05-03-2013, 07:00 AM | #1351 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I've got some money left so I can hopefully win a bid.
And hopefully the services will all be available again. |
05-03-2013, 07:35 AM | #1352 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Decisions, decisions.
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05-03-2013, 07:36 AM | #1353 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I'll echo what has been said that it would be great to hear more from CR, and CW too. I know CW has been around some the past couple of days, but he said he was going to do a vote analysis and then kinda dropped off. I want to go look at JAG's long, awesome post from the other day.
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05-03-2013, 07:38 AM | #1354 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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d1 Path votes Zinto but moves it pretty quickly to Bullet after Coffee and DV bump 2 others up to 2 votes. His vote is next to fontisian's there - I think Path is a big old skool and wouldn't want to have his vote next to a teammate so that's a minor plus.
d2 Path votes mau one over DV claiming mau was being too defensive. I don't think he's around for the reveals. Pretty neutral in my opinion but then I thought mau was being a bit suspicious as well. d3 Sorry we're not really going to glean much from this, I don't think. Puts murra5y up and then switches to DT. However I like his reasoning there and that's enough to get him a slight plus from me. I think Path would have to be playing a very un-pathlike game to be the wolf. I remember him as being far more cautious as a wolf than he has played here. Of course it was a long time ago and he can have changed. But I still tend towards him being village. |
05-03-2013, 07:45 AM | #1355 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Jackal, unless you're pretty sure about someone I don't think you should use the kill. Use the kill and we only have another night to work with. Assuming we're allowed to vote no lynch then if you don't use the kill we get two nights to work with, and a smaller field to decide from. I think the wolf can outbid us on one service (or two) but he can't outbid all of us.
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05-03-2013, 07:46 AM | #1356 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Bets due in 15 minutes
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05-03-2013, 07:46 AM | #1357 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I'm definitely not sure, so I'll abstain.
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05-03-2013, 07:48 AM | #1358 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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No Lynch rule, Autumn?
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05-03-2013, 07:48 AM | #1359 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Yes, that would be good to know before I abstain.
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05-03-2013, 07:49 AM | #1360 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Don't forget to bet if you haven't already anyone reading.
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05-03-2013, 07:50 AM | #1361 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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CR and CW will have to wait.
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05-03-2013, 07:59 AM | #1362 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Guess we aren't going to find out about no lynch, but I instructed the hitman to kill the last mafioso. I don't think that's going to work though.
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05-03-2013, 07:59 AM | #1363 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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No lynch is an acceptable vote, yes.
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05-03-2013, 08:00 AM | #1364 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Good.
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05-03-2013, 08:07 AM | #1365 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Everyone can't scramble out of bed fast enough this morning, those who could even get to sleep. You open the papers, worrying about what you might find--the city has grown dangerously tense. It seems there's nothing to report though, just more talk about yesterday's events.
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05-03-2013, 08:10 AM | #1366 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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Okay. 5-1 still then. Hopefully not 4-2.
That's a decent move by jackal to buy more trust if he's the final mafia. He probably bought two days which is enough to win..and woukd be one of the biggest upset comebacks of all time. |
05-03-2013, 08:10 AM | #1367 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Yeah. I was kind of expecting that. The wolf got all my cash. I had been hoping I'd be left with something. I'll just work out how much I had.
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05-03-2013, 08:14 AM | #1368 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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I think they got somewhere around $1562. I sent $2,200 to DV.
Were it not for winning 896 the wolf would barely have recouped their outlay. Of course, leaving me with nothing is a much better result for them. |
05-03-2013, 08:14 AM | #1369 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
I'm obviously not a stone cold lock villager, but I'm not sure what else you want from me.. you've been laying the seeds for wanting to vote me for a couple of days in a row now. |
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05-03-2013, 08:14 AM | #1370 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Only good news is by not using the NK I think I/we may have avoided repercussions from me buying it.
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05-03-2013, 08:15 AM | #1371 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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I'm as vanilla as they come now.
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05-03-2013, 08:17 AM | #1372 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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But believe me mau, I understand. If I was on the outside looking at me I'd be paranoid about me playing an epic wolf game too. I think I'm too cautious as a wolf to play that kind of game.
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05-03-2013, 08:18 AM | #1373 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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I wish I had something substantial to vote on. Like I said last night, whomever gets my vote will have had to defy the rules in some way .. which makes picking which was the most likeliest defiance a real guessing/speculation game.
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05-03-2013, 08:18 AM | #1374 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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So Chief and Coffee - care to share (at least) your bidding history?
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05-03-2013, 08:20 AM | #1375 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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DAY NINE SERVICES FOR HIRE
Mick "Stones" McGee - Hired muscle for the guy who wants some protection Donna Black Investigations - When you need somebody checked out Cookie's Ladies - Send somebody a "friend" to entertain them through the night Sandy Back Messenger Service - When you need to send a message fast Casino2Casino Wire Transfer - When you want to send a buck to a friend BLACKMARKET SERVICES - HIRE AT YOUR OWN RISK The Money Hole - money lending for the desperate gambler Nicky the Trigger, hitman - they say that Nicky will make a guy disappear for you "Stumpy" Jones, thug - this guy delivers a lesson with his fists, one it takes a while to recover from |
05-03-2013, 08:21 AM | #1376 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Quote:
Yes this needs to happen ASAP - the less you reveal the more wolfy you guys are looking. Path never said he was forced to vote the other night, but maybe faking a vote was one of the bonuses they got from villagers bidding on black market services. Again, speculation. |
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05-03-2013, 08:21 AM | #1377 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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That's good that there are the regular services available again, I apologize for not thinking ahead and leaving myself with $0.
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05-03-2013, 08:23 AM | #1378 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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Still, the mafia is going to want/need to bid on the hitman, so we should really coordinate bids to make sure that we get use out of donna, mick, and cookie.
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05-03-2013, 08:24 AM | #1379 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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And Narc you also have $0? Crap.
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05-03-2013, 08:25 AM | #1380 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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Sigh. Wish you woulda used it. Waste of a day now.
And Narc, as I said before, I've only won the two bids. The hitman and the cheapo ladies bid. I bid on the seer day 1, that find a friend service sometime in there, the casino manager a couple of times, and I threw a bid on the seer for kicks in there too. I've won exactly 2 bets. And made just under 300 bucks total from them. Financial mogul I am not. As far as vote analysis not happening yesterday goes, two reasons. One, I came to the conclusion it was somewhat worthless at this point - we haven't had a real contested vote in days, and I still back my logic on the bidding breakdown. Two is real life - I have a major project going on at work, and so I can't focus much on here. And as I've said for a couple of days now. Somehow, someway, the NK from a couple days ago has to be accounted for. The people who could have done that are few in number. Figure out how that's NOT the most logical route, and let me know. |
05-03-2013, 08:26 AM | #1381 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Can't remember if Path claimed if he access his money today or not but otherwise that leaves mau, CW and CR who ought to be able to make bids.
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05-03-2013, 08:26 AM | #1382 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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And yes. My bidding history isn't detailed, for a simple, horribly lazy reason - I was highly remiss in naming them in the subject line, and have very little motivation to dig through my sent mail.
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05-03-2013, 08:29 AM | #1383 | |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Quote:
Go to your PM sent box and see which bids and bets you made each day. How hard is that to do? Unless you've erased them? |
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05-03-2013, 08:29 AM | #1384 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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But, I'm going to reiterate. Unless DV fucked us and bid on one of the services and didn't tell us, and a wolf claimed it in his place, my broken record ass can't move my focus away from path (and I suppose mau if the ladies somehow didn't work).
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05-03-2013, 08:32 AM | #1385 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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How do you explain Jackal scanning Path as good?
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05-03-2013, 08:35 AM | #1386 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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I really wish I could just lynch you today, Narc. But I'd be going against my own line of thinking.
Bets: D0 DaddyTorgo D1 DT & JAG D2 Brit & Jackal D3 DT & Brit D4 Brit & Murray D5 Murray D6 Brit & CR D7 Mau & Path Bids D1 Seer (307) D2 Casino Manager (51) D3 Friends for Life (201) D4 Hitman (1000) D5 Casino Manager (273) D6 Seer (273) D7 Ladies (1) |
05-03-2013, 08:35 AM | #1387 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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THAT TOOK ENERGY.
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05-03-2013, 08:37 AM | #1388 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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I can't, unless there's a cunning. Both possible candidates who could have used the NK, with what we know, have problems. If it was path, there's a cunning. If it was mau, the ladies didn't work and I didn't get any message about it. If it was neither, well, fuckit. |
05-03-2013, 08:55 AM | #1389 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Autumn - if someone is lynched is their bid removed from the table. I've been presuming that that's the case but I want to make sure
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05-03-2013, 09:02 AM | #1390 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2006
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Urgh! This is doing my head in.
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05-03-2013, 09:02 AM | #1391 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
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Yes.
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05-03-2013, 09:04 AM | #1392 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Colorado Springs
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I have one alternate supposition for mau over path.
Remember I got the 'you gotta do the mob a favor' PM when I bought the hitman. I wonder if that favor manifested in mau being unaffected by the ladies. |
05-03-2013, 09:11 AM | #1393 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I got three lovely chicks that night CW. I didn't even win/submit a bid that day.
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05-03-2013, 09:18 AM | #1394 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Seattle, WA
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As I mentioned last night I am leaving in a few minutes for the weekend.
My account has been emptied overnight and a note left telling me basically I better vote how I'm told -- but I wasn't told who so I am just going to use Occam's Razor and pick one of the unscanned people: VOTE COFFEE WARLORD It's been fun guys.
__________________
We have always been at war with Eastasia. |
05-03-2013, 09:21 AM | #1395 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
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So I think it's safe to assume Path's vote is going to be manipulated by the mafia.
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05-03-2013, 09:33 AM | #1396 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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My gut feelings tell me jackal or cw. CW is unscanned like myself so I won't be surprised if it comes down to myself and him. But part of me says no way to vote for cw since I know he sent me the ladies the night there was a kill so unless we believe there were two bids put in by him... he's not the way to go either.
That still leaves jackal and chief...chief has been as quiet as I've ever seen him. |
05-03-2013, 09:34 AM | #1397 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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And path too..
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05-03-2013, 09:35 AM | #1398 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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And that leaves open the idea that there could have been a converted villager to mafia... that sounds awfully tough to overcome.
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05-03-2013, 09:37 AM | #1399 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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I'm putting all my money into the bg today I think.
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05-03-2013, 09:38 AM | #1400 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Murfreesboro, TN
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vote jackal
I'm gonna go this way for now. I think for me it will be this or path.. |
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