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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House? | |||
Obama | 151 | 68.95% | |
McCain | 63 | 28.77% | |
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) | 5 | 2.28% | |
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll |
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08-26-2008, 10:32 PM | #1351 |
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Are they comparing this to HRC tonight to Regan at the 76 Republican Convention?
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08-26-2008, 10:35 PM | #1352 |
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Hillary was awesome and I am very proud of her. I think if Bill closes the deal about being ready to be the man for Barack, its a lock for Obama & Co.
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08-26-2008, 10:36 PM | #1353 | |
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I think the Hil-Bill duo is meant to give the country a "gee, weren't the 90s so great?" feeling...with Barack getting the relay baton on Thursday night to win the last leg of the race. I don't think the hype is nearly as big as the AP/CNN/MSM gulag are trying to pass off to us, related to the whole yay Hillary contingent. Obviously November will tell us the truth, but I'm not buying it.
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08-26-2008, 10:38 PM | #1354 |
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08-27-2008, 07:17 AM | #1355 |
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A couple of things I noticed in Hillary's speech last night...........
1. She talked through the applause A LOT. Perhaps someone told her to make sure the speech didn't run too late, but it was terribly annoying that she gave very few dramatic pauses. 2. Her presentation style was pretty good. I think it was better than anything she had done in the campaign. 3. She didn't give Barack Obama any praise at all. Her lone praise for the ticket was given to Biden. Michele Obama only received a nod as 'someone who would be a good first lady'. Barack didn't even get that. Every comment was that people should support Barack followed by comments about her platform and why it should be supported. That speech was all about Hillary with a few weak nods to unity. All I saw was a lady who was setting herself up for a run in 2012 and using Obama's convention as a way to pave that path. 4. Bill Clinton was borderline smug for most of the speech. He knew exactly what she was doing and was glowing in the thoughts of a run in 2012. Meanwhile, several shots of Michele Obama showed a tense or worried look on her face. I've read several books about non-verbal communication. Michele Obama was not comfortable at all with the situation. I can only imagine the tension in the hall when Bill steps to the podium tonight. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 08-27-2008 at 07:19 AM. |
08-27-2008, 07:33 AM | #1356 |
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OK, so I wasn't the only one to notice the lack of Obama praise. Noticed this article linked over at Electoral-Vote.com after I put up my thoughts......
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/trailmix...-clintons.html |
08-27-2008, 07:49 AM | #1357 |
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She did exactly what Obama needed. She couldn't have been clearer to her supporters that they should support Obama, especially with the what are you in it for section. She also took some good shots at McCain. She went well beyond what Reagan or Kennedy did and all of the analysis that she was secretly damning him is too clever by half.
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08-27-2008, 07:58 AM | #1358 | |
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She attacked conservative policies more than she attacked McCain, just as she supported liberal policies more than she actually supported Obama. It was all about her, to the point where she even evoked her husband's legacy at one point. Bill remained seated as a weak nod to the fact that it's Obama's convention, but you know he wanted to pop right up and stroke his ego. You're correct that she told the supporters to support Obama, but she couldn't have done any less to actually define him as a person or as a candidate. After watching that speech last night, all I could think was that if she was the candidate, that speech wouldn't have been nearly as restrained as it was. |
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08-27-2008, 08:07 AM | #1359 |
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I guess my ESP isn't as strong as yours.
They're rivals, not friends. She couldn't come out and pretend the primaries didn't happen. I have no idea if it will make a difference in the polls, but she did far more than similar politicians in this situation. One speech can't be everything to every person. Her primary mission was to heal the rift in the party and I think she did that about as well as she could have.
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08-27-2008, 08:16 AM | #1360 |
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Her job wasn't to define Obama. He needs to do that for himself. If he can't, he doesn't deserve to win. Hillary's job isn't to deliver him to the White House, if it was, he'd have picked her as his running mate. I agree with JPhil, she did far more than was expected of her and was laudable and I think said enough of the right things that his side can't complain about being undermined by Team Clinton anymore, even as the media will pound this angle into the ground because it's more interesting to them than just talking about coronation.
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08-27-2008, 08:21 AM | #1361 | |
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Today's roll call will be very telling. Reportedly, the Hillary supporters want a full roll call without any suspension of voting. Anything less won't be acceptable, although I wouldn't be surprised to see Hillary jump to the front of the New York delagates and request a suspension of voting in yet another move to draw more attention to herself. I disagree that she did anything close to as well as she could have. If she would have spoke at a more personal level about Obama as a candidate, THEN she would have done as well as she could have. BTW, the video introduction by the DNC was pretty interesting. They didn't paint her as the worthy advisary who nearly won the nomination. Rather, they painted her as a women's rights hero. I have no doubt that she found that a bit condescending. She deserved more than that given her role in the party and this election. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 08-27-2008 at 08:22 AM. |
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08-27-2008, 08:31 AM | #1362 |
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Your phrasing brought to mind an interesting distinction that I think might be made. Her job may not have been to define Obama, but doing so very well could be how she would have helped him the most.
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08-27-2008, 08:39 AM | #1363 | |
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Which is precisely the point that is being discussed. She provided exactly what was asked of her and not a single thing more. It was in her best interest regarding her political future to do that. |
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08-27-2008, 08:43 AM | #1364 |
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Hillary did a great job. They portrayed Hillary as a larger than life female hero, which is what was necessary to subdue the angry, suburban women who personally identified with Clinton's wins and losses. She was very definitive in her questioning of the motives of these scorned, democratic women voters. What I took out of it is, "if you like the same things that I do, vote Obama, because McCain won't do it."
Now, Bill needs to come on stage and say what qualities he and Obama have in common that will make him a good president and what qualities Bush and McCain have in common that will make McCain a bad president. |
08-27-2008, 08:47 AM | #1365 |
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I have another question with the polling. Now I've been out of school for a couple of years now, but how can you call a poll valid if the difference between the candidates is less than or equal to the margin of error?
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08-27-2008, 08:53 AM | #1366 | |
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Interesting. My mom is a Hillary supporter and she reacted quite differently. She had said earlier in the year after Obama finally wrapped it up that she would probably vote for McCain. After last night's speech, she sent me an e-mail saying that speech convinced her that the Dems picked the wrong candidate and that she would vote for McCain so that Hillary could run in 2012. Logic is a bit warped IMO, but I'm sure that she's not the only 'scorned' female baby boomer thinking that same thing. |
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08-27-2008, 09:02 AM | #1367 |
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08-27-2008, 09:03 AM | #1368 |
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I don't see why Hilary can't just run in 2016 if Obama wins. That seems more amenable than trying to run against an incumbent McCain in 2012.
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08-27-2008, 09:03 AM | #1369 |
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08-27-2008, 09:04 AM | #1370 |
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Now see, an attack on McCain even close to something like that from Hillary last night would have been much better than what she did, at least from Obama's perspective. Last edited by Mizzou B-ball fan : 08-27-2008 at 09:05 AM. |
08-27-2008, 09:04 AM | #1371 | |
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As I said before, she mentioned Obama ten times during the speech. Ronald Reagan did not even mention Gerald Ford by name in his 1976 speech, and Ted Kennedy mentioned Jimmy Carter once in his 1980 speech. Ted Kennedy never even endorsed Jimmy Carter in 1980. Her primary was the closest, hardest fought primary in modern history, and she has gone much farther in her endorsement of Obama than past candidates in other hard fought past primaries have done for their nominee. |
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08-27-2008, 09:05 AM | #1372 |
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08-27-2008, 09:10 AM | #1373 | |
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To paraphrase, not all white people have the taint of the Illuminati. As for the video, you're reaching too far, the Thomason's produced it.
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08-27-2008, 09:14 AM | #1374 | |
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I've heard it talked about that he was going to announce this, but I don't think I ever heard an official announcement. Even so, getting in the way of a Democratic nominee now to try to become the Democratic nominee in 4 years sounds like a terribly risky plan. |
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08-27-2008, 09:18 AM | #1375 | |
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Does she have any other option? She's not getting any younger. She'll be 69 years of age in 2016. |
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08-27-2008, 09:18 AM | #1376 |
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The one term talk has largely gone away since McCain's team change. It seems like a terrible plan IMO. Why would you want to start from day one as a lame duck especially given that you'll be fighting a hostile Congress?
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08-27-2008, 09:19 AM | #1377 |
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Everyone seems to be forgetting that Clinton's numbers only went up when Obama and McCain stopped attacking her and started attacking each other (and Clinton kept attacking Obama). She hasn't been attacked in any real sense since early March.
If she had won the nomination and McCain had been blasting the airwaves with negative stuff about her and Bill and no one had attacked Obama for the last two months and you had all of these young Obama supporters talking to the media saying "I'm just going to stay home on election day because it is the same old shit," we would be having the opposite discussion right now. We would all be saying "How the hell could the Dems have nominated the most divisive Democrat of the last 20 years when they had the chance to nominate the liberal Regan?" The runner-up in these situations is like a backup quarterback. You forget the flaws when they are not playing and only see the flaws of the starter. Last edited by albionmoonlight : 08-27-2008 at 09:20 AM. |
08-27-2008, 09:21 AM | #1378 |
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dola--
I am not saying that Clinton would have been a worse choice that Obama in terms of winning. I don't know if we will ever know that. I'm just saying that the media is engaging in a lot of strange hindsight. |
08-27-2008, 09:31 AM | #1379 | |
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Mark this day on your calendar. I NEVER thought that I'd be bringing up the same points as a Maureen Dowd editorial, yet that day has arrived.........
High Anxiety in the Mile High City - Op-Ed - NYTimes.com Quote:
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08-27-2008, 09:38 AM | #1380 | |
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Great post. I agree. And I also agree with Mizzou that she did only what she had to but not anything extra. Regardles of the reasons why it sure wasn't what I was hoping from her as an Obama supporter. I also, felt it was 80% "see how great I am and Bill was as a President".When she was speaking I almost forgot that Obama was the nominee. I am assuming it will be even worse. One of the things I have disagreed with is Obama not trying to go out and bury thre hatchet with the Clintons in a public way especially Bill. Bill has an enormous ego from all accounts and he had to have it stroked. Now Obama might have to have Michelle visit Bill to get him to give a sincere speech Last edited by Galaril : 08-27-2008 at 09:39 AM. |
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08-27-2008, 09:40 AM | #1381 |
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I'm really looking forward to all the column inches devoted to disaffected conservatives unhappy with McCain next week.
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08-27-2008, 09:45 AM | #1382 |
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08-27-2008, 09:50 AM | #1383 | |
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Barring a pro-choice VP selection, the Republican convention won't be nearly as exciting. It'll be 4 relatively boring days of rah-rah speeches. The only exception would be if Kay Bailey Hutchinson was selected as VP. That would be an interesting turn and could prompt an exodus of Clinton supporters. |
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08-27-2008, 10:04 AM | #1384 | |
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That means it's roughly a tie. If the margin of error is 3% and I'm ahead in the poll by 2 points, the range is -1% to 5%. One poll by itself will never give an accurate picture. Watch the moving averages and the overall trends. |
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08-27-2008, 10:05 AM | #1385 | |
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That would be interesting. What's her stance on abortion? This is probably sexist assertion, but being a woman I'd guess pro-choice, right? |
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08-27-2008, 10:07 AM | #1386 | |
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Correct. She is pro-choice. So you'd have the Christian right grumbling while some of the Clinton voters may be won over. Somewhat of a trade-off, but it would make the convention very interesting. |
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08-27-2008, 10:14 AM | #1387 | |
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It'd be a very interesting gamble. Clinton supporters are extremely compassionate. McCain's already subtly reached out to them in his "passed over" ad (which argues that Clinton was "right" about Obama, with relevant sound bites). It'd be a gamble that you'd bring over more voters than you'd lose. In a practical sense, who the hell cares what the VP's abortion views are, even if you're the most raging pro-life person in the world? (though I know people don't think practically about these things). McCain doesn't seem to need a gamble at this point though, so I think he'll be way more conservative. Last edited by molson : 08-27-2008 at 10:14 AM. |
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08-27-2008, 10:16 AM | #1388 | |
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I know that Rush Limbaugh has said that the religious right would stay way from the polls if the VP was pro-choice. I don't buy that at all. I do agree about not needing to gamble. The polling numbers are all going in McCain's direction at this point. Probably not a good idea to change course when everything's going well. |
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08-27-2008, 10:22 AM | #1389 |
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08-27-2008, 10:28 AM | #1390 | |
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Another article on the fallout from the Clinton/Obama feud. This one's from the front page of the Washington Post. Looks like many Clinton supporters plan on leaving town before Obama even speaks.......
Many Clinton Supporters Say Speech Didn't Heal Divisions Quote:
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08-27-2008, 10:34 AM | #1391 |
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I don't think I quite ever understood why Obama/Clinton wasn't the right ticket for the Dems.
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08-27-2008, 10:35 AM | #1392 |
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What I don't get is what Obama did to Clinton to make people act like this. If Obama lost I would have voted for Hilary. All these stupid asses that don't vote, whether its a non-vote for McCain or Obama, can't complain about shit the next 4 years.
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08-27-2008, 10:37 AM | #1393 |
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08-27-2008, 10:38 AM | #1394 | |
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I don't think it's necessarily a "protest vote", or that Obama "did anything". I think a lot of Clinton supporters are generally afraid of an Obama presidency (based on that article and many others like it). I think they'd legitmately think McCain is the better option '08-'12, and then they'll support Clinton again after that. You also touched on something that I wish people would actually talk about. What will the US be like the next 4 years with McCain? What will the US be like the next 4 years with Obama? Will there be any difference at all? That's the essence of this election, and where I wish more of the discussion was. It's not about the "issues", everybody knows where people theoretically stand at this point. I want to hear arguments about what's actually going to happen. Obama's not going to be able to "bring the troops home" before 2012. So his views on Iraq don't really matter much, since there's no practical difference there. Will the economy be better? Why? How exactly will he pull that off? They're both saying pretty much the same stuff about energy, I don't believe either will be bold enough to do what really needs to be done there either. How will my life be better with Obama in charge? How long do I have to wait for that to happen? Last edited by molson : 08-27-2008 at 10:48 AM. |
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08-27-2008, 10:42 AM | #1395 | |
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I don't think Obama did much of anything to be honest. The Clintons started this feud and it's become apparant that they plan to be the ones to win it as well. Obama has halted the Clinton family's second ascension to the throne and they're none too happy about it. This kind of reaction from the Clinton's honestly isn't that surprising to most people. |
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08-27-2008, 10:46 AM | #1396 | |
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I just don't understand how any Clinton supporters would choose McCain over Obama. Clinton's and Obama's viewpoints and the policies they would try to enact are more similar than Clinton's and McCain's. Racism is about the only thing that comes to mind.
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Would she even have accepted the VP nomination? |
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08-27-2008, 10:48 AM | #1397 | |
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A Democrat voting for McCain doesn't have nearly the effect of the opposite situation. If McCain is elected, he'll still face a major check of power in the form of a Democrat majority (and possibly super-majority) in one or both houses of Congress. He'll have his hands tied and won't be able to make any major policy changes or judicial nominations. On the other hand, the religious right has much more at stake in the form of judicial nominations. An unchecked Democrat majority in Congress in coordination with a Democrat president could push through as many as 3 Supreme Court nominations along with numerous Circuit court nominations. They could put the judicial system squarely against the religious right for years to come. Failing to vote in the upcoming election would prove disasterous for them. |
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08-27-2008, 10:50 AM | #1398 | |
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Wait a second, Hillary supporters are going to vote for McCain, with whom they disagree on nearly everything? That's ridiculous. While Obama and McCain differ, neither one of them is going to change the direction of the country in any meaningful way. |
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08-27-2008, 10:51 AM | #1399 | |
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It's not about viewpoints or issues. Jimmy Bob down the street has great viewpoints. Doesn't mean he'd be a good president. |
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08-27-2008, 10:52 AM | #1400 | |
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Yeah because the Democrats have really stood up to Bush. They really oppose his policies! |
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