Rookie
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Re: Extremely Low BABIP
I used to have the same problem..
Here's what I did, try it if you like...
I used to guess fastball low every time, every pitch.. the AI seems to catch on, as whenever you swing at a slightly low fastball, you're likely to swing at a low breaking ball just because the location lit up... and if you swing at that, you may swing at one even lower... you guess fastball every time, it goes straight to someone for an out, that pitchers fastball confidence just went up, as did his overall confidence.. and I used to find myself in quick 3 or 4 pitch innings swinging like that..I find it very difficult to scrap out runs when the opposing pitcher has a full confidence bar and I'm constantly swinging at his highest confidence pitch...
At the start of the game, I go first time through my lineup's at bats without using guess pitch, guess location or swing influence AT ALL.. the key is to try and work a pitch he uses a lot, usually whatever pitch is his "x button" pitch which is 9 put of 10 times a 4SFB, to work that pitch down to a half a green bar of confidence.. watch all his pitches closely as soon as they leave his hand, recognize what they look like as they come to you, and swing at what looks reasonable, take a few pitches looking sometimes, don't use the power swing unless there's 2 or more on and you're ahead in the count, use normal swing on even counts, and with 2 strikes try using contact swing more on stuff that looks close to the edges to try to stay alive, but sometimes, striking out looking is ok...
The second time through my lineup, I may have seen his "x" pitch 60% or so of the time, and the others a fair number too.. if I start the inning with the top of the lineup, say around 5th or 6th inning, and I've been taking pitches and working counts up to this point, his energy bar should be around half or so.. and his confidence in fastball may be high, so guess fastball, but not location..you've been up for 9 at bats without using guess pitch or location, so the location crutch isn't neccesary as yove been training yourself to recognize the pitch as it comes to you.. if he delivers the fastball in a decent spot, use normal swing to try and get on.. guy at first, no you're #2 comes up, you just got a single with a fastball, so his fastball confidence may be lower now, he may not trust it just yet, so his other pitches may come into play.. perhaps his changeuphas little confidence in it, but he's gonna try it in stead of the pitch that he just gave up a hit on.. guess changeup, and this time guess location too, wherever you feel like, but if you've recognized a tendancy that this pitcher has, you may want to guess there... if he delivers, great, if not, he'll probably be throwing the first couple carefully, so taking a couple pitches and sitting on whatever you guess and waiting could give you a great hitters count, perhaps a couple curves around the outside for balls, and while you're taking those pitches, his other pitches which weren't that great of confidence pitches to begin with slowly drop more the longer he goes without using it..a 2-0 count and he'll probably bring one in, which you need to be ready for... if you can get a low confidence pitch that you guess thrown to you in your location with a runner on first and a 2-0 count, that has a higher chance of finding a gap for extra bases then swinging at low high confidence fastballs with no one on and a 0-2 count... if you can get a guy at 1st and 2nd or perhaps 2nd and 3rd with noone out, now you've got you're #3, 4, and 5 guys ready to shine.. try the same method with these batters, even if you guess fastball, and he throws a low confidence changeup, you already went several innings without using guesspitch so by now you can clobber a low confidence pitch without it even being what you guessed... if you're #3 guy comes through, they'll probably hurry and pull the pitcher, and the reliever coming in may not have had a lot of time, so he may take the mound with all his pitches at low confidence, so take the same method, choose something that's not his highest confidence pitch and sit on it while trying to protect you're count...
Also,remember the same thing as you're pitching, but in reverse... if you just gave up 2 hits on fastballs, the next guy you face is lookin for you're lowered confidence fastball.. I like when the opposing pitcher comes up, I use my lowest confidence stuff on him, cause swinging stikes, strikeouts, or even a ball put into play that results in an out, whichever pitch is used for that gains confidence from all that, especially the swinging strike 3 or the strikeout looking pitch, it'll build it back faster...
When I STOPPED guessing every pitch of every at bat, and picked the right MOMENTS to utilize it, my hitting and scoring and ultimately winning got much better..
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