01-22-2006, 09:09 PM | #1 | ||
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2004
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Early Line has Pittsburgh favored by 4 1/2
Interesting...
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01-22-2006, 09:09 PM | #2 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Damn I'm good - I guessed 4.
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01-22-2006, 09:10 PM | #3 |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Davis, CA
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Is that a surprise? Everyone's in love with the Steelers right now.
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01-22-2006, 09:12 PM | #4 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
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That just seems a bit high
SI
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01-22-2006, 09:13 PM | #5 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Kansas City, MO
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I was going to say interesting too. I figured Seattle would get more love given the better record and convincing playoff run. So much of line setting is based on trends and obviously what Pittsburgh is trying to do is unprecedented. But I have no doubt the emotional bettors will be on the Steelers, and their defense is hot.
Be interesting to see how this line moves. I think it's definitely bad news for Pittsburgh; Cowher's had too much success getting his team to thrive in the underdog role, and being the favorite has never been a good role for his teams. |
01-22-2006, 09:14 PM | #6 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2004
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Well, I've learned my lesson about underestimating Seattle. We are talking a number 6 seed vs a number 1 seed in the playoffs right?
Don't get me wrong, I think Pittsburgh will win. I'm just surprised the line started off that high. Pittsburgh will be the only team that Seattle has faced in the playoffs that is complete in terms of offense and defense. |
01-22-2006, 09:15 PM | #7 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Davis, CA
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Quote:
I agree - but that's because, contrary to what astrosfan has been saying, the Seahawks are actually underrated. |
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01-22-2006, 09:15 PM | #8 | |
College Prospect
Join Date: Oct 2004
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Quote:
Yeah, I learned my lesson. |
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01-22-2006, 09:16 PM | #9 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Quote:
I think the line is about right, given the (perceived) disparity between the two conferences, the fact that Pittsburgh has gone on the road against 3 good teams and kicked ass, and that Seattle won't have their home field advantage. I think Cowher is the better coach, Roethlisberger the better QB. Seattle's strength is their offensive line, but I don't think Pittsburgh's is any worse. I think the line will be 5 or more by gametime. |
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01-22-2006, 09:18 PM | #10 | |
College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Davis, CA
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Quote:
Now that's true. |
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01-22-2006, 10:23 PM | #11 | |
Strategy Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: North Carolina
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Quote:
I'm not so sure about the line moving, I think right now it's a very attractive bet on Seattle, and if anything I think it might move towards -3. We'll see though! |
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01-22-2006, 10:27 PM | #12 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Quote:
I agree. I think people will jump on this bet and it will close up as the game gets closer. |
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01-22-2006, 11:53 PM | #13 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Here and There
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Seattle +3.5
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01-23-2006, 10:00 AM | #14 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: St. Louis
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The line is set based on what people are willing to bet, not on what is really going to happen. It seems like most of you guys understand this, but I don't know that anyone at ESPN seems to get it. Vegas isn't disrespecting Seattle they are setting a line that will allow them to get 50% of the people to bet on each team. Apperently according to Desnudo it has corrected itself to 3.5 now. I personally think Pittsburgh is the popular choice and the line is screwing a little bit, but I also hate Pittsburgh.
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01-23-2006, 11:51 AM | #15 |
College Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Berkeley
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AFC >> NFC this season. I think you could make a pretty reasonable argument that all six AFC playoff teams plus KC and San Diego were as good as or better than the best NFC team this year.
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