And if my numbers are right (and they were ~5k off earlier), that leaves 180k votes left to count.

26k in PA now

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324555884471660544?s=19

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LETS GO!

+1 for the mannequin

That last batch of ~14k votes came from Philadelphia. So Philly is down to ~58k left to count.

It is going to be John Lewis's old district that puts Biden over 270.

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Technically GA would just put Biden to 269

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Oh man, now that would be something else right there!

Speaking of John Lewis, his name was invoked today by House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn commenting on the 2020 House races.

I don’t think GA will be able to be called because it will be too tight with overseas votes to count. We just need PA to get a lead and that can get called along with NV

Joe Biden in Georgia right now (via @eugenewei) pic.twitter.com/KNtA9GPQc5

— JzoSports (@JzoSports) November 6, 2020

I'd trade 5 Bridges to Nowhere for a Public Option in a heartbeat.

SI

The AP and Fox already called Arizona. So Georgia would put him over 270 if it was called.

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She can be Senate Majority Leader Murkowski for all I care. Or they could offer choice of chairmanships, aside from judicial, to Murkowski, Collins, and Romney.

What’s left in GA per GA Sec of State:

With counting continuing in numerous counties throughout Georgia, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said that as of 10:35 p.m. today there are approximately 14,097 ballots still outstanding.

Clayton County: 4,355
Cobb County: 700
Floyd County: 444
Forsyth County: 1,545
Gwinnett County: 4,800
Laurens County: 1,797
Taylor County: 456

Nate Silver is calling a Biden win.

Gwinnett and Clayton with 9k between them. Could be a 5k margin by the time that's over for Biden.

These states need to finish their count ASAP. The bigger the Biden margin, the less likely the Trump threats have any impact

My rural PA county(Mercer) has shifted about 7 points towards Biden(was 28, now close to 35%) from counting all the mail in votes. Probably will end with Biden running a few points ahead of Hilary. Also good job whomever shut down the Greens on the PA ballot this cycle. I think that would have bleed away 50k or so votes, which is likely to be around the margin of victory. Dems need to figure out how to stop losing all these rural counties 75-25. I was afraid we'd fallen to that level.

Santorum kinda back to the "you can't trust Philadelphia" camp.

Someone saw Santorum softening, so they sent him a bunch of garbage info.

Small update in PA brings Trump's lead down to 24k, and ~165k votes left to count. My numbers over the last dozen or so updates projecting the outcome (how fancy does that sound!? I'm getting really tired), have given Biden the win by 54k-58k. I've been assuming a 75/25 break for Biden in the mail in ballots, but through the day it's been closer to 78/22, so Biden winning by 65k-70k seems likely if the 78% holds.

Santorum is probably eyeing a 2022 Senate/Governor Run in PA.

So looks like some reporters got a hold of an email from Wisconsin GOP asking for volunteers to contact people in PA to remind them to send in their absentee ballots AFTER the election:

Attention Required! | Cloudflare

Time to fire up the old Google Bomb to make sure everyone knows about his last name.

SI

By now we should all know Trump’s wild claims are generally just a self projection of his own actions.

That darn radical left and antifa made them do it!

Another small update and PA dips below 24k.

I've been following this all day. Doesn't seem right I have to miss Biden overtaking Trump in the vote count because it'll happen over night.

dola,

Al Gore is on NBC right now. I just realized that Al Gore and Troy Aikman have the same voice.

Man arrested after showing up at the Philadelphia Convention Center with a gun and a plot to attack vote counters

Alright I have to go to bed now, wake me up when Biden's President

"You are hearing me talk... And call Cowboys games"

SI

Just started mixing titos and White claw. Not sure whats on life support more, my liver of the Trump campaign.

Staying up to watch the Georgia numbers flip. Don't let me down

I'm having fun watching her updates. She doesn't have the numbers but she's got tons of pics from the Clayton County counting office and has been updating regularly for hours

https://twitter.com/RKempNewsDaily

SI

FYI

https://twitter.com/CNNValencia/stat...423827969?s=19

If you are waiting for Georgia you can go to sleep and wait until the morning.

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BOO

Clayton County reported 96 more net votes for Biden. Must be really slow going there

They'd move faster but there are like 13 observers, many of which are not following the distancing guidelines.

SI

It appears perhaps Clayton is reporting it directly as they upload. 1479 is Decision Desk's count right now.

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Baby Yoda Adventures needs to hurry up and upload.

18k now in PA. Tomorrow will be interesting as the networks will likely be calling this at some point

Only 4 years too late.



The full article propably not conducive to a discussion, but theese parts dealing with the media side of things seem pretty well put ...

I think the first part is crucial as well. For example how many outlets still feigned surprise about things that were clear and called beforehand (blue shift late in counting, Trumps strategy, problems re: counting that were predetermined by prior rulings etc etc).

Seeing Georgia separated by 665 votes.

Now 463. Clayton is still counting through the night.

Annnnnd boom goes the dynamite.

GA Presidential Election Results - Biden takes the Lead

Biden (D): 49.39.% ( 2,449,371 votes)
Trump (R): 49.37% ( 2,448,454 votes)

Biden Margin: (+917)
Estimated: > 99% votes in

More results here: https://t.co/xlHf7GZUxJ

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 6, 2020

And yes, it was Clayton County. Latest dump was 1602-222 Biden.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN27L2UP

Federal judge confirms Trump election observers in Philadelphia are being treated fairly - MyJoyOnline.com

The losses keep piling up.

Biden's up by almost 1000 now in GA

This and confirming the rumors about Putin in Russia, what a crazy time.

Also that Georgia run-off rule is dumb. It seems like Perdue is going to finish at something like 49.8% or so. All of this could be solved rather easily by ranked choice voting.

The other seat is obviously a lot more messy.

Gorbachev is still alive? Wow.

Also so weird that the Dem in the Alaska Senate race is claiming he'll win after the votes are counted. He's losing by 30 plus points.

Not hearing any numbers, but Clayton County isn't done yet.

ABC just reported that Biden's up 900 in Georgia.

Biden now up 1096 in GA.

Summa y'all need to read sportsdigs.

Sounds like there are around 4500 ballots left in Gwinnett County. It's a large, diverse, mostly suburban county on the northeast side of metro Atlanta, 53% white, some wealth. It has leaned somewhat D this year (58-40 Biden). Theoretically, those outstanding votes could break either way, but practically, as we've seen elsewhere, Ds are voting by mail and Rs aren't. I'm gonna guess something like a 75-25 split for Biden in Gwinnett, netting him another 2,000 votes. Georgia will probably have a recount, but this is getting into territory where it seems highly unlikely to change the outcome.

I'VE ALWAYS LOVED GEORGIA

My guess is NV + GA later today or Sat at the latest. PA (and/or AZ as a bonus) sometime this weekend.

We have a new President.

What a freaking exciting election. Let's do it again soon.

BTW - I really, really want to see Fauci by Biden's side sometime very soon. Not sure if Fauci is allowed to do it though.

There were a lot of surprises this election, but Georgia being to the left of NC is one of the bigger ones for me.

I could have seen them both blue. I could have seen them both red. But if you told me there was going to be a split, I would have never predicted it coming out this way.

The voting demographics will be fascinating.

*sigh*


"Fraud" seems to be just assumed by large quarters of the right now. I suspect the backlash is going to be worse than I was thinking.

Every member of the Trump cult in my circle of acquaintances believes with a passion that the Democrats are creating fake votes to win.

Well, unlike their usual claims of fraud, they'll either have to prove it in court or shut up

Personally, I look forward to people presenting themselves to me as "fraudsters", it more easily allows me to adjust my expectations of them.

Florida voted down the amendment to change to this system this year.

But my neighbors to the north are about to get their own stimulus package with the money that will be pumped into that state over the next two months.


It has been a great civics lesson but nah, I have no desire to go through this anytime soon. Why wouldn't Fauci be allowed to be by Biden's side?


I agree with this. What has been incredibly encouraging about this election for me has been how many people have decided to be part of the process. I prefer the citizens make their voices heard by voting rather than staying away from the polls.

I can't believe anyone would underestimate what a Trump supporter believes after all this time.

When they've been told by Trump himself for MONTHS that he can't lose except by fraud, when they have faith leaders telling them Trump's presidency is ordained by God, and when they all truly believed this was going to be a landslide for Trump (Aubrey Huff isn't an outlier, he's just one of the most public outliers)... this was always a recipe for disaster. UNLESS Trump got killed in the vote. And too many people chose their 401K or fear of (in my opinion) an incremental move in the "socialist" direction over governmental stability and sanity.

I'm disgusted more by people like my brother and other normal, good, smart people who aren't fooled by what Trump is and still chose self-interest or the fear of a socialist bogeyman. My parents... they're gone. They're old, scared, and easily manipulated. This is basically one gigantic phone scam, and the elderly and uneducated always get duped. I've written them off. The rest can go to hell. We'll only survive this immediate crisis if we get lucky, not because the system "works." The system is broken.

For the first point: Not sure of legality or "allowed", but first and foremost he isn't a freelance serving on the taskforce but his day job is as head of an institute within HHS. So might well be a chance that this prohibits him from taking any official role on a transition team on way or another ? Aparently it's not the same as being, say, HHS director (or FBI or whatever) , otherwise Trump could actually fire him, but how different ?

for the second: I'll be very interested in studies/analysis on how the increase in turnout corresponds with enhancements in 'convenience' and/or access as well on both state and county level (or just existing more conveniency laws). Which also includes stuff like drive-in dropoff etc. Surely there are smart people who can take this and quantify it. Dunno which states really had a net positive in that regard (like how some extended more service in some areas but made it stricter in others as we got closer, looking at Texas for example) but would be interesting to see.

Makes sense. If you don't actually believe in government, why would you believe that anything involving the government is legit.

And this is why I'll be honestly shocked if we don't end up with a few major acts of domestic terrorism over the next 2 years or so. It might sound like "alarmism" or "fear-mongering", but I don't think so considering the FBI has already stopped one recently, and Trump isn't going to stop his rhetoric any time soon and Biden winning is going to enrage his followers even more.

Amazing news to wake up to today!! Now we have to see how many votes come in today but this lead will probably grow through the day a little bit.

A lot of folks are, as they should, thankful to Stacey Abrams for registering so many people to vote the last 2 years. This victory is hers as well.

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So if/when Biden is declared the winner:

1. Months of litigation - will Republicans leadership support him?
2. Inauguration - will there be Republicans present?
3. Twitter - will it lock Trump out once he's a "civilian" for anything inflammatory?
4. When he goes on his rallies to state he was mobbed and argues for insurrection, will he be arrested?
5. Will Fox News and OAN or any other right wing site support him and will there be any means by the government to discredit?

I mean when the source of all potential domestic terrorism is the prior president, what do you do?

https://twitter.com/b_schaffner/stat...969657344?s=19

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It begins:

https://6abc.com/police-investigate-...nter-/7689932/

That's the best.

The guy had a QAnon hat?

Someday I need to start a business that cashes in on right-wing craziness.

You left out

6. Will there be a dual attempt on the lives of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris?

Kudos for the Rage lyric

At least get it right

"Some of those that work forces..."

Serious question, at what point will the Trump lawsuits fizzle out? All Biden needs is AZ and NV, and those are viewed as the least "fraudulent" right now. GA lead is certainly susceptible to challenges/recount, and PA margin will probably be in the 20k Wisconsin-y area when it's all done. Trump has to get 3 of those results thrown out to win. It's just not going to happen.

It's like a parlay in betting... the odds of one may not be terrible, but the odds of all 3 hitting at once? Not great. How long will it take before they realize this is not doable? All winter?

No, it was an intentional choice. Should have added brackets tho..

Fair enough. Just giving you a hard time.

Sharpgazie/sharpiegate

:)

Follow the money.

Biden up in PA

Go Joe!

But maybe only because Trumps team thinks he will still win AZ and NV has so few electoral votes it doesn't much matter (by itself) due to low number of Electoral Votes, no ?

Philly still at 80% counted, too.

Per Nate Silver:



SI

27K to 3K in Philly in this batch.

Time to open the champagne. Thanks PA and GA!

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Networks need to call it. Everyone has seen enough.

Nah. Let the chasm grow in PA before calling it.

So how's the Senate turning out? Do Democrats have any shot at those Georgia seats?

It looks like they are both going to be runoffs, which means it's likely to be 50-48 in the Senate until that happens in January.

Decision Desk just called it