10-12-2007, 07:14 AM | #1 | |||
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Al Gore wins the Nobel Peace Prize
Well, him and the UN's IPCC.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/13/world/13nobel.html?hp Quote:
Interesting link there at the end to climate change leading to wars over scarce resources. While that most definately is a concern, after all, wars have been fought for resources for centuries and an increasing scarcity will lead to more battles for those resources, this award seems to follow the more recent ones, such as the one given for the guy who created microloans, which are tangentially related to 'peace'. Then again, maybe I shouldn't say it is a recent phenomenon because Mother Teresa recieved one in 1979, and I'm not exactly sure what she did for peace.
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10-12-2007, 08:26 AM | #2 | |
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The benefit of having a deep understanding of the interconnectedness of events is that it becomes relatively clear how non-tangental many things are to peace. If climate conditions are such that droughts make it impossible for countries to feed their people, disease and war tend to follow. What Gore and the IPCC's work has done is bring attention to the fact that there is nothing else that can affect more people worldwide than negative climate change. Because of the actions of men like Gore, history will at least give us credit for confronting the issue -- one of the few things we as a country are trying to get right in this new century. |
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10-12-2007, 08:35 AM | #3 |
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The Peace Prize for fighting global warming? Are they insane?
I won't get into the global warming debate, but that connection to scarce resources causing wars and global warming leading to scarce resources is pretty darn tenuous. Apparently the Nobel Prize folks are trying to make themselves irrelevant.
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10-12-2007, 08:37 AM | #4 | |
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Fixed that for you.
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10-12-2007, 08:42 AM | #5 | |
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I'm not a scientist, but I have to say, I don't understand the correlation between global warming and droughts. Wouldn't there be MORE water vapor in the air if global warming occurs? Wouldn't there therefore be more rainfall? Sure, the locations of the rain may be different, but that occurs naturally anyway. I guess fighting global warming will slow down the changes in rainfall location and therefore give mankind enough time to adjust?
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10-12-2007, 08:44 AM | #6 | |
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Well, it's better than the fighting poverty reduces wars awards (Mother Theresa in '79, Mohammed Yunis last year).
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10-12-2007, 08:46 AM | #7 | |
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I hadn't heard. Is there positive climate change? I think it's too hot in Florida. I'm scheduling a Nova Scotia beach vacation for next summer. FWIW.......I don't see any problem with cleaning up our act in regards to pollution, but this global warming hub-bub is mostly politically motivated. |
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10-12-2007, 08:49 AM | #8 |
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How does Bono not have one of these yet?
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10-12-2007, 08:50 AM | #9 |
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Everything is inter-connected, esp. if you choose to where to look.
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10-12-2007, 08:52 AM | #10 |
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gstelsmack: if the wheat harvest of a country is decimated by drought, forcing them to rely on other countries for food -- along with whatever price and concessions go with it -- one can see how climate change can destabilize peace. Or if increased major hurricanes disrupt global oil shipping and processing, as with Hurricane Katrina. Or any number of other things that can disrupt the global economy due to environmental factors. After all, what do you think causes war? People just not liking each other for popularity reasons? Overpopulation and resource acquisition are two of the leading causes, and both of those are directly affected by environmental concerns.
Mizzou: I would consider positive climate change anything that would begin to slow or reverse the effects of the current negative climate change, which is being driven by man. Finally: you'll note that I'm referring to climate change, and not "global warming". It's not just about things getting warmer -- climate change is far more pervasive than just a hot summer in Florida. |
10-12-2007, 08:53 AM | #11 |
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10-12-2007, 08:55 AM | #12 | |
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You're right, it is. Some things affect other parts of the puzzle in larger ways than others, of course, and there is nothing that could potentially affect more areas of human society than climate change. |
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10-12-2007, 09:15 AM | #13 | |
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You can call it what you want. I don't see any problem with the idea of reducing pollution, but the whole 'peace is achieved through a "greener" Earth' is a load of hogwash. A far greater cause of wars are leaders who care about nothing more than their own wealth and power and would favor that over any moves to actually help their people and improve their farming and irrigation methods to feed those currently in a drought or arid region. Wars are created by hatred and ignorance, not lack of food. If I had a dime for every leader who started a war to get food, I'd be dirt poor. |
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10-12-2007, 09:43 AM | #14 | |
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10-12-2007, 09:48 AM | #15 | ||
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Can I get a clarification here? Which of the following connections are you saying is tenuous: 1. Scarce Resources -> Wars 2. Global Warming -> Scarce Resources 3. Global Warming -> Wars I don't think anyone can argue against #1. History is chocked full of examples of wars over scarce resources. #2 may be more tricky. I think the argument here is that having reasonable access to resources (oil, potable water, food) is a significant component of peace. When a key resource suddenly (not necessarily gradually) is more scarce, it follows that there's a much greater likelihood for conflict. Let's take a simple example. Let's say Country A has a big lake and a river that runs out of it and into Country B. Let's say the river runs through Country B and into the ocean and that, for the sake of argument, Country B doesn't understand desalinization. Country A gets the vast majority of its drinking water from the lake and Country B gets the vast majority of its drinking water from the river. Let's say one year it's abnormally hot and water levels in the lake drop a lot and the river slows to a trickle. What's Country B going to do? Well, maybe they ask Country A to share some of the lake water, and both countries ration themselves a lot, but maybe Country A tells Country B to go stuff itself and *bang*, conflict. Due to a sudden change in the availability of a resource, the potential for conflict has risen. So, back to #2's argument. The idea here is that sudden, not gradual, climate change puts greater stress on the availability of resources due to things like potable water being less available in certain areas, oil being more in demand to run HVAC system (for areas that are either hotter or colder), etc.... The argument still rests on the belief/understanding that global warming does cause sudden (relatively-speaking) climate change, or at least climate change at a pace at which humanity cannot adapt its resource needs fast enough. Anyway, does that make sense? Quote:
Well, the physics prize was just given to the guys who applied quantum physics to hard drive, resulting in the much faster hard drives we've been using for almost a decade now, so I'd say that's pretty relevant. |
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10-12-2007, 10:00 AM | #16 | |
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Leaving the global warming debate aside for a moment... Well, as someone else has said, there are many examples in history of wars fought over resource scarcity. There are many in the IR community who believe that the next war in the middle east will be fought over water and not oil. Think about the controversy engendered by how water rights in the Colorado River basin are apportioned... now what if the parties involved had guns and a historical tendency to use them? For example, what if a nation further upstream decides to dam the Jordan river, limiting one of Israel's key sources of water? I believe that Syria is building a dam on one of the Jordan's tributaries right now. Remember too, the 1967 war broke out in part over plans to divert the Jordan River--and, Israel managed to secure the whole of the Sea of Galilee (Israel's #1 source of water) for themselves when they captured the Golan Heights. |
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10-12-2007, 10:03 AM | #17 |
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Good for him.
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10-12-2007, 10:05 AM | #18 |
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"Judge rules Gore's film an inconvenient catalogue of errors"
hxxp://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/10/11/gore_errors/
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10-12-2007, 10:31 AM | #19 | |
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Great misrepresentation of the Judge's ruling. The judge ruled that the overall premise and main claims were correct but identified 11 claims in the documentary that were incorrect or not supported by the evidence. Hardly a rebuke (in fact I'd think you'd be hard pressed to find any major documentary that doesn't make an error or a leap of logic at some point).
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10-12-2007, 11:11 AM | #20 |
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My 5 cents (Euro-cents that is).. As compared to people on this board I'd most likely land on the left end of the liberal side, and from the replies in this thread it does seem as if liberals are defending the Norwegian* Nobel Committee's choice.
However, I do NOT think that this deserves a Nobel Peace Prize. I'm one of those who believe in the theory of global warming, thus I applaude Gore's attempts at bringing the issue to light, but I don't think this falls into the Peace Prize section at all. But then again, I shouldn't be surprised. The Peace Prize Committe have a history of making some really odd choices, making the "Peace"-part a complete joke. I mean, come on.. Henry Kissinger in '73? De Klerk in South Africa? Yassir Arafat and Yitzak Rabin? What did these guys do for peace? They were all part of a problem, not a solution. Gah.. just remove the peace prize.. those norwegians can't do anyting right.. * While the Nobel Prize is a Swedish award, the Peace Prize is actually given by the Norwegian Nobel Committee as opposed to all other (Chemistry, Physics, Economics etc) prizes.
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10-12-2007, 11:18 AM | #21 | |
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Actually, its people like you who are fast becoming irrelevant. I don't think Gore should have won the prize, but the idea that resources will not and have not played a major part in wars is beyond absurd. Water alone will be a major factor in the wars to come. |
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10-12-2007, 11:19 AM | #22 | |
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The one that says "his fight for global warming has advanced world peace". If you jump through enough hoops, you can connect any two things.
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10-12-2007, 11:20 AM | #23 | |
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You realize you're arguing with people who think the CEI is credible? I used to call myself an anti-environmentalist (quite enjoyed Lomborg's book) - until the evidence got to the point where it was absurd to deny it. |
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10-12-2007, 11:21 AM | #24 | |
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It's the combined connection. This looks like someone said "Let's give Gore a Peace Prize. Now, what can we use to justify it?". Way to focus on just one link in the chain, though. Flere had a much better request for clarification on it.
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10-12-2007, 11:22 AM | #25 |
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Evian = Big Water
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10-12-2007, 11:27 AM | #26 |
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It's been more of a "humanitarian" prize for decades anyway. The definition of "peace" has been broadened to include "contributions to the well being of humanity" (not a direct quote, just my paraphrase). Probably due to a lack of people trying to engineer peace in an increasingly war-torn and contentious world.
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10-12-2007, 12:11 PM | #27 |
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10-12-2007, 01:07 PM | #28 |
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No, haven't bought the orange box yet. Heck, I got Medieval II for my birthday and haven't touched it yet thanks to WOOF website stuff and Maddenator (and my NCAA 08 CL career...)
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10-12-2007, 01:11 PM | #29 |
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and here i was thinking the massive global economic expansion and growing population was the reason rescourses were becoming more scarce
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10-12-2007, 01:52 PM | #30 |
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Actually, there will never be a water shortage if those in power decide to tap the source for it. We have desalinization plants. There are many of these working in the world today. If water gets scarce, we build more of them. If there is an issue with access to the water for these plants, we can build pipelines for it just as we do with oil currently. The whole scarce water issue is something that has been taken up by the fearmonger crowd to have something else to talk about.
If you are looking at agriculture, most well water that we take out of the ground can be used. There is very little, if any well water that is unfit for agricultural use, even though it might not be fit for our consumption. Heck, even climate change is not something that we need to be afraid of. Most historical times of plenty came during warm cycles of the global climate. I think there is more of an issue of people scared of change than anything else. Are we trying to keep the world's climate from ever changing? How do we know when we go to far and actually affect it, by trying to not affect it? |
10-12-2007, 01:57 PM | #31 | |
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uhh-ohh youve said too much, dont get all logical like with the green nazis |
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10-12-2007, 02:04 PM | #32 |
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10-12-2007, 02:13 PM | #33 |
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10-12-2007, 02:53 PM | #34 |
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10-12-2007, 05:30 PM | #35 |
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10-12-2007, 05:55 PM | #36 | |
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Good call. We can only hope that this thread is not any indication of the prevalent thinking in this country on global warming now. There are a lot of stubborn people who made jokes and mnay still are at the expense of those who were pointing out that are climate is getting fucked up and it is our faults to great extent. People will let their bipartisanism go against common sense thinking just because it's Gore. As No Myths stated earlier that at least our generation will have annotated in a small foot note on this period of history that probably the most significant thing we did in this era as a civilization for the future of humankind was to at least notice there is aproblem that needs to be addressed. I really embarrassed to think at waht are grandkids and great grand kids are going to think of us in the future. And for the those who have said among other things "why should I care what happens to people in 100 or 500 years" you sir are a fucking asshole! |
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10-12-2007, 08:01 PM | #37 | ||||
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This is getting downright ridiculous. Let me take my post (which the post you quoted was replying to) step-by-step: Quote:
Here I'm saying "Why attach the Peace Prize to work done on global warming? What do these things have in common?" Nowhere do I comment on global warming pro or con, I simply question why the connection. And had he been given some other more relevant award, I would not have said anything. This just smacked of politics and "Al Gore needs an award. Which one can we give him?" rather than "Who is most deserving of the Peace Prize?". Quote:
Here's where I try real hard to say "This is not a commentary on global warming itself, I really want to concentrate on why this particular award for this particular thing.". Apparently I wasn't very clear to you, but given that at no point in my post did I say anything like "Global warming is a myth" I'm not sure where these responses are coming from other than a knee-jerk "Greg mentioned global warming again, let's shout him down!" Quote:
Again, I'm focusing on the connection. Nowhere did I have any comment on global warming aside from rejecting the claim that fighting global warming will somehow reduce wars. As others pointed out in this thread, there are many factors aside from global warming that affect resources, and it just seems like jumping through hoops a bit to make a connection here that is tenuous at best. I think AZSpeedCoach made an excellent point that it's real the Nobel Prize for Humanitarianism rather than Peace, and this award does fit that mold better. I can understand that line of reasoning better than the one mentioned in the original post. flere's a good example of what I'd consider a reasonable response to my post, asking what part of the connection I had a problem with. If my answer to that hasn't been clear, it's just that while individually the pieces sound reasonable, it's putting them together and ignoring all the other factors that make me find it tenuous at best. But at least he read what I actually wrote and wanted to talk further about it.
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10-12-2007, 08:28 PM | #38 |
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Global warming is just the cover story for why they gave him the Nobel Peace prize. The real reason is that he finally caught Manbearpig.
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10-12-2007, 11:33 PM | #39 | |
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10-13-2007, 01:12 AM | #40 | |
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Look, I'm always portrayed as being on the anti-globla warming side of these debates. Not because I don't believe climate change is occuring, but because I believe it has been going on and will continue occuring regardless of our input, and that the costs associated with trying to keep environmental stasis aren't worth it. I agree with a modified version of the African consensus that came up at the last conference on global warming. These famines, plagues and resource wars (look at Egypt and its involvement supporting rebel groups in upstream Nile countries for another example) that are projected due to global warming are already happening now without global warming. Instead of concentrating on keeping the status quo in perpetuity, we should be concentrating on improving the lives of the billion+ who live in poverty. The status quo isn't the optimum one, IMO, and I don't see why environmentalists are so hellbent on preserving it. I also agree with Ironhead that Al Gore can't afford to let this award distract him from warning us about ManBearPig. |
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10-13-2007, 09:51 AM | #41 |
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I have a feeling this award will be just as good a punch-line as the one Jimmy Carter won for working with N Korea on not developing a nuclear weapon program. Hilarious!
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10-13-2007, 10:11 AM | #42 |
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{shocked that the responses have fallen along party lines}
I hope he's wrong about global warming however 99% of evidence shows a global warming trend that MUST have consequences no matter what they are. Cause - effect. We either act in a way that's preventative, we dont and he's right and we're screwed, we don't and he's wrong and things are ok....so far most of the unspun (remember the admin's non-scientist guy that edited the environmental report making things blurrier - love the fact he went to work for big oil upon leaving the White House) evidence shows an alarming trend. He deserved the award regardless, due to his work on the subject. Whether or not he's right or wrong will be what smacks us in the head 25 years from now.
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10-13-2007, 10:16 AM | #43 | |
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Yeah, after I wrote that went back and read it again I would agree that was a stretch on my part. There are many great things we have done as far as medical and technological. Still I don't won't my kids looking at me and teaching their kids that the reason the Polar bear is extinct becuz Grandpa had to have the Hummer (truck) Last edited by Galaril : 10-13-2007 at 01:14 PM. |
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10-13-2007, 11:04 AM | #44 |
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If it were up to me, I would not given a Nobel Peace Prize for work on global warming at this point in history. However, I don't think it's an outlandish thing to do, and Gore is deserving of recognition for the work he has done on it.
And yes, Bono deserves a Nobel more than Gore does. That said, I also think Gore has been the recipient of more undeserved (often irrational or completely fabricated) criticism than any other politician of our era. |
10-13-2007, 12:42 PM | #45 | |
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And this was brought up before:
http://www.usatoday.com/weather/clim...re-solar_N.htm Quote:
This whole thing is akin to Britney Spears getting a Pepsi Lifetime achievement award after she refused to drink Pepsi. |
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10-13-2007, 02:44 PM | #46 |
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I believe that humans are at least partially responsible for global climate change. Just throwing that out there since I'm one of the most libertarian/pro-business/anti-government forum member on this board. |
10-13-2007, 03:06 PM | #47 |
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UN - Kyoto Treaty or the Earth burns! United States (Clinton) - No thanks, looks like a deal that just fucks America. Hollywood/Liberals - *crickets* ...a couple years later... United States (Bush) - No thanks, that deal still fucks America. Hollywood/Liberals - "Save the World from President Bush!" And Gore's movie lands him a peace medal... A peace medal? For what? Making a movie about Global Warming? He was vice-president of the United States of America and we did not sign Kyoto. |
10-13-2007, 03:20 PM | #48 | |
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Wrong. Plain wrong. I'm no Gore fan, but this is just factually incorrect.
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10-13-2007, 03:55 PM | #49 |
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10-13-2007, 04:08 PM | #50 | |
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Do you ever do your own fact checks? You said: "He was vice-president of the United States of America and we did not sign Kyoto." That is incorrect. The U.S. signed (and Gore was the one who actually signed it) the Kyoto Protocol in 1998. The treaty has never since been ratified (which needs to be done by the Senate, not the President). The Clinton administration can be criticized (if you are pro-Kyoto Protocol) for not pushing for ratification in the US Senate. Clinton did not do so for 2 major reasons. First, he was dealing with a GOP congress which had no interest in ratification (they had passed resolutions against Kyoto in case there was any doubt). Second, Clinton and Gore argued against ratification until other developing countries jumped on board. That position was that the Kyoto framework was generally good, but was a bad idea for the U.S. unless key developing countries joined in. That position is very different than the Bush administration's view that the Kyoto framework itself is against U.S. interests. I'm no defender of Clinton or Gore, but I am a fan of truth (and hence not a fan of most of your political posts).
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