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#251 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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#252 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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May have been an item. May have been a power. Ultimately I pulled the trigger. I never anticipated the blood bath that followed.
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#253 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2004
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#254 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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It looks like we're starting to see our consolidation. bhlloy remains in the lead. If my pet theory has any creedence to it, bhlloy is a villager, and the other candidates contain a wolf, probably one of those still in the hunt. Right now, that seems to be mauboy1 and J23. J23's vote on bhlloy makes sense for his own self-preservation. mauboy1 switching to dubb? Not so much.
VOTE mauboy1
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. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#255 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: May 2011
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Quote:
I was sure he was there to deliver Mizzou's invitation to the SEC. |
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#256 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Quote:
Well I was sherriff last time and it was like Bodyguard and I think started with a colt but i don't remember what a colt did. Things might be altered in roles for balance as well. In fact I would most assuredly think many roles ARE different than before (however slightly) |
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#257 | |
High School Varsity
Join Date: May 2011
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Quote:
Yeah, but he does have a gun, so that gives him jurisdiction regardless of his location. |
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#258 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Where Hip Hop lives
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Quote:
Yeah, I am accepting the sheriff role on the face value of what is described in the ruleset. I am just noting that the jurisdiction issue is iirelevant because the ruleset establishes what his powers are in this game in Missouri, regardless of what they would be in Arkansas.
__________________
. . I would rather be wrong...Than live in the shadows of your song...My mind is open wide...And now I'm ready to start...You're not sure...You open the door...And step out into the dark...Now I'm ready. |
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#259 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Quote:
It was a few hours from lynchtime I think so I didn't expect to die but I just happened to be leading votegetter at the time. Talking about wolf-strategy... DOes it make sense to use a one-time ability like that on villager-villager, or actually use it to save a wolf who is number two of three? I could see risks either way. First case it would kinda waste the ability when it isn't needed but it would surely cause confusion. Second case it would possibly put a target on your co-wolf's back, but if they are in a mix of 2nd/3rd candidates, it is often possible to have that fact ignored and squeak by in later days because of other attention. |
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#260 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Quote:
Thinking about this from a flavor-text AND gameplay angle. If I put in a line like that, it would be to say that he has no power to just go up and arrest someone that he thinks is bad and thus has to follow the rules of this town like everyone else. But since he IS a man of the law and skilled at shootin' and fightin' and swearin', he takes it upon himself to defend and protect people (thus the bodyguard aspect). |
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#261 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Updating SnDvLs chart
vote update dubb - Thomkal (83),Bholly (125) mauboy (250) ntn - dzilla77 (84), Grammatica (236) mauboy - hoops (129) CrimsonFox (233) Chief Rum (254) J23 - Autumn (116), Zinto (178) SnDvls (225) saldana (242) Danny - EagleFan (117), Lathum (142) Bhlloy - Commo Soldier (127), The Jackal (199), J23 (212), mckerney (222), ntndeacon (248) dubb (249) Lathum - Narcizo (167) Crimson Fox - MrBug (244) Yet to vote: Danny, Raiders Army Voted then unvoted MrBug - Narcizo (101) The Jackal - Narcizo (154) Dubb - saldana (171) Danny - The Jackal (199) The Jackal - SnDvls (213) mauboy - ntndeacon (248) Lathum - dubb (249) Lathum - mauboy (250) |
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#262 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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I really feel quite good about CHief being a villager and think like 60% that dubb is also a villager.
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#263 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I just read dubbs move as completely wolfy sounding.
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#264 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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I disagree. I don't think a wolf would turn a runaway 5 into a runaway 6.
He would just leave things be instead. That said I don't know WHY an uberrunaway on bhlloy is that important. I don't read anything into people throwing out a second vote at all these days, even if you are the first. I really doubt a wolf would do that. |
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#265 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Quote:
The move itself doesn't look like a wolf - but everything about the post itself just says "wolf" to me. Just the way I read it, that's all. |
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#266 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
6-4-3-3 is a runaway vote? |
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#267 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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bhlloy frequently being gone during many middays and therefore not able to change his vote to a "save himself" vote yet (or maybe not ever) also makes me think bhlloy is a probably a villager.
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#268 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Quote:
I think Jackal's point was that putting Danny into the mix bhlloy almost immediately voted for Dubb, leading Jackal to think it might have been a defensive vote? Others jumped on it 'cause, hey, why not, and probably because they figured it might get more traction than a Danny or Dubb vote if they are wolves. |
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#269 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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hmmm yeah not runaway anymore, I thought others didn't have more than 3 at this point.
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#270 |
High School Varsity
Join Date: May 2011
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Yeah, I'm not really seeing a runaway either. I am also not seeing anything in today's posts that indicate anyone is a wolf or for that matter a villager. The problem with (probably) so few wolves on D1 is that it is unlikely that we would hit one to begin with and the wolves would be unable to influence the voting one way or another. |
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#271 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I definitely don't like how many people jumped on my reasoning, but at least it made for some interesting movement.
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#272 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Well, I'm out til about a half hour before deadline.
Don't vote for me! |
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#273 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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Quote:
Yeah I believe Jackal does think that way. First day I never know. THere's frequently people voting at the same time/not reading all the posts and votes when they vote. Granted he knew dubb had a vote. Did he know about the Danny vote. I really doubt a wolf would up to a second vote immediately after their cohort was voted once. So if we believe jackal's theory then bhlloy and Danny are both wolves then. I don't think that. |
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#274 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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I essentially agree with dzilla that we'll probably only see noise today, no signal. Twenty four voters, and we know a smaller than number amount of wolves, whatever that is. And I think there's a very good chance some of them can't talk to each other (was that the case last Red Death game?). So pretty unlikely we'll catch the wolves at anything today. But you never know. I think Jackal's idea was a pretty smart one, sometimes you catch somebody with stuff like that.
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#275 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
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I started a new job today which really sucks, but I'll come out and reveal on day 1 I guess. I'm the keeper of the flame, probably won't get on again until well after deadline.
Self preservation unvote dubb vote Mauboy |
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#276 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
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doh, reading again Mau and Dubb were tied anyway. Gotta run.
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#277 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Well, that's a role that he should be able to demonstrate, so a pretty safe reveal to believe.
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#278 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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bhlloy j23 has more votes than either. I didn't see that either actually as all of his voters have short names.
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#279 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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For those just tuning in:
Dubb - thomkal, mauboy NTN - dzilla, grammaticus Mauboy - hoops, CF, chief rum, bhlloy MrBug - J23 - autumn, zinto, sndvls, saldana Danny - EF, Lathum Bhlloy - commo, jackal, J23, mckerney, ntndeacon, dubb Jackal - Lathum - narc crimson fox - mrbug |
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#280 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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okay 6-4-4-2 now
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#281 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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unvote bhlloy
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#282 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Sorry for suggesting a theory which led to a run on you and forced you to reveal, bud.
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#283 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Well, mau said he'd be back a half hour before deadline, so if he has a role he'll have time to reveal.
VOTE MAU |
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#284 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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I believe bhlloy. Good reveal as well, especially since you're not a crucial role.
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#285 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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My guess is the two or three (seems like that is the general consensus) are under the radar at this point.
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#286 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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EF is here. Good. He's the person I most want to hear from now. I miss him.
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#287 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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unvote Danny
vote mau |
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#288 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Why is everybody going Mauboy? What is the rationale there?
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#289 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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Hi CF.
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#290 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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For me the only reason was the other current option already revealed a role. |
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#291 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
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Still trying to catch up (and have more ELB stuff to take care of) but will be here for a little while (will comment on anything that jumps out at me).
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#292 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Catonsville, MD
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As a reminder, Day One ends AT 10:00, not at 10:01. Any vote or change at 10:00 does not count.
__________________
Check out my two current weekly Magic columns! https://www.coolstuffinc.com/a/?action=search&page=1&author[]=Abe%20Sargent |
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#293 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Perhaps of interest, of note at least, that three people have gone with Mauboy rather than J23, when it was 6-4 bhlloy/J23.
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#294 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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#295 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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I don't think Mau is a wolf
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#296 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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unvote mau
vote j23 |
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#297 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Vote ntn
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#298 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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About to do a fantasy hockey draft and then watch house, will be in and out
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#299 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
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#300 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Jul 2001
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Oh and I am fine with a J23 vote, but I am looking to manipulate the candidates here hopefully into J23 and Ntn
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