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NCAA Football: Five Most Talented Offenses in 2012 Stuck
Posted on July 17, 2012 at 10:22 AM.


Defense may win championships but offense sells tickets.

Last year's national championship contest pitted bitter rivals Alabama and LSU against each other as the Crimson Tide came out victorious to cap a season that saw them lead the nation in points allowed (8.2 per game) while scoring at a clip of 34.8 points per game (20th nationally). No slouch themselves, LSU's 11.3 points per game was second in the country only to 'Bama, while notching the 17th best scoring offense at 35.7 points per game.

Even though defense was the mode of transportation to the title game, a potent offense was still a guarantee for a successful season in 2011. Looking at the top-ten scoring offenses from 2011, the average finishing record was an impressive 10-3. Take out the 7-6 records of Texas A&M and Nevada, and that average climbs to 11-2.

An explosive offense is a weapon that can overcome the ebb and flow of the craziest moments of nearly any game. When the defense lets down, a group of talented skill-men on offense can make up the slack in a matter of minutes. And when a team falls behind, a good defense doesn't do much good -- bring in the 4.2 speed and five-wide attack, however, and you have a puncher's chance.

To compile my rankings I created a formula that factors in two key components. If you read my piece on the Five Most Talented College Football Teams in 2012 you're already familiar with my approach. I scan over the projected starters for each team in college football and assign a point value based on the recruit rankings given to each player coming out of high school or junior college (I use Phil Steele's recruit ranking since it is a comprehensive one that factors in various publications). I then calculate points based on past awards received such as All-Conference, All-American, Heisman, etc. I total the values and the team with the highest rating earns my tag as the most talented.

Here are the college football teams with the most talent on the offensive side of the ball for the 2012 season.

Honorable Mention: (Michigan, Pitt, Tennessee, Ohio State, Nebraska)

5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The Fighting Irish feature top-fifty recruits at every offensive position; the only exception being wide receiver Robby Toma (PS #109). Featuring eight players with significant starts from 2011, Notre Dame is led by one of the nation's best tight ends in Tyler Eifert (1st Team All-American). The Irish will need a little luck with the crazy schedule they have in 2012, but an offense loaded with talent will serve as a vital component to hang in with whatever opponents bring this season.

4. LSU Tigers

The Tigers are led in their redemption season by a new face at quarterback, Zach Mettenberger, who comes in as the fourth rated junior college prospect transitioning to the FBS. At 6'5" and 220 lbs, Mettenberger has pro potential and could be a serious surprise Heisman contender.

The rest of the LSU offense is chock-full of proven talent to go with high recruit numbers. Running back Spencer Ware returns off an All-SEC campaign, as do offensive tackles Alex Hurst and Chris Faulk. Following a disappointing shut-out in the '11 championship game, the Tigers may just have the missing firepower to finish the deal.

3. Alabama Crimson Tide

When you're a perennial national championship contender in the nation's best conference you can find yourself on lists like this despite only returning six starters. The Crimson Tide clearly have plenty of unproven talent, but that hasn't been much of a problem in recent years. Big time recruits are littered throughout the starting eleven and beyond; none more impressive than top offensive lineman Cyrus Kouandijo.

As if the future didn't look bright enough, the nation's top returning lineman, Barrett Jones, comes back to defend his Outland Trophy Award from '11. As 'Bama reloads the question will be less about if they produce offensively, but who emerges among a team of playmakers.

2. USC Trojans

As my favorite to win the 2012 national championship, USC obviously is loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Led by my Heisman favorite, quarterback Matt Barkley, the Trojans' very highly touted wide receivers George Farmer (PS#1) and Robert Woods (PS#2) -- a returning All-American -- should put up big points in every game this year.

Also with accolades on the field are wide receiver Marqise Lee, tight end Randall Telfer, center Khaled Holmes and offensive guard Marcus Martin. With a defense that's just as skilled, the Trojans shouldn't need their offense to win many games, but if necessary they should be able to answer the call.

1. Clemson Tigers

The downside to the Tigers attack in 2012 may be the drop-off on the defensive side of the ball when considering their hopes of making a serious championship run. The offense, however, couldn't care less. Clemson's collection of explosiveness is led by quarterback Tajh Boyd (All-ACC), halfback Andre Ellington (All-ACC), and wide receiver Sammy Watkins (All-American).

The three-headed monster doesn't stop there though. Talent on the offensive line is finally abundant in 2012; something necessary for a team that can't afford the mental mistakes and lack of control at the line of scrimmage that crept up on them at inopportune moments last year. As questionable as the defense is, the offense of the Tigers may be powerful enough that it puts opponents on the ropes and allows the "D" to benefit from panicky attacks seeking to keep up with the high-scoring fireworks of Clemson.

A national championship may be a stretch, and the opening contest with Auburn will tell us a lot, but there is little doubt as to what team looks the most impressive on the offensive side of the ball.


What teams do you expect to impress offensively this season?


Justin Mikels is a staff writer for Operation Sports. Follow him on Twitter @long_snapper.
Comments
# 16 jmik58 @ Jul 17
@jaybird2585 Wisconsin can easily be considered for honorable mention. I only added #6-10 for that, but the Badgers are rated #12 on my list for offensive talent. There is actually not much of a drop-off or difference at all between Nebraska (#6) and Auburn (#15) on this specific list.
 
# 17 PioneerRaptor @ Jul 17
It's flawed, because you are now assuming that the way they played in High School will translate to the same success in college. That isn't always the case and I would be willing to bet that it's not even close to being the case most of the time.

The best way would be to look at how the team did offensively last year and see how many starters they have. Of course, you would have to take into account the defenses they went against as well.

Talent is never a good measure to rank teams. Look at the Philadelphia Eagles last year. :/
 
# 18 jmik58 @ Jul 17
@PioneerRaptor I think you're projecting my list into a "best teams" type of category. I completely agree with you that recruiting rankings are not sure-fire ways to assess future success, but generally they are very good. In my formula I give much higher points for awards and all-conference, etc. -- in comparison to recruit rankings.

I also agree that talent isn't a good measure alone to rank teams, but that's not what I'm doing. Recruit rankings are tangible numbers (while their merit is of course debatable) and so are awards and other recognition. I'm simply saying, "Team 'X' has the most highly rated recruits on their team combined with on-field accolades." I'm not projecting wins or assigning value based on this.

I'm presenting information from raw data that I've synthesized into what I feel is something meaningful that fosters a unique discussion. Instead of someone saying "Why isn't 'Team X' on the list?" perhaps they should be saying "Wow, with all those top recruits and returning guys with accolades, why isn't 'Team X' having a better year."

It's a way to check talent-accountability (and yes, I just made that up).

And lucky for you -- or unlucky, depending on how you look at it -- I also have separate rankings that emphasize returning starters. Not only that, but my win-projection model that emphasizes talent is heavily influenced by returning key starters.
 
# 19 Bmore Irish @ Jul 19
i hope the irish start golson at qb this year. if we had stability at that position theres no telling where we wouldve ended up last year. i'd say this is a very reasonable list; look at it this way, these are teams that are going to bring in some of the best recruits in the nation, year in and year out. sure it doesnt guaruntee success, but its a great place to start. and why is everyone whining about west virginia? yea your offense was real talented...in the big east. you played a garbage schedule, and a meltdown like clemsons in a bowl game is not something i could see happening too often. when wvu has success in the big 12 then theyll get credit, until then just stick to bein a party school.
 
# 20 gameface1324 @ Jul 20
Recruit rankings (which are usually bonk anyways) over actual on the field performance and returning starting stars?

lol
 
# 21 gameface1324 @ Jul 20
Top 5 "explosive" offenses in football for 2012 season:

1. USC
2. WVU
3. Clemson
4. Oregon
5. Arkansas

There ya go
 
# 22 jmik58 @ Jul 21
@gameface1324 Recruit rankings are usually "bonk"? Then why do the teams that load up on top recruits win more?

And if you read through the article thoroughly you would notice I take into account on-field performance (accolades). In fact, they weigh more heavily on the rankings than do the recruit rankings.

As for returning stars or starters, that's a different list. However, I do incorporate the talent rankings with returning starters to help generate one of my win-prediction models. But again, that's for another day.

I'm not quite sure if you're upset with the teams on the list, or with the fact it wasn't about what you wanted it to be about. It's like reading an article about the top ten action movies and commenting by saying "this list sucks...but here are my top ten comedy flicks."
 

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