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I agree, Sloppy. Further, I wish I could think of the out-of-blue VP pick that would be a symbol of police reform. I don't think a former prosecutor or a former Police Chief is it.
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Yeah, I imagine those particular folks like to think they could spin themselves as best prepared to oversee those reforms, but you'd have to think they are hot potatoes. |
Listening to Mark Cuban's interview with David Axelrod. Cuban said he was ready to run third-party till is people told him the best he could do is get 25% of the vote. People that worked with Ross Perot were volunteering to help him, but he just didn't want to run if he couldn't win.
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This is good news. I was expecting something (even if in the grey zone) that Trump could leverage. On to the next one.
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This is just brutal.
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Atlanta mayor being vetted as possible Biden VP pick: report | TheHill
He could choose worse (like Elizabeth Warren) |
Again, the only fear with Bottoms is the possibility of the slimey politics of Atlanta city hall has stained her. I do really like her. It is a good pick. Her weakness will be in her total lack of real National Security experience.
She also did have a scandal dealing with her campaign paying roughly $180,000 improperly during her mayoral race. I don't know how serious the allegations where or if the investigation has ended. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
I don't think it would happen. It would go against his experience argument. Someone that even has a few years of Congress or Senate or Gubernatorial experience would be a far better choice.
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Biden is doing a good job so far. Keep on the moderate path. Select a solid VP for 2024 or 2028. Continue the messaging of reform and oversight but don't go overboard.
I would like to hear more about the pandemic from him but understandably he's keeping a lower profile and letting Trump do his thing. Ultimately, he'll need to come up with "this is how we prevent the next one" or "this is what I'd do if we get a next one" etc. as we get closer to Nov. Trump's latest attempt to tag Biden as a radical flops - POLITICO Quote:
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The only other VP choice who went from mayorship to VP selection was Spiro Agnew. That one didn't work well. Lack of experience (Washington experience in particular) was evident.
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What? Spiro Agnew was Governor of Maryland. What are you talking about?
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I've still got a PredictIt bit on Duckworth.
But Harris seems more and more obvious. |
Oh you are right on Agnew. I got confused because he hadn't been Governor long before the VP. So no one has gone from Mayor to VP then.
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Yesterday's Bostock opinion interpreting Title VII is another example of how this stuff is hard. You have a majority opinion and two dissents, all applying textualism. And reaching different results. I am a texualist. I think that it is the best way to interpret the laws. But it is wrong to say that textualism is easy. There is so much more to this than just "apply the words as written." |
A good bump!! Indeed, Alito and Gorsuch are very different textualists (I don't know Kavanaugh's legal philosophy, but Thomas is an original legislative intent guy and not into textualism at all). Alito is an originalist - what did the textual language mean at the time the law was drafted. Gorsuch is a strict textualist and doesn't give one white what the original drafters believed the words to mean. So Gorsuch ruled his way based on strict meaning of the text (discrimination wouldn't have happened if the person was the other sex) and Alito the other (Title VII did not mean sex discrimination to include LGBTQ as that was not considered sex discrimination at the time).
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Alito is an opportunistic originalist. The original intent matters unless it would lead to the opposite outcome he desires, and then he abandons any pretense of originalism. |
The latest polls in the battlegrounds states are so stark that I am beginning to come around to the idea that Trump may lose. The Senate might well be realistically in play as well.
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Lots of time between now and election day. If the election were held next week, I'd agree. But I can't wait until we're mid-October and the media, especially the Fox wing, are talking about Hunter Biden or some other horseshit instead of, you know, mangling a pandemic response and stoking a race war. SI |
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That requires Trump to keep his mouth shut and let the media obsess over the Democratic nominee, like Comey's letter in the last final days in 2016. I'm not sure that's possible when Trump is the President. |
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And Biden is playing this reaaaal well. I feel that anyone else would have been trying to take some of the spotlight for himself (as if the media would let them - unless they said something nutty), rather than let Trump continue to say and do batshit things. |
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It's going to be cute (read: super frustrating) when Trump is hogtied and mostly shut up by someone in his campaign for like 2 of the 3 weeks before the election and people start trying to talk about how "controlled" he is, despite years of evidence to the contrary. SI |
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Someone on twitter was pointing out last night just how different 2016 was. We sort of forget that NOTHING IMPORTANT WAS HAPPENING in 2016. So "lady sends some work emails from her home account" was, literally, the biggest story of the election. Like, New York Times 96-point-type headlines kind of stuff. It isn't like the GOP isn't trying to do the same thing this cycle (Hunter Biden! Obamagate! Biden said something nice about China that one time!). But none of it is getting out beyond the FoxNews/OANN bubble because even the New York Times has to acknowledge that a mismanaged global pandemic, depression-era unemployment numbers, and police clashing with protesters across the country are actual news stories. And they are taking up all the oxygen in the room. There's no more room on page one. And, whenever there is the slightest chance that there might be enough of a break to allow some propaganda story through, the President does something like "joke" about wanting to limit testing and then announce that he is cutting off federal funds for testing. So, yeah, November is still a ways off. But the GOP will need Trump to both shut up between now and then AND to stop horribly mismanaging the actual crises going on right now. I just don't see him doing either of those--let alone both. |
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Feel free to quote all that back and laugh at me when the Supreme Court votes 5-4 that Florida's election results must stand, ensuring Trump's re-election, because it lacks jurisdiction to consider a challenge to Governor DeSantis's controversial "Fuck it, we just won't let Black people vote" emergency order. |
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I would like to "haha" that one, but it hits too close to home SI |
This is a perfect line:
https://www.twitter.com/sarahmucha/s...28501365035010 Quote:
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Biden is up real big in the polls. Like way more than Hillary ever was. And those include battleground states like Wisconsin and Minnesota.
It's almost as if removing the anchor that Hillary was to the party has shown just how shitty Trump is as a candidate. I was skeptical at first about the election but unless Biden does something real dumb, I think he takes this is a cakewalk. |
Seeing Trump in action, especially in 2020, has a lot to do with the polls.
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And it eliminates his advantage as an incumbent. Instead of selling what his administration has accomplished the only thing they seem to understand how to do is attack their opponent, and even those attacks show no variation from the previous campaign against Clinton. So he's been left highlighting his failures over and over again. This is where alienating the GOP establishment is killing Trump. He's stuck with Parscale, who has no idea how to run his campaign, continuing to try to go back to the greatest hits while hoping something sticks to Biden. Someone from the Bush administration, with experience selling an incumbent, is a necessary change but I don't think anyone is willing to help nor do I think Trump would listen. |
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I worry about the debates, I hope he stays focused on relaying his agenda and not getting drawn into Trump's nonsense or riffing where he may make gaffes that alarm people. Let Trump be Trump and stay above that shit. |
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Yeah, I still remember all those folks in 2016 who were trying to claim he'd be this new Republican Populist who would push all these government programs to help the working class. |
Lincoln Project is putting out some really effective stuff. Let's compare leaders n crisis
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/s...12782187003904 |
Trump screwed up the coronavirus response, then the George Floyd protest response, and now he's turning off seniors by holding super spreader events. Biden just needs to keep it low key and run out the clock. I thought he did well in his 1 on 1 debate with Bernie so I'm not sure how much those will matter. Trump isn't a good debater either. And if one of them is a townhall that probably favors Biden since he can actually show empathy towards other humans.
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This from Biden today is good:
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The way it is going, they are going to lose the Senate too. |
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They need to be destroyed 1932 style for their enabling of Trump. If the world was just, the GOP would lose every seat this election because of what they've done over this term. It's obvious they made the political decision that it was less harmful to hitch their wagons to him unconditionally than to try and fulfill their duty and reign him in and they should pay dearly for that. SI |
PredictIt now has Dems at 59 cents to control the Senate. That's crazy considering how difficult the map looked just a few months ago.
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For every poll that's released with Biden leading 10 polling locations close.
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Only 10? SI |
Still wish Matt would have run . . .
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I'm still for MattJones4Heismann |
Hypothetical question ... assuming the House stays Dem and you can only have one, would you prefer the Dems winning the Presidency or the Senate?
The Trump presidency would be a lot different without the GOP controlled senate. |
I think as a nation we need to wipe the Trump stain from the White House. Every day he is in power we lose standing on a global scale.
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Definitely the Presidency. Because if the Dems took the Senate, they will still have to deal with a President who is going to obstruct them every way possible and will move from one Presidential crisis after another rather than the much need work to repair the country. |
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I think you could say the same for a GOP Senate, though. It's probably even more obstructionist than the Presidency. However, the difference is that Trump would continue to damage the administrative state. Sure, Roberts and company are all ready to take a bat to that anyway. But we don't need awful cabinet appointees screwing up every part of the bureaucracy like they have been for the last 4 years. No more oil lobbyists in charge of Interior, private school barons in charge of DEA, telecom stooges in charge of the FCC, etc - all dismantling their departments from the inside. SI |
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Kudos to Biden on saying this. I would like to understand his goals on reducing spending also.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/29/bide...-tax-cuts.html Quote:
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Obstruction happens either way. Biden + McTurtle as Majority Leader = nothing gets done. Not. One. Thing. Trump + Schumer as Majority Leader = Trump ignores Congress to do his own thing and runs to the courts for their approval every time Congress tries to rein him in. You know, like he already does. |
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