Football betting discussion thread - Page 2

lynchjm24 · 09-07-2009, 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmooth

Yeah this is going exactly as I imagined it would, thus far. Sweet.

Nice combination by Cinci there... total mayhem on a running attempt and a terrible interception back to back...

Bigsmooth · 09-07-2009, 04:29 PM

The over is looking real good at this point. Nati might get it by themselves.

lynchjm24 · 09-07-2009, 04:48 PM

Bigsmooth you have a pick in the late game? I sort of like Miami +200 on m/l.

Bigsmooth · 09-07-2009, 05:25 PM

Yeah, I have a couple bets riding on Miami. I have Miami +6.5 in one and need UNDER 53.5 in another. I feel like this will be a sloppy, grind it out type game with too much speed on each defense for either offense to contend with. Only way it goes OVER is if there are a bunch of turnovers, which is pretty likely actually.

lynchjm24 · 09-07-2009, 07:16 PM

I parlayed Miami on the $line with the under... not sure if a quick TD is good or bad...

Bigsmooth · 09-07-2009, 07:32 PM

Yeah, hopefully these defenses settle in.

Recoil · 09-07-2009, 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmooth

Yeah, I have a couple bets riding on Miami. I have Miami +6.5 in one and need UNDER 53.5 in another. I feel like this will be a sloppy, grind it out type game with too much speed on each defense for either offense to contend with. Only way it goes OVER is if there are a bunch of turnovers, which is pretty likely actually.

What book did you get the FSU/Miami under 53.5?

Lathum · 09-07-2009, 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Recoil

What book did you get the FSU/Miami under 53.5?

Must be a teaser.

I got them under 47

Recoil · 09-07-2009, 07:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

Must be a teaser.

I got them under 47

That's what I was thinking. I got 47.5 on the game.

Bigsmooth · 09-07-2009, 08:07 PM

Yep, 6 point teaser.

Cuckoo · 09-07-2009, 08:48 PM

Thanks to lynchjim. I was thinking of taking the money line on Cincy and decided to when he posted.

Recoil · 09-07-2009, 10:58 PM

Took Miami +3 in the second half and getting my money back plus a little more on my under bet. Crazy game.

Bigsmooth · 09-07-2009, 11:05 PM

That was a great game. Luckily, I pulled out the bigger of my two bets with Miami covering the 6.5. I really need to follow Bill Simmons' advice and lay off on taking UNDER's. You never wanna watch a game and cheer for nothing to happen...not a good vibe and I rarely hit on them.

lynchjm24 · 09-08-2009, 05:42 AM

I'm almost embarrassed to admit this, but I had every intention of taking Miami and the under, instead I had Miami and the over. I'll chalk it up to the subconscious being stronger then the conscious.

lynchjm24 · 09-08-2009, 05:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cuckoo

Thanks to lynchjim. I was thinking of taking the money line on Cincy and decided to when he posted.

You could have doubled up again on Miami +200.

I love moneyline dogs. I think maybe I'll just bet them across the board in the NFL since I'm useless with the pointspreads.

Cuckoo · 09-08-2009, 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24

You could have doubled up again on Miami +200.

I love moneyline dogs. I think maybe I'll just bet them across the board in the NFL since I'm useless with the pointspreads.

Yeah, I didn't do the moneyline, but I ended up grabbing them at +6.5 at the last minute. Overall for the weekend I was 6 of 7, I think, with my only miss being LSU at Washington.

Bigsmooth · 09-08-2009, 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24

You could have doubled up again on Miami +200.

I love moneyline dogs. I think maybe I'll just bet them across the board in the NFL since I'm useless with the pointspreads.

That's smart. So many underdog's have won outright in the NFL the last couple of seasons. What do you all think about Week 1 NFL lines? So far I really like the Seahawks (-8 or so) to cover against the Rams. Looks like Bulger is out and Boller will be starting. Qwest will be INSANE and the offense should be able to go up and down the field despite the Rams decent front 7.

lynchjm24 · 09-08-2009, 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmooth

That's smart. So many underdog's have won outright in the NFL the last couple of seasons. What do you all think about Week 1 NFL lines? So far I really like the Seahawks (-8 or so) to cover against the Rams. Looks like Bulger is out and Boller will be starting. Qwest will be INSANE and the offense should be able to go up and down the field despite the Rams decent front 7.

I'm a much bigger college fan then pro. Looking though I like Cincinnati and the over in the Giants game so far.

Before that though I really like Georgia Tech on Thursday. Saturday I like UNC so far. Might like Notre Dame and potentially Western Michigan.

Bigsmooth · 09-08-2009, 06:24 PM

Just saw that Cincinnati is only a 4 point favorite at home over the Broncos. That's even with the chance Orton will be out. Think I'm gonna pounce on that one. With Palmer back, I think the Bengals will surprise some people. Haven't looked at the college lines yet.

lynchjm24 · 09-08-2009, 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmooth

Just saw that Cincinnati is only a 4 point favorite at home over the Broncos. That's even with the chance Orton will be out. Think I'm gonna pounce on that one. With Palmer back, I think the Bengals will surprise some people. Haven't looked at the college lines yet.

I'm just straight Anti-Denver, that's a team in some serious trouble.

CU Tiger · 09-08-2009, 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24

Before that though I really like Georgia Tech on Thursday.

LETS BET A SIGNATURE ON IT....

lynchjm24 · 09-08-2009, 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CU Tiger

LETS BET A SIGNATURE ON IT....

I actually like Clemson, one of my best friends went there and I've been down to Death Valley 3 times. That's why I can see Thursday's loss coming

.

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 02:10 PM

so is Spiller out for sure?

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 02:10 PM

I like the over in the Steelers-Titans game tonight. I think Pitt lays it on them thick.

B & B · 09-10-2009, 03:21 PM

Spiller is playing for sure. He sat out the 2h in last weeks snoozer to be ready. No, hes not 100% but he wont miss this game.

Neuqua · 09-10-2009, 06:07 PM

I took Tennessee +7 (bought the hook).. And am leaning Clemson +5...

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 06:28 PM

I took Clemson +5.5 and the over 36 in the Pitt game

lynchjm24 · 09-10-2009, 06:38 PM

I've got Tech, the Clemson Tigers are the only tigers in nature that lay eggs.

I'm with you guys on the Pittsburgh over.

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 07:12 PM

Clemson not looking great right now. Awesome field position 3 times ans nothing. Down 14-0 on the road with a young QB. Ugh

lynchjm24 · 09-10-2009, 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

Clemson not looking great right now. Awesome field position 3 times ans nothing. Down 14-0 on the road with a young QB. Ugh

And people thought Tommy Bowden was bad.

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 08:46 PM

well thats 6 points off the board in the Titans game

Neuqua · 09-10-2009, 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

well thats 6 points off the board in the Titans game

Lathum · 09-10-2009, 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neuqua

cost me the first half over.

I also have a parlay with the over in that game and the college game. At least the half ended better

Cuckoo · 09-11-2009, 11:05 AM

I blew my first pro bet with Pittsburgh last night too. I'm looking at a couple for this weekend. What do you think?

Eagles -2
Vikings -4
Edit: Oh, and I already took Cincy. I'm with the crowd here on that one.

And then in college, I have no idea which way to go on that ND/Michigan game but might put some on USC against Ohio State, even though it's moved to 7 now. Don't know much about Toledo, but I have to think Colorado is better than they played last week, so I might go for a parlay on that and another game I know very little about, like North Carolina.

Also, am I the only one that thinks the over on the Tennessee/UCLA game looks good?

Lathum · 09-11-2009, 11:17 AM

I would be worried about taking the Eagles and Vikings both as road favorites.

Cinci looks like a good bet, especially considering the Orton situation.

The USC game makes me nervous. Freshman QB, etc...

Toledo got smoked last week but I could see them getting fired up for this game. Big 12 opponent, home game, national TV. I can see an upset here. They lost 52-31 last week so I would be inclined to take the over 54 here. If you really like Colorado maybe tease them to +3 over 47

As for UNC, again a road favorite makes me nervous. Randy Etsall (sp?) is a great coach and will have his team ready at home.

Bodog hasn't put up an over/under for the UCLA game yet.

Lathum · 09-11-2009, 11:18 AM

dola- I think Notre Dame rolls here.

Cuckoo · 09-11-2009, 11:23 AM

BetJamaica has the over/under on UCLA/Tennessee at 44 1/2.

Lathum · 09-11-2009, 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cuckoo

BetJamaica has the over/under on UCLA/Tennessee at 44 1/2.

that seems very low

lynchjm24 · 09-11-2009, 11:29 AM

I'm all over North Carolina.

3 of the others I like are ND, USC, Colorado. I also like Western Michigan.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cuckoo

I blew my first pro bet with Pittsburgh last night too. I'm looking at a couple for this weekend. What do you think?

Eagles -2
Vikings -4
Edit: Oh, and I already took Cincy. I'm with the crowd here on that one.

And then in college, I have no idea which way to go on that ND/Michigan game but might put some on USC against Ohio State, even though it's moved to 7 now. Don't know much about Toledo, but I have to think Colorado is better than they played last week, so I might go for a parlay on that and another game I know very little about, like North Carolina.

Also, am I the only one that thinks the over on the Tennessee/UCLA game looks good?

Cuckoo · 09-11-2009, 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24

I'm all over North Carolina.

3 of the others I like are ND, USC, Colorado. I also like Western Michigan.

Good to hear. With the exception of Western Michigan, I think I'm going with all of the others, as well as the over on UCLA/Tennessee.

lynchjm24 · 09-11-2009, 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

Randy Etsall

Edsall. All sorts of problems at quarterback though. The starter Fraser is a ND transfer who was a big prospect out of PA but was just brutal last week against Ohio. He's thrown 9 INT's in 4 starts and the only time he really moved the offense at all last year was @ Rutgers and they still only managed to score 10 points.

Of course I will be there and part of the point of my bet is to make me feel a little bit better if UConn loses.

lynchjm24 · 09-11-2009, 11:37 AM

It seems funny but I like Duke in a pick'em at Army. Since I'm out early tomorrow I went:

Duke Pick'em
Colorado -4
UNC -4 & -4.5 (got it early in the week and again today)
WMU + 1.5 (got an extra hook there by waiting)
ND - 3

Neuqua · 09-11-2009, 04:31 PM

Colorado/Toledo u54.5

Lathum · 09-11-2009, 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neuqua

Colorado/Toledo u54.5

heh, I took the over.

Neuqua · 09-11-2009, 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

heh, I took the over.

Apparently you're not the only one, the line has jumped a full point to 55.5, dang.

henry296 · 09-11-2009, 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

that seems very low

Wasn't TN/UCLA low scoring last year?

Lathum · 09-11-2009, 08:27 PM

anyone wanna bet that missed 2 point conversion screws me

Bigsmooth · 09-11-2009, 09:03 PM

Here's how I'm rolling tomorrow:

6-point teaser (3 team)

UW -14.5
Like UW to roll here versus Idaho. Seems like a trap game, however that is not the case. If the Huskies lose they set a Division 1 record for consecutive losses. Sark will be out to prove a point. Idaho will NOT be able to contain Locker. Factor in the home crowd and the Huskies should cover the 3 TD's.

Oregon -7
Nice bounce back game at home versus Purdue. I was impressed with the Ducks defense against Boise State, who will consistently put up 40 pts per game this season IMO. Blount is a big loss, however, the Ducks are not hurting for talent or athleticism. The Oline will decide this one and I think they will bring it.

Southern Cal -1
Just read this:
"The Trojans have won seven straight road openers -- six of them against big-six conference opponents. Average score: 43-12. The opponents: Colorado, Auburn, Virginia Tech, Hawaii, Arkansas, Nebraska, Virginia."

Barkley has been prepared for games like this since he was 5. I heard OSU has been preparing for USC all offseason, which is why they struggled with Navy. That said, no way the Trojans blow them out again but they should still win it late.

lynchjm24 · 09-11-2009, 09:13 PM

The over under should be a barn burner. Colorado is stank bad.

Neuqua · 09-11-2009, 09:29 PM

Wow, I did not know CU was this awful.

09-07-2009, 08:48 PM	#61
Cuckoo College Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Edmond, OK	Thanks to lynchjim. I was thinking of taking the money line on Cincy and decided to when he posted. __________________ Commissioner - North American Football League Dallas Cowboys GM

09-08-2009, 06:24 PM	#69
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	Just saw that Cincinnati is only a 4 point favorite at home over the Broncos. That's even with the chance Orton will be out. Think I'm gonna pounce on that one. With Palmer back, I think the Bengals will surprise some people. Haven't looked at the college lines yet. Last edited by Bigsmooth : 09-08-2009 at 06:24 PM.

09-10-2009, 03:21 PM	#75
B & B College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: A sports era long ago when everything didnt require a Nike logo	Spiller is playing for sure. He sat out the 2h in last weeks snoozer to be ready. No, hes not 100% but he wont miss this game. __________________ Nobody cares about Kyle Orton because he's black. -PT

09-10-2009, 06:07 PM	#76
Neuqua Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Chicago, Ill	I took Tennessee +7 (bought the hook).. And am leaning Clemson +5... __________________ Our Deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light, not our darkness that most frightens us. We ask ourselves, 'Who am I to be brilliant, gorgeous, talented, fabulous?' Actually, who are you not to be?

09-11-2009, 11:05 AM	#84
Cuckoo College Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Edmond, OK	I blew my first pro bet with Pittsburgh last night too. I'm looking at a couple for this weekend. What do you think? Eagles -2 Vikings -4 Edit: Oh, and I already took Cincy. I'm with the crowd here on that one. And then in college, I have no idea which way to go on that ND/Michigan game but might put some on USC against Ohio State, even though it's moved to 7 now. Don't know much about Toledo, but I have to think Colorado is better than they played last week, so I might go for a parlay on that and another game I know very little about, like North Carolina. Also, am I the only one that thinks the over on the Tennessee/UCLA game looks good? __________________ Commissioner - North American Football League Dallas Cowboys GM Last edited by Cuckoo : 09-11-2009 at 11:06 AM.

09-07-2009, 04:29 PM	#52
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	The over is looking real good at this point. Nati might get it by themselves.

09-07-2009, 04:48 PM	#53
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	Bigsmooth you have a pick in the late game? I sort of like Miami +200 on m/l.

09-07-2009, 05:25 PM	#54
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	Yeah, I have a couple bets riding on Miami. I have Miami +6.5 in one and need UNDER 53.5 in another. I feel like this will be a sloppy, grind it out type game with too much speed on each defense for either offense to contend with. Only way it goes OVER is if there are a bunch of turnovers, which is pretty likely actually.

09-07-2009, 07:16 PM	#55
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	I parlayed Miami on the $line with the under... not sure if a quick TD is good or bad...

09-07-2009, 07:32 PM	#56
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	Yeah, hopefully these defenses settle in.

09-07-2009, 08:07 PM	#60
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	Yep, 6 point teaser.

09-07-2009, 10:58 PM	#62
Recoil High School Varsity Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: GA	Took Miami +3 in the second half and getting my money back plus a little more on my under bet. Crazy game.

09-07-2009, 11:05 PM	#63
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	That was a great game. Luckily, I pulled out the bigger of my two bets with Miami covering the 6.5. I really need to follow Bill Simmons' advice and lay off on taking UNDER's. You never wanna watch a game and cheer for nothing to happen...not a good vibe and I rarely hit on them.

09-08-2009, 05:42 AM	#64
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	I'm almost embarrassed to admit this, but I had every intention of taking Miami and the under, instead I had Miami and the over. I'll chalk it up to the subconscious being stronger then the conscious.

09-10-2009, 02:10 PM	#73
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	so is Spiller out for sure?

09-10-2009, 06:28 PM	#77
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	I took Clemson +5.5 and the over 36 in the Pitt game

09-10-2009, 06:38 PM	#78
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	I've got Tech, the Clemson Tigers are the only tigers in nature that lay eggs. I'm with you guys on the Pittsburgh over.

09-10-2009, 07:12 PM	#79
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	Clemson not looking great right now. Awesome field position 3 times ans nothing. Down 14-0 on the road with a young QB. Ugh

09-10-2009, 08:46 PM	#81
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	well thats 6 points off the board in the Titans game

09-11-2009, 11:17 AM	#85
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	I would be worried about taking the Eagles and Vikings both as road favorites. Cinci looks like a good bet, especially considering the Orton situation. The USC game makes me nervous. Freshman QB, etc... Toledo got smoked last week but I could see them getting fired up for this game. Big 12 opponent, home game, national TV. I can see an upset here. They lost 52-31 last week so I would be inclined to take the over 54 here. If you really like Colorado maybe tease them to +3 over 47 As for UNC, again a road favorite makes me nervous. Randy Etsall (sp?) is a great coach and will have his team ready at home. Bodog hasn't put up an over/under for the UCLA game yet.

09-11-2009, 11:18 AM	#86
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	dola- I think Notre Dame rolls here.

09-11-2009, 11:23 AM	#87
Cuckoo College Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Edmond, OK	BetJamaica has the over/under on UCLA/Tennessee at 44 1/2. __________________ Commissioner - North American Football League Dallas Cowboys GM

09-11-2009, 11:37 AM	#92
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	It seems funny but I like Duke in a pick'em at Army. Since I'm out early tomorrow I went: Duke Pick'em Colorado -4 UNC -4 & -4.5 (got it early in the week and again today) WMU + 1.5 (got an extra hook there by waiting) ND - 3

09-11-2009, 04:31 PM	#93
Neuqua Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Chicago, Ill	Colorado/Toledo u54.5 __________________ Our Deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light, not our darkness that most frightens us. We ask ourselves, 'Who am I to be brilliant, gorgeous, talented, fabulous?' Actually, who are you not to be?

09-11-2009, 08:27 PM	#97
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	anyone wanna bet that missed 2 point conversion screws me

09-11-2009, 09:03 PM	#98
Bigsmooth College Prospect Join Date: Dec 2006	Here's how I'm rolling tomorrow: 6-point teaser (3 team) UW -14.5 Like UW to roll here versus Idaho. Seems like a trap game, however that is not the case. If the Huskies lose they set a Division 1 record for consecutive losses. Sark will be out to prove a point. Idaho will NOT be able to contain Locker. Factor in the home crowd and the Huskies should cover the 3 TD's. Oregon -7 Nice bounce back game at home versus Purdue. I was impressed with the Ducks defense against Boise State, who will consistently put up 40 pts per game this season IMO. Blount is a big loss, however, the Ducks are not hurting for talent or athleticism. The Oline will decide this one and I think they will bring it. Southern Cal -1 Just read this: "The Trojans have won seven straight road openers -- six of them against big-six conference opponents. Average score: 43-12. The opponents: Colorado, Auburn, Virginia Tech, Hawaii, Arkansas, Nebraska, Virginia." Barkley has been prepared for games like this since he was 5. I heard OSU has been preparing for USC all offseason, which is why they struggled with Navy. That said, no way the Trojans blow them out again but they should still win it late.

09-11-2009, 09:13 PM	#99
lynchjm24 College Benchwarmer Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Hartford	The over under should be a barn burner. Colorado is stank bad.

09-11-2009, 09:29 PM	#100
Neuqua Pro Rookie Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Chicago, Ill	Wow, I did not know CU was this awful. __________________ Our Deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light, not our darkness that most frightens us. We ask ourselves, 'Who am I to be brilliant, gorgeous, talented, fabulous?' Actually, who are you not to be?

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