WW CLVI - Clue: Master Detective - GAME OVER! MURDERERS WIN! (Post 1817)

[Danny]

I am in favor of weekend play since I have more availability then

[Danny]

Rereading this, I think the smart play is to vote Katy and test out his / her reveal. I also dont get a real wolfy vibe from Mau at this point.

[Danny]

But I will say, I dont specifically feel strong about either candidate being a wolf. I also dont feel strongly about anyone else being a wolf at this point. I am actually a little surprised we didnt win this with last nights result.

[Danny]

I do think we need to kill Coffee, so I am can take back the post lead for the game

[Danny]

vote katylied

[Danny]

Since it is Friday, I expect it will be pretty dead tonight, so this vote probably determines the lynch.

[Coffee Warlord]

5 - Katy (mau 1649, PF 1653, Lathum 1672, DQ 1685, Danny 1755)
3 - Mau (bhlloy 1658, saldana 1662, Katy 1730)

[Coffee Warlord]

Originally Posted by Danny

I do think we need to kill Coffee, so I am can take back the post lead for the game

Oh it's on now.

[Coffee Warlord]

We will tentatively run Saturday. If participation is light, we'll extend deadline. Currently, the plan is to run the weekend.

[mauchow]

Not that anybody would stick their necks out to create a tie but if sal or bh could switch ovee....

And danny if you like someone of the latecomers slightly more who would u go? You or bhlloy or sal?

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

Not that anybody would stick their necks out to create a tie but if sal or bh could switch ovee....

And danny if you like someone of the latecomers slightly more who would u go? You or bhlloy or sal?

I can definitely say I would not vote myself. From a gut standpoint, bhlloy has pinged me the most. But he also has one of the better voting records I think (though I havent check real closely today).

I think we are in pretty good shape overall, so Its probably worth testing out katylied's reveal.

[Danny]

And by pretty good shape, I mean, I think we are likely down to our last murderer.

[Danny]

I also think trying to create a last hour switch on a Friday is a bad idea. We usually have very little activity during this time

[DaddyTorgo]

VOTE MAUCHOW

[hoopsguy]

Originally Posted by Danny

I do think we need to kill Coffee, so I am can take back the post lead for the game

Drat, I had a good groove going early. Stupid murderers (shakes fist)

[Danny]

Is there a daily recap of the all the votes anywhere (for all days)?

[mauchow]

Meh

[mauchow]

Danny I think on thw prior page I had a string of posts showing the totals. Or the page before

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

Reference

This is day 1 in which we had all villagers in the running. Typically this means player who stuck with an early vote are more likely to be wolves and those who jump around villagers

[Danny]

Originally Posted by britrock88

time	post #	voter	votee	# votes
10:48	132	JAG	brit	1
11:26	137	Danny	hoops	-
13:56	141	mau	Zinto	1
18:24	150	ntn	murray	1
18:52	152	brit	JAG	1
19:29	154	Danny	x hoops	-
08:58	194	PF	brit	2
10:12	203	bullet	brit	3
10:13	204	Lathum	murray	2
10:51	210	murray	DQ	1
11:16	216	bullet	x brit	2
			CR	1
12:08	226	Danny	hoops	-
12:34	229	Danny	x hoops	-
12:35	231	DQ_BOY	murray	3
12:50	238	Danny	Chubby	1
13:26	248	Autumn	Chubby	2
13:36	251	murray	x DQ	0
			Chubby	3
14:28	272	sal	Autumn	-
14:36	276	hoops	path	1
14:40	278	path	brit	3
14:48	281	sal	xAutumn	-
15:33	291	Chubby	murray	4
15:34	292	DV	brit	4
15:51	304	sal	JAG	2
16:26	317	CR	JAG	3
16:50	332	mau	x Zinto	0
			Chubby	4
16:55	335	ntn	xmurray	3
			brit	5
16:59	336	font	murray	4
17:12	342	Zinto	murray	5
17:24	345	font	xmurray	4
			Chubby	5
17:40	350	Katy	CR	2
18:52	364	CR	x JAG	2
			brit	6
19:02	366	sal	x JAG	1
			murray	5
19:47	387	Danny	xChubby	4
			brit	7
19:49	390	DT	murray	6
19:51	392	brit	x JAG	0
			murray	7
19:52	393	Chubby	xmurray	6
			brit	8
19:54	396	murray	xChubby	3
19:58	409	murray	brit	9
19:58	410	Katy	x CR	1
			murray	7
19:58	411	Danny	x brit	8
			murray	8
19:59	415	JAG	x brit	7
			murray	9
19:59	416	mau	xChubby	2
			brit	8
19:59	417	Chubby	x brit	7
			murray	10
19:59	419	mau	x brit	6
			murray	11
19:59	420	Chubby	xmurray	10
			brit	7

.......

[Coffee Warlord]

5 - Katy (mau 1649, PF 1653, Lathum 1672, DQ 1685, Danny 1755)
4 - Mau (bhlloy 1658, saldana 1662, Katy 1730, DT 1764)

[Coffee Warlord]

Thomas and Duck are friends.

They are not friends with the troublesome trucks.

They like to chug up hills.

They like to zip down hills.

[Danny]

We can figure Jag was a starting wolf, but none of the other known wolves appear to be starting wolves

Saldana put a second vote on Jag, bu there were three candidates with more votes, so I am not sure if that helps saldana or not as that could be a safe way to try and gain trust, especially knowing Jag is very very unlikely to get voted out day1.

[Danny]

Packer and Lathum made early votes for villagers that stuck all day.

Mau and I both jumped around quite a bit, with all votes to villagers.

[Coffee Warlord]

Duck got cleaned up!

The trucks got picked up.

Duck had a close shave.

[Danny]

Katy with a mid day vote for CR which stuck all day when he was a side candidate. I could see a wolf doing this for fear of being on a leading vote getter.

[Danny]

Dt with a later day vote on a villager which stuck

[Danny]

DQ with a fairly early vote for a villager that stuck all day. Bhlloy looks like he had no vote.

[mauchow]

If it means anything to anybody I will 100% reveal my character and role in the morning if I make it through the night.

[Danny]

From pure votes, I think Saldana and Katylied are the most suspicious. I know Saldana voted wolf, but I could see him doing that when JJag was never in any real danger. Then he left the vote there instead of putting it on a meaningful candidate and could come back and claim he voted wolf later if Jag discovered.

To me, Mau comes off looking the best as I dont see a wolf jumping around like he did late in the day with all villagers on the block.

[Danny]

FWIW, I am of the belief that there was another starting wolf besides Jag. I just can see a game designed that could legimately end on day 1.

[Danny]

cant see*

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

11 - bullet - bhlloy (837), hoopsguy (829), Danny (815), path12 (753), Autumn (587), Chubby (911), ZInto (916), JAG(923), fontisian (930), PackerFanatic (936), DaddyTogo (925)
5 - Chubby - Lathum (787), saldana (675), britrock88 (657), , DQ_BOY (915), bulletsponge (934)
4 - Autumn - KatyLied (730)
1 - fontisian - mauchow (763),
1 - Lathum - ntndeacon (690)

day 2 results. Again, I am going on the assumption there is a starting wolf besides Jag in here.

[Danny]

I think bhlloy and I look the best here with fairly early votes on a wolf. DT and Packer with later meaningful votes, so that buys them no trust.

[Danny]

Lathum, Saldana, DQboy, Katylied, Mauchow with villager votes. Not a fan of Saldana's or katylies votes here.

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

7 - Font (Chubby 1042, PackerFanatic 1049, JAG 1053, mauchow 1113, Zinto 1173, Autumn 1260, DQ 1271)
4 - DQ (Lathum 1273, path 1300, font 1305, DT 1306)
2 - Chubby (Brit 1246, Katy 1272)
2 - Britrock (Saldana 1106, bhlloy 1133)

Font was a wolf here. However it should be noted that font was almost certainly to be found out so it is a good spot for a wolf to place a trust buying vote.

Packer and Mauchow with votes on font. Also, I did not get to vote this day, but I was clearly on record even early saying I would vote Font.

DT, with a not so good vote.

Looking worst is katy, saldana and bhlloy, this is the third day in a row katylied how his / her vote on a side canddiate. I am not getting a good impression from this as that is fairly typical noob wolf behavior.

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

9 - JAG (Chubby 1455, Mau 1509, Danny 1517, brit 1518, DQ 1519, path12 1524, Zinto 1541, Saldana 1576, KatyLied 1585)
3 - Zinto (Jag 1503, PF 1554, bhlloy 1561)

Mau and I with early Jag votes. DQ with a decently early one. Saldana and Kaylied with late throwaway votes.

PF and bhlloy with Zinto votes.

I actually think Saldana and Katy look the worst with late votes that dont matter. I think bhlloy buries Jag there if he is a fellow wolf.

[Coffee Warlord]

5 - Katy (mau 1649, PF 1653, Lathum 1672, DQ 1685, Danny 1755)
4 - Mau (bhlloy 1658, saldana 1662, Katy 1730, DT 1764)

[Danny]

So with that, I think Katylied and Saldana are the most likely wolves based on voting record with bhlloy the least likely based purely on objective analysis.

[mauchow]

Well, 8 minutes to go, I'd prefer one of the others switching off me onto Katy, *cough* DT!

[Danny]

Looking at the votes, I think katy is a far better vote than Mauchow

[mauchow]

Originally Posted by Danny

So with that, I think Katylied and Saldana are the most likely wolves based on voting record with bhlloy the least likely based purely on objective analysis.

Do you read anything into Saldana going into pure defensive mode when he's not even on the block?

[Danny]

Originally Posted by mauchow

Do you read anything into Saldana going into pure defensive mode when he's not even on the block?

I'm not sure, Saldana is a player I have more trouble reading from a gut based perspective, so I try not to use my gut on him. Chief Rum is the same way. You, I tend to go more on gut

[Danny]

But based on the votes, Saldana would be my other top choice with Katylied

[Coffee Warlord]

3 minutes.

[Coffee Warlord]

Una minutka!

[Coffee Warlord]

Beep!

[mauchow]

I was really nervous with Lathum online and the ability to swing this thing.

[Coffee Warlord]

With the deaths of so many last night, today's discussions are certainly quieter. Especially with the death of the fat Colonel, alcohol consumption has dropped by 50%. Though certainly, others seem to be getting louder, and trying to usurp a certain narrator's post count. He will be punished for his insolence.

That being said, it seems, after much thoughful discussion, you have accumulated enough evidence to contact the police, and hand KatyLied over to the authorities.

Katy struggles, protesting her innocence. Her beauty is such you are almost swayed, but in the end, the police carry off Miss Peach.

KatyLied was Miss Peach! The first time anyone attacked her, they would be struck by her beauty and decide to attack someone else. She was innocent!

Night 5 has begun. I cannot guarantee it will run promptly tomorrow morning. It will run when I drag my ass up and get my son taken care of.

[Danny]

Hmm, so she told the truth (is katy a guy or girl?) except that apparently she had been attacked already.