OS Simulates the 2013 MLB Season - CPRoark's Blog

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OS Simulates the 2013 MLB Season Stuck

Posted on April 6, 2013 at 03:21 PM.

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The Show says The Reds are set to be the best team in baseball in 2013.

Using MLB 13: The Show and the OS Full Minor Rosters, we've simulated the entire 2013 Major League Baseball season. Realize that this is more a fun exercise, rather than a deep statistical prediction that, admittedly. would require multiple sims and advanced math to really get right.

For the most part, our "one-off" simulation produced pretty believable results, with just a few surprises.

NL East:

The biggest surprise here is the performance put in by Braves ace Tim Hudson. He finished with a 16-6 record and a sub-3.00 ERA. This helped the Braves lead the division throughout most of the season.

However, Ryan Zimmerman had a great year too, hitting .334 with 33 home runs. The Nats jumped into the first place in mid-September to capture their second consecutive division title.

Nationals:94-68
Braves:90-72
Phillies: 82-80
Mets: 68-94
Marlins: 67-95

NL Central:

The Reds finished as the best team in baseball, with a 100-62 record. Votto won the batting title, with a .340 average and 33 HRs. Carlos Beltran and Matt Holliday had great years for the disappointing Cards, but they weren't as good as the one Kyle Lohse had (more on that later) for the surging Brewers.

Reds: 100-62
Brewers: 91-71
Cubs: 77-85
Cardinals: 74-88
Pirates: 54-108

NL West:

No surprises here: The Dodgers and Giants fought hard until the end of the season. When the dust settled, the Dodgers finished on top by 3 games. Kemp hit .300/40 to win the MVP.

Dodgers: 94-68
Giants: 91-71
Rockies: 87-75
Padres: 78-84
Diamondbacks: 77-85

AL East:

To my surprise, the Red Sox grabbed the division title, stealing it away from the favored Blue Jays and determined Yankees. This division also featured only one team (Orioles) with a sub-.500 record.

Matt Moore had a great season, with a 19-6 record, to help the Rays grab one of the two Wild Card spots.

Red Sox: 91-71
Rays: 87-75
Blue Jays: 84-78
Yankees: 80-82
Orioles: 74-88

AL Central:

The Tigers pretty much ran away with the division, thanks to their great line-up and stellar pitching. Fielder and Cabrera each have superstar caliber years: Fielder hit 51 HRs, and Cabrera finished with .334/46. Surprisingly, Max Scheirzer has a better year than Verlander, compiling a 17-6 record.

The only other players of note from the division was Nick Swisher, who hit 33 home runs, drove in 117 RBIs, and batted .314; and Chris Sale (more later).

Tigers: 91-71
White Sox: 84-78
Twins: 83-79
Royals: 77-85
Indians: 77-85

AL West:

Predictably, the Angels win the division, but it was close. It came down to the final series between the Halos and Texas. The Rangers, who held a one game lead with two to play, dropped the final two games to the Angels, settling for a Wild Card spot.

The Athletics needed to win their final three games just to secure a +.500 record, while the Astros finish with 100+ losses.

No players in this division put up great years or lead the league in any statistical categories.

Angels: 88-75
Rangers: 87-76
Athletics: 82-80
Mariners: 70-92
Astros: 52-110

Awards:

NL MVP: Matt Kemp, .300, 40 HRs, 120 RBIs
AL MVP: Prince Fielder, .298, 51 HRs, 142 RBIs

NL Cy Young: Kyle Lohse, 18-9, 3.18, 97 Ks
AL Cy Young: Chris Sale, 20-5, 2.15, 219 Ks

NL Batting Title: Joey Votto, .340
AL Batting Title: Miguel Cabrera, .334

NL Rookie of the Year: Travis d'Arnaud, NY, .266, 14 HRs, 69 RBIs
AL Rookie of the Year: Kyle Gibson, Minnesota, 11-9, 3.79, 220 Ks

Post Season:

What would be a great real post season, this simulation saw some close series, a sweep, and some underdogs claw their way through heavy favorites. At the end, though, the best team during the regular season was also the best team in the playoffs.

NL Wildcard: Brewers over Giants
AL Wildcard: Rays over Rangers

NL NLDS: Reds over Brewers, 3 games to 1
NL NLDS: Nationals over Dodgers, 3 games to 2

AL NLDS: Tigers over Rays, 3 games to 1
AL NLDS: Angels over Red Sox, 3 games to 1

NLCS: Reds over Nationals, 4 games to none

ALCS: Angels over Tigers, 4 games to 2

World Series: Reds over Angels, 4 games to 2

Comments

# 1 Feldman011teen @ Apr 6

This game has always loved the Braves.

# 2 Cycloniac @ Apr 6

The Yankees finished below .500 too*

# 3 Sportzfan0290 @ Apr 6

Of course the Angels would win with Hamilton and that lineup. Surprised by the Pirates really worse then the Cubs. In the Nationals post season did they shut down Strasburg. By the way 46 HR's unreal a little high to me for Prince maybe 34 at most if he's lucky.

# 4 fsufan4423 @ Apr 6

I'd take that record for the Braves

# 5 etched Chaos @ Apr 6

NL Cy Young award looks suspect. Lohse wins with a measly 97k's...

# 6 rockchisler @ Apr 7

thought u said Fielder had 46 homers not 51?

# 7 davis420 @ Apr 7

Lohse averages 95.6 strikeouts a season per his career so that really is pretty good.

# 8 Beastly Wayz @ Apr 7

The Cincinnati Reds Should be a very tough team to face this year. With the Pitching and the Power that this Club has - Ooooh Weeeeee

# 9 CPRoark @ Apr 7

Quote:


	thought u said Fielder had 46 homers not 51?

You are right. I accidentally posted Cabrerra's stats for Prince's MVP listing. Fixed now.

Thanks for the heads up!

# 10 barsoffury @ Apr 7

We will have to revisit this in the fall to see how it all turns out but by no means would these results be out of the question.

# 11 horrormaster @ Apr 7

I just hope it's wrong about Houston. I had to live through the Bengals losing for a decade, I don't think I can take watching Houston continually lose 100 games every single year.

# 12 CPRoark @ Apr 7

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