2017 Buffalo Bills Season Preview:
Veteran Additions:
FB Patrick DiMarco, HB Mike Tolbert, WR Kelvin Benjamin, WR Jordan Matthews, WR Andre Holmes, WR Deonte Thompson, G Vlad Ducasse, DT Cedric Thornton, CB EJ Gaines, CB Shareece Wright, CB Leonard Johnson, FS Micah Hyde, SS Jordan Poyer, K Steven Hauschka, QB Joe Webb.
Draft Picks:
CB Tre'Davious White, WR Zay Jones, LT Dion Dawkins, ROLB Matt Milano, QB Nathan Peterman, MLB Tanner Vallejo.
Offseason Losses:
HB Mike Gillislee, WR Sammy Watkins, WR Robert Woods, WR Marquise Goodwin, WR Justin Hunter, WR Marcus Easley, LT Cordy Glenn, RT Cyrus Kouandjio, DT Marcel Dareus, MLB Zach Brown, MLB Reggie Ragland, CB Stephon Gilmore, CB Ronald Darby, CB Nickell Robey-Coleman, FS Corey Graham, SS Aaron Williams, K Dan Carpenter.
Offense:
When the Bills sat Tyrod Taylor in Week 17 to prevent a financial trigger, it seemed as though the relationship was completely fractured. It was unfathomable that Taylor would return. However, time heals all wounds, and the two parties have made up, for the time being. Taylor will return for another season, though it remains to be seen how long he'll remain on the team. The team has quarterbacks fall into their lap at pick 10 in April’s draft, but opted to trade down with the Chiefs and pickup an additional first round pick in 2018. The team did select a quarterback eventually thought and is said to be high on fifth-round pick Nathan Peterman. The new coaching staff is expected to give Peterman every opportunity to unseat Taylor in the near future.
Despite the presence of Peterman, Taylor is expected to win the job. Assuming that happens, the next question will be whom he's going to throw the ball to. The team traded Sammy Watkins who had missed 11 games in the past two seasons and was recovering from foot surgery. He had proven to be completely fragile, and Buffalo could no longer count on him staying healthy. The Bills also lost Robert Woods and Marquise Goodwin in free agency. As a result, the team completely revamped their receiving corps. Zay Jones was selected in the second round, the team also traded for established veterans Kelvin Benjamin and Jordan Matthews.
Despite the new additions at wide receiver, Buffalo's best offensive weapon is still LeSean McCoy, who rushed for 1,267 yards and caught 50 passes in 2016. McCoy just turned 29, so a decline could come soon. He might be fine for this year, but the problem is that Mike Gillislee is gone, thanks to incompetence by the front office. Gillislee was a great backup, so the Bills won't have very much if McCoy gets hurt. Free agent signing FB/HB Mike Tolbert, who averaged just 3.3 yards per carry last season with the Panthers, is the best backup option at this point.
Buffalo's offensive line could potentially be a problem due to age and injury. Right tackle has been a problem area for the team the past few seasons, and the Bills will be hoping that second-round rookie Dion Dawkins will be able to fill the void. The problem is that Dawkins, despite playing left tackle in college, projects as a guard coming out of Temple, so it remains to be seen how he'll perform on the outside at the NFL level. The rest of the Bills' blocking unit has been exceptional. Cordy Glenn has evolved into one of the better left tackles in the NFL, but he hasn’t participated all offseason as he has dealt with a mysterious foot injury. While guard Richie Incognito has been terrific as well, he just turned 34, so it’s very possible he could regress a bit. If so, 2015 third-rounder John Miller will have to pick up the slack; he was average in his sophomore campaign, and there's definitely room for improvement. The team signed veteran Vlad Ducasse to compete with Miller. A sign they are looking for the young lineman to take a step forward. Meanwhile, center Eric Wood is returning from a broken fibula, which put him on injured reserve in the middle of the season.
Defense:
The team watched one of their top defensive players defect to their arch rivals. Stephon Gilmore signed with the Patriots this spring, which opened up a massive hole for the Bills at cornerback. They did sign Shareece Wright and Leonard Johnson in free agency, but both guys are viewed as depth signing. This prompted the team to select Tre'Davious White in the first round of April’s draft, but it's unknown if he'll be able to play up to Gilmore's standards as a rookie. Granted, Gilmore wasn't at his best in 2016, but he had been a consistent performer prior to that and was expected to rebound with a strong 2017 campaign. White was originally projected to start across from Ronald Darby, who was also disappointing last year. However, the team traded the corner to the Eagles after his sophomore slump. In need of another starting caliber corner, the Bills then traded with the LA Rams for EJ Gaines.
The Bills also acquired other defensive backs, obtaining Micah Hyde in free agency. Hyde is a versatile player who can be stationed at safety or in the slot. Given the Bills' massive problems at the former position, thanks to Aaron Williams' potential career-ending injury that led to his release, Hyde will have to start there next to another free agent addition, Jordan Poyer. Despite the signings, the safety spot is still a question mark, as neither player has been a full time starter to this point in their careers.
Much like the wide receiver spot, the Bills totally revamped their secondary heading into 2017.
Generating great pressure on opposing quarterbacks would obviously help an unproven secondary, but it remains to be seen how effective the Bills will be in this regard. Lorenzo Alexander notched 12.5 sacks in 2016, but did so in a 3-4 scheme. The Bills are moving to a 4-3 and Alexander does not have much experience in a 4-3, and given that he's now 34, he's a candidate for regression. If so, Jerry Hughes, who struggled in 2016, and Shaq Lawson, who managed just two sacks as a first-round rookie, will have to step up, as they are seen as much better fits for the new defensive scheme.
Speaking of stepping up, Marcell Dareus the former No. 3 overall pick was incredible at times, but he has also dealt with bouts of laziness, injuries and suspensions. The 2016 campaign was littered with them, so the Bills traded him to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kyle Williams, meanwhile, was once considered a great player, but is now 34. Williams is still great at stuffing the run, but his pass-rushing talents aren't what they used to be. As a result, the Bills will need a lot more out of 2016 third-rounder Adolphus Washington, who struggled in limited playing time as a rookie. The team signed veteran Cedric Thornton to compete with the young defensive lineman.
While Washington didn't perform well in his first year, second-rounder Reggie Ragland didn't even take the field as a rookie because of a knee injury. Ragland was working with the third team in OTA’s and the team shipped him to Kansas City for a 2019 fourth-round pick. The only viable player the Bills will have in their linebacking corps besides Alexander, who, again, may not be a good fit in the 4-3, will be the steady Preston Brown. Matt Milano, a fifth-round rookie, Ramon Humber, a predominantly special teams player, and Tanner Vallejo, a sixth-round rookie, round out the rest of linebacking corps.
Overall Analysis:
The Bills had a golden opportunity to unseat the Patriots last year. They had an easy early schedule, while New England wouldn't have Tom Brady for the first four games. Ultimately, however, Buffalo did what it usually does, which was put together a mediocre season. The Bills could be even worse in 2017, as they're dealing with massive roster turnover and the leftover turmoil from the Rex Ryan era. New head coach Sean McDermott will look to create a culture of winning, but it’s unlikely it will happen overnight.