10-06-2016, 01:42 PM | #851 | |
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Chemtrails are poisoning the atmosphere. Global warming is a hoax and the entire scientific community has been paid off to push an agenda. GMOs are harmful to people and the environment, despite hundreds of peer reviewed studies saying the opposite, and you're a Monsanto shill if you disagree. Vaccines cause autism and Big Pharma is hiding the evidence. That's what your argument sounds like. |
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10-06-2016, 01:44 PM | #852 | |
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You are wrong because I remember a game when it was 35 degrees in April that there was 5 home runs hit in Chicago. That is how stupid your arguments are. Cherry pick from small sample sizes much? |
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10-06-2016, 01:49 PM | #853 | |
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Its not some big conspiracy that I care all that much about. More of what the fuck is going on. Why are Rangers/Blue Jay games being played in a dome stadium so low scoring in the post season. Why the hell does Marcus Stroman turn into a great pitcher during the post season. Why is it the pitchers that seem to over perform more often than the hitters. Not all fucking post season games are effected by weather so stop with the god damn weather rant about some stupid shit Ive known about far longer than you. Do something productive and look at the totals from all of the games over the past 20 years from the postseason where weather hasnt changed all that much from the regular season. You will then understand. Check on how many more unders than overs there are in the postseason. I dont even think the books have an explanation because they dont really adjust for it. Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-06-2016 at 01:53 PM. |
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10-06-2016, 01:58 PM | #854 | |
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Let's assume your idea is true and MLB is trying to suppress HRs, and scores, to keep playoff games close. In 2015 there were 36 playoff games with 13 decided by 4 runs or more (too big a deficit for a save). In 2014 there were 32 playoff games with 8 decided by 4 runs or more. In 2013 there were 38 playoff games with 12 decided by 4 runs or more. In 2012 there were 37 playoff games with 13 decided by 4 runs or more. If the goal is to keep games close for sponsors, they're failing at over a 30% rate in recent years. |
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10-06-2016, 02:20 PM | #855 | |
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10-06-2016, 02:48 PM | #856 | |
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I disagree as I am not the one arguing something that most baseball fans have known since the mid-90s(weather effects). I was asking for something you guys werent ready for I guess. Fangraphs hasnt done the legwork for you yet. I was asking for opinions but got nothing so its time to move on. It would be reasonable IF all post season games played had considerably different weather than the regular season. The weather explanation doesnt work when runs drop from 2-3 runs a game and the weather drops 5 degrees. Too many variables at this point to dig deeper. Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-06-2016 at 02:52 PM. |
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10-06-2016, 03:04 PM | #857 | |
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Yep, you're the baseball equivalent of a conspiracy nut. You've been given reasonable explanations, with empirical support, and essentially stuck your fingers in your ears and said "nuh-uh." You made the assertion that different baseballs are used in the playoffs. Provide anything that resembles evidence of that. Here's a study of 2005-2006 showing the effects of colder weather on both pitcher control and batted balls. Due to the colder, drier air, pitchers have less precise control which leads increases in K, BB, and HBP. HRs drop by 0.8% of batted balls once you get under 75°. |
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10-06-2016, 03:14 PM | #858 | |
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And congrats on becoming the first person Ive ever had to use the ignore feature on. Firstly in the NBA thread you actually try to argue that one of the best NBA players on planet earth isnt a huge upgrade over an aging injury prone center and you follow that up by insisting on using other peoples work to refute a claim that isnt even comparable to my argument. Time to move on from you. I will give you credit at least on the Durant argument you stuck to the point of what you were saying. Puffing your chest out about weather effects that have been around for 30+ years without responding to thinking outside the box of what other factors might be in play with lower scoring postseason games. Any chance that hitters are tensing up, any chance they could be using different balls, any chance the umps are calling a larger zone? Nothing else right? Just games in San Francisco become lower scoring during the post season because of the huge San Francisco cold surge that happens in October. We all know the dome effects in October to decrease exit velocity off the bat as well. Clearly, its just gotta be the weather. Peace! Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-06-2016 at 03:15 PM. |
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10-06-2016, 03:23 PM | #859 | |
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- You said: "I swear MLB uses different balls for post season." - I reminded you that the ball doesn't travel as far in colder weather (and BTW, it was 62 degrees at first pitch last night - that's quite a bit cooler than a typical Summer game in NYC) - While you acknowledge that temperature has an effect on how far the ball travels, you continue to insist that there's more to it than that and make claims about how much less offense there is in the post-season You are making claims that are beyond standard, known factors that would drive down offense in the post-season (colder weather, more innings pitched by better pitchers), thus the burden of proof is on you. Let's see the numbers on how much less offense there is in the post-season. Let's review the average temperature drop from June-August vs. October. You're asking for opinions, and it seems that most of the opinions expressed so far are that there's nothing going on in the post-season that requires an explanation of doctored/different baseballs. |
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10-06-2016, 03:36 PM | #860 |
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Better than average pitchers facing hitters in cooler weather, under increased stress & magnitude conditions where the actor seems to have an advantage over the reactor, with the pitching further improved by having narrowed rotations.
There's no need for a conspiracy to reduce the offense.
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10-06-2016, 03:44 PM | #861 | |
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No Thanks! Ill just keep investing year after year on the unders and padding my bankroll. No need to debate something that is working for whatever reason. Staying off this Texas/Toronto game. Should be high scoring. Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-06-2016 at 03:45 PM. |
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10-06-2016, 03:46 PM | #862 | |
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I'm going to do this one for him. Through 2013 it was about .75 runs less per team, per game, with the gap closing. Last edited by CrescentMoonie : 10-06-2016 at 03:46 PM. |
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10-06-2016, 03:46 PM | #863 | |
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More of what I was looking for! Thank you! |
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10-06-2016, 03:48 PM | #864 |
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10-06-2016, 04:41 PM | #865 |
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They're using the regular season baseballs in Texas. Has nothing to do with it being 89° right now.
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10-06-2016, 04:43 PM | #866 |
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I think something is wrong with Cole Hamels. He has had some really bad outings his last few times out.
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10-06-2016, 04:44 PM | #867 |
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Desmond is centerfield cost the Rangers there. Hamels not locating at all.
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10-06-2016, 05:18 PM | #868 |
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That sucks for Desmond. He's probably been the single biggest reason why the Rangers are where they are.
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10-06-2016, 05:47 PM | #869 | |
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http://www.brooksbaseball.net/velo.p.../2016&s_type=2 |
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10-06-2016, 08:42 PM | #870 |
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Tito brings Andrew Miller in the 5th inning. This is how you manage, Buck.
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10-06-2016, 09:13 PM | #871 |
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Indians leave the bases loaded with a chance to blow it open. Unfortunate bounce cost them a run that inning also.
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10-07-2016, 10:35 AM | #872 |
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Full day of baseball today. 4 games with the first one starting in a couple of hours.
70 degrees in Texas with a 13 mph wind blowing out to right center(wind blowing out doesnt effect much @ Rangers ballpark. I think Texas gets the win today as Yu has had great success against Bautista and Donaldson and 7 of their 9 hitters are right handed. Rangers should be able to put up enough against Happ to get it done. 77 degrees in Cleveland with the wind blowing out to center at 9 mph. Both pitchers will have to pitch deep into the game with the bullpens getting a lot of work last night. The only hitter that has had decent success against Price is Santana while a few of the Red Sox hitters seem to hit Kluber around pretty good. Id give the edge to the Red Sox to even it out. Probably be a low scoring game with the shadows of playing this game in the late afternoon. 70 degrees at Washington with the wind blowing in 8 mph from right center With Scherzer vs Kershaw you wouldnt expect much offense. Hard to make a prediction on this one as 1 pitch or 1 defensive lapse will probably be the deciding factor. Hard to see more than 5 runs being scored. Also, late afternoon game with these two on the mound makes for tough hitting conditions. 54 degrees in Chicago with a 7 mph wind out to right. Neither team has had much success against the other teams starter. The depth of the Cubs lineup is always important for post season however the Giants do have momentum. Posey always a threat against left handed pitching but in the end the Cubs will probably find a way into the Giants pen early enough and pick apart at the Giants shaky relief pitching. Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-07-2016 at 10:48 AM. |
10-07-2016, 01:52 PM | #873 |
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The Rangers aces are letting them down. Yu gives up 4 home runs. Most in his career.
Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-07-2016 at 01:53 PM. |
10-07-2016, 02:07 PM | #874 |
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10-07-2016, 02:17 PM | #875 |
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That 65 degree weather in Texas must be giving the ball that extra lift.
Last edited by jbergey22 : 10-07-2016 at 02:19 PM. |
10-07-2016, 03:10 PM | #876 |
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That looked painful.
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10-07-2016, 03:19 PM | #877 |
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10-07-2016, 04:01 PM | #878 |
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The Blue Jays are a scary team.
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10-07-2016, 04:17 PM | #879 |
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At what point do teams stop using David Price in their playoff rotations?
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10-07-2016, 04:21 PM | #880 |
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Jesus Christ Price 24 pitches and down 4-0
Last edited by Galaril : 10-07-2016 at 04:21 PM. |
10-07-2016, 04:42 PM | #881 |
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Microcosm of Scherzer's season in the first two batters. K and HR.
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10-07-2016, 05:32 PM | #882 |
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Good start for the Dodgers
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10-07-2016, 05:35 PM | #883 |
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10-07-2016, 06:08 PM | #884 |
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So...Scherzer and Kershaw not exactly having the pitching duel that was expected.
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10-07-2016, 06:10 PM | #885 |
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Kershaw hasn't been the pitcher he was before the injury, since he's come back. I'm also fully aware that Kershaw struggles in the postseason
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10-07-2016, 06:17 PM | #886 |
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The game 1 and 2 Red Sox starters make about 8 times as much as the games 1 and 2 indians starters
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10-07-2016, 08:32 PM | #887 | |
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Hopefully they can come back, but there were enough holes all season none of this is surprising. |
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10-07-2016, 10:35 PM | #888 |
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The Basket giveth today
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10-09-2016, 12:35 PM | #889 |
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Corey Seager probably is the most irreplaceable player in baseball. As he goes, so does the Dodgers. Probably a sub .500 team without him
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10-09-2016, 10:33 PM | #890 |
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Blue Jays are looking a lot like the 2014 Royals. Got that big WC win and just carried that momentum and tore through the #1 seed.
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10-10-2016, 12:15 AM | #891 |
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GO JAYS GO!!!!!
SO pumped, can't sleep!! It's not lost on me how the series ended!!
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10-10-2016, 05:16 PM | #892 |
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Gio Gonzalez is allergic to success.
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10-10-2016, 07:54 PM | #893 |
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Not that it's the reason they lost but this schedule the Dodgers have has been a travesty.
Kershaw went through his day before a game routine |
10-10-2016, 08:13 PM | #894 |
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Surprised Pedroia didn't get run there.
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10-10-2016, 08:17 PM | #895 |
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Yep, playoff umps giving him some leeway because that was clearly a strike. Same thing at the end of game 1 - he didn't check his swing in time.
Will be forgotten if we don't score, but heck of a catch there by Mookie. Just an unbelievable all around athlete. |
10-10-2016, 08:54 PM | #896 |
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There are many nicknames for David Ortiz. Big Papi, the Large Father, and many more. He was a major factor in the Sox winning three World Series ('04, '07 and '13).
I think he'll be remembered fondly for one other thing too. And that is a certain line after the 2013 Boston Marathon attacks, the day after Dzhokar Tsarnaev had been found hiding in a boat and arrested. "This is our FUCKING city and nobody's going to dictate our freedom. Stay Strong." "Adios, y Gracias!"
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10-10-2016, 09:12 PM | #897 | |
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same as everyone else....
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10-10-2016, 09:14 PM | #898 |
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Way too many pitches for Bumgarner. At this rate, he's only going 6 innings.
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10-10-2016, 09:18 PM | #899 |
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Dola.
Maybe 2 innings...
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10-10-2016, 09:42 PM | #900 |
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