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JediKooter 10-18-2019 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3253813)
Damn, California's got better benefits than the Federal Government (not that our benefits are as amazing as people like to think they are).


I was totally blown away. I literally asked for the website because I thought, ok cheap but, the services you get are probably scaled way back...nope. Way better than what I had at the time. I think what helps is, she's in a union and I think that has a lot to do with it. The other side of the coin though, she gets paid just a couple of dollars an hour above minimum wage.

RainMaker 10-18-2019 01:16 PM

You guys realize the employer portion is just part of your overall compensation? Like if they didn't have to pay that, you'd just bring home more cash.

ISiddiqui 10-18-2019 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3253821)
You guys realize the employer portion is just part of your overall compensation? Like if they didn't have to pay that, you'd just bring home more cash.


As JediKooter indicated upthread, I'm not certain employees would bring home more cash as opposed to the employer just holding on to more of that money.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3253823)
As JediKooter indicated upthread, I'm not certain employees would bring home more cash as opposed to the employer just holding on to more of that money.


This discussion kind of makes me wonder why more business owners don't favor/promote M4A. It would remove massive payroll liabilities from accounts immediately, right?.

PilotMan 10-18-2019 01:33 PM

Last year the cost of the Employer part of my health care was $23,603. My portion was about $2500 toward that (which only includes about 7 months because of being broken, normally would be about double that).



There's no way that I would get a 23K boost in my salary, and even if I did, the tax bracket that I'm in would eat into it so much, that I'm not sure I could cover the value of that difference with the quality of care that I have right now.

RainMaker 10-18-2019 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3253823)
As JediKooter indicated upthread, I'm not certain employees would bring home more cash as opposed to the employer just holding on to more of that money.


So why would they pay a bigger portion than they have to right now? Why offer a 401k? If it doesn't lead to more cash in your check, it seems silly to offer any benefits at all.

CU Tiger 10-18-2019 01:58 PM

I just know I'm realllly jeaolus of your guys health plans.

I currently pay just over $1,200 per month for my family of 4..and that's not counting what my employer pays. And its crappy insurance, but I work for a small family owned company.

I think whats missing from the prior examples is that when taxes are raised on employees they will have to be raised on corporations/employers as well to cover the cost gap. So the theoretical Comcast isnt saving $10k, they are liekly paying an extra 10k to the GOV (hopefully) to cover the cost ...otherwise there is zero chance of this program working

Its a confusing issue to me. On the surface, if healthcare is a universal right - and I and I think most think it is - then we streamline the process and eliminate a lot of costs simply by eliminating the insurance industry. An that seems to be for the greater good.

I'm less certain about the idea of a government just removing/replacing an entire industry because they feel their services are "necessary"...my mind tries to alagize it as...most Americans drive, most cars need fuel, maybe GOV should just take over all gas stations and eliminate gas station owner profits. Not a perfect comp to be sure but some what relative, at least in my mind.

I just hope smarter people than I can find a way to re-work and improve our healthcare system.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 02:25 PM

Personally, I wouldn't cry a single tear for the folks at the top who profit from the health insurance industry. All of the displaced workers is probably a real issue, but I think in terms of society available and affordable healthcare takes precedence over maintaining job numbers.

I'd like to believe the amount of advertising all flavors of the insurance industry are involved in speaks to how much money could be saved by cutting them out of the process.

Similarly, I worked in a healthcare billing office for a little while (which was a soul-sucking job) and there are probably tens of thousands of people in every state, working inside the providers, billing individuals & their insurance....I'd like to believe most of that is fat/cost that can be cut from the provider side, if there were a public system. Those are savings only achieved by significantly cutting workers & jobs, though.

Arles 10-18-2019 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3253750)
How would the money settle out? It's hard to put aside the "frustrated would-be economics teacher" in me, completely.

Let's look at Nancy who makes $60K plus $10 in health insurance now. Her employer pegs her value at $70K, and pays it across two forms.

Another way to look at the current situation is Nancy is paying for her own employer health insurance subsidy in the form of a lower salary.

So, we change the laws. Now employers no longer need to provide that benefit. All compensation is just salary now.

Let's say that this market functions at least semi-normally, at least over time. If Nancy is worth $70K to her employer... if today's employer decides to be rotten and tell her "tough luck, the salary is still $60K, no health insurance needed anymore, tough luck" then surely somebody out there should be willing to pay her $65K, right? Or $68K? The the extend markets work properly, this should resolve itself, more or less. If she's worth $70K, she'll get it somewhere.

Naive to think employers would do this out of charity. No, they'd do it because that's what markets do. If they don't bump up salaries, they'll be stuck with shit employees.

What people are forgetting here is that companies get a tax break to provide insurance. Employer-paid premiums for health insurance are exempt from federal income and payroll taxes. So, if a company pays $14K and the person pays $5K (like most big companies) - part of the reason they pay for that $14K is because it lowers their taxable income. Just moving that $14K over to the employee in salary would cause the company to lose money. The "best" case would be the employee gets the post-tax amount as a raise. I just don't see that happening with many companies though. For most employees, their focus is on take-home pay. If you removed employer sponsored health care tomorrow, most people's take home check would go up the $100-$200 they were paying for their piece of the employer sponsored health care. So people actually think they will then go and given another $400+ raise because they no longer pay for health coverage? Come on, people can't be that naive.

Let's take the most optimistic view using Quik's example from the prior page of the $60K worker who's employer coverage cost $10K. She gets the best raise possible (79% of the 10K) and now makes $67.9K. Her taxes go from 20-27% so that costs her $18.3K ($6K more than the $12K from before). So, her net pay goes from $48K to $49.6K, but her health insurance probably isn't nearly as good as the coverage she had with her employer. That's the "best" case. Now let's look at the middle case. Let's say she would get a 7% raise and now would make $64.2K. Her tax bracket would increase to the 27% and her tax bill would go from $12K to $17.3K. Her net take home would drop from $48K to $46.9K, she would have worse health insurance. The worst case (which I think would happen for most people) would be she gets no raise, but has to still pay 27% in taxes. Her take home would drop from $48K to $43.8K and she would have worse insurance.

Can you see why people who have employer-subsidized care are scared of this process? If your take home pay drops 7-9%, your coinsurance drops and your deductible goes up - that's a massive pay hit to many working families.

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253824)
This discussion kind of makes me wonder why more business owners don't favor/promote M4A. It would remove massive payroll liabilities from accounts immediately, right?.

For two main reasons:
1. They get a pretty hefty tax break for covering employees as I outlined above. So, it doesn't really "cost" them the benefit cost.
2. They have some insurance (pun intended) on if health issues hit their employees. If an employee has no coverage and gets in a massive accident/issue, they will probably miss more work and probably not be able to pay the bill. Plus, most employer plans cover wellness exams, most prescriptions at a high rate and make preventive care a lot easier (for instance, we provide flu shots, Blood pressure/stress checks and other health services for free at work). Healthier employees = greater productivity

Going to a M4A plan means the employer now doesn't have the incentives to offer to help keep employees healthy and has to rely on the government. Again, if it ended up being a good system and kept similar coverage to what they were providing, no biggie. But, it's doubtful that would be the case (esp at the start).

Edward64 10-18-2019 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CU Tiger (Post 3253828)
Its a confusing issue to me. On the surface, if healthcare is a universal right - and I and I think most think it is - then we streamline the process and eliminate a lot of costs simply by eliminating the insurance industry. An that seems to be for the greater good.


Its got to be more than just the insurance companies. Its payers, providers and pharma/medical products.

I do think innovation and quality will be less (and also the stock market) in the near term as we reform those industries but well worth it in my opinion to get basic "universal" healthcare.

ISiddiqui 10-18-2019 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253824)
This discussion kind of makes me wonder why more business owners don't favor/promote M4A. It would remove massive payroll liabilities from accounts immediately, right?.


I think most plans for M4A involves increased corporate tax rates.

Edward64 10-18-2019 03:15 PM

I don't know why she said this? Any theories?

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/18/polit...ard/index.html
Quote:

Former Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton said Thursday the Russians are currently "grooming" a Democrat running in the presidential primary to run as a third-party candidate and champion their interests.

The comment appears to be directed at Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, who has been accused of being cozy with Russia in the past.

"I'm not making any predictions, but I think they've got their eye on somebody who is currently in the Democratic primary and are grooming her to be the third-party candidate," Clinton said, speaking on a podcast with former Obama adviser David Plouffe. "She's the favorite of the Russians."

Clinton never names Gabbard, but there are only five women running for President -- Gabbard, California Sen. Kamala Harris, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and author Marianne Williamson -- and none of the other woman have been accused of being boosted by Russia.

"They have a bunch of sites and bots and other ways of supporting her so far," Clinton said.

Gabbard and her spokespeople did not respond to questions from CNN.

"If the nesting doll fits," Clinton spokesman Nick Merrill said when asked if the former secretary of state was referring to Gabbard.

"This is not some outlandish claim. This is reality," Merrill said. "If the Russian propaganda machine, both their state media and their bot and troll operations, is backing a candidate aligned with their interests, that is just a reality, it is not speculation."

Gabbard, in a late August interview with CNN, ruled out a third-party bid.
"I will not," the Hawaii Democrat told CNN. "No, I have ruled that out."
Gabbard has tried to fight off the charge that she is being pushed by Russian interests.

"Just two days ago, the New York Times put out an article saying that I'm a Russian asset and an Assad apologist and all these different smears," Gabbard said, referring to a recent story that said she is being backed by Russians on Twitter. "This morning, a CNN commentator said on national television that I'm an asset of Russia. Completely despicable."

Clinton also accused Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate in both the 2012 and 2016 elections, of being a "Russian asset."

"That's assuming Jill Stein will give it up, which she might not, because she's also a Russian asset," Clinton said. "Yes, she's a Russian asset, I mean, totally. They know they can't win without a third-party candidate."

ISiddiqui 10-18-2019 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253838)
What people are forgetting here is that companies get a tax break to provide insurance.


Indeed. So companies can offer these big heathcare benefits, while using those funds to help reduce their tax burden. If there was no tax benefit, a lot less companies would be offering generous health plans.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253838)
Let's take the most optimistic view using Quik's example from the prior page of the $60K worker who's employer coverage cost $10K. She gets the best raise possible (79% of the 10K) and now makes $67.9K. Her taxes go from 20-27% so that costs her $18.3K ($6K more than the $12K from before). So, her net pay goes from $48K to $49.6K, but her health insurance probably isn't nearly as good as the coverage she had with her employer. That's the "best" case. Now let's look at the middle case. Let's say she would get a 7% raise and now would make $64.2K. Her tax bracket would increase to the 27% and her tax bill would go from $12K to $17.3K. Her net take home would drop from $48K to $46.9K, she would have worse health insurance. The worst case (which I think would happen for most people) would be she gets no raise, but has to still pay 27% in taxes. Her take home would drop from $48K to $43.8K and she would have worse insurance.

Can you see why people who have employer-subsidized care are scared of this process? If your take home pay drops 7-9%, your coinsurance drops and your deductible goes up - that's a massive pay hit to many working families.


Neither your or quik's example are accounting for the employee's share of premiums, or their deductible.

According to Kaiser research the average worker pays health insurance premiums of $1186 for an individual and $5,547 for a family plan, per year, and the average deductible for an individual is $1573.

ISiddiqui 10-18-2019 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3253842)
I don't know why she said this? Any theories?


Two reasons:

A) It may be true. Gabbard is more pro-Russian interests than Trump. And there are a lot of internet sites and likely bots in favor of Gabbard. Far more than you'd think regarding a minor candidate.

B) If you noticed in the last debate, Gabbard decided to randomly go after Hillary Clinton for some silly reason.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3253842)
I don't know why she said this? Any theories?

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/18/polit...ard/index.html


I have NO clue. Seems absolutely Trumpian to my eyes. Not going on a podcast to make up Russian conspiracies about other Democrats at the exact moment those Democrats are in the middle of impeaching someone for appealing to foreign influence AND also in the middle of primaries seems pretty easy?

thesloppy 10-18-2019 03:20 PM

Like maybe not point the Russian finger at the fucking Democrat's process at this exact moment?

Arles 10-18-2019 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3253843)
Indeed. So companies can offer these big heathcare benefits, while using those funds to help reduce their tax burden. If there was no tax benefit, a lot less companies would be offering generous health plans.

Completely agree here.

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253844)
Neither your or quik's example are accounting for the employee's share of premiums, or their deductible.

According to Kaiser research the average worker pays health insurance premiums of $1186 for an individual and $5,547 for a family plan, per year, and the average deductible for an individual is $1573.

Premiums are pre-tax. I included them in my first post above. But, if you pay $3600 in premiums - that's $300 a month. After the pre-tax benefit, that's about an extra $225 a month. So, that would be needed to be added to Quik's example (and my second post). I think the point still remains, though.

For deductibles, it's probably a wash at best with the M4A plan. And when you combine the co-pay, co-insurance and other plan specifics to an employer plan - the M4A plan will certainly be much worse than most.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 03:45 PM

There are zero out of pocket costs with m4a, that's the point.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 04:08 PM

FWIW, if I thought M4A would continue to include deductibles, co-pay and co-insurance I'd be entirely wary of it too. It's hard to take your concerns too seriously when you don't appear to have put very much effort into them.

JediKooter 10-18-2019 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3253842)
I don't know why she said this? Any theories?

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/18/polit...ard/index.html


She (Hillary) has her faults, but, I've never thought of her as a blowhard like the well documented habitual liar that trump is. So, something tells me there's more than likely some truth to what she is saying. Nobody really listened to her when she raised the russian concerns about trump in 2016, so the why is maybe her trying to raise awareness before the ball gets rolling on it.

Plus she's not running for office, so that to me lends a bit more credibility to it. However, and this is a big however, the conservative pundits are going to have a field day with this and it's going to trickle down to trump and he will probably get blisters on his fingers from all the twitting he will be doing soon and is just going to spin it as another 'dem conspiracy to remove him from office' or some thing and his base will lap it all up.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 04:13 PM

Medicare for All Would Cut Poverty by Over 20 Percent

"The Census released its annual income, poverty, and health insurance statistics earlier this week. The summary report shows that 8 million of the nation’s 42.5 million poor people would not be poor if they did not have to pay medical out-of-pocket (MOOP) expenses like deductibles, co-pays, coinsurance, and self-payments. Medicare for All (M4A) virtually eliminates these kinds of payments, meaning that these 8 million people (18.8 percent of all poor people) would find themselves lifted over the poverty threshold if M4A were enacted."

Arles 10-18-2019 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253851)
If I thought M4A would continue to include deductibles, co-pay and co-insurance I'd be entirely wary of it too. It's hard to take your concerns too seriously when you don't appear to have put any effort into them.

So, you guys really think a healthcare plan with zero costs to anyone will *only* include a tax increase of 6-7% on people? That's insane. I was going with the "melded" plan of ACA plus a universal portion as a pseudo M4A (IMO, the best that could get passed). The pure no co-pay, no-deductible plan would have to raise taxes to double what we are paying now (at a minimum). I don't even know why people are legitimately discussing it - it is impossible to ever pass or pay for:

The High Cost of Warren and Sanders's Single-Payer Plan - The Atlantic

Quote:

Senator Elizabeth Warren’s refusal to answer repeated questions at last night’s debate about how she would fund Medicare for All underscores the challenge she faces finding a politically acceptable means to meet the idea’s huge price tag—a challenge that only intensified today with the release of an eye-popping new study.

The Urban Institute, a center-left think tank highly respected among Democrats, is projecting that a plan similar to what Warren and Senator Bernie Sanders are pushing would require $34 trillion in additional federal spending over its first decade in operation. That’s more than the federal government’s total cost over the coming decade for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid combined, according to the most recent Congressional Budget Office projections.

The Urban Institute estimates that a single-payer plan would require $32 trillion in new tax revenue over the coming decade.

How big a lift is it to raise $32 trillion? It’s almost 50 percent more than the total revenue the CBO projects Washington will collect from the personal income tax over the next decade (about $23.3 trillion). It’s more than double the amount the CBO projects Washington will collect over the next decade from the payroll tax that funds Social Security and part of Medicare (about $15.4 trillion). A $32 trillion tax increase would represent just over two-thirds of the revenue the CBO projects the federal government will collect from all sources over the next decade (just over $46 trillion.)

It may actually be tripling our tax liability the more I look at the numbers. Here are some of the common ways people like to mention to increase taxes:

- Repealing the Trump tax cuts (would barely make a dent)
- increasing the payroll tax cap from $133K to $250K

Those two would raise $3 Trillion over 10 years - you would need to come up with an additional $29 Trillion to pay for it. We would literally need Belgium/Netherlands marginal rate levels to get close to paying for this. I can't believe people think this is a possibility - no one in congress (not even most Dems) would vote for what would be required to pay for it.

Arles 10-18-2019 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253853)
Medicare for All Would Cut Poverty by Over 20 Percent

"The Census released its annual income, poverty, and health insurance statistics earlier this week. The summary report shows that 8 million of the nation’s 42.5 million poor people would not be poor if they did not have to pay medical out-of-pocket (MOOP) expenses like deductibles, co-pays, coinsurance, and self-payments. Medicare for All (M4A) virtually eliminates these kinds of payments, meaning that these 8 million people (18.8 percent of all poor people) would find themselves lifted over the poverty threshold if M4A were enacted."

So would giving every American over 20 a 3 bedroom house and free car. That would actually be cheaper than the pure M4A and more likely to get passed.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253854)
So, you guys really think a healthcare plan with zero costs to anyone will *only* include a tax increase of 6-7% on people? That's insane.


I think it's insane that innumerable supposed business people continue to absolutely REFUSE to account for the removal of an entire industry that makes a very good profit operating as only the middle man between the consumer and provider of a service. Shrug.

Arles 10-18-2019 04:34 PM

I'm open to looking for reforms and way to be increase who gets covered and improve the coverage for the poorly insured/under-insured. But going from what we have now to a system where everyone is covered with no out of pocket costs would bankrupt this country and not even be close to feasible.

So many changes would need to be done before you could even think about a system like that and people would have to pay OK paying 50+% tax rates. It's just not realistic.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253854)
I can't believe people think this is a possibility - no one in congress (not even most Dems) would vote for what would be required to pay for it.


I'm willing to cede that if you're talking about this very moment in time, but I also don't know how you could look at where we are culturally and politically, versus where we were 4, 8, or 12 years ago and not allow that the needle is moving fast.

thesloppy 10-18-2019 04:40 PM

I guess the opposite of that outlook is that while some progressive ideas have become more mainstream the needle for most of America's tax liability has been going in the other direction, which doesn't seem like a very sustainable relationship, one way or the other.

Swaggs 10-18-2019 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253838)
Let's take the most optimistic view using Quik's example from the prior page of the $60K worker who's employer coverage cost $10K. She gets the best raise possible (79% of the 10K) and now makes $67.9K. Her taxes go from 20-27% so that costs her $18.3K ($6K more than the $12K from before). So, her net pay goes from $48K to $49.6K, but her health insurance probably isn't nearly as good as the coverage she had with her employer. That's the "best" case. Now let's look at the middle case. Let's say she would get a 7% raise and now would make $64.2K. Her tax bracket would increase to the 27% and her tax bill would go from $12K to $17.3K. Her net take home would drop from $48K to $46.9K, she would have worse health insurance. The worst case (which I think would happen for most people) would be she gets no raise, but has to still pay 27% in taxes. Her take home would drop from $48K to $43.8K and she would have worse insurance.


Small business owner here. This is not at all how progressive tax brackets work and is a commonly accepted fallacy and talking point.

I know you are just using rough examples here (and we are ignoring marriage status and there are some exemptions that can be lost at certain thresholds), but in this scenario and most others (and assuming the jump in bracket occurs with the first dollar of the raise), the 27% part would only apply to the $7.9K.

How do federal income tax rates work? | Tax Policy Center

Quote:

BASICS OF PROGRESSIVE INCOME TAX RATES

Each tax rate applies only to income in a specific tax bracket. Thus, if a taxpayer earns enough to reach a new bracket with a higher tax rate, his or her total income is not taxed at that rate, just the income in that bracket. Even a taxpayer in the top bracket has some portion of income taxed at the lower rates in the tax schedule. For example, a single filer with $50,000 in taxable income falls into the 22 percent bracket but does not pay tax of $11,000 (22 percent of $50,000). Instead, he or she pays 10 percent of $9,525 plus 12 percent of $29,175 plus 22 percent of $11,300 for a total of $6,939.50.

All tax brackets for married taxpayers are twice the size of those for singles, except for the penultimate bracket. This can cause a “marriage penalty” for some taxpayers in the highest tax bracket, as some couples pay more tax filing a joint return than they would if each spouse could file as a single person. Conversely, because most tax brackets for married couples are twice the size of those for singles, many married couples enjoy a “marriage bonus,” paying less in tax by filing jointly than they would if each partner filed as a single person.


Also, if you look at the range of taxable income brackets rates on the site, you can see that the income ranges are fairly large, so odds are pretty good that most middle class folks or married couples are not going to be jumping up to new levels with a 10% raise (and if they do, it is going to be a 2% jump).



And if there are any companies out there that are deducting healthcare expenses that are not planning to deduct employee wages, they are need new accountants (and yes, they will have to factor in payroll taxes on the raise).

RainMaker 10-18-2019 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3253838)
What people are forgetting here is that companies get a tax break to provide insurance. Employer-paid premiums for health insurance are exempt from federal income and payroll taxes. So, if a company pays $14K and the person pays $5K (like most big companies) - part of the reason they pay for that $14K is because it lowers their taxable income. Just moving that $14K over to the employee in salary would cause the company to lose money. The "best" case would be the employee gets the post-tax amount as a raise. I just don't see that happening with many companies though. For most employees, their focus is on take-home pay. If you removed employer sponsored health care tomorrow, most people's take home check would go up the $100-$200 they were paying for their piece of the employer sponsored health care. So people actually think they will then go and given another $400+ raise because they no longer pay for health coverage? Come on, people can't be that naive.


Payroll tax is a pass-through cost to the employee. Employers aren't paying it out of the goodness of their heart. It's factored into the compensation.

Also paying more in SS means you get more when you retire. Sure it's not an exact ratio, but it's a nice bump in your benefits when you retire.

RainMaker 10-18-2019 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3253824)
This discussion kind of makes me wonder why more business owners don't favor/promote M4A. It would remove massive payroll liabilities from accounts immediately, right?.


It dramatically reduces turnover and limits competition in the workforce. Your employer doesn't want you quitting to take a job for a few grand more with a competitor. It's much harder to do that if you're worried about your health insurance and the grace period at the new employer.

RainMaker 10-18-2019 06:21 PM

As for how to pay it, reduce costs. Most of the industrialized world pays far less than we do for health care and sees better results. There is no reason we can't cut health care costs like they do.

Capital gains should not be exempt from Medicare taxes. We shouldn't create this nook for wealthy people and decide their income deserves special treatment over everyone else.

Medicare tax should be progressive.

Should move back to a progressive income tax system.

We can also talk about cutting back on unnecessary military programs and such.

This isn't some novel concept. All these other countries have managed to do it. Let's stop pretending like it's never been done before.

Ben E Lou 10-18-2019 08:47 PM

Who knew health care was this complicated?

GrantDawg 10-18-2019 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 3253852)
She (Hillary) has her faults, but, I've never thought of her as a blowhard like the well documented habitual liar that trump is. So, something tells me there's more than likely some truth to what she is saying. Nobody really listened to her when she raised the russian concerns about trump in 2016, so the why is maybe her trying to raise awareness before the ball gets rolling on it.

Plus she's not running for office, so that to me lends a bit more credibility to it. However, and this is a big however, the conservative pundits are going to have a field day with this and it's going to trickle down to trump and he will probably get blisters on his fingers from all the twitting he will be doing soon and is just going to spin it as another 'dem conspiracy to remove him from office' or some thing and his base will lap it all up.



If you really look at Gabbard's history (and Jill Stein who she also said was a Russian plant in 2016), it absolutely does make a whole lot of sense. And here is why it is important to call it out now. If Tulsi does announce a third-party candidacy now, this charge is going to played everywhere and hurt her chances of being taken as anything but a Russian bot.

cuervo72 10-18-2019 09:38 PM

Profile: Tulsi Gabbard and Her 2020 Presidential Campaign

This one was from February:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...abbard-n964261

Warhammer 10-18-2019 10:56 PM

Why would the Russian bots back a Democrat fringe candidate for a third party bid if they already control the President? Why not back him again if they control him?

Lathum 10-19-2019 06:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer (Post 3253887)
Why would the Russian bots back a Democrat fringe candidate for a third party bid if they already control the President? Why not back him again if they control him?


My guess is backing her could cause enough Dem voters to back her instead of the democratic nominee, thus increasing the likelihood of a Trump win.

At this point they really have no need to back Trump. The battle lines have been drawn. You either support him or you don't, I find it hard to believe very many people will shift sides at this point.

JPhillips 10-19-2019 07:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warhammer (Post 3253887)
Why would the Russian bots back a Democrat fringe candidate for a third party bid if they already control the President? Why not back him again if they control him?


Because Jill Stein was helpful last time.

GrantDawg 10-19-2019 07:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3253898)
Because Jill Stein was helpful last time.



It is exactly what Clinton said. She wouldn't even be on all ballots. Just on ballots in states that a 1-2% change would make all the difference.

cuervo72 10-19-2019 01:34 PM

Never Trumpers (or those who voted for him last time but have soured) who might otherwise vote D. I’ve already seen cheers for Gabbard on my aunt’s FB feed calling her the only non-crazy Dem, and “you go girl!” because she speaks out against Dem ideas and Clinton. People who decry what Clinton said but will be the first to buy into any propaganda.

tarcone 10-19-2019 02:46 PM

The Ross Perot effect

JediKooter 10-21-2019 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3253880)
If you really look at Gabbard's history (and Jill Stein who she also said was a Russian plant in 2016), it absolutely does make a whole lot of sense. And here is why it is important to call it out now. If Tulsi does announce a third-party candidacy now, this charge is going to played everywhere and hurt her chances of being taken as anything but a Russian bot.


Yup, totally agree! Jill was enough of a 'fly in the ointment' to make a difference in some states back in 2016. Was reading more about her (Tulsi) this weekend and if what I read was true, I'm not really sure how any democrat or liberal could vote for her. She was lobbying to get a position in trump's admin and seems to poll pretty decently with some conservative voters. So, something tells me that there's more than likely some truth to what she (Hillary) is saying.

Having said that, I wasn't going to vote for her anyway, so none of this changes anything for me, whether or not is it is true or false.

BishopMVP 10-21-2019 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3253880)
If you really look at Gabbard's history (and Jill Stein who she also said was a Russian plant in 2016), it absolutely does make a whole lot of sense. And here is why it is important to call it out now. If Tulsi does announce a third-party candidacy now, this charge is going to played everywhere and hurt her chances of being taken as anything but a Russian bot.

I think it's important to be careful about the phrasing. Might the Russians be hoping for and trying to use their bot sources to promote fringe candidates who take support away from the Dems in 2016 & 2020? Probably. Do I think either Stein or Gabbard (or Trump) are a plant? No. Useful idiots is probably the better term.

JPhillips 10-21-2019 10:57 AM

Plant? Who knows.

Stein, though, went to Russia and dined with Putin and Flynn. I have no doubt she's tied into the 2016 fuckery.

Gabbard has met with Assad. She refuses to disavow Russian support. Or David Duke support. Or Bannon, Breitbart support. She's a dangerous character, hiding something.

JediKooter 10-21-2019 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3253996)
Plant? Who knows.

Stein, though, went to Russia and dined with Putin and Flynn. I have no doubt she's tied into the 2016 fuckery.

Gabbard has met with Assad. She refuses to disavow Russian support. Or David Duke support. Or Bannon, Breitbart support. She's a dangerous character, hiding something.


The one small correction I would make is, she has disavowed David Duke's support. Tulsi Gabbard denounces David Duke, rejects his endorsement

NobodyHere 10-21-2019 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3253996)
Plant? Who knows.

Stein, though, went to Russia and dined with Putin and Flynn. I have no doubt she's tied into the 2016 fuckery.

Gabbard has met with Assad. She refuses to disavow Russian support. Or David Duke support. Or Bannon, Breitbart support. She's a dangerous character, hiding something.


She also has never denied being a lizard person or David Spade. She's extremely dangerous.

GrantDawg 10-21-2019 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3253996)
Plant? Who knows.

Stein, though, went to Russia and dined with Putin and Flynn. I have no doubt she's tied into the 2016 fuckery.

Gabbard has met with Assad. She refuses to disavow Russian support. Or David Duke support. Or Bannon, Breitbart support. She's a dangerous character, hiding something.



Gabbard also dined with Putin, along with General Flynn.

Edward64 10-21-2019 11:58 AM

Somewhere Putin is smiling in having successfully planted so much doubt in our democratic process.

The word "plant" implies a manchurian candidate and think there needs to be much greater evidence than meetings & dinners. Is Tulsi and Jill Putin's preferred Democratic nominees or are they the means Putin thinks he can sow discord and confusion, quite possibly ... but that is a far ways from "plant".

JPhillips 10-21-2019 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 3253997)
The one small correction I would make is, she has disavowed David Duke's support. Tulsi Gabbard denounces David Duke, rejects his endorsement


Thanks for the correction.

JediKooter 10-21-2019 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3254009)
Thanks for the correction.


You're welcome. The sliver lining is, she has plenty of other faults that you mentioned. :)

BishopMVP 10-21-2019 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3253996)
Plant? Who knows.

Stein, though, went to Russia and dined with Putin and Flynn. I have no doubt she's tied into the 2016 fuckery.

Gabbard has met with Assad. She refuses to disavow Russian support. Or David Duke support. Or Bannon, Breitbart support. She's a dangerous character, hiding something.

Was Stein a Russian plant when running for Mass Governor as early as 2002? She's just a lunatic.

I also dislike Gabbard, but I'm not sure she's hiding anything. She owns her extreme positions, and then she shows up on a debate stage and people go "oh look, a pretty lady" and assume she's normal & put her back in the conversation.

Atocep 10-21-2019 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BishopMVP (Post 3254031)
Was Stein a Russian plant when running for Mass Governor as early as 2002? She's just a lunatic.

I also dislike Gabbard, but I'm not sure she's hiding anything. She owns her extreme positions, and then she shows up on a debate stage and people go "oh look, a pretty lady" and assume she's normal & put her back in the conversation.


This article sums up the situation with Gabbard very well IMO

Tulsi Gabbard Is Being Used by the Russians, and to a Former US Double Agent, the Evidence Is Clear | Opinion

NobodyHere 10-21-2019 07:38 PM

Newsweek? Seriously? And an opinion piece at that.

tarcone 10-21-2019 07:43 PM

One of the best movies out there is The Manchurian Candidate (1962) which is much better than the 2004 version.

Some of you need to watch it. It may fuel your fire.

Edward64 10-21-2019 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3254046)


I may have missed something in the article but did not see any evidence in the article specific to Tulsi.

It talked about how Russia would do it etc. but here's what they/Tulsi did X, Y, Z doesn't appear anywhere (e.g. If borne out, may choose etc.).

Better titled "Here is how Russia will do X" vs. "Tulsi is being used by the Russians".

Quote:

After all, Russia's goal in 2016 was the delegitimization of our elections; they did not need to coordinate with Trump to make that happen. That's the disturbing parallel with Gabbard: Russia can seek to support her, without her knowledge.

If borne out, Russian support of Gabbard does not mean that she is a Russian-directed operative, or that she has ties with or is in contact with Moscow. As I learned during my operational time working against Russian intelligence, the targeting of U.S. persons for recruitment by a foreign intelligence service does not make that person guilty of a crime. The same holds true if Russia seeks to independently aid the Gabbard campaign. Russia may choose to covertly amplify her message by building what may look like organic and grass roots online support for her. They may take some of her talking points—such as, Assad "is not the enemy of the U.S." or that the U.S. is in "a new nuclear arms race"—and work to increase their reach across social media.

While the amplification of controversial viewpoints is a method by which Russia creates division and chaos in our political process, the solution is not to remove Gabbard, silence her, or stop the vigorous debate of far-ranging ideas. Rather, the solution is to recognize these threats and stop Russia from unnaturally amplifying any one message.

Atocep 10-21-2019 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3254049)
Newsweek? Seriously? And an opinion piece at that.


Yes, it's an opinion piece because we're talking about how Gabbard could be used by the Russian propaganda machine. It's not like anyone has access to definitive proof so we look at how and why Russia would do it without Gabbard necessarily knowing she's being used. I didn't post it as definitive proof of anything. Based on the ongoing conversation it was relevant. Maybe I should have opened up with the "I'm not a Trump fan" disclaimer?

I'll ask what about the content of the article would you disagree with?

Atocep 10-21-2019 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3254051)
I may have missed something in the article but did not see any evidence in the article specific to Tulsi.

It talked about how Russia would do it etc. but here's what they/Tulsi did X, Y, Z doesn't appear anywhere (e.g. If borne out, may choose etc.).

Better titled "Here is how Russia will do X" vs. "Tulsi is being used by the Russians".


I agree the title is poor considering the content of the article. Considering the support Gabbard has received from the Russian bot army I think it's clear what they're doing.

Edward64 10-21-2019 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3254054)
I agree the title is poor considering the content of the article. Considering the support Gabbard has received from the Russian bot army I think it's clear what they're doing.


I've not read about that but I'll assume there is plenty of evidence the Russian bot army is supporting Tulsi.

So are you saying she is a "plant" ala manchurian candidate or her beliefs/policies so happen to align with what Russia wants therefore Russia is "supporting" her?

Atocep 10-21-2019 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3254056)
I've not read about that but I'll assume there is plenty of evidence the Russian bot army is supporting Tulsi.

So are you saying she is a "plant" ala manchurian candidate or her beliefs/policies so happen to align with what Russia wants therefore Russia is "supporting" her?


Tulsi Gabbard: White nationalists and Russian propaganda machine throw support behind 2020 candidate | The Independent

NYT also ran an article a couple of weeks ago about her Russian bot support


FWIW, I think she's someone willing to rock the boat in the democratic party so she aligns perfectly with Russia's interest in splitting the Dem vote. I don't think she's actively complicit, but she also doesn't seem to mind the help either.

JPhillips 10-21-2019 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BishopMVP (Post 3254031)
Was Stein a Russian plant when running for Mass Governor as early as 2002? She's just a lunatic.


By 2016 she either knew what she was involved in or accidentally ending up meeting with Putin, being supported by Putin bots, and running messages mirrored by Trump and the Kremlin. I think it's much more likely than not that she knew what her role was.

thesloppy 10-21-2019 08:40 PM

Maybe I'm completely off-base, but as an occasional third-party voter myself I don't believe practically anybody who votes third-party gives a crusty crap who the candidate is, they're looking at the platform. I couldn't tell you one thing about Jill Stein, to this day.

tarcone 10-21-2019 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thesloppy (Post 3254060)
Maybe I'm completely off-base, but as an occasional third-party voter myself I don't believe practically anybody who votes third-party gives a crusty crap who the candidate is, they're looking at the platform. I couldn't tell you one thing about Jill Stein, to this day.


I agree here. Gary Johnson is pro-weed,and thats all I know. And thats who I voted for. 20 years from now, when weed is legal I will say what thesloppy just said.

BishopMVP 10-22-2019 12:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3254059)
By 2016 she either knew what she was involved in or accidentally ending up meeting with Putin, being supported by Putin bots, and running messages mirrored by Trump and the Kremlin. I think it's much more likely than not that she knew what her role was.

She's from Lexington, which is next to Concord if you remember your history ;) ... I've heard a few secondhand stories.

Idk how she got a Harvard degree, but she's an anti-Vaxxer who propagates WiFi radiation conspiracy theories. I genuinely think she's just that much of a moonbat she doesn't understand what's going on, and she was running on the Green Party ticket at the state level before Twitter was a thing or Putin had his infrastructure in place.

Brian Swartz 10-22-2019 06:49 AM

I agree with thesloppy too, and I say that as one of the rare exceptions. I think the '16 election and how things went the last several weeks of it, the people who broke for Trump and why, proves it as much as anything ever could.

Brian Swartz 10-22-2019 06:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rainmaker
As for how to pay it, reduce costs. Most of the industrialized world pays far less than we do for health care and sees better results. There is no reason we can't cut health care costs like they do.


This confuses me, partly because it was followed by four specific proposals. The first three addressed themselves to increasing revenue. None had anything to do with reducing medical costs. The other part is the fact that we foot the bill (rightfully IMO) for a lot of research that benefits the entire world. Where does that fit into this equation?

Edward64 10-22-2019 05:11 PM

I agree this is a better way for Hillary to have approached it.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/22/opini...vic/index.html
Quote:

It's doubtful that the average American grasps those nuances, instead hearing "Russian asset," with respect to Gabbard, as "working for the Russians." There are better ways Clinton might have explained the issue: focusing on Russia as the bad actor and emphasizing its efforts to interfere with American democracy; pointing out that Russia's bolstering of the Gabbard campaign is one data point in this larger effort (it's certainly not the only one).

That's the route Clinton should have taken. Instead, she turned the spotlight on a relatively inconsequential congresswoman, and opened up an opportunity for right-wing media scavengers to elevate her.

ISiddiqui 10-22-2019 10:30 PM

Of course it turns out Clinton never said the Russian government at all (instead said Republicans were grooming Tulsi to run third party). The New York Times just completely misquoted her:

https://www.rawstory.com/2019/10/new...mpression=true

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Edward64 10-22-2019 10:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254163)
Of course it turns out Clinton never said the Russian government at all (instead said Republicans were grooming Tulsi to run third party). The New York Times just completely misquoted her:

New York Times changes story admitting they misquoted Clinton saying ‘Russians’ were ‘grooming’ Tulsi Gabbard | Raw Story

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk


Went on NYT website just now and did not see a clarification. Definitely a big miss if true and why did it take so long for the correction?

ISiddiqui 10-22-2019 10:44 PM

Now granted, Russian news sources seem very pleased with Tulsi and she's got Putin's foreign policy goals to a tee. Unwitting accomplice at best.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

ISiddiqui 10-22-2019 10:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3254165)
Went on NYT website just now and did not see a clarification. Definitely a big miss if true and why did it take so long for the correction?


So the strange part is if you actually read the transcript of the podcast, she's totally saying the Republicans are trying to groom Tulsi for a third party run. Not sure why the Times would mess that up.

She says later that Stein and Gabbard are "Russian asset"s which some are reading as they are Russian spies, but that seems a bit out there. You can be an asset to someone without intending to do so. Especially after noting that the aforementioned grooming was not by the Russians.

ISiddiqui 10-23-2019 09:13 AM

Well that's interesting:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/23/polit...ses/index.html

Quote:

Former Vice President Joe Biden's lead in the race for the Democratic nomination for president has rebounded, and now stands at its widest margin since April, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.

Biden has the support of 34% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters, his best showing in CNN polling since just after his campaign's formal launch on April 25.

Sens. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont are about even for second, with 19% and 16%, respectively. Behind them, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Kamala Harris of California each have 6% support, with Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and former Texas Congressman Beto O'Rourke each at 3%.

According to 538, the CNN/SSRS poll is an A- poll (so a very respectable one).

Edward64 10-23-2019 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254172)
So the strange part is if you actually read the transcript of the podcast, she's totally saying the Republicans are trying to groom Tulsi for a third party run. Not sure why the Times would mess that up.

She says later that Stein and Gabbard are "Russian asset"s which some are reading as they are Russian spies, but that seems a bit out there. You can be an asset to someone without intending to do so. Especially after noting that the aforementioned grooming was not by the Russians.


I still don't see a clarification in NYT (or at least not on the headlines since I don't have a subscription). I would like to read further, do you have a link on this clarification?

Edward64 10-23-2019 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254195)
Well that's interesting:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/23/polit...ses/index.html

According to 538, the CNN/SSRS poll is an A- poll (so a very respectable one).


Yay go Biden, he's my first choice right now (assuming he'll pick a younger person as VP). Happy to hear but wonder why he's doing so well?

ISiddiqui 10-23-2019 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3254206)
I still don't see a clarification in NYT (or at least not on the headlines since I don't have a subscription). I would like to read further, do you have a link on this clarification?


The link I submitted has changed the language. You can see from the screen shots where it used to say "Russian" it is now "Republican". It seems the NYT didn't issue an official correction, but just changed the article.

Thomkal 10-23-2019 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3254212)
Yay go Biden, he's my first choice right now (assuming he'll pick a younger person as VP). Happy to hear but wonder why he's doing so well?



Just my opinion, I think its more that Trump/Republicans have been focusing on Biden more than the other candidates, and Dem voters feel like they need to "have his back".

Edward64 10-24-2019 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254195)
Well that's interesting:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/23/polit...ses/index.html

According to 538, the CNN/SSRS poll is an A- poll (so a very respectable one).



Kind of weird how different the 2 polls are.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/war...-national-poll
Quote:

Warren, the progressive senator from Massachusetts, grabs the support of 28 percent of Democrats and independent voters who lean toward the Democrats in a survey released Thursday by Quinnipiac University. Biden stands at 21 percent in the poll, with populist Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 15 percent.

In Quinnipiac’s previous survey – conducted prior to the Oct. 15 fourth round Democratic debate – Warren had a slight 30-27 percent edge over Biden. But her advantage was within the poll’s margin of error. Sanders, the independent senator from Vermont who’s making his second straight White House bid, was at 11 percent.

Quinnipiac’s new survey showing Warren with a clear lead outside the sampling error stands in stark contrast to a national CNN poll conducted by SSRS released a day earlier that suggested Biden at 34 percent, with Warren a distant second at 19 percent and Sanders at 16 percent. The former vice president’s 15 percentage point lead was his largest since April in CNN polling.

NobodyHere 10-24-2019 01:42 PM

https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/24/polit...ign/index.html

Ryan was in my upper tier of candidates but he never got any traction with the masses.

ISiddiqui 10-24-2019 03:33 PM

Definitely possible that the CNN poll is an outlier. Guess we'll have to see how the rest of them line up.

One of the things the Quinnipiac poll did do was qualify Klobuchar for the November debate (she got her last needed 3% in it) making it 9 for those debates.

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JPhillips 10-25-2019 07:02 AM

Tulsi Gabbard, the candidate for people that hate Democrats!


albionmoonlight 10-25-2019 07:25 AM

The Dems are a more fractured coalition party than the GOP, so they are always going to be more vulnerable to third-party challengers.

The GOP has figured this out and (smartly) encourages such things (there was a decent amount of GOP money behind Jill Stein, for example).

The Dems need to figure out how to deal with this issue, because it is not going away. Obama was such a unifying candidate that he gave the party a temporary reprieve. But I think that the typical presidential race is going to have a Nader or a Gabbard in it more often than not.

JediKooter 10-25-2019 10:41 AM

What's the saying? Republican voters fall in line. Democrat voters have to fall in love.

Arles 10-25-2019 10:45 AM

I think the problem is that there is legitimate debate on the democratic side. You can have a more moderate Clinton/Biden get support, as well as a more liberal Sanders/Warren in a primary. On the republican side, you pretty much have to be a social and fiscal conservative to have a chance. IMO, it's a credit to the democratic party that you have such a wide scope of beliefs - but it's also why the losing side will be more apt to support a 3rd part person. If Biden gets the nomination, a lot of Sanders/Warren supports may not vote or go 3rd party. If Warren gets it, you could have some Biden people look more at a 3rd party as well.

I wish republicans would consider more socially moderate candidates as a party, but the money just doesn't seem to be there. I also think the Rush Limbaugh/Hannity/Savage/Ingraham crew instills so much fear in the republican base that they would never think to vote 3rd party because of the risk of a democrat being president (worst thing ever in their mind :D). The whole dynamic of how each party looks at this is very interesting to me.

JediKooter 10-25-2019 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3254471)
I wish republicans would consider more socially moderate candidates as a party...


The funny thing is, if you look at the 'Political Spectrum', Biden and Hillary, would be moderate conservative candidates. It's just the conservatives and GOP have gone so far to the right of that spectrum, any policy or candidate to the left of them will be too liberal in their eyes.

ISiddiqui 10-25-2019 11:19 AM

I think that's pretty simplistic, tbh. Hillary Clinton ran a far more left wing platform than Obama ever did. And Biden is for a number of things that no moderate conservative would ever vote for - and was a reliable moderate-left voter as a Senator.

Radii 10-25-2019 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254475)
I think that's pretty simplistic, tbh. Hillary Clinton ran a far more left wing platform than Obama ever did. And Biden is for a number of things that no moderate conservative would ever vote for - and was a reliable moderate-left voter as a Senator.


This all screams for breaking the two party system - which I know will never happen. But wouldn't it be great if our choices weren't democrat or republican, but someone in the bernie/warren lane, someone like biden, actual fiscal conservatives which seem to not really exist in the current environment, some tea party person like Cruz, and ... whatever the heck trump is. Making a meaningful choice between them all would feel so much better than the shitshow we have now.

On the dem side I know that I personally have moved very far left over the last few years and feel extremely disconnected from those who are excited/enthusiastic for someone like Biden, we just don't belong in the same party (though of course I will show up for Biden if he does win), and we've seen a number of folks here express a similar disconnect from someone like Warren, some are thinking about electibility, while others are basically the opposite of me, more moderate dems who have serious concerns of their own about the policies of the further left candidates.

That we have to cram all this into two people in the end plus a spoiler or two who will never have a chance in the current system feels terrible

bob 10-25-2019 12:14 PM

I agree with you in principal, but people are throwing a shit fit about the current president only getting 46.1% of the vote. I can't imagine things will be better if the winner is at 30%.

ISiddiqui 10-25-2019 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Radii (Post 3254477)
This all screams for breaking the two party system - which I know will never happen. But wouldn't it be great if our choices weren't democrat or republican, but someone in the bernie/warren lane, someone like biden, actual fiscal conservatives which seem to not really exist in the current environment, some tea party person like Cruz, and ... whatever the heck trump is. Making a meaningful choice between them all would feel so much better than the shitshow we have now.


This would only really ever happen if there was Proportional Representation (or perhaps Single Transferrable Vote could help). A First Past The Post / Presidential system rewards varied interests joining together to create big coalitions.

Imagine if either major US party were to break up into moderate and progressive/conservative factions? They'd be killed by the other party that stayed together.

Radii 10-25-2019 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3254490)
This would only really ever happen if there was Proportional Representation (or perhaps Single Transferrable Vote could help). A First Past The Post / Presidential system rewards varied interests joining together to create big coalitions.

Imagine if either major US party were to break up into moderate and progressive/conservative factions? They'd be killed by the other party that stayed together.


Yep, I agree. People in power would be risking their own power to implement this so it'll never happen. Its a nice thought though.

Edward64 10-30-2019 10:27 PM

Looks like she is losing momentum.

Kamala Harris to slash staff, restructure campaign as she hemorrhages cash - POLITICO
Quote:

Kamala Harris is dramatically restructuring her campaign by redeploying staffers to Iowa and laying off dozens of aides at her Baltimore headquarters, according to campaign sources and a memo obtained Wednesday by POLITICO, as she struggles to resuscitate her beleaguered presidential bid.

The moves come as Harris is hemorrhaging cash and in danger of lacking the resources to mount a competitive bid against better-funded rivals in Iowa. The overhaul will touch nearly every facet of Harris’ operation, with layoffs or re-deployments coming at headquarters, as well as in New Hampshire, Nevada and her home state of California, a Super Tuesday prize that her advisers once viewed as a big asset.
:
:
The major shake-up is the latest strategic maneuver to help rescue a campaign that was still being viewed as a likely early-state juggernaut three months ago after Harris confronted Joe Biden in a debate over school busing. The performance seemed to signal the realization of the promise Harris displayed during her campaign launch before 22,000 spectators in Oakland. Yet it’s been downhill since the summer spike.

ISiddiqui 10-31-2019 04:37 PM

Wonder where her voters will go.

tarcone 10-31-2019 04:42 PM

Then there were 3

ISiddiqui 10-31-2019 04:44 PM

I mean there have either been 3 for months or more than 3 all along... either way Harris dropping doesn't change the calculus much. She had a quick bump that disappeared almost as quickly as it happened.

Izulde 10-31-2019 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui (Post 3255080)
Wonder where her voters will go.


Probably a fairly even distribution among Biden, Warren, and Mayor Pete.

Edward64 11-01-2019 10:04 AM

A good start for Warren in explaining her Medicare for All. There'll be a lot of pundits picking it apart etc. but good overall to generate & force the discussion. I would like to see a comparison between Sander's and Biden's alternatives.

My guess is this is a losing proposition for her as voters will be scared by the expansiveness of what she is proposing so she will be on the defensive. But kudos to her for laying it out there.

https://medium.com/@teamwarren/endin...s-bf8286b13086
Quote:

I’m running for President based on a radical idea — calling out what’s broken and speaking plainly about how to fix it.

All my plans start with our shared values. There are two absolute non-negotiables when it comes to health care:

One: No American should ever, ever die or go bankrupt because of health care costs. No more GoFundMe campaigns to pay for care. No more rationing insulin. No more choosing between medicine and groceries.

Two: Every American should be able to see the doctors they need and get their recommended treatments, without having to figure out who is in-network. No for-profit insurance company should be able to stop anyone from seeing the expert or getting the treatment they need.

Health care is a human right, and we need a system that reflects our values. That system is Medicare for All.

JediKooter 11-01-2019 10:35 AM

Biden's support is basically entirely older voters. Among people over 65, he is still the frontrunner. He is supported by only 2 percent of voters under 45.

Interesting, but makes sense to me. I'm definitely under 65 and nothing about Biden really inspires me other than he's not trump and he's not a republican.

ISiddiqui 11-01-2019 04:48 PM

And now Beto O'Rourke is out.

Should help Buttigieg and Harris, I think.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/01/polit...out/index.html

Edward64 11-02-2019 05:57 AM

I like her speechwriter. Think this will resonate with the Democratic base (e.g. won't against Trump as he can claim to do the same).

https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/02/polit...ays/index.html
Quote:

Warren then took a subtle dig at candidates like Biden, Buttigieg and others who are offering more incremental change.

"We win when we offer solutions big enough to touch the problems that are in people's lives. Fear and complacency does not win elections. Hope and courage wins elections," she said, adding, "I'm not running some consultant-driven campaign with some vague ideas that are designed not to offend anyone. I'm running a campaign based on a lifetime of fighting for working families."

"This is a time of crisis. And media pundits, Washington insiders, even some people in our own party don't want to admit it. They think that running some vague campaign that nibbles around the edges is somehow safe," she said.

Kodos 11-05-2019 02:05 PM

A Sliver of the Electorate Could Decide 2020

JediKooter 11-05-2019 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kodos (Post 3255474)


"Steven Basart, 28, is getting his Ph.D in computer science and describes himself as a Democrat. Yet he would consider voting for Mr. Trump, depending on the Democratic nominee."

What in the holy fuck?

And here's the rest of this idiots statement:
If it were Ms. Warren, he’d vote Republican, he said: “I think she’s going too far to the left, which would take our country in a bad direction.”

Mr. Basart is not a fan of Mr. Trump’s personality, but he says it’s overshadowing some of his accomplishments.

“There are plenty of things not to like about Trump, because he says things that are not nice and potentially racist,” said Mr. Basart, who is Latino. “I care somewhat about those things, but I mostly just care about policies, because at the end of the day, that’s what affects people.”


Mr. Basart, I have one question for you...what policies of trump's? He literally has none other than to enrich himself using the office of the president of the united states.

tarcone 11-05-2019 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JediKooter (Post 3255483)
"Steven Basart, 28, is getting his Ph.D in computer science and describes himself as a Democrat. Yet he would consider voting for Mr. Trump, depending on the Democratic nominee."

What in the holy fuck?

And here's the rest of this idiots statement:
If it were Ms. Warren, he’d vote Republican, he said: “I think she’s going too far to the left, which would take our country in a bad direction.”

Mr. Basart is not a fan of Mr. Trump’s personality, but he says it’s overshadowing some of his accomplishments.

“There are plenty of things not to like about Trump, because he says things that are not nice and potentially racist,” said Mr. Basart, who is Latino. “I care somewhat about those things, but I mostly just care about policies, because at the end of the day, that’s what affects people.”


Mr. Basart, I have one question for you...what policies of trump's? He literally has none other than to enrich himself using the office of the president of the united states.


Dude, Ive been telling you guys this stuff for 2 years now. There is no rhyme or reason. You guys have been putting me down because I have been saying that people will vote for Trump.

Get used to the new reality.


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