05-06-2003, 02:51 PM | #151 |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
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Updated File #2
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05-06-2003, 03:09 PM | #152 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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Nice write-up, primelord. I love our DL rotation, too... that may be the most interesting position on the team to me.
Last edited by QuikSand : 05-06-2003 at 03:09 PM. |
05-06-2003, 10:28 PM | #153 | |
Strategy Moderator
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Location: North Carolina
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Quote:
...because we need to devote 20 roster spots to it in order to make it through the season. |
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05-07-2003, 06:57 AM | #154 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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My stuff should be done tonight/tomorrow morning, cable guys took forver and i did not get my computer over to the house yesterday..
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05-07-2003, 05:09 PM | #155 |
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Location: Fairfax, VA
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*taps*
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05-08-2003, 05:21 AM | #156 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quarterbacks
Coghill is of course the man. We gave him a contract that told him he is the future of our franchise, and hopefully he will be able to show we made a smart move. He already brought us our first title since our inaugural year in an undefeated season! Jesse Cascini performed shockingly well last year. Our scouts still don't believe it and continue to temper their opinions of the young quarterback. If he can keep it up, he would be a very key element should Cog have any injury issues. The only big problem with Cascini is his contract is up after this year, and it looks like he is looking for Coghill type money. Benjamin Newton has performed reasonably well when given the chance to play, but he did not take a snap in the regular season the last two years, so no one really knows what he can do. The scouts think that he is about as good as Cascini, but somehow Cascini has pulled it together more when given chances. The young quarterback out of the 6th round has a lot of upside, but has yet to have a real couch to take advantage of it.. is full contact the man for the job? Running Backs Jamal Lucas has superstud ratings, but not superstud numbers. He did have over 1,000 yards in his first two seasons in the leagu, but his ypc (3.9 and 4.4) are above average at best, and with all of those yards he only managed 19 TDs in the two season combined -- I'd like to see him get in the endzone more. The problem we have is if he doesn't perform, we no longer have a stud to back him up. We have the now dicrepid Crawford who barely deserves to hold a clipboard, Emmanuel Kahn who has only seen 22 professional carries and is no threat out of the backup, and untested late round rookie Leland Watkins who also brings little to nothing to the table when it comes to receiving. Lucas has a chance to step up this year as he will be getting even more carries than he has in the past. Wide Receivers/Tight Ends QS discussed this position, but I'll mention the TEs. Hatcher has developed into a very nice TE. He is a solid blocker and can really get down the field for a TE. Combine him with Edwards (super star when it comes to blocking at TE) and they are a viable threat. OL I thought we pulled the trigger on a trade involving Lofton? Either way, we have Upshaw coming in out of Free Agency to lock up the starting job unless he blows it in te preseason. He has seen limited professional action, but appears to be a solid guy in this position. Lofton comes in as a quite capable backup, but not quite the Tackle we once thought he would be. On the right side, the position is up for grabs. McGee will see competition in the preseason from promising rookie Hunter Craig. He has a lot of potential, and the team is concerned that McGee's contract is up this year and we will not be able to re-sign him. We are stronger inside with Hironaka coming in to spell the ever-tired Ballard at RG and our SUPER stud Lineman Derek Lofton at LG. Lofton has that position locked up, but Ancheta is a capable backup who can step in when necessary. At center, our 7th round steal of C Shaun Tobias has really worked out for us. He still has more upside, to go with his 39.7 BPct from last year. His backup, Zack Jones, could start on a lot of teams. Analysis -- We are weaker all around this year. We lost a stud backup RB who really put up some good numbers for us, we do not have a superstud at WR any longer, and our line may split up after this year. We should put up good numbers, but will not be as dominant as last year.
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05-08-2003, 05:23 AM | #157 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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I am not advancing forward for one simple reason..
there is a VERY interesting trade on the table.. Ypsilanti Wants Jesse Cascini (you know, the overachieving QB who will be asking for more than $20 mil per after this season) and will give us their 1st round pick next year and DT Brent Rau, a 9 year vet who i realize cold potentially end up being cut anyways.. I'm tempted to pull the trigger... Cascini is getting the attention because of numbers, but his ratings aren't that great.. on top of that, there is no way we keep him past this year, so having a 1st round pick for him would be very nice... thoughts?
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05-08-2003, 05:59 AM | #158 | |
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Quote:
Does it pass the fairness test? |
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05-08-2003, 06:57 AM | #159 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
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Errr.. I tried the fairness test.. really.. i did...
crap.. i forgot about the fairness test .. QS or prime, can you run that real quick today?
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05-08-2003, 07:33 AM | #160 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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The trade offer passes the fairness test. And, I'd say that DT Brent Rau would definitely make the team - he's a very viable pass-rushing option.
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05-08-2003, 07:55 AM | #161 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Well then, we have a decision to make (in my book an easy one)... Are we willing to lose Cascini (for just this year keep in mind) for a viable DT and a first round draft choice?
I think you all know my vote, heck yeah!
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05-08-2003, 07:57 AM | #162 | |
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Quote:
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05-08-2003, 08:03 AM | #163 | |
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it's clearly the correct long-term move for the team. I say we definitely make the trade. |
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05-08-2003, 08:13 AM | #164 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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In the spirit of "playing all out within our rules" I think we need to take the deal.
I don't like the idea of getting extra early draft picks (in concept, just because this is proving to be too easy already), but this is definitely a deal we should make. |
05-08-2003, 08:51 AM | #165 |
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I guess it is possible though atleast in the short term if Coghill were to go down this year it would make things a little more difficult for this season. He hasn't made it all the way through a season yet so who knows.
Clearly we already have the majority, but I also agree we should make that trade.
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05-08-2003, 09:06 AM | #166 | |
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Quote:
I can justify it easily enough. Cascini has been absolutely outstanding when playing for us. Think Rob Johnson circa 1998. |
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05-08-2003, 05:15 PM | #167 |
Resident Curmudgeon
Join Date: Oct 2002
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Fwiw, I agree with primelord. You better have a good backup for Cog if you lose Cascini. Can Newton handle it?
Ok, I'll bite. What the #%$! is this fairness test? I thought all along it was a subjective thing since you guys have traditionally had a bias against trading. But now it sounds like an action you perform to test. |
05-08-2003, 06:44 PM | #168 | |
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Quote:
I'm surprised you've never heard of this! Someone came up with it for FOF2001. The computer tended to make seemingly absurd trade deals, ones they would normally never make. Ones that seemed to be offered out of need. To see if the trade is "fair" you just add one of their 7th round picks to the trade, remove that pick, and then try to submit the trade. If the computer is still willing to accept, then the trade is fair. For some reason just tampering with the offer seems to make the computer re-think the actual value of the trade. In FOF2001, the fairness test would knock out about 95% of trades I would say. cthomer |
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05-08-2003, 08:40 PM | #169 |
Resident Curmudgeon
Join Date: Oct 2002
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Thanks for the explaination, homer. No, I had not heard of this because frankly, I have turned a blind eye to any discussions on trading. Trading, to me, is the most fun thing aspect of sports sims and it had made me sick to see house rules turning off all trading because of the perceived "unfairness". Of the many seasons I had played in FOF, and even more in OOTP, I have not experienced any of the extreme imbalance in trading with the AI. I log every trade I had ever made and the pattern had always held steady in that 25% of the trades ended up in my favor (results-wise), 25% in the AI's favor and 50% a wash. Every once in a great while I do see an absurd deal but never to the level that most talked about. But then again, 95% of all trades are the ones I initiated - I have rarely seen AI make me offers.
Let's take this offer for example. When first announced, everyone thought this trade was good - for both teams. You would be giving up a great backup (and a potential starter at a key position) for a 1st round pick. In other words, fair for both teams. So why bother with any "fairness" test. What did you expect, the AI re-consider that perhaps the offer was not lopsided enough for them? Even if it didn't pass the "fairness" test and the trade was made anyways. What would happen if Cascini would go on to be a superstar for them while you picked up a 1st round player that didn't work out? In other words, the trade ended up unfair but for the opposite reason of the "fairness" test. Sorry to sound harsh, this has always been a sore point, esp. between me and QS. As I said earlier, I am biased because I can spend up to half of my time trying to evaluate and make trades (even though I only end up making a few of them each season in either game). |
05-08-2003, 08:53 PM | #170 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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Quote:
But we cannot judge the trade on what might happen with Cascini, unless that's something we ought to know from within the game. And we can't judge the trade base don how well we use the pick - if we flub the pick, it doesn't mean it was a bad trade, it just means it was a bad pick. My point all along is that I don't want to unrealistically make gains while playing the game. Unfortunately, it's frequently possible to make trades that allow too much gain for the gamer... so I/we restrict them. Actually, I think we both do - I just do so with rules, and you do so by your system of logging and analysis. Amounts to basically the same thing - we're compensating for weaknesses that shoudl be handled better in the game. |
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05-09-2003, 04:33 AM | #171 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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We move on with the trade and the preseason is under way..
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05-09-2003, 04:47 AM | #172 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Texarkana(0-0) at Little Rock(0-0)(-4)
Code:
Injuries: Bert Ellis, RDT - Knee Tendinitis, Probable, full strength in about 2 weeks
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Last edited by wade moore : 05-11-2003 at 05:09 PM. |
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05-09-2003, 04:47 AM | #173 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Quote:
Last edited by wade moore : 05-09-2003 at 04:48 AM. |
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05-09-2003, 04:50 AM | #174 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Little Rock(0-0) at Athens(0-0)(-1)
Code:
Injuries: Bert Ellis, RDT - Knee Tendinitis, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 5 weeks.
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05-09-2003, 04:53 AM | #175 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Hawk Mountain at Little Rock
Code:
Injuries: Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Out, full strength in about 3 weeks. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 4 weeks.
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Last edited by wade moore : 05-09-2003 at 04:54 AM. |
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05-09-2003, 04:56 AM | #176 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Little Rock at Mazatlan
Code:
Injuries: Juan Hatcher, TE - Hyperextended Knee, Out, full strength in about 3 weeks. Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 3 weeks. Frank Ross, RCB - Strained Calf Muscle, Out, full strength in about 2 weeks.
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05-09-2003, 05:06 AM | #177 |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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The preseason was a bit sobering, and showed why the Cascini trade maybe was not as cut and dry as we originally thought..
Here is the proposed starting lineup for the offense, let me know if you disagree... QB: Coghill, Newton, Sawyer RB: Lucas, Kahn, Watkins 3rd: Lucas Passing: Lucas Near Certain: Lucas FB: Colford, Price TE: Hatcher, Thornton, Price FL: Hill, Curtis SE: Dockery, Sims LT: Upshaw, Lofton LG: Lofton, Hironaka C: Tobias, Jones RG: Ballard, Hironaka RT: Craig, McGee And here is file 1.. |
05-09-2003, 05:07 AM | #178 |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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File 2..
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05-09-2003, 08:28 AM | #179 |
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Just a heads up. I probably won't be able to run the first games until this evening.
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05-09-2003, 10:38 AM | #180 |
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Ok here is a look at how the defense performed over the pre-season.
Code:
Passing Stats Code:
As you can see I know how to get the PDPct now.
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05-09-2003, 10:49 AM | #181 |
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Some thoughts based on those stats.
On the defensive line no one really had a very good pre season in terms of rushing the passer. Ellis outplayed Schenck so he will get the starting slot at RDT. And Walton's poor TkPCT has solidified my thoughts on playing Howen in running downs. Our OLB's Arits and Terrell were tackling machines. I think the LB corps is going to be the strength of this defense. They should collectively put up big numbers although since they will be competing for tackles none of the three will probably have huge numbers on their own. Artis gave up quite a few catches, but I think we will be fine. At the DB position our rookie Rusk had a very good pre season and will get the nod as the nickle back this season. If Maffett makes his 5 ints and leaves after this year we will probably be in pretty good shape with Rusk stepping in for him.
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05-09-2003, 12:40 PM | #182 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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Looks good to me.
I'm out of touch for the next couple of days, but please don't let that interfere with any progress we might be able to make. I'll check back in on Sunday evening, probably. |
05-09-2003, 02:44 PM | #183 |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
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Well we need to cut 2 of the 3 CB's in the Poole, Ross, Choi group. The stats say to keep Ross, but the ratings say to keep Choi. I guess it doesn't matter much as they are battling for the 5th CB slot and they will both be FA's after this season. I am going to go with the production and cut Choi and Poole.
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05-09-2003, 02:55 PM | #184 |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
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Ok here is a look at the defensive depth chart.
LDE - 1. Howen 2. Walton P. Walton PT - 3 LDT - 1. Castillo 2. Flannery P. Flannery PT - 5 RDT - 1. Ellis 2. Rau P. Ellis PT - 5 RDE - 1. Brewer 2. O'Donnell P. Brewer PT - 8 SLB - 1. Artis 2. Becker PT - 8 MLB - 1. Wellman 2. Burgess PT - 9 WLB - 1. Terrell 2. Becker PT - 7 LCB - 1. Houston PT - 7 RCB - 1. Maffett PT - 7 NCB - 1. Rusk DCB - 1. Carlson SS - 1. Mercado 2. Freeman PT - 6 FS - 1. Lincoln 2. Samuels PT - 7 We have a lot of depth on the DLine especially at the DT spot. I would be comfortable with any of the 4 guys we are rotating starting for us. And we have Schenck inactive who is also decent.
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05-09-2003, 03:05 PM | #185 |
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Ok a few last thoughts before I simulate the first four games.
We are going to try and take advantage of our athletic LB's and we are going to blitz them quite a bit more this year than we have in the past. This is a pretty significant change in philosophy from what I have done in the past. That may leave holes in the defense, but I just can't pass up on sending these LB's head hunting.
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05-09-2003, 03:11 PM | #186 |
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Join Date: Oct 2000
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Fort Wayne (0-0)(-1) at Little Rock (0-0)
Ok we are the defending champs and we have won 19 straight non exhibition games and the odds makers have us as the underdogs in our first game at home??? Quick someone put money on the Rollers! Code:
Nothing to complain about there. We got up big early and just cruised from there. 3 trips to the red zone and 3 TD's to show for it is very nice. Injuries Ben Howen, LDE - Bruised Shoulder, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Juan Hatcher, TE - Hyperextended Knee, Out, full strength in about 3 weeks. Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 3 weeks. Frank Ross, RCB - Strained Calf Muscle, Probable, full strength in about 1 week.
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05-09-2003, 03:14 PM | #187 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Norfolk (0-1) at Little Rock (1-0)(-12)
That point spread is a little more like it. Code:
Injuries Ben Howen, LDE - Bruised Shoulder, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Juan Hatcher, TE - Hyperextended Knee, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 2 weeks.
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05-09-2003, 03:18 PM | #188 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Niagra Falls (2-0) at Little Rock (2-0)(-5)
Code:
Injuries Vincent Wellman, MLB - Strained Calf Muscle, Out, full strength in about 1 week. Juan Hatcher, TE - Hyperextended Knee, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Out, full strength in about 3 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Ted Gunn, RDT - Sprained Thumb, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Uh Coghill went 20 of 26, and threw for more yards and more TD's than Hodges, plus he won the game! And they give the game ball to Hodges???? WTF?
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05-09-2003, 03:22 PM | #189 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Little Rock (3-0)(-9) at Tijuana (1-2)
Code:
Injuries Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown.
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05-09-2003, 03:31 PM | #190 |
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We are winning despite the defense at this point. The offense is without question carrying the load. The defense isn't pressuring the QB, and they aren't getting turnovers. Not good. Wade can you make sure to put Brewer back in at LDE and in passing downs when he gets healthy.
File #1 |
05-09-2003, 03:31 PM | #191 |
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File #2
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05-11-2003, 05:13 PM | #192 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Will do, been doing more moving that's why I haven't posted... I will get this done by tomorrow morning for sure, and I'll try tonight..
Does no one else have any gameplan or lineup suggestions?
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05-12-2003, 04:49 AM | #193 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Napa Valley(1-3) at Little Rock(4-0)(-17)
Code:
Injuries: Karl Dockery, SE - Sprained Knee, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Adrian Brewer, RDE - Hyperextended Elbow, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Bert Ellis, RDT - Broken Nose, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Tyrell Rusk, RCB - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Russell Samuels, FS - ACL Damage to the Knee, Out, full strength in 1999.
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05-12-2003, 04:52 AM | #194 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Little Rock(5-0)(-15) at Tulsa(1-3)
Code:
Injuries: Cory Carlson, LCB - Severe Hamstring Pull, Out, full strength in 1999. Karl Dockery, SE - Sprained Knee, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Bert Ellis, RDT - Broken Nose, Probable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Tyrell Rusk, RCB - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Russell Samuels, FS - ACL Damage to the Knee, Out, full strength in 1999.
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05-12-2003, 04:58 AM | #195 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Cheyanne(0-5) at Little Rock(6-0)
Code:
Injuries: Cory Carlson, LCB - Severe Hamstring Pull, Out, full strength in 1999. Otis Coghill, QB - Bruised Shoulder, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Vincent Wellman, MLB - Sprained Knee, Questionable, full strength in about 3 weeks. Bert Ellis, RDT - Broken Nose, Probable, full strength in about 1 week. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Tyrell Rusk, RCB - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Russell Samuels, FS - ACL Damage to the Knee, Out, full strength in 1999.
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05-12-2003, 05:01 AM | #196 | |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
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[u]Fort Knox(4-2) at Little Rock(7-0)(-8)
Code:
Injuries: Cory Carlson, LCB - Severe Hamstring Pull, Out, full strength in 1999. Vincent Wellman, MLB - Sprained Knee, Questionable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Juan Hatcher, TE - Broken Finger, Probable, full strength in about 2 weeks. Alan Schenk, RDT - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Tyrell Rusk, RCB - Strained Hamstring, Probable, return unknown. Russell Samuels, FS - ACL Damage to the Knee, Out, full strength in 1999.
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05-12-2003, 05:03 AM | #197 |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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Well.. the only thing to really say negative is that we're not beating the spread..
File 1... |
05-12-2003, 05:04 AM | #198 |
lolzcat
Join Date: May 2001
Location: williamsburg, va
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File 2...
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05-12-2003, 06:23 AM | #199 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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I think an upgrade at safety might be a priority for next year. Though I'm not convinced it's a huge position in this game, I don't feel we're getting much out of the strong safety spot this year - Nicky Mercado is starting, he's still developing, but has shown rather little... no picks, only 3 PD for 19 catches allowed. Not so hot, that's basically a dead spot on the roster.
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05-12-2003, 06:31 AM | #200 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
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It looks like our DL might need some reshuffling - perhaps our current lineup is in there due to previous injuries? (I have to think we want Adrian Brewer starting)
DT Brent Rau, the guy we picked up in the Cascini trade, had been very effective in limited duty - his 7.8 PR Pct is the best on the team. (We're not getting very much pressure at all this season) |
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