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Old 12-29-2008, 09:08 PM   #1
AgustusM
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High School Coach never punts, wins state title

Rivals High - Arkansas coach punts traditional game plan

As a high school O coordinator, I loved this story.

Don't think I would ever be able to convince my head coach to do this, or expect the D coordinator to talk to me ever again if we did.

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Old 12-29-2008, 09:11 PM   #2
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I read some kind of scholarly study a while ago that argued that teams go for it on 4th down WAY too infrequently. It was a statistical analysis. Having 25% more downs than your opponent is a huge advantage,
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:13 PM   #3
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I wonder what football would be like if they just completely did away with punts and field goals. More boring, or more exciting?
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:27 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by molson View Post
I read some kind of scholarly study a while ago that argued that teams go for it on 4th down WAY too infrequently. It was a statistical analysis. Having 25% more downs than your opponent is a huge advantage,

Here ya go:

http://elsa.berkeley.edu/%7Edromer/p..._CORRECTED.pdf
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:28 PM   #5
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Dola,

QuikSand will spontaneously orgasm during the reading of the article.
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:30 PM   #6
AgustusM
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thank you this is awesome, going to send to my kindle and read all 43 pages - I love this kind of stuff.
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:39 PM   #7
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I read it, it seems like a long time ago. I always go for it, but most 11-12 year old teams do.
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Old 12-29-2008, 09:44 PM   #8
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TMQ has been advocating this for a couple years.
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Old 12-29-2008, 10:12 PM   #9
rowech
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I'm waiting for the first coach to figure out that they should go for two points every time.
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Old 12-29-2008, 10:23 PM   #10
sterlingice
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Fun read- skimmed/read through most of it. The third down/fourth down thing could be a problem with the logic but it makes sense.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rowech View Post
I'm waiting for the first coach to figure out that they should go for two points every time.

I'm of that belief, but I thought someone statistically proved that in the NFL, there's something like a 46% return rate on 2pts vs 99% on 1pt so the expected rate of return was actually higher on extra points (.46*2 = .92 vs .99*1 = .99) versus 2 point coversions. In college where the spread offense is prevalent due to speed not being universally fast and short yards being easier to gain, this may not be the case. Anyone have the link to that study?

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Last edited by sterlingice : 12-29-2008 at 10:24 PM.
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Old 12-29-2008, 10:38 PM   #11
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High School Coach never punts

That seems odd to you? Where I'm from they always had a student punt, never the coach. SHURG.
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Old 12-30-2008, 12:04 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by molson View Post
I read some kind of scholarly study a while ago that argued that teams go for it on 4th down WAY too infrequently. It was a statistical analysis. Having 25% more downs than your opponent is a huge advantage,

What about Mike Leach and Texas Tech?

hxxp://www.statesman.com/sports/content/sports/stories/other/10/15/1015tech.html

Last edited by Galaxy : 12-30-2008 at 12:11 AM.
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Old 12-30-2008, 12:55 AM   #13
DanGarion
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Originally Posted by Karlifornia View Post
I wonder what football would be like if they just completely did away with punts and field goals. More boring, or more exciting?

Can't you do that with maximum football?
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Old 12-30-2008, 12:57 AM   #14
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When my friend and I played Madden we would always go for it on 4th down.
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Old 12-30-2008, 01:35 AM   #15
Karlifornia
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When my friend and I played Madden we would always go for it on 4th down.

Cheeser.
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Old 12-30-2008, 03:48 AM   #16
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Dola,

QuikSand will spontaneously orgasm during the reading of the article.

Wow, and here I am with insomnia... HOW FUCKING LUCKY CAN ONE GUY BE?!?!?!?!?!!!??!?!?!?
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Old 12-30-2008, 09:27 AM   #17
cartman
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I'm there for you.

Not literally there, that would be awkward, but, well, you know what I mean.
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Old 12-30-2008, 10:51 AM   #18
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I'm waiting for the first coach to figure out that they should go for two points every time.

Umm, no. Mike Price has shown me several times over the past couple of years that going for unnecessary two point conversions can lose games for you...
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Old 12-30-2008, 12:17 PM   #19
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I don't think you should always go for two, but I've been harping for a while that the current theory on conversions is assinine, and numbskull announcers don't help matters. Apparently the only time you're allowed to go for two now is if you're down by two and you just scored with no time left on the clock.

I've always felt that if you're down by 15, you should go for 2 right away. That way, you'll either be down by 7 or 9 and will know that you have to speed up or slow down for your next drive.
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Old 12-30-2008, 12:24 PM   #20
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Originally Posted by Karlifornia View Post
I wonder what football would be like if they just completely did away with punts and field goals. More boring, or more exciting?

more exciting. going for it on 4th down in your own territory and not converting basically hands the other team a free td.

i've said for the longest time i hate field goals - i wish they'd change the rule that field goals can only be used to tie a game, but not win it. it's such a cheap way to win a game.

look at this hypothetical game scenario that plays out all too often:

the score is 14-9, Giants are down 5 pts to the Eagles and march down the field for a 80 yard td, and go up by 2 pts. score is 16-14, Giants lead. Eagles return the kickoff and only have to get to the 30, 25 yard line to kick the FG and win the game 17-16.

so cheesy. i hate it.


but to respond to the title of the thread, its the DC's responsibility to stop the other team. when i play Madden i pray for the kids i'm competing against to be stupid enough to go for it on 4th down, if they don't make it then i get great positioning on the field. call the right defensive play, make the stop and get the ball back. it's beneficial for both teams if the offense goes for it on 4th down. its the only down where execution is the only thing that matters.
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Old 12-30-2008, 01:06 PM   #21
larrymcg421
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In HA's scenario, I would personally put out a death warrant on Tom Coughlin for not going for a two point conversion there.
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Old 12-30-2008, 01:58 PM   #22
Galaxy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Anthony View Post
more exciting. going for it on 4th down in your own territory and not converting basically hands the other team a free td.

i've said for the longest time i hate field goals - i wish they'd change the rule that field goals can only be used to tie a game, but not win it. it's such a cheap way to win a game.

look at this hypothetical game scenario that plays out all too often:

the score is 14-9, Giants are down 5 pts to the Eagles and march down the field for a 80 yard td, and go up by 2 pts. score is 16-14, Giants lead. Eagles return the kickoff and only have to get to the 30, 25 yard line to kick the FG and win the game 17-16.

so cheesy. i hate it.


but to respond to the title of the thread, its the DC's responsibility to stop the other team. when i play Madden i pray for the kids i'm competing against to be stupid enough to go for it on 4th down, if they don't make it then i get great positioning on the field. call the right defensive play, make the stop and get the ball back. it's beneficial for both teams if the offense goes for it on 4th down. its the only down where execution is the only thing that matters.

Don't allow the Eagles to return it back to the 30 yard line.
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Old 12-30-2008, 02:13 PM   #23
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that's easy to say. so in one scenario the Eagles defense has to stop the Giants from going 80 yards, and the Giants defense has to stop the Eagles from only going the 50, 55 yards to kick a simple 3 point FG. one isn't as challenging as the other and the team that doesn't have the bigger challenge shouldn't get to escape a loss by opting for the less challenging FG. that's just my opinion.

Last edited by Anthony : 12-30-2008 at 02:13 PM.
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Old 12-30-2008, 02:29 PM   #24
larrymcg421
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that's easy to say. so in one scenario the Eagles defense has to stop the Giants from going 80 yards, and the Giants defense has to stop the Eagles from only going the 50, 55 yards to kick a simple 3 point FG. one isn't as challenging as the other and the team that doesn't have the bigger challenge shouldn't get to escape a loss by opting for the less challenging FG. that's just my opinion.

This is stupid. The situation is like this because the Eagles had the lead earlier in the game. The Giants opted for the less challenging FG's earlier, while the Eagles went the length of the field and scored two TD's.

And again, the Giants deserve to lose in this scenario because they didn't go for two.
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Old 12-31-2008, 08:11 AM   #25
sterlingice
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Quote:
Originally Posted by larrymcg421 View Post
I don't think you should always go for two, but I've been harping for a while that the current theory on conversions is assinine, and numbskull announcers don't help matters. Apparently the only time you're allowed to go for two now is if you're down by two and you just scored with no time left on the clock.

I've always felt that if you're down by 15, you should go for 2 right away. That way, you'll either be down by 7 or 9 and will know that you have to speed up or slow down for your next drive.

Amen. But, as someone said in a thread about this a while ago, coaches who do this are treated by announcers and fans like child molesters. In a situation where information is at a premium, paying .05 points (.99 to .94) to determine how you should much more wisely proceed with the rest of the game seems like a really good idea.

SI
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Old 12-31-2008, 08:26 AM   #26
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Amen. But, as someone said in a thread about this a while ago, coaches who do this are treated by announcers and fans like child molesters. In a situation where information is at a premium, paying .05 points (.99 to .94) to determine how you should much more wisely proceed with the rest of the game seems like a really good idea.

SI

Announcers and fans care much more about excitement and hope. In a situation down 15 with the ball, you can realistically hope for 2 scores but not 3. If you score the 7 first, there is still hope of tying with the second score. If you miss the 2-point conversion, hope is pretty much gone. Much more exciting if the 2-point happens on the last play.
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Old 12-31-2008, 09:10 AM   #27
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I went and looked at my game breakdowns this season. We punted 7 times in 9 games and I went for it on 4th down 19 times and the kids converted on 12 of them. On 7 of those attempts we ended up scoring. 3 of the failures were inside our 40, but we gave up no points.

We allowed 2 TD's after being stopped on 4th down, one of which was a 99 yard drive by the other team (See ugly Deer Valley game in my diary of this season) The other one was a 52 yard drive.

The Head varsity coach did comment that I went for it on 4 and 6 inside our 30 once that I had balls..........or was out of my F****** mind!

an easy reply for me.....I trust our defense more than our long snapper
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