01-27-2006, 07:50 PM | #151 |
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you know, reading this discussion you can't help but marvel at the fact that we were able to come back as one nation after the civil war. I wonder if the civil war happened today if we would be able to do so.
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01-27-2006, 08:03 PM | #152 | |
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Esp. when you think that the media in those days were far more partisan, more shrill and more extremist. That's why I talk about perspective when thinking about current lat 5-10-25 years) in context of our nation's history. This whole partisan crap and red/blue state myth that goes on today are nothing compared to many periods in our history when such divisions, not only resulted in a civil war, but could have serious undermined the power of the Constitution. Can you imagine if we had a Hamilton today? Or an Andrew Jackson? Or that we have in Congress, a Webster, or a Calhoun or a Thaddeus Stevens? Today's media would go ballistic but a majority of citizens (just like back then) wouldn't buy into it, though. |
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01-27-2006, 08:54 PM | #153 | |
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1) The Arabs' goal is the political destruction of the nation of Israel, not the elimination of the Jewish race. If the Jews relocated somewhere else, the Arabs would not care one way or the other what happened to them. You do know that there are Jews living right now in Muslim nations, including Iran, right? 2) Sharon's position (and this was something like 20-25 years ago) was NOT that Jordan would take over the West Bank, but that Israel should drive the Palestinians out of the West Bank into Jordan, so that Israel could take the West Bank for itself. And yes, I do regard that as a position very much comparable to Hamas' goal of destroying the Israeli state. The whole Likud policy of settling the West Bank (of which Sharon was one of the chief architects) was designed to impose permanent Israeli sovereignty over the West Bank. |
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01-27-2006, 10:09 PM | #154 | |
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I still wonder how much we ever did.
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01-27-2006, 10:37 PM | #155 | |
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The few Jews who still live in Iran are subject to extensive state-mandated discrimination and are not even allowed to leave the country. Their schools have been shut down and they are under constant threat. It's not a great life. There have been many proposals over the years, including expansion of Israel to all of the original British Mandate. Obviously, that's not feasible. No one today is advocating this plan. Different plans come out of deperation for peace - the Arabs have started so many wars over the last 60 years. Again, I ask you to read the Hamas charter, and look at what these people want to do to the Jews. I cannot understand how a reasonable person would equate these different plans with an unchanging policy of wanting to kill every man, woman and child in Israel. Make no mistake about it, that's what Hamas and the other terrorist groups want. That's why they continue to fire rockets into Israel even during what's supposed to be a cease fire. Just read the charter. And then, please, defend it here. I'm fascinated by those of you on this forum who seem to think Hamas is just misunderstood or is justified in its behavior. Does anyone here actually believe the problem with violence in the Middle East wouldn't end in a second if these Arab nations just agreed that Israel had a right to exist and stopped attacking civilians? |
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01-28-2006, 01:01 AM | #156 | |
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We really aren't all that different from 124 years ago. |
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01-28-2006, 01:03 AM | #157 | |
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01-28-2006, 01:39 AM | #158 | |
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01-28-2006, 08:36 AM | #159 | |
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The problem is that firing occasional rockets into Israel apparently doesn't count as breaking the cease fire. No one disputes that the level of violence has decreased in the last year, especially the use of suicide bombers. But Hamas was shelling as Israel left Gaza and hasn't stopped. They were shelling Sderot and Ashkelon earlier this month. Also, Hamas has pledged to resume its attacks in full. The pattern is definitely established. Build up weapons, then start attacks in earnest. When the response from Israel takes out enough weaponry, declare a ceasefire and build up again. Hamas admits that, and pledges to resume attacks just as soon as Israel moves out of the West Bank, and Jerusalem and Tel Aviv are in range. |
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01-28-2006, 09:04 AM | #160 | |
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01-28-2006, 10:18 AM | #161 |
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How do you split a nation into urban and rural?
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01-28-2006, 10:36 AM | #162 | |
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Thank you. |
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01-28-2006, 10:46 AM | #163 | |
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Ask the Texas Republicans. I believe it's called gerrymandering. Also, it would greatly hurt some of our poorest rural states. For example, Mississippi receives almost $2 from the government for every $1 of tax income it brings in. A split would work only as long as the two nations remained fairly equal. |
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01-28-2006, 10:58 AM | #164 |
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And that was my point, demographics and socio-economics play more of a role in such division as oppose to geography. One can argue, historically, that it have been that way in many civil wars (including ours) but I suppose there are those thinking we could "divide" this country into coastal states vs non-coastal states, or east vs west, or something equally ludicrous. Even if there were any credence to the red/blue myth, one has to account for the largest red cities (San Diego/So Orange Co) being in the largest blue state.
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01-28-2006, 11:02 AM | #165 | |
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The Democrats had nothing to do with it? |
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01-28-2006, 11:03 AM | #166 | |
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01-28-2006, 11:11 AM | #167 |
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If I were to make a map using my geographical analysis skills, I would make the criteria for a red/blue county to have at a 2/3 (there's that number again) majority. A 52-48 or even a 60-40 split do not conclude it to be red or blue, imo.
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01-28-2006, 11:13 AM | #168 | |
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01-28-2006, 11:16 AM | #169 | |
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Have they explained that anamoly or is it easy to know why? |
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01-28-2006, 11:27 AM | #170 | |
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In this latest round, the Democrats had no input whatsoever in regards to the gerrymandering . Remember, they were the ones that went to Oklahoma and New Mexico to deny quorum on the vote. And the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the case to see if the mid-census redistricting was constitutional or not.
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01-28-2006, 11:37 AM | #171 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Here's the most extreme case in Georgia.
EDIT: but Kerry had several counties in Georgia that were in the 55-65% range for him. I would say that 2/3 is probably too high, considering no candidate has won that much of a majority. I'd say that anything above 55% is remarkable, considering that you have to go all the way back to Reagan to find a President who totaled more than around 53-54% of the popular vote.
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The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! Last edited by Ben E Lou : 01-28-2006 at 11:41 AM. |
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01-28-2006, 11:43 AM | #172 | |
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Heck, the South (or most of it anyway) ought to be grateful that it did end up the way it did. Last edited by Crapshoot : 01-28-2006 at 11:45 AM. |
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01-28-2006, 11:44 AM | #173 | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Dola:
And in case anyone thought I was exaggerating when I said that I live in one of the most liberal places around:
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01-28-2006, 11:56 AM | #174 | |
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I recently read a fairly well-researched article showing a very positive correlation between Bush support and population of feral hogs in a given area. |
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01-28-2006, 11:59 AM | #175 | |
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Then perhaps the Democrats should do some gerrymandering on their own if nobody can oppose it. |
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01-28-2006, 12:48 PM | #176 | |
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01-28-2006, 01:10 PM | #177 | |
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SkyDog, in looking at demographic maps, there are other rural black Southern counties that (outside of Georgia) did not go blue as much as SW GA. Maybe they did a better job of getting out the vote?
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Understatement of the year. In rural New England, Midwest and the Inter-Mountain West, you can count the total number of black folks on one hand plus a few toes. |
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01-28-2006, 01:15 PM | #178 | |
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Technocrat is another term for a policy-wonk employed in government service. Basically a bunch of people who went to Harvard or Georgetown etc and got their Masters or PhD's in Public Policy or a related social-scientific field... |
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01-28-2006, 01:19 PM | #179 | |
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01-28-2006, 01:58 PM | #180 | |
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What does that have to do with the example that Jim brought up on the latest gerrymandering in Texas? You asked a question directly about that example, and I gave some info back on it.
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01-28-2006, 02:19 PM | #181 | ||
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The example Jim sited was related to a much larger question asked previously by Buccaneer. His example showed a method of how the nation is split between urban and rural districts. There are cases where democrats redistrict to secure they win the proper elections as well. I don't agree with it, but it looks like the Republicans do not have a copyright on the issue. But regardless, if they can get away with it, I suspect any politician would do it. Quote:
I didn't disagree with your answer. I was just taking that information to further my understanding of the rural/urban issue. |
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01-28-2006, 04:42 PM | #182 |
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Actually, in Ohio at least, the Ohio DNC backed a proposal on the ballot that would've left redistricting to a bipartisan panel of judges. It was defeated by the usual smear machine that 'activist judges' would somehow gerrymander districts against Jesus or something. Don't ask me to explain it, after all, it is Ohio.
As a side note pointing to Skydog's neighborhood, it's a perfect example of how minorities have been packed into minority-majority districts. Sadly, we let the South become resegregated -- in the drawing of Congressional districts. Republican legislators were glad to help create minority districts -- thereby putting most black voters into ghetto districts. And of course, that put most the loyal Democrats into the ghettos, leaving the other seats ripe for Republican taking. See how that can play out. Make one district in a state 80% black -- you create a 'safe' minority seat. If instead two districts were each 'only' 40% black, they would not be 'safe' minority seats. But when Democrats -- black or white -- ran in those two 40% black districts, they would need ONLY one fourth of the white vote to win. Let the other three fourths of the whites vote for the Rethugs, Strom Trent Bush, Jr., and Jeb Allen Gingrich. The Dems would win BOTH seats. Simple math: 40% of voters are black, 90% go Democratic = 36% of total vote, plus 60% of voters are white, 25% go Democratic = 15% of total vote, combined black and white Democratic vote 36+15 = 51%. Sweet victory. Put it another way. The Republicans put as many black voters in as few districts as they can. Then black Democrats are elected from these handful of ghetto districts, of course. So far, it sounds good. But in the many remaining districts, the most reliable Democratic voters ( the blacks ) have been drained off to create the new, few ghetto districts. Thus the remaining districts become overwhelmingly Dixie white, and alas, overwhelmingly Republican. In the end, the racial redistricting actually REDUCES the opportunities for blacks to get elected and gain real political power. After all, they have been segregated into the ghetto again. And no Democrat, neither black nor white, can win in districts that are 90% Dixie white. |
01-28-2006, 04:55 PM | #183 | |
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1. I live in a majority-white neighborhood. 2. The county in which I live was majority-white as recently as 5 or 6 years ago, last I checked, it was only around 54% black. 3. A *large* amount of the black population of DeKalb County is middle class or better. I heard a stat recently that Stephenson High School, which is basically the "flagship" school of the southern part of the county right how, boasts the highest per-capita income of any majority-black school in the country. Also last I checked, DeKalb overall was the second-wealthiest majority-black county in the nation. "Ghetto district," my black butt.
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01-28-2006, 05:08 PM | #184 | |
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Sure, the Republicans took advantage of that fact, but let's not forget that the Democrats have also done it to heavy degrees as well. Districts in North Carolina, Louisiana, and Texas were drawn up by majority-Democrat legislatures that featured some outrageous borders in the 1990s to satisfy the requirements of the Civil Rights Act. I know the I-85 district in North Carolina was challenged and struck down due to its absurdity and they had to re-draw that one a couple of times at least. So, you paint with too narrow a brush, if anything. Last edited by Wolfpack : 01-28-2006 at 05:09 PM. |
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01-28-2006, 05:27 PM | #185 |
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I meant the Congressional district you're in, not the specific town or city. I mean, you're Congresswoman is Cynthia McKinney if I'm not completely off. Not exactly a moderate by any means. Plus Atlanta's so spread out, it's sort of weird anyway.
Wolfpack, the Democrats made the orgiinal borders. Then in the 2000's the districts were further gerrymandered beyond the requirements of the Civil Rights Act to create more segregated districts. |
01-28-2006, 05:45 PM | #186 | |
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So, just asking for an opinion (not looking to spring a trap on you or anything), would you prefer to return to the 1990-style boundaries (or as close as legally practical) given they were drawn by Democrats, or would a dropping of the legal requirement for minority-majority districts (or altering it and "loosening" it, if you will) be a better way to strengthen black representation in Congress? Truthfully, I despise such gerrymandering, whatever the reason and sincerely prefer balanced districts drawn up by impartial committees. It means a fair argument of ideas and districts won't be dominated by extremists of either party. If the Ohio GOP (who generally have been louts from what I understand) stood in the way of that sort of reform, shame on them. |
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01-28-2006, 06:08 PM | #187 | |
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This I know very much about. Both sides have done it, and pre-1994 or so, the Democrats did it blatantly for 100 years. Check out Eddie Bernice Johnson and Martin Frost pre-redraw. Not to say that the Republicans had any right to gerrymander, but any righteous indignation along party lines in this case is a weak argument at best.
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01-28-2006, 06:14 PM | #188 | ||
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It looks like the other side was quite willing to play the WMD card if it was in their political interest. Last edited by SFL Cat : 01-28-2006 at 06:16 PM. |
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01-28-2006, 07:57 PM | #189 | |
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01-28-2006, 08:05 PM | #190 | |
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01-28-2006, 08:47 PM | #191 | |
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McKinney won DeKalb, 64/36, with 240,400 people voting, and lost Gwinnett, 62/38, with only 6,500 people voting. So the Gwinnett portion just isn't signficant. There were 23,700 voters in other districts from DeKalb, and 193,000 voters in other districts from Gwinnett. DeKalb county is 54% black and 36% white with a median household income of $49,100 and is probably the richest majority-black county in the country. Gwinnett county is 13% black and 73% white with a median household income of $60,500. It's difficult to tell for sure, because there were so many unopposed races and these are by far the biggest and most diverse counties in the state. But I'd venture to say that McKinney did unusually poorly compared to other local Democrats. This is not a race where the Republican has much chance. At least not in today's political climate. |
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01-28-2006, 09:01 PM | #192 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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I used to live in Decatur and now I'm in Roswell and it's interesting to see the change in bumper stickers .
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01-28-2006, 09:04 PM | #193 | ||
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01-28-2006, 09:05 PM | #194 | |
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I'll have to find that data again. Fulton was less of a victory for Kerry than I would have guessed. North Fulton is more populated than I realized, maybe? What do you call a black man in Alpharetta??? an Atlanta Falcon.
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01-28-2006, 09:10 PM | #195 | |||||||||||||||||||||
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01-28-2006, 09:15 PM | #196 |
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LOL @ the Alpharetta/Falcon joke.
59% ain't bad, there has been a lot of construction up in Roswell, Alpharetta, and Sandy Springs (which I believe was influential in having them get incorporated) and you know the type moving in.
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01-28-2006, 09:21 PM | #197 | |
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01-28-2006, 09:22 PM | #198 |
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...And for those wondering, basically Tucker sits right on the imaginery dividing line between majority black and majority white neighborhoods in DeKalb County. As I mentioned, my neighborhood, which sits just north of the center of Tucker is majority white (probably 60-70%, and I'm less than a half a mile from THS and Main Street in Tucker), but head to the first neighborhoods south of the high school (just on the other side of Caliente, actually), and the neighborhoods change to 60-70% black. Go farther north, and they get much whiter (Well, after passing through a small, heavily Hispanic area), further south, they get much blacker.
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01-28-2006, 09:23 PM | #199 | |
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01-28-2006, 09:26 PM | #200 | |
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