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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House? | |||
Obama | 151 | 68.95% | |
McCain | 63 | 28.77% | |
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) | 5 | 2.28% | |
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll |
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Thread Tools |
10-23-2008, 11:02 AM | #8251 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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Quote:
It's a shame these are getting ignored. Let me post them again, with editorial comments: Quinnipiac: Florida: Obama 49, McCain 44 Ohio: Obama 52, McCain 38 Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 40 Florida's within the realm of reality, and has to be very worrying for McCain. I could believe this as the race being effectively tied and the poll having a slight Democratic lean on top of the MoE being (in this instance) on the Obama side. The Ohio result is insane. I don't believe it. The PA result is higher than I'd expect, but PA's been trending Obama for a while now. The gap is probably closer to 10, though, I'd think. Big Ten: Illinois: Obama 61, McCain 32 Indiana: Obama 51, McCain 41 Iowa: Obama 52, McCain 39 Ohio: Obama 53, McCain 41 Michigan: Obama 58, McCain 36 Minnesota: Obama 57, McCain 38 Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 41 Wisconsin: Obama 53, McCain 40 No surprise with Illinois. No way Indiana is like that. I wonder if they only polled the NW corner. Iowa sounds about right, as Obama's been dominating there since the start of the primaries. I don't believe the Ohio numbers, but I do think the PA numbers are OK. The MI, MN and WI numbers must coincide with the opening of hunting season and everyone with a gun being away from their phone. CNN/TIME: Nevada: Obama 51, McCain 46 North Carolina: Obama 51, McCain 47 Ohio: Obama 50, McCain 46 Virginia: Obama 54, McCain 44 Nevada I could see. NC should be tighter, but I could see it being a tossup at this point. Ohio is more where I'd expect the numbers to be (i.e. near the MoE). Virginia, again, is crazy. I can't imagine Virginia is more than +3/+4 Obama right now. |
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10-23-2008, 11:06 AM | #8252 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
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Quote:
I'm pretty sure McCain and Palin are being "PS3'd"... that is similar to swiftboating, but it involves inflated poll/sales numbers of the opponents and other, more complicated measures that I can't discuss at this time.
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10-23-2008, 11:06 AM | #8253 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
First point is spot-on and is exactly what I'm talking about in regards to net worth. Anyone who actually believes the net figures reported by these campaigns is a fool at best. These numbers are heavily manipulated. In regards to your second point, it would seem that the Obama method of fundraising would provide similar quandries in regards to both changing the campaign finance laws and whether the common person is being priced out of any opportunity to run for office. Should we be surprised that McCain, Obama, and Biden all spent thousands of dollars on wardrobes and that Palin had no other choice if she wanted to play with the big wigs when we realize the amount of money funneled through the campaign process? With campaigns now running on half-billion dollar budgets, are the campaign finance laws useless in their attempt to allow the common man to have a chance to run for this kind of office? |
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10-23-2008, 11:07 AM | #8254 |
College Starter
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Federal Way, WA
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You have to imagine Franken is loving MN polls like that. He will need Obama to pull that race out for him, IMO.
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10-23-2008, 11:08 AM | #8255 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
Why would I change my argument regarding polling methods? Much like Senator Biden, I believe that past results fortell future results. I haven't varied from that stance. I've certainly never called it 'super duper' either. |
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10-23-2008, 11:09 AM | #8256 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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If Biden's net worth is under $400,000 he has a serious gambling and/or drug addiction.
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10-23-2008, 11:10 AM | #8257 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
It's always easier to use that kind of meaningless stance that has nothing to do with the discussion than actually debating the point with some form of logic. I understand that all this thinking can be overwhelming to some. |
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10-23-2008, 11:12 AM | #8258 | |||
High School JV
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Quote:
Quote:
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He did choose a less rich VP. The only reason its an issue is the hypocrisy of it. She is against wasteful spending but wastefully spends.
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10-23-2008, 11:15 AM | #8259 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
No, I agree with you. The finance laws were originally intended to be a way for people to compete in an election in that the government would give you $XXX to run your campaign if you demonstrated a certain level of support. Given the level of money going through campaigns at this point, I don't see any further reason for public financing. That need has passed. I'm guessing you'd agree. |
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10-23-2008, 11:15 AM | #8260 | ||
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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Quote:
Quote:
lol
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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10-23-2008, 11:16 AM | #8261 | ||
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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Quote:
First of all I, personally, don't care. Secondly, I'm commenting on the question of why this is a big media issue right now. It's a big media issue because Palin has presented herself as an average American, hockey mom, aw-shucks, etc.... Then she blows $150,000 on clothes. If you don't think that's going to get people in general and the media in particular to go ??? and then I don't know what to tell you. Thirdly, I've defended her purchase of clothes in one of the initial posts on this topic. Sure, $150,000 seems a little excessive, and it could certainly have been handled better, but it is, to me, understandable given her very particular situation. But the key thing is image, tied to the way this was handled. It's especially bad to throw around $150,000 on clothes during a very serious economic downturn. It's especially bad to throw around $150,000 on clothes when presenting yourself as an average American. It's even worse to have a good part of that $150,000 not even be on clothes, but on accessories. Quote:
Hey, don't tell me - I agree 100%. Tell it to part of her GOP base who are in the process of closing down their small businesses or just lost their jobs and are waking up to this news across the frontpages of every newspaper in the nation. |
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10-23-2008, 11:17 AM | #8262 | |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Quote:
Not at all. He just has to report it as a "speaking engagement expense" and everything is fine legally. Of course, you would need the media to actually do some investigative journalism and see that the "speaking engagement expense" was actually a wardrobe for that event. But, it seems that level of scrutiny is only allowed for Palin. Last edited by Arles : 10-23-2008 at 11:23 AM. |
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10-23-2008, 11:19 AM | #8263 |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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10-23-2008, 11:21 AM | #8264 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
I definitely agree with that. |
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10-23-2008, 11:21 AM | #8265 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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Quote:
Actually, I'd argue that the Obama method of fundraising could make it more possible for the "common person" to run for office. Obama's raised the vast majority of his money by leveraging the internet to aggregate money from hundreds of thousands of small donors, all with very little overhead. Contrast this to a typical fundraising apparatus, which requires the candidate to know (or be introduced to) wealthy "bundlers" who can convince their wealthy friends to pump their affinity circles for max-donation bundles to the candidate, his/her party, and various related PACs. Don't get me wrong. Being independently wealthy still helps a ton. Knowing the right people helps a ton. Being sponsored by your party apparatus still helps a ton. But one of the big lessons from the Obama campaign will be about fundraising in this manner. |
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10-23-2008, 11:22 AM | #8266 |
Dark Cloud
Join Date: Apr 2001
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They're all millionaires.
http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2008...eds-1-mil.html Palin and Biden both have properties that would put them over the threshold, Biden worth more than Palin, but the Palin's have a net worth over a milly. It's not a big deal, in the sense that, them buying her new clothes is akin to a clothing allowance like you'd get on a job. The number might seem exorbitant, but in an era where they're taking photos of you like crazy, where she probably had little time to pack and she's traveling to sometimes 3-5 places a day for appearances and multiple events in different climates and such alike, it was important for her to be well equipped. She hasn't been on the national stage that long and it was the RNC paying for it, not taxpayers. I don't see what the big deal is and I think that it's the least they can do, because on balance, whether she's a dolt or not, the role of VP isn't completely an act of selfishness and it's the least they can do for disrupting her life. Regardless of what we think of her decision to choose to do it, I doubt many of us would be able to resist the urge to do it, had someone chosen us..unless we're just not wired that way and of course, we're talking about a state governor who otherwise would have not been in this situation again (she's no Obama and you think she could hold up for 2 more years while waiting for an election cycle and run a national campaign on her own? Uh, no.) This is her chance, she's taken it and they had to make her look like someone people would like and aspire to be. Not an everywoman in the true sense, but simply a character. |
10-23-2008, 11:24 AM | #8267 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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Well, at least her wardrobe budget will be eligible for a tax break under Obama's plan, since it was less than $250K!
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
10-23-2008, 11:26 AM | #8268 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
I'd be very happy with that result if it ended up that way. You could very well be right in that the small donation level allowed pushes an odd sort of equality amongst the campaigns. I just find the public financing laws to be horribly useless at this point. There's no reason that it should even be an option. I'd prefer the 'free market' fundraising option that you present. |
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10-23-2008, 11:33 AM | #8269 | |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Story on Politico about this:
Quote:
As to the question of whether a republican donor would want their money going towards her wardrobe, I (as a republican donor) have no problem with it. Given the ineffective advertising, poor speaking engagements and inept campaign McCain has been running, making Palin look better when she meets people may be the best expense he's taken on this election. At this point, McCain needs every vote he can muster including the "Damn, your VP is hot" vote. |
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10-23-2008, 11:36 AM | #8270 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
1. I once agreed with one of Maureen Dowd's opinions. That doesn't mean that we were both right only in that instance. 2. When bad PR and passive sexism don't intersect, we'll have an even-handed discussion. If all things were equal, I'd agree that it's bad PR, but all things are not equal. |
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10-23-2008, 11:37 AM | #8271 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Land O Lakes FL
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Quote:
OFT!
__________________
"The blind soldier fought for me in this war. The least I can do now is fight for him. I have eyes. He hasn’t. I have a voice on the radio, he hasn’t. I was born a white man. And until a colored man is a full citizen, like me, I haven’t the leisure to enjoy the freedom that colored man risked his life to maintain for me. I don’t own what I have until he owns an equal share of it. Until somebody beats me and blinds me, I am in his debt."- Orson Welles August 11, 1946 |
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10-23-2008, 11:38 AM | #8272 | |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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Quote:
??? An example of this?
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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10-23-2008, 11:45 AM | #8273 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Washington, DC
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Quote:
Please take a look at the article which clearly states that Obama pays $1,500 for his suits. So, with all due respect, your are a gullible fool.
__________________
Sixteen Colors ANSI/ASCII Art Archive "...the better half of the Moores..." -cthomer5000 |
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10-23-2008, 11:47 AM | #8274 | |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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Quote:
We have a horrible turn-out in this country because we are lazy, but the Presidential election (which is the only place this electoral college is used) is actually the highest turn-out election we have. I know on the surface it doesn't make very much sense, but if you read American history and the philosophy behind it, it was/is a very good system. Originally it was to protect the farm/rural states from not having a voice in who was elected. Now it insures that a canidate doesn't just serve New York/LA. It could probably use updating, but a straight popular vote election would not be the best system. It is still a lot more straight forward system than a Parliamentary system. Last edited by GrantDawg : 10-23-2008 at 11:49 AM. |
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10-23-2008, 11:48 AM | #8275 | ||
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Quote:
I was looking at the issue from my own perspective and my own perspective is that if Hillary Clinton spent a lot of money on clothes - she would be roasted by republican commentators like Limbaugh and defended by the same people in this thread criticizing Palin. If you disagree, that's your right. I just don't think it's intellectually honest to do so. Quote:
I just don't see how in the arena of hundreds of million dollar campaigns, spending some money to improve Palin's appearance is all hypocritical. By that logic, taking a more expensive chartered flight or speaking at a nice hotel or ordering an expensive food item is just as hypocritical. And, I doubt we will see stories lamenting all the money Obama has "wasted" staying at hotels and flying in his campaign jet everywhere. |
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10-23-2008, 11:56 AM | #8276 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
$150k is such a drop in the bucket. The whole campaign's a huge waste, really. Total combined campaign costs for both parties will pass the $1 Billion mark this month (the majority of that is Obama's). Is every penny of that spent efficiently with the exception of Palin's wardrobe? How much $ has Obama spend total to get here today, and how does that not contradict his stated values? Last edited by molson : 10-23-2008 at 12:05 PM. |
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10-23-2008, 11:56 AM | #8277 | |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Posted above Quote:
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10-23-2008, 12:00 PM | #8278 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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So one fashion write equals the media???
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
10-23-2008, 12:04 PM | #8279 | ||
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Your selected parsing above really added a lot to the discussion. Glad you are a part of it!
Quote:
Quote:
But, this is who candidates are. They have to spend a lot of money on things many of us wouldn't understand (personal jets, 5-star hotels, top restaurants, wardrobes). What's interesting to me is that Obama's spending on jets/hotels/food isn't a big deal (even though it dwarfs 150K), yet Palin's 150K clothing is a huge issue. I guess Obama is a huge hypocrite for trying to relate with the "little guy" in his speeches, then going on board his personal gulfstream jet in route to a ritzy hotel. Last edited by Arles : 10-23-2008 at 12:04 PM. |
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10-23-2008, 12:06 PM | #8280 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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There is a fundamental difference between saying you can "relate to" something than saying you "are" something.
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
10-23-2008, 12:09 PM | #8281 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
So you don't think Palin is who she says she is? That doesn't seem debatable. Nobody's yet explained how fancy clothes changes her background, or how anyone would even think that. Liberals in this thread claim that this is "bad PR", yet no conservatives here have a problem with the spending. Classic spin - you're telling the other side what they're supposed to care about. If it was a PR issues I'd expect the backlash to be from the right, though all/most of the criticism is coming from the left. Whether Obama really relates to the middle class (rather than just panders for their votes) is an open question, but he certainly doesn't support the former with his actions. Last edited by molson : 10-23-2008 at 12:13 PM. |
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10-23-2008, 12:12 PM | #8282 | |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
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Quote:
I didn't say that at all. I was pointing out that people were using the two terms interchangeably, and they have different basic meanings.
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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10-23-2008, 12:16 PM | #8283 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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What, no comments on the polls, people?
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10-23-2008, 12:19 PM | #8284 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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I've given up on their reliability (or am fatigued from discussions of their reliability) Just waiting for election day now. I'm locked into "Obama's a strong favorite, McCain winning would be a huge upset" for the duration. I've had the sense from the beginning (with one or two blips), that Obama would pull away at the very end and make this a landslide. Last edited by molson : 10-23-2008 at 12:22 PM. |
10-23-2008, 12:20 PM | #8285 |
Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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Looks like the effects of a "Powell Bounce" from independents.
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
10-23-2008, 12:22 PM | #8286 | |
Grey Dog Software
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Phoenix, AZ by way of Belleville, IL
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Quote:
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10-23-2008, 12:26 PM | #8287 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Winnipeg, MB
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I think there are over 100 posts devoted to the topic of Sarah Palin's clothing.
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10-23-2008, 12:32 PM | #8288 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
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Quote:
Ah, yes. One purchase was listed at one store, and that's the end of the story? Good try, but you'd be laughed out of this conversation if you tried to present this as fact during a political conversation in Washington D.C. The common man argument and Obama hold little water. FWIW.....I don't begrudge him the opportunity to purchase fine clothing and other luxury items. But to argue that he somehow owns an entire wardrobe of 5 suits he purchased for $1,500/suit is intellectually dishonest and lacking in and real substance. |
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10-23-2008, 12:33 PM | #8289 |
Torchbearer
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: On Lake Harriet
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The Neiman bill from Minneapolis would have been around the convention time and would likely predate the "last month" of the Ghivan quote. So perhaps, the better criticism of Ghivan is that he/she is a fashion hack who doesn't recognize quality linens and fine tailoring. |
10-23-2008, 12:42 PM | #8290 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Quote:
If only I knew what a political conversation in Washington, D.C. was like... And, if you read what I wrote, that is not what I claimed.
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10-23-2008, 12:44 PM | #8291 | |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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Quote:
Yes, I have noticed the difference. I have noticed the media not killing her for dressing poorly and wearing the same outfits repeatedly. There is no doubt in my mind that she was going to be in a catch-22 on this. She couldn't afford to cloth herself (or the kids for that matter) in a way that would not draw criticism ("Her JC Penney style" type of snide remarks), and for the campaign to cloth her was going to draw criticism of too much money spent. Absolutely no win. To the point that she could have had her clothes donated, by whom exactly? That major conservative designer, oh what is his name, oh yeah Mr. Doesn't F-ing exist. Sears? JC Penney? Macy's? And alienate their shoppers by endorsing a canidate? I can guarentee Michelle Obama has a wardrobe just as expensive, but her husband is rich and they can buy it themselves. Cindy McCain probably has pieces of jewlery worth more than that, and so does Hillary Clinton. Oh, and for the "donate to charity" part. You do get they meant they will sell the clothing and donate the money, right? They aren't giving poor people expensive clothing and saying "enjoy that in the alley." This stuff is just so stupid it is really getting under my skin, and I'm not even a Palin supporter. |
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10-23-2008, 12:49 PM | #8292 |
General Manager
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10-23-2008, 12:55 PM | #8293 |
General Manager
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10-23-2008, 01:03 PM | #8294 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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Arles is supposed to cataloge every fashion writer that might have written about this. Just take a look at this pic: Does she look very presidential? Do you really think that look would keep her in common with the normal person, or have people go "wow, that is one ugly outfit." Last edited by GrantDawg : 10-23-2008 at 01:04 PM. |
10-23-2008, 01:13 PM | #8295 |
Pro Rookie
Join Date: Jan 2005
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That's a standard argument on here it seems. One article = pervasive media bias One Obama or McCain supporter or campaign surrogate = all their supporters One FOFC poster planning to vote for _____ = all FOFC posters planning to vote for ______ |
10-23-2008, 01:14 PM | #8296 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
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I don't have a problem with a new wardrobe and with the exception of possible tax implications I don't really care that the RNC bought it. My issue lies more with the media who ran like hell with trivial stories on Edwards hair and Clinton's pantsuits. In a perfect world I'd prefer that none of this made news, but if "fashion scandals" are going to be an issue for Dems it should be covered with Republicans as well.
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10-23-2008, 01:25 PM | #8297 |
Coordinator
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BTW, I just wanted to point out that Im much much much more critical of Edwards haircut since I have a point of reference on that and know he paid way too much. I have no earthly idea if Palin overpaid for her new warddrobe and as a matter of fact, unlike hair, if the warddrobe last for 5 years it's probably a good deal....maybe? I honestly dont know. How can I? I havnt looked at clothes for even my own gender in a long long time and when I did I was shocked at the outrageous prices. Perhaps, though, that wasnt outrageous prices for clothing. Maybe what she got, especially if she is our next VP is well within the range of what a woman would pay for that amount of clothing. I just hope it lasts a long time because each year it's used the amount paid on the front end is worth more and more in value.
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Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL Last edited by Flasch186 : 10-23-2008 at 01:26 PM. |
10-23-2008, 01:30 PM | #8298 | |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
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Quote:
Well, I believe from what they have said she is not keeping anything. This is more like the RNC owns the wardrobe that is dressing Palin, and at the end of the election they are taking it back to sell for charity (or "to charity" if you are Micheal Scott). |
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10-23-2008, 01:56 PM | #8299 |
General Manager
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10-23-2008, 01:59 PM | #8300 | |
Stadium Announcer
Join Date: Mar 2002
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Regarding Palin's "patriotic" comments... NRO has an interesting article up today by James Gimpel, a professor of government at the University of Maryland.
Sarah Palin Is Correct (Again) by James G. Gimpel on National Review Online Quote:
I guess I'm wondering if there's another definition of "patriotic" out there that A) doesn't have to do with love of country and B) doesn't have to do with attaching importance on being an American? If so, I wonder how common that other definition of patriotism is in this country. I realize this is only tangentially related to the election, but I still find it fascinating.
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