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Old 03-16-2011, 01:57 PM   #801
JAG
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
Quote:
Originally Posted by Autumn View Post
So do you think Jeff, Narc and Tyke are the last three wolves? That would be a coup. But right now we're not lynching any of them, lol.

Those three and Darth are my top suspects, I would guess one of Tyke/Darth would be a wolf, but not sure which.
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Old 03-16-2011, 01:57 PM   #802
mckerney
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Hope I'm wrong, but I have a feeling Darth will come back as a villager.
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Old 03-16-2011, 01:58 PM   #803
CrimsonFox
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Join Date: Dec 2009
Don't like what I'm hearing from bhlloy today. Haven't really liked anything Autumn has said yet. Many things he's said are negative about people's ideas and then being suspicious of people who have believable reasons they are villagers.

my vote means nothing today. so be it. tyke has enough clearance with me for today. If he's a wolf fine but not an obvious one and i'd only look at him down the road.
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Old 03-16-2011, 01:59 PM   #804
MartinD
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Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
thank you, this weas a lot to read Martin is awesome.

Tell me about it - I've spent the last hour just going through the posts since I was online this morning...
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Old 03-16-2011, 01:59 PM   #805
mckerney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JAG View Post
Those three and Darth are my top suspects, I would guess one of Tyke/Darth would be a wolf, but not sure which.

I suspect Tyke and Narcizo more as a wolf than Darth right now. Those two having vote on Darth is what is making me nervous right now.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:00 PM   #806
Autumn
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
Being suspicious of people is how we play the game CF. How you play the game as a wolf is trying to make people sound more trustworthy than they are. So I figure my job is to poke holes if someone starts sounding more trusted than they should be.

Frankly, Jeff was as far as my voting list went today, so JAG's wrinkle has thrown me off. I think I posted some pretty good voting analysis, myself, but I guess you don't have to concur ;-)
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:01 PM   #807
CrimsonFox
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why mckerney?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:01 PM   #808
CrimsonFox
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that's why i'm suspicious of you autumn
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:01 PM   #809
Autumn
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mckerney View Post
I suspect Tyke and Narcizo more as a wolf than Darth right now. Those two having vote on Darth is what is making me nervous right now.

Though Narc seemed reluctant to vote for either one of them.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:02 PM   #810
Autumn
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Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
that's why i'm suspicious of you autumn

lol
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:02 PM   #811
CrimsonFox
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Don't take it personally of course. I happen to like wolves.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:03 PM   #812
CrimsonFox
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we are past deadline now correctamundo?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:04 PM   #813
mckerney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Autumn View Post
Though Narc seemed reluctant to vote for either one of them.

It did make me quite a bit more suspicious of him as the day went on after not having too strong a feeling on him to start the day.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:06 PM   #814
Passacaglia
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Big Ten Country
The Family gets together once more to find the traitors and bring them to justice, Family style. They settle on Darth Vilus, and order the hit. Moments later, word reaches the compound that Captain McCluskey has been killed. At first, the public is near riotous, ready to riot against cop-killing crime action, until it's later revealed that McCluskey had underground ties himself, and was the most corrupt cop out there.

You go to sleep feeling much better, and wake up to better news. Carlo Rizzi was found killed on the side of the road. The gun used to shoot him was laying further off from the road. Little is known of the killer, though based on forensic evidence near the site, authorities state that he or she has a bit of a sweet tooth. jeff061 was Carlo Rizzi!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:07 PM   #815
JAG
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Awesome!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:07 PM   #816
mckerney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
why mckerney?

Mostly because I think there's a better chance of Narcizo and tyketime being wolves than Darth and they're both voting for him. Nothing to strong I suppose and mostly just worried how the day will go for us.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:08 PM   #817
J23
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Sweet!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:08 PM   #818
JAG
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Location: St. Paul, MN
Martin, we read the same tea leaves.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:09 PM   #819
Zinto
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Woohoo. Great day today.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:09 PM   #820
CrimsonFox
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Best night ever!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:09 PM   #821
JAG
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Location: St. Paul, MN
And Luca got a block it seems, perfect day.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:10 PM   #822
Autumn
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Join Date: Feb 2003
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Wow, awesome. I really didn't expect anything good with Darth.

No night kill?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:10 PM   #823
MartinD
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JAG View Post
Martin, we read the same tea leaves.

That's very possible, but you had the opportunity to do something about it, and took full advantage
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:10 PM   #824
J23
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Well, I think we can safely say that JAG is fully cleared.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:11 PM   #825
mckerney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
Best night ever!

on the pass to JAG!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:11 PM   #826
J23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J23 View Post
Well, I think we can safely say that JAG is fully cleared.

well, perhaps not fully, but pretty darn highly cleared. That would be a ridiculously epic wolf play
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:11 PM   #827
CrimsonFox
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Is there really no night kill?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:12 PM   #828
Passacaglia
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Location: Big Ten Country
Day 4 begins!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:13 PM   #829
MartinD
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
Is there really no night kill?

That's what it looks like - could we have had a better day?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:14 PM   #830
bhlloy
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Perfect night. Great job JAG and I think we got lucky on Darth, but can't argue with results.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:15 PM   #831
Autumn
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Join Date: Feb 2003
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Well, Jeff I figured. I'm going to have to go back and see what Darth means in the vote count. I'm afraid not much, but maybe we'll find something.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:15 PM   #832
J23
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Whoever is Luca has had some really good reads. Both the kill and then this block.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:15 PM   #833
Autumn
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Bath, ME
But right now my boss, which is me, is going to kill me for spending so much time on this in the middle of the afternoon. be back later.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:16 PM   #834
EagleFan
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
Sweet day!!! Not much time to read what all happened (bosses swarming and don't want to be their lynch vote) but I see the results.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:20 PM   #835
The Jackal
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
Awesome. So much for two villagers going down, eh jeff?
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:22 PM   #836
bhlloy
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Join Date: Nov 2003
I'm stunned the wolves didn't make a bigger effort to save Darth. Jeff's vote was just sitting there wasted on JAG and there are potentially two other votes out there. In theory they could have tied it if there were no wolves on Tyke.

And obviously, that looks really bad for Autumn and I...

Thinking out loud I wonder if they just missed the NK and the opportunity to save Darth. They let two of their own go down without any kind of a fight. Very wierd.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:23 PM   #837
The Jackal
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
I had been considering looking at bhlloy, but with jeff being bad, would two wolves really have stacked votes on mau like that at the beginning of day one? Raises him at least a little bit on my trust radar.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:23 PM   #838
CrimsonFox
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Join Date: Dec 2009
First impressions. Finally a little trust for EagleFan and Jackal. Now do we think a wolf voted DV today? I don't see a reason for them to, when there were plenty of candidates. If a wolf DID vote for him would it be at the beginning or the middle/end?

So either EagleFan/Jackal has a wolf or J23/Zinto?

I already think j23 is pretty good. Really I'm thinking Autumn/bhlloy are both wolves. I have most of the game.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:27 PM   #839
mckerney
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Quote:
Originally Posted by bhlloy View Post
I'm stunned the wolves didn't make a bigger effort to save Darth. Jeff's vote was just sitting there wasted on JAG and there are potentially two other votes out there. In theory they could have tied it if there were no wolves on Tyke.

And obviously, that looks really bad for Autumn and I...

Thinking out loud I wonder if they just missed the NK and the opportunity to save Darth. They let two of their own go down without any kind of a fight. Very wierd.

I don't see why they didn't at least put a vote on tyketime to hope Fredo was on him and at least get a villager too.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:28 PM   #840
CrimsonFox
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Join Date: Dec 2009
Quote:
Originally Posted by mckerney View Post
I don't see why they didn't at least put a vote on tyketime to hope Fredo was on him and at least get a villager too.

Unless they were already there and could do nothing.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:32 PM   #841
mckerney
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
Unless they were already there and could do nothing.

Jeff's vote was still out there though.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:33 PM   #842
CrimsonFox
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Join Date: Dec 2009
Oh, on JAG you mean. Hmmm.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:41 PM   #843
CrimsonFox
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As Jeff, why vote JAG at all? He seemed to be the most trusted person out there. It almost seems like Jeff gave up at that point and resolved to be taken down.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:43 PM   #844
bhlloy
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post

Really I'm thinking Autumn/bhlloy are both wolves. I have most of the game.

I understand where you are coming from as it looks really bad - but this would be a pretty suicidal play for three wolves to be the only votes on one candidate. Obviously I have no idea of Autumn's allegiance but from what I've seen so far I don't see any reason not to think he's a villager.

I think the wolves either completely missed the boat today or thought DV was too far gone to be saved.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:45 PM   #845
JAG
Grizzled Veteran
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: St. Paul, MN
We have a lot of new solid data to work with, so I'm going to avoid the knee-jerk and take a look at things with the new input when I have a chance.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:48 PM   #846
mckerney
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonFox View Post
As Jeff, why vote JAG at all? He seemed to be the most trusted person out there. It almost seems like Jeff gave up at that point and resolved to be taken down.

I guess I understand putting it there earlier in the day as a protest to being killed by JAG, but if you're going to be found out as a wolf anyway I don't understand making some move that could help the wolves.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:50 PM   #847
mckerney
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Join Date: Oct 2000
I guess there are too reasons I can think of.

1. Revealing tyketime to be a villager makes his voters look worse, we'd then probably have a pretty good idea tyke voters are likely wolves.

2. tyketime is also a wolf.
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:55 PM   #848
CrimsonFox
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Stealing Narcizo's post from before for Day 1/2

Day One

EF votes Saldana 120 (1)
Narcizo votes Mckerney 122 (1)
J23 votes Chief Rum 132 (1)
JAG votes Mckerney 148 (2)
Lathum votes tyketime 153 (1)
Autumn votes tyketime 160 (2)
bhlloy votes mauboy1 161 (1)
jeff061 votes mauboy1 170 (2)
mauboy1 votes tyketime 176 (3)
mckerney votes tyketime 178 (4)
narcizo unvotes mckerney (1)
narcizo votes mauboy1 (3)
autumn unvotes tyketime 184 (3)
autumn votes mckerney 185 (2)
tyketime votes mauboy 193 (4)
mckerney unvotes tyketime 194 (2)
mckerney votes mauboy 194 (5)
chief votes tyketime (3)
J23 unvotes chief rum (0)
J23 votes tyketime (4)
saldana votes mauboy (6)
martind votes mckerney (3)
zinto votes mauboy (7)

Day Two

Zinto votes Jeff (242) 1
CrimsonFox votes Tyke (289) 1
Tyke votes CrimsonFox (290) 1
Eaglefan voted Saldana (294) 1
Darth Vilus voted Tyke (295) 2
Narcizo voted Sal (298) 2
Danny voted Tyke (315) 3
Jackal voted Jeff (316) 2
Bhlloy voted CrimsonFox (317) 2
McKerney voted Jeff (322) 3
Autumn voted CrimsonFox (336) 3
Jeff voted Tyke (338) 4
JAG voted CrimsonFox (341) 4
Lathum voted CrimsonFox (347) 5
Tyke unvoted CrimsonFox (354) 4
CrimsonFox unvoted tyke (381) 3
Saldana voted tyke (384) 4
JAG unvoted CrimsonFox (391) 3
Bhlloy unvoted CrimsonFox (400) 2
Bhlloy voted Saldana (400) 3
J23 voted Jeff (427) 4
Lathum unvotes CrimsonFox (444) 1
Lathum votes Saldana (444) 4
Jeff unvotes Tyke (453) 3
Jeff votes Sal (453) 5
CrimsonFox votes Jeff (462) 5
MartinD votes Jeff (463) 6
Tyke votes Sal (479) 6
McKerney unvotes jeff (482) 5
McKerney votes Sal (482) 7
JAG votes Jeff (495) 6
Autumn unvotes CrimsonFox (501) 0
Autumn votes saldana (501) 8
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:57 PM   #849
tyketime
College Benchwarmer
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Just finished presentation and getting ready to roll into a 4pm mtg. A couple of quick thoughts:

1. Hells Yes!

2. Thank goodness I wasn't around. How the heck did I get served up as an appetizer again?

3. So wait... I'm still being considered a wolf? I'll provide more details later, but I've had wolves snapping on me both days...

4. Hells Yes!
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Old 03-16-2011, 02:58 PM   #850
The Jackal
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: New Hampshire
Feeling good about most of the jeff voters from day 2. Mckerney's vote switch, as he said, looks pretty bad.
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