationals enrage all of America by re-signing the one-time phenom to a 6-year $24 million deal. Strasburg does strikeout 171 in 2015, with a vast majority being against new Brave Brandon Inge.

2016

Fresh off a brand-new multimillion dollar deal, Strasburg reinvents himself. Relying more on his breaking pitches, he only manages to strikeout 156 but wins 13 games versus 11 losses. His ERA dips to 3.30 this season, and the Nationals finish in second place, losing a couple heartbreakers down the stretch to NL East and defending World Series champion Florida Marlins.

2017

It’s back to the drawing board if you are a Strasburg fan. Stephen goes 10-15 with a 4.84 ERA and 178 strikeouts. The nation's capital is left scratching its head as Strasburg is been demoted to the team's fourth starter. However, the team itself is in better shape, finishing just three games out of first. The Phillies win the World Series and prove once again that the NL East is quite possibly the greatest division in league history over the last seven years.

2018

In a bittersweet season, the Nationals win the wild card, finishing only one game back of defending champion Phillies. Strasburg wins his only postseason start with a four-hit shutout but can only manage a 12-12 record with a 5.11 ERA and 174 strikeouts on the season. The Nationals lose in the Divisional series to the Colorado Rockies, who then get swept by the Kansas City Royals in the World Series. Wow, I bet that matchup got high ratings.

2019

Another blah year for Stasburg, going 11-13 with a 4.48 ERA and 174 strikeouts. A third-place finish in the NL East is the best the Nats can muster, and the Red Sox are suddenly good again -- winning the World Series by beating the Cubs in seven games. The curse continues. Poor Harry Caray.

2020

Stras goes 10-11 with a 4.31 ERA and 161 strikeouts, yet somehow ends the season ranked a career high 91 overall. The Nationals are back in second place after losing a tiebreak game to the dreaded Phillies.

2021

In another contract year, the Nationals decide that Strasburg's ungodly terrible 2021 season is worth a brand spankin' new 5-year $8 million deal that will keep Stephen in town until his 40th birthday. Strasburg finishes 2021 8-18 with a 4.31 ERA and 178 strikeouts.

2022

Stras starts the year on fire and earns the first All-Star birth of his 12-year career. After the break, Stephen self destructs, finishing the year 11-13 with a 4.12 ERA. On the bright side, he does sit down a career high 197 batters via the strikeout.

2023

The nation's capital catches some magic in 2023, and the Washington Nationals win the World Series over the Angels. Stras is strong in the postseason, mustering a 2-0 record in four starts with a 3.04 ERA and 24 strikeouts. His stat line for the season is not as impressive (12-10, 4.57 ERA, 157 strikeouts), but who cares, the Nats are the champions of the world. President Schwarzenegger congratulates the team for "terminating" the competition.

2024

Stephen has an incredible year (by his standards), going 14-8 with a 4.10 ERA and 148 strikeouts. Strasburg leads the Nats to the postseason once again, managing a 1-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and 25 strikeouts on the way to the World Series. The Nationals lose to the Angels in seven games in a 2023 rematch, and President Schwarzenegger comforts the team by telling them that "they will be back."

2025

Taking the president’s advice to heart, Strasburg leads the Nats back to the postseason -- and back to the promised land -- as the Nats win their second World Series title in three years. Strasburg struggled in the playoffs, managing a 1-0 record, 4.15 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 17.1 innings of work. The season line was much better, 14-10, 4.60 ERA, 172 strikeouts. In political news, President Schwarzenegger's term was not renewed so the Nationals were forced to endure a celebratory speech from cyborg Ralph Nader.

2026

Strasburg can only manage an 11-15 record, 4.32 ERA and 187 strikeouts in what looks to be the aging superstar's final contract year. The Nationals decide to keep old-man Strasburg around for at least three more years, signing him to a $9.8 million deal.

2027

The MLB suffers its first lockout since 1994, so Strasburg does not pitch. OK, fine, I’ll admit it -- I lost my notes for the 2027 season. Use your imagination.

2028

A 12-13 season with a 3.73 ERA and 173 strikeouts can't mask an aging Strasburg’s declining skills. Now the number four man in the Nats rotation, Strasburg begins to fade into the twilight of his career.

2029

In what turns out to be Strasburg’s final MLB season, the crafty veteran turns in one of the best years of his 20-year career: 14-9 with a 3.41 ERA and 192 strikeouts.

Final Thoughts

After the season, the now 40-year-old Strasburg decides to hang up his cleats. He compiles a 212-226 record with a career ERA of 4.32 and an astounding 3,265 strikeouts (enough to put him in the 12th position all time, just beneath Phil Niekro).

I am also very happy to note that the City of Cleveland will be able to forget LeBron’s exodus in the year 2029 because their beloved Indians will end the longest city championship drought in sports history by winning the World Series.

Stephen Strasburg may not have been the impact pitcher he was billed to be according to his ratings in MLB 2K10, but he did lead his team to three straight World Series births and two championships. Even with a sub .500 career winning percentage, Stras managed to electrify our nation's capital and bring some hope to any virtual youngster who had a virtual dream. In the end, I was a bit surprised by the results of this sim, but I guess only time will tell how his career will play out -- just ask Ken Griffey Jr.


So how do you think Strasburg will do over the course of his career? If you're a Nationals fan, would you trade the subpar numbers for two straight trips to the World Series and two championships? Sound off below.

 

Christian McLeod is a Sr. Staff Writer at Operation Sports, specializing in Football and Baseball games. Born, raised, and still residing in Michigan with his beautiful wife, Christian is the self proclaimed Steve Wiebe of Ice Hockey for the NES. Follow him on Twitter at Bumble14_OS, talk to him here in the OS Forums (Bumble14) or join him on XBL/PSN- Gamertag Bumble14.

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Member Comments
# 1 snepp @ 08/05/10 04:39 PM
Blasphemy!
 
# 2 stlstudios189 @ 08/05/10 04:46 PM
I think he will fare better. I would take a 216-226 career record if it meant 3 strait World Series and 2 titles. I think the strikeouts will be higher by far. As for a 20 year career let him get season 1 done 1st.
 
# 3 GrandMaster B @ 08/05/10 05:06 PM
Crazy in 20 years, he never got traded. lol I highly doubt that he will stay with the Nationals his entire career, and that could effect his overall record depending on run support and ballpark dimensions. But interesting nonetheless.
 
# 4 AInquisition @ 08/05/10 07:18 PM
ERA is a pretty mediocre stat, and wins are worse. If he had that many K's, assuming he didn't walk the world and/or give up a ton of homers, it sounds like he was a pretty good pitcher.
 
# 5 rsox @ 08/05/10 07:43 PM
So by 2k10's account Strasburg is basically a middle of the pack 3rd or 4th starter.
 
# 6 xblake16x @ 08/05/10 07:59 PM
I dont really like the sim engine on MLB 2k10, though its the only game i can play (baseball anyway)
 
# 7 GOBLUE_08 @ 08/05/10 11:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pmogs10
MLB 2K10 sim engine is garbage, make Stras a closer and watch him blow 15-20 saves a season and still be considered good, he may also have an ERA of like 1.57 too lol.......2K is going away soon and its sad, wish they could still make NFL, man those games were good
2k's not going anywhere, they are the only company that still supports the pc market, and 2k baseball isnt THAT bad. I think it will be a good thing if they just forget about hockey and focus on baseball and basketball.

Im not a huge fan of any baseball games sim engine right now including the show, but his numbers here arent that bad, ton of k's pretty decent number of wins considering the teams he played on early in his career.
 
# 8 spartyon6686 @ 08/05/10 11:34 PM
Someone should do a MLB 10 sim of Strasburg.
 
# 9 MMMonty @ 08/06/10 01:24 AM
I definitely think he will average 13 to 15 wins per season with the way the Nat's have performed since they moved to D.C. However, I think he will end up in New York, LA, or possibly a team like Cincy or Atlanta that has some young stars.
 
# 10 douggoud @ 08/06/10 06:42 AM
something i find kind of funny about the 2k series, they almost make it impossible for any pitcher to get 200 strikeouts, at all, in the show, i mean, you'll get lincicum to get 250+ strikeoutss like he normally does (pending an injury or slump of some sort) but, 2k7 and 2k8 which i played, i never had any pitcher, (in the majors, or minors) get 200 strikeouts, i think 2k likes hitting a little to much, lol (hell, in the show, ubaldo jimenez got 300 strikeouts, lol)
 
# 11 Joey @ 08/06/10 11:02 AM
"2027

The MLB suffers its first lockout since 1994, so Strasburg does not pitch. OK, fine, I’ll admit it -- I lost my notes for the 2027 season. Use your imagination."

That's funny stuff, there.

While I'm not a Nats fan, surely most would sacrifice one man's career for a couple World Series titles, right?
 
# 12 vln13 @ 08/06/10 05:20 PM
I don't trust 2k10, so I did my own simulation for the next few years with MLB 10 the show.

2010: Strasburg finishes off a strong rookie year with a 9-5 record, 2.89 ERA, and 130 strikouts in 100 innings. Yankees win World Series against the Reds.

2011: Though Steve is strong, Nats fail to live up to their end. 11-12, 3.04 ERA, 210 strikouts. Cardinals defeat Red Sox in World Series. Nats in 4th place in NL East.

2012: The world ends as the Mayans predicted - the Nats make the World Series! They loose to the Yankees, though. Their ace, Strassburg, has a decent but unspectacular year, but gives hope to a team in 1st place for a good part of the year and wins a Wild Card berth. Strassburg is 12-7, 3.51 ERA, 220 strikouts in the regular season, but 4-2 with 2.83 ERA and 47 strikouts in 41 innings in the postseason.

2013: The Nationals return to Earth with a .500 season, and end in 4th place. Strassburg is 12-11, 3.10 ERA, 220 strikouts. Red Sox win it all against the Braves in the fall classic.
 
# 13 GOBLUE_08 @ 08/06/10 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vln13
I don't trust 2k10, so I did my own simulation for the next few years with MLB 10 the show.

2010: Strasburg finishes off a strong rookie year with a 9-5 record, 2.89 ERA, and 130 strikouts in 100 innings. Yankees win World Series against the Reds.

2011: Though Steve is strong, Nats fail to live up to their end. 11-12, 3.04 ERA, 210 strikouts. Cardinals defeat Red Sox in World Series. Nats in 4th place in NL East.

2012: The world ends as the Mayans predicted - the Nats make the World Series! They loose to the Yankees, though. Their ace, Strassburg, has a decent but unspectacular year, but gives hope to a team in 1st place for a good part of the year and wins a Wild Card berth. Strassburg is 12-7, 3.51 ERA, 220 strikouts in the regular season, but 4-2 with 2.83 ERA and 47 strikouts in 41 innings in the postseason.

2013: The Nationals return to Earth with a .500 season, and end in 4th place. Strassburg is 12-11, 3.10 ERA, 220 strikouts. Red Sox win it all against the Braves in the fall classic.
Numbers look about the same to me lol, i bet if you put him on another team though his wins would increase by 3 or 4 games.
 
# 14 vln13 @ 08/06/10 07:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GOBLUE_08
Numbers look about the same to me lol, i bet if you put him on another team though his wins would increase by 3 or 4 games.
I wouldn't be to sure about that. 2012 stats are similar, yes, but the other years? Though he's a strikeout genius, he can't get his ERA under 4. Besides, the Nats don't get the World Series that fast in the 2k10 simulation. Completely different.

The two common factors appear to be these:

1. Strasburg is a strikeout master. Can put together 200+ strikeouts with ease.
2. He is a team leader, a cornerstone for Washington fans, and can perform in the clutch, especially the post-season.
 
# 15 Ryn Vintage1986 @ 08/06/10 08:47 PM
You have to think, as a team, the Nats are going to be in NL East top 2 in 3-5 years if they stay he course. They picked two great, albeit expensive, years to have the No. 1 pick (Stras and Bryce Harper, who batted .443 with 31 HRs and 98 RBI in college... in a wood bat league). They'll be fighting the Braves for some years to come. No slight to Philly and the Mets. The Phillies are getting long in the tooth, and the Mets' future seems questionable at best. Also, the Marlins just won't (or won't be able to) pay for top talent.



Perhaps more importantly for the franchise, they'll likely turn a good-sized chunk of Orioles fans. More fans = more revenue = more talent.

Stras will be better than this. Not that it's a huge deal (really cool idea to do this projection, actually), but with as nasty as his stuff already is, how carefully the Nats are bringing him along, and the stockade of young talent Washington's putting together, he'll get more W's. A ballpark career guess: 262-188.
 
# 16 Beastly Wayz @ 08/07/10 11:33 AM
well with Strasburg being a Strikeout Artist. Typically Pitchers who are Strike out Pitchers tend to have higher ERA in lieu to throwing a faster ball ( which means if contact is made, ball will carry further ) It's not Rocket science guys......
 
# 17 TeixeiraFanatic @ 08/07/10 12:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beast0627
well with Strasburg being a Strikeout Artist. Typically Pitchers who are Strike out Pitchers tend to have higher ERA in lieu to throwing a faster ball ( which means if contact is made, ball will carry further ) It's not Rocket science guys......
Actually a ball that is traveling 95 MPH is only to go 10 feet further than a ball traveling 90 MPH. Whereas if you increase your bat speed 5 MPH, the ball will carry 25 feet further. It was on Sport Science so that's the only way I know that.
 
# 18 jack1535 @ 08/07/10 12:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeixeiraFanatic
Actually a ball that is traveling 95 MPH is only to go 10 feet further than a ball traveling 90 MPH. Whereas if you increase your bat speed 5 MPH, the ball will carry 25 feet further. It was on Sport Science so that's the only way I know that.
Yeah and a ball 99 MPH pitch is going to go about 20 feet farther than a 90 MPH pitch.
 
# 19 goalie @ 08/07/10 12:50 PM
just a quick thought... that's a TON of decisions...

seems like more than most pitchers would get the way baseball is played now...
 
# 20 ferriscj24 @ 08/07/10 04:29 PM
I would love the same Sim to be done on MLB 10 The Show. I think we would see very interesting results. 2K is just a terrible series that can't hold a candle to The Show.
 

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