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Old 10-25-2007, 01:52 PM   #951
Racer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by st.cronin View Post
My guess was that Neon and Hoops actually each did the other one. Just a wild ass guess, but it would explain why neither event recurred day 2.

Also, hoops keeps saying everybody was trusting Barkeep and I don't think that's true. I didn't trust Barkeep, and I don't think Lathum did either.

We should know for sure after tonight, right? I say this because I assume if they did that to each other, they each would target different players tonight.
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Old 10-25-2007, 01:53 PM   #952
Telle
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Originally Posted by RendeR View Post
Anyone seen Raiders Army recently?

He said he was going to be out for most of the day.
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Old 10-25-2007, 01:53 PM   #953
st.cronin
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Hoops, I understand that, but as has been pointed out many times there are reasons to be skeptical of traditional vote analysis in this game.
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Old 10-25-2007, 01:58 PM   #954
Racer
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Back from the Minotaur's lair - I was kidnapped and placed there. Based on how I read the PM, I don't believe that the Minotaur is a player in the game but instead is a power someone has to remove a person from the game.

With two people removed on Day 1, I have a sneaking suspicion that one was a good guy using a power. But neither Medusa nor a Minotaur sound all that benevolent ...

Okay, continuing up on my last post. I looked back on the first page Minotaur was listed as a possible player in this game. So could Neon Chaos and Hoopsguy be monsters then?
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:01 PM   #955
Racer
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By the way, if Hoopsguy and Neon Chaos are monsters, does that mean that they are on the side of the Olympians?
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:02 PM   #956
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I'm not a monster, but I would say that no matter what side I'm on.

In fact, I've been suspicious of Neon Chaos most of the game but I think we are ignoring lessons to be learned in the Day 1 vote. I find it very hard to believe that Path was the only titan voting for Barkeep on Day 1. I think that is the best place to look for today's vote.

I'll return to other candidates like Neon, Racer, Schmidty, Arlington, and whoever other people want to discuss after we get a little more clarity on the Day 1 stuff. Or, obviously, if someone has information that helps identify a Titan.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:17 PM   #957
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I'm not a monster, but I would say that no matter what side I'm on.

Why?
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:21 PM   #958
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If I was a monster I wouldn't want to admit it.

Since I'm not a monster, I will tell you that I'm not because I don't want you to make a bad assumption/vote.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:22 PM   #959
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OK, here is the vote recap from Day 1 in an order that is a little easier for me to work with than the one Telle posted earlier.


Post #60 - Barkeep votes Hoopsguy
Post #127 - DT votes Neon
Post #131 - Neon votes DT
Post #132 - Anxiety votes Anxiety
Post #135 - Purdue votes Neon
Post #136 - Pass votes Anxiety
Post #140 - Raiders votes Anxiety
Post #143 - RendeR votes Telle
Post #144 - Lathum votes Hoops
Post #147 - AE votes Anxiety
Post #159 - NTN votes Barkeep
Post #178 - Telle votes Anxiety
Post #201 - Schmidty votes Anxiety
Post #206 - Barkeep unvotes Hoops
Post #209 - Racer votes Hoops
Post #210 - Lathum unvotes Hoops, votes Barkeep
Post #212 - Cronin votes Barkeep
Post #213 - Anxiety drops "rarely warlike" hint
Post #219 - Hoops votes Lathum
Post #261 - Chief votes Barkeep
Post #277 - AC votes Barkeep
Post #287 - Anxiety reveals he is Ares
Post #289 - RendeR unvotes Telle, votes Racer
Post #315 - Barkeep vots Path
Post #316 - AE unvotes Anxiety, votes Neon
Post #324 - RendeR unvotes Racer, votes Path
Post #325 - Pass unvotes Anxiety, votes Barkeep
Post #328 - DT unvotes Neon, votes Path
Post #330 - Neon unvotes DT, votes Path
Post #352 - Path votes Barkeep
Post #360 - Telle votes Barkeep (not valid?)
Post #370 - Cronin unvotes Barkeep, votes Neon
Post #375 - Hoops unvotes Lathum, votes Neon
Post #376 - Telle unvotes Anxiety, votes Barkeep
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:25 PM   #960
RendeR
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So lets look again at those voting for BK on day 1:

Chief Rum - vote barkeep (261) - Still an option, no evidence one way or the other on CR

Lathum - vote Hoopsguy (144), vote barkeep (210) - Revealed as BG, no denials by anyone else, arued solid points all day and kept hounding his position, a wolf isn't going to go after another wolf on day one. I'm willing to trust Lathum

ntndeacon - vote barkeep (159) - Dead, Dyonesis

ArlingtonColt - vote barkeep (277) - Revealed as Ares God of War, not verified, not denied by anyone else either.

Passacaglia - vote Anxiety (136), vote barkeep (325) - Dead, Athena

Telle - vote Anxiety (178), (vote Barkeep (360) - forgot to unvote), vote barkeep (376) - Nothing to go on here, she was around late, had to catch up and placed a vote. Viable choice.

Path12 - vote barkeep (352) - Lynched - Cronus, King titan.



So from this we have only 2 options if we want to ferret out another titan in this group. I believe there IS one hereassuming we hold that AC is telling the truth and IS Ares)

Chief Rum
or
Telle

I like Rum's day 1 analysis and the way he's presented evidence. He hasn't tried to really defend himself so much as just put out good information, is that a wolf being a damned good wolf? maybe.

If I trust my gut and leave off CR for today then I have to vote telle. She's been catching up well and has put forth some good questions and commentary.

IF I had to choose between the two right now I would have to vote telle.

Discuss?
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:27 PM   #961
RendeR
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By the way, if Hoopsguy and Neon Chaos are monsters, does that mean that they are on the side of the Olympians?

As I posted earlier, i don't think either of them is a monster. I have my theories as to at least one monster but I have no way to verify it at this time so I'll just keep my mouth shut about it.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:28 PM   #962
Telle
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
OK, here is the vote recap from Day 1 in an order that is a little easier for me to work with than the one Telle posted earlier.

Well next time be more explicate about format!

I swear I need to find a way to use a database instead of a spreadsheet.. some quick ad-hoc queries and data is presented in any way I want! Yes, I'm a data-geek.. I admit it...
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:29 PM   #963
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RendeR, you are right where I'm at with my voting decision today.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:33 PM   #964
Telle
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Originally Posted by RendeR View Post
I like Rum's day 1 analysis and the way he's presented evidence. He hasn't tried to really defend himself so much as just put out good information, is that a wolf being a damned good wolf? maybe.

Problem is, you can't go with Chief Rum putting out a lot of analysis as a good sign that he's a villager. I've seen him do this when a wolf and it made me put him on my likely-villager list then.. so I don't tend to trust him without something a lot bigger than that anymore
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:35 PM   #965
RendeR
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Problem is, you can't go with Chief Rum putting out a lot of analysis as a good sign that he's a villager. I've seen him do this when a wolf and it made me put him on my likely-villager list then.. so I don't tend to trust him without something a lot bigger than that anymore

I agree completely, but coupling that with my gut instincts and I can't pull the trigger on CR yet, which leaves me voting for you and probably sleeping on the couch =(
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:39 PM   #966
Telle
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I agree completely, but coupling that with my gut instincts and I can't pull the trigger on CR yet, which leaves me voting for you and probably sleeping on the couch =(

You know, you've been going by "gut instinct" a lot in this game.. and really directing the votes where you want them. Now you're obviously not a Titan.. but I can't help but wonder if you're one of those that has their own victory condition.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:42 PM   #967
RendeR
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I win as an Olympian, so of course I have my own victory conditions, ust like every non-titan-aoigned Olympian.

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Old 10-25-2007, 02:43 PM   #968
RendeR
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god I can't type.....
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:45 PM   #969
hoopsguy
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I'm willing to wait to hear what Chief Rum has to say before casting a vote. But if there isn't a reason to go after the existing reveals (Lathum, Anxiety, or Arlington) then it is almost certainly going to be either Rum or Telle getting my vote tonight.

In the meantime, I'll keep asking questions as I think of them ...
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:45 PM   #970
Telle
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I win as an Olympian, so of course I have my own victory conditions, ust like every non-titan-aoigned Olympian.


Well you have a theory about who is a monster.. and mentioned that maybe monsters can only use their power every other night.. and claimed that your power didn't work last night...

And there's another human role unaccounted for.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:46 PM   #971
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What about the other folks? If we have the day 1 voters for BK narrowed down to CR and Telle, lets dig into Day 2 voting and see what we can come up with there.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:46 PM   #972
Telle
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
I'm willing to wait to hear what Chief Rum has to say before casting a vote. But if there isn't a reason to go after the existing reveals (Lathum, Anxiety, or Arlington) then it is almost certainly going to be either Rum or Telle getting my vote tonight.

In the meantime, I'll keep asking questions as I think of them ...

Well would it help if I revealed then? You all say we shouldn't do any more reveals, but then go and penalize those that don't reveal???
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:49 PM   #973
RendeR
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Originally Posted by Telle View Post
Well you have a theory about who is a monster.. and mentioned that maybe monsters can only use their power every other night.. and claimed that your power didn't work last night...

And there's another human role unaccounted for.


No no, my ability failed TODAY. Not last night. It is not a night action sort of tihng. It worked fine the first two days. My problem is figuring out if its something to do with my power itself or the person I tried to use it on today that made it fail.


I have a hunch about Medusa. It caught my eye during day one, so perhaps someone else can catch it also and we can see if we come to the same conclusion.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:51 PM   #974
Telle
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I have a hunch about Medusa. It caught my eye during day one, so perhaps someone else can catch it also and we can see if we come to the same conclusion.

Don't suppose you can narrow it down to a page?? Day 1 is long
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:51 PM   #975
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Telle, I haven't argued one way or the other on reveals, although others certainly have. I've only said that I don't 100% trust the reveals so far as honorable Olympians. But on the three that are out there so far we haven't had anyone come out with a claim that they are false.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:52 PM   #976
Lathum
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OK, I just caught up.

ArlingtonColt is really pinging my radar right now.

Day 1 he votes Barkeep under the pretense of it being a random vote on day 1, but also buying into my theory.

Quote:
I'm going with Lathum's theory here.. and its just a random day 1 vote for me... sorry

well which is it? random or following a theory? It can't be both.

Then he votes for me unprovoked and with no explination, after going along with me day 1

He then reveals for no reason at all, after claiming day 1 that reveals are a bad thing.


Quote:
I'm going out to eat tonight with my g/f and I'm not sure if I'll be back before the deadline...

I am Hephaestus the God of smithing, an olympian.


He then brings up conversions when as far as I can tell they aren't listed in the rules.

Quote:
Maybe they are trying to hit the convert? Especially with abilities I could see where this would make some sense. Or they don't think our revealed roles are worth anything and aren't working about a CoT building if they can eliminate all the "strong" roles first

He then claims to not know how to use his ability


Quote:
Look... I understand the skepticism, but if I reveal an awesome ability don't you think that they will murder me in the night? Maybe my ability is some kind of powerup? Maybe it's a dud... I'm not really sure to be honest.


He then claims to feel good about a vote for me today, ummm, ok, but I am pretty sure there are better candidates.

Quote:
Im feeling good about a Lathum or Telle vote today. Lathum was the most vocal and came to the defense of path MULTIPLE times on the day 1 vote. He was the only person to defend him too.

He also references Telle several times, I am wondering if they are trying some titan vs. titan play.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:52 PM   #977
Lathum
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VOTE ARLINGTONCOLT

this will only be a 1 AP vote.
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:52 PM   #978
Telle
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Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Telle, I haven't argued one way or the other on reveals, although others certainly have. I've only said that I don't 100% trust the reveals so far as honorable Olympians. But on the three that are out there so far we haven't had anyone come out with a claim that they are false.

So in your mind, if I now revealed and nobody contested it then that moves me into the same category as ArlingtonColt and Lathum as people who voted for BK and have revealed?
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:52 PM   #979
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RendeR, do you see any harm in saying who you used your power on that failed? That certainly could be noteworthy, particularly if you had used your day-time power already on an Olympian who has already passed away (BK, NTN, Pass).
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Old 10-25-2007, 02:55 PM   #980
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So in your mind, if I now revealed and nobody contested it then that moves me into the same category as ArlingtonColt and Lathum as people who voted for BK and have revealed?

Telle, I would tell you that if you are an Olympian, or aligned with our cause, to take the action that you think is best for us as a group. Often that means doing something that is good personally, like keeping yourself from being lynched.

I know I fight like crazy to avoid being lynched as a "villager" and I would not condemn someone for doing the same.

As far as how I would view it, I would trust it a whole heck of a lot more if there was something in the reveal that gave me a reason to trust it, or could be vouched by someone else. That hasn't been the case for the three earlier reveals.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:01 PM   #981
RendeR
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RendeR, do you see any harm in saying who you used your power on that failed? That certainly could be noteworthy, particularly if you had used your day-time power already on an Olympian who has already passed away (BK, NTN, Pass).


I don't see how revealing that could hurt ME any, but It won't help the person I tried it on I think.

If you think it'd be worth risking some suspicion thrown that persons way I'd be willing to say who it was.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:01 PM   #982
RendeR
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Don't suppose you can narrow it down to a page?? Day 1 is long


I'd have to go back and look to be honest, but its more of an ongoing all day thing that got my attention.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:05 PM   #983
Telle
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Ok, I'm leaving for home shortly and I don't know how much time the little ones are going to give me to get on this evening.. so I'm just going to "put it all out there".

I am Asclepius - God of medicine. I have something of a weak seer ability. I can mix potions that allow me to "learn" something while in a drugged state. After Day 1 I learned that Achilles is one of the human roles active in the game. After Day 2 I learned that Apollo was scanning me.

And in an effort to save my own hide, I'm going to put all of my votes on the current front-runner..

VOTE SCHMIDTY
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:07 PM   #984
Abe Sargent
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What kind of information did you get on me?

In the very section that you quoted, I said it didn't work.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:08 PM   #985
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I don't see how revealing that could hurt ME any, but It won't help the person I tried it on I think.

If you think it'd be worth risking some suspicion thrown that persons way I'd be willing to say who it was.

Well, I don't know what your power is so I left the phrasing pretty open-ended.

I don't have a problem with putting suspicion on anyone in the game - there are no sacred cows in terms of players. Two sacred cows left in terms of roles (Hades and Poseidon), but is there a reason to think that your power would not work against one of them?

Your role, your decision, my two cents.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:09 PM   #986
Lathum
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Telle's reveal confuses me?
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:10 PM   #987
Abe Sargent
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But you realize.. nobody saw you make that dice role.. nobody heard you make that agreement in your head. It very well could just be a distracting story and a way to hide your vote.

I think the point I'm trying to make is that it just seems odd to me and is something to look at. Most certainly not damning proof of any kind

Do you honestly think it would be good wolf strategy to vote yourself on day one? That'd be crazy, and I don't play crazy as a wolf (for proof of how I do act when under Day One scrutiny as a wolf, see last game). I might play UTR as a wolf, I might play helpful villager as a wolf, and I might play "Attacks a specific person" as a wolf, but I don't play crazy as a wolf. I'm too rational for that. (In Myers-Briggs terms, I have such a dominant T that I can't ply a game except rationaly, and taking a big risk just to see what happens is not rational).
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:11 PM   #988
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In the very section that you quoted, I said it didn't work.

Do you consider that a point in my favor or a strike against me?

Also, have you had another opportunity to use your power?

Do you know what kind of information you would have gotten about me if you had been able to locate me? For example, Telle's reveal sounds like she doesn't know going into the night what kind of information she will learn.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:13 PM   #989
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Telle's reveal confuses me?



Seems a bit overly complicated, but there have been roles that twisted before.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:13 PM   #990
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I believe Anxiety.

If it was anyone else in the game I would be skeptical, but not with him.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:14 PM   #991
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And to respond to Hoopsguy:

It was You and It failed, no reason given, simply failed to happen.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:15 PM   #992
RendeR
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Anyone got a current vote count?
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:15 PM   #993
Lathum
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Seems a bit overly complicated, but there have been roles that twisted before.

the timing of it seems odd.


why reveal?
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:17 PM   #994
Abe Sargent
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Anxiety, have you used your power once or twice? If only once, then why not twice?

Once a day. Not telling what happened on Day one.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:18 PM   #995
RendeR
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the timing of it seems odd.


why reveal?


Yeah, it does seem a bit odd. But she may feel that the way hoops and I are arguing the day 1 voting situation and her possibly not being able to get back in time tonight due to the kids all ad up to wanting to add the insurance of a reveal.

Note that almost everyone has stated as much that more reveals garner less and less trust.

Especially considering the type of role she revealed. something seer-like seems like an awfully useful thing to throw to the wolves, so to speak.

Hrm....Couch...vote....couch....vote....
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:18 PM   #996
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Originally Posted by Telle View Post
Ok, I'm leaving for home shortly and I don't know how much time the little ones are going to give me to get on this evening.. so I'm just going to "put it all out there".

I am Asclepius - God of medicine. I have something of a weak seer ability. I can mix potions that allow me to "learn" something while in a drugged state. After Day 1 I learned that Achilles is one of the human roles active in the game. After Day 2 I learned that Apollo was scanning me.

And in an effort to save my own hide, I'm going to put all of my votes on the current front-runner..

VOTE SCHMIDTY

Short of revealing my role and ability, I can verify this. You're in my CoT, Telle, along with DT and Render.

The noose is tightening, Titans. Bring it on.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:18 PM   #997
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OK, so I'm undetectable by Anxiety on Day 2 - not a huge surprise as I was kidnapped (Minotaur's lair).

However, you trying to take action against me on Day 3 and failing is a big surprise. I've got a bunch of questions that I would like to ask about this, but I don't want to force you into talking about your role if you are not prepared to do so. So, how about this - you ask me questions and I'll try to answer them.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:23 PM   #998
Abe Sargent
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Ok, I'm leaving for home shortly and I don't know how much time the little ones are going to give me to get on this evening.. so I'm just going to "put it all out there".

I am Asclepius - God of medicine. I have something of a weak seer ability. I can mix potions that allow me to "learn" something while in a drugged state. After Day 1 I learned that Achilles is one of the human roles active in the game. After Day 2 I learned that Apollo was scanning me.

And in an effort to save my own hide, I'm going to put all of my votes on the current front-runner..

VOTE SCHMIDTY


Wow.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:23 PM   #999
RendeR
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Buffalo, NY
Quote:
Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
OK, so I'm undetectable by Anxiety on Day 2 - not a huge surprise as I was kidnapped (Minotaur's lair).

However, you trying to take action against me on Day 3 and failing is a big surprise. I've got a bunch of questions that I would like to ask about this, but I don't want to force you into talking about your role if you are not prepared to do so. So, how about this - you ask me questions and I'll try to answer them.


My ability does not work "against" anyone, it is a non-threatening ability.

I am not writing off the possibility that someone ELSE is acting against me to llimit my power also. I can't think of anything I could ask that would help without giving myself away entirely.
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Old 10-25-2007, 03:24 PM   #1000
hoopsguy
General Manager
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Chicago
Also, I certainly did not expect you to name me, RendeR. I did not receive any kind of PM related to you at all today.
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