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View Poll Results: Who will take the White House?
Obama 151 68.95%
McCain 63 28.77%
Surprise? (Maybe Mr. Trout?) 5 2.28%
Voters: 219. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 10-15-2008, 09:09 PM   #7551
sterlingice
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Yawn, generic "litmus test" answer from Dubya (from both candidates)

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Old 10-15-2008, 09:10 PM   #7552
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nice double-speak from McCain: he wouldn't impose a litmus test but he doesn't think that someone who supported roe v. wade would meet his qualifications?

isn't that a litmus test?
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:14 PM   #7553
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Obama has an answer for every attack McCain has made - it's beautiful
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:14 PM   #7554
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It's odd- McCain lets Obama run every question. He takes a quick hit but then Obama gets to frame the entire issue and McCain has no comeback. It's horrible debate strategy from McCain.

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Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!"
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:16 PM   #7555
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I'm wondering if other channels are using a split screen. I'm watching NBC and it is showing both of them at the same time. I'm guessing radio listeners and folks that can only see the speaker (without the listeners reaction) may have a much different view of this debate.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:16 PM   #7556
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Why hasn't McCain brought up that he had an adopted child sooner? That seems like a good point for him.

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Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!"
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:16 PM   #7557
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regarding format though - i think the format of this debate has been the best of the 3, notwithstanding the fact that the moderator keeps letting McCain interrupt Obama
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:18 PM   #7558
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Originally Posted by sterlingice View Post
It's odd- McCain lets Obama run every question. He takes a quick hit but then Obama gets to frame the entire issue and McCain has no comeback. It's horrible debate strategy from McCain.

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That is pretty much how I'm hearing things, too.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:24 PM   #7559
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One thing I'm liking from Obama this debate is that he's not afraid to give McCain a complement.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:26 PM   #7560
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One thing I'm liking from Obama this debate is that he's not afraid to give McCain a complement.


Why would he be afraid? About the only thing that could sink him at this point would be if he decided to re-create PDiddy's anti-Alaska, anti_palin rant. Obama is running out hte clock at this point. Complementing McCain is like a run for 4 yards.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:27 PM   #7561
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Why is Sarah Palin an expert on autism? I thought her baby had down syndrome. Did John McCain forget that?
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:27 PM   #7562
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Yes, let's blame the teachers for everything. Clearly it's their fault.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:28 PM   #7563
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Why would he be afraid? About the only thing that could sink him at this point would be if he decided to re-create PDiddy's anti-Alaska, anti_palin rant. Obama is running out hte clock at this point. Complementing McCain is like taking a knee.

bolded and fixed to my opinion
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:28 PM   #7564
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Why is Sarah Palin an expert on autism? I thought her baby had down syndrome. Did John McCain forget that?

oooh - good point
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:32 PM   #7565
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Ok, so who was the best moderator?

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Old 10-15-2008, 09:36 PM   #7566
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I would say this was definitely the best format of the debate. The questions intrigued me more and they seemed to actually talk to each other a little more.

So I'd have to give Bob the vote for best moderator, but probably due to the format and the fact that the other moderators were terrible.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:40 PM   #7567
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'Media is keying in on the whole "I'm not George W. Bush line" by McCain. Maybe he'll get a bump, because they've got to make it closer any way they can or they'll run out of stuff to talk about.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:41 PM   #7568
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Joe is now the second most famous plumber in world history behind Mario.

I agree that this moderator was the best of the three, the lady who moderated the second debate was the worst. She couldn't press either candidate because the right-wingers would bitch about her writing a book about Obama if she ever asked McCain a follow up question.

Now it's thirty minutes of talking heads before the snap polls come out.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:42 PM   #7569
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Joe is now the second most famous plumber in world history behind Mario.

I agree that this moderator was the best of the three, the lady who moderated the second debate was the worst. She couldn't press either candidate because the right-wingers would bitch about her writing a book about Obama if she ever asked McCain a follow up question.

Now it's thirty minutes of talking heads before the snap polls come out.

It would be hard to ask McCain a follow up considering she moderated the VP debate. But I do agree that tonight's guy was good. It helped that the rules were better structured than the last debate, which was part of the reason why Brokow looked so bad.

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Old 10-15-2008, 09:45 PM   #7570
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Joe is now the second most famous plumber in world history behind Mario.

So, back to Joe... if he's paying more taxes under the Obama tax plan, that means he's pulling down more than a quarter million in "small business" income. Presumably a good deal more than a quarter million, in order for the new higher tax bracket to matter much. Is a guy making, say, a half million dollars a year really the best pivot point for tax policy in this country now?
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:45 PM   #7571
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I thought it was McCain's best night, but I can't imagine it was enough to change the election. As long as Obama is mistake free he should win in three weeks.
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:47 PM   #7572
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So, back to Joe... if he's paying more taxes under the Obama tax plan, that means he's pulling down more than a quarter million in "small business" income. Presumably a good deal more than a quarter million, in order for the new higher tax bracket to matter much. Is a guy making, say, a half million dollars a year really the best pivot point for tax policy in this country now?

this was the point i was making at the time with foz and my sister
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Old 10-15-2008, 09:48 PM   #7573
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It would be hard to ask McCain a follow up considering she moderated the VP debate.

Oops. For some reason I got her and Brokaw mixed up. They're so alike y'know?
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:03 PM   #7574
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So, back to Joe... if he's paying more taxes under the Obama tax plan, that means he's pulling down more than a quarter million in "small business" income. Presumably a good deal more than a quarter million, in order for the new higher tax bracket to matter much. Is a guy making, say, a half million dollars a year really the best pivot point for tax policy in this country now?

Amen. I have argued extensively with a friend about this. He claims that he and his girlfriend have moved in together and they make $250k, and they are living paycheck to paycheck. Really? Well, the first truth to slip out is that she has another property that she is renting out. He argues that he has a larger mortgage than I do (My wife and I have a high combined income, but not that high). I would say that he has chosen to live that way. I live in an area with one of the highest costs of living int he country. I live in the heart of the city.

First of all, I think there's more to it than he is saying. Regardless, that is also gross salary. Once you add in deductions due to mortgage, retirement funds, etc, he should be well below the $250k. A $250k taxable income is closer to $300k, particularly for a couple. You can put $15.5k into your 401k each year, a $1600 mortgage gives you roughly a $10k deduction. The list goes on, but my point is this: $250k in taxable income is a lot of money.
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:07 PM   #7575
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CNN is awesome. Immediately after the debate almost everyone was saying McCain was the winner and now that the instant poll came out heavily in favor of Obama they're all explaining why McCain lost without even bothering to mention that just ten minutes ago they said he won.
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:08 PM   #7576
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Someone got a lot of free advertising tonight and it was not Joe the Plumber from Ohio.

Joe the Plumber

I hope this guy doesn't have a bandwidth limit.
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:08 PM   #7577
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CBS poll of undecided voters:

Who won the debate?

McCain (R) 22
Obama (D) 53

Shares your values

Obama, Before the debate: 54
Obama, After the debate: 63

McCain, Before the debate: 53
McCain, After the debate: 56


CNN poll of voters who watched debate:

Who won the debate?

McCain (R) 31
Obama (D) 58

Favorable/Unfavorable

Obama, before debate: 63/35
Obama, after debate: 66/33

McCain, before debate: 51/45
McCain, after debate: 49/49
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:09 PM   #7578
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CNN is awesome. Immediately after the debate almost everyone was saying McCain was the winner and now that the instant poll came out heavily in favor of Obama they're all explaining why McCain lost without even bothering to mention that just ten minutes ago they said he won.

yeah - i don't know what they were smoking in those first few minutes.

then again, in their defense, in the first half-hour they went pretty heavily to the partisan folks - bill bennett and alex castellanos (or whatever his name is) could be pretty reasonably expected to be rah-rah on McCain, and the others were a bit more reserved
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:20 PM   #7579
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wow - impressive spin by Rick Davis (McCain campaign manager)
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:24 PM   #7580
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wow - impressive spin by Rick Davis (McCain campaign manager)

I was able to stream the debate, but none of the aftermath, and I don't have cable. What'd he say?
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:38 PM   #7581
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McCain had this debate if not for Lewis and Ayers. He was winning on policy at that point in the debate, why would he go personal negative on the back of a question begging candidates to push behind the negative???

CNN poll had voters calling McCain more negative in the debate 88% - 7% !!!
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Old 10-16-2008, 12:48 AM   #7582
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McCain was, as always, feistier. But Obama reminds me of Dr. J. — Julius Erving, the basketball player. A cool cucumber.

Christopher Coffey
Republican Political Consultant

Senator McCain Showed Up for A Fight

While Senator John McCain is waging an uphill battle, after tonight, it is clear he is up for the fight. McCain focused on timely issues, like the effects of his policies on Joe the Plumber, and successfully contrasted these with the policies of Senator Obama. If John McCain wants to win, he should avoid Ayers and continue to talk passionately (and not angrily) about how his economic polices will help, not hurt, real people.

While the pressure was on Obama this evening, his ability to stay cool throughout the debate may have had the unintended consequence of making him appear presidential.

Bob Beckel
Democratic Strategist/FOX News Political Contributor

Obama clearly “won” the debate but McCain didn’t lose it. For Obama it was the third time before a huge audience that he clearly passed the “presidential” test. Obama firmed up his support and barring some major story should win this by 5-6 points.

By the way all those armchair analysts and several talking heads who have suggested Obama should be ahead by 15% or more in the polls don’t understand politics. There is no presidential race in history where an incumbent is not running from either party has had a spread like that. For that matter few incumbent presidents running for reelection reach or maintain double digit leads.

My estimate now is among the average 9% undecideds in major polls one third of them will not vote. McCain will get the remaining by 60% to 40% . I give McCain the advantage only because in a Democratic year like this if a voter is undecided with under 3 weeks to go it probably reflects more on questions about Obama than anything else.

Obama now has a real chance of going well north of 300 electoral votes on November 4.

Mark Joseph
Author, “Sarah Barracuda: The Rise of Sarah Palin”

Overall, McCain wins, but what these debates highlight is how superior a candidate Barack Obama is. McCain was at his worst when he whined about John Lewis’ “mean” comments. The Joe the Plumber stuff was great though.

Obama may not have won, but he didn’t have to. This remains his race to lose.

Richard Miller
Author, “In Words and Deeds: Battle Speeches in History”

McCain did well; so well as to raise a question as to where “this” McCain has been hiding. But Obama kept his cool and turned in a creditable performance, which is all he had to do to prevail. Result? Advantage Obama–he only had to avoid fumbling and he didn’t fumble. My only wish is that either or both of these guys would have looked into the camera and said, “The US is now broke. No tax cuts and no new spending.” Fat chance.

PS. To our readers: another election is currently being waged on the Asian market. As I write, the Nikkei is down 10%. Markets and not the politicians, are what’s now in the saddle!

Ellen Ratner
Bureau Chief, Talk Radio News Service/FOX News Political Contributor

Senator McCain tried to make Senator Obama look like the celebrity that Senator McCain’s previous ads have cast him as. Twice he said he was “eloquent” and then went on to criticize him. Many of Senator McCain’s answers began with jabs at Senator Obama. It did not work and many of the press watching the debate at Hofstra with me in the press center shifted in their chairs and snickered each time Senator McCain brought up “Joe the Plumber.”

The debate ended with an exchange on vouchers verses charter schools and Senator McCain sounded angry and jabbing. His laughter looked a bit mean. It was a poor strategy by the McCain camp.

Obama won the debate.

Lanny Davis
Former White House Special Counsel

The medium is TV — and there is no one better than Barack Obama on this medium. It is that simple.

Richard Nixon won the 1960 debate among radio audience, but John Kennedy won the debate by a large margin — and many historians would say the presidency — because he talked and more importantly looked like a president to those watching it on TV.

John McCain did better tonight by far than any prior debate. But he simply can’t out-point Senator Obama on the medium of TV. And projection of confidence and leadership by a president is what most Americans are looking for. And that is how Senator Obama comes across. He’s stronger on those images and impressions than Senator McCain.

Andrea Tantaros
Republican Political Commentator

McCain won where it counts: the first 20 minutes. After that he went down, but so did much of America — to sleep that is — along with most of the plumbers in America.

McCain won on every issue except the one that over 70 percent of Americans care about: the economy.

There were gaping opportunities to nail Obama on his numerous economic illusions from cutting taxes for 95 percent of Americans, to Obama’s baloney admission that he would prefer not to pay taxes, or for anyone to pay taxes, that went unchallenged — another puzzling McCain missed opportunity.

There is no question Obama is getting a gigantic pass. Listening to him wax poetic about Republican principles from cutting taxes to personal responsibility is as confusing as a Jessica Simpson autobiography.

Obama finished stronger while McCain lost viewers with his Beltway mumbo jumbo. I’ll give points, as usual, on Obama’s smooth operator style but final call is a draw. The winner? Joe the Plumber.

Cal Thomas
Syndicated Columnist/FOX News Political Contributor

McCain was the strongest he has been in the three debates, directly challenging many of Obama’s assertions and making “Joe the Plumber” a household name. Joe might be as famous as the plumber Ed Norton of the old “The Honeymooners” series on CBS if he had his own TV show (and maybe he will!)

The question is: was McCain’s aggressiveness and assertiveness too little, too late? What was missing from all of these debates was a challenge to the people of America to take back and rebuild their country. It doesn’t belong to government. It belongs to us. Our leaders serve us, not we them. We know better than they what works because we live with the benefits and consequences of decisions we make everyday. If McCain had said something like that, he might have broken through. I thought he did a better job than Obama tonight, but Obama is “ahead on points” and so he appeared to be satisfied with settling for the clinch instead of the knockout.

Fred Barnes
Executive Editor, The Weekly Standard/FOX News Political Contributor

Barack Obama didn’t have to do much in this debate, except not make a mistake, and he didn’t seem to make one. He made it look easy.

McCain needed to really tee up his campaign for the last couple of weeks, with a coherent theme. He didn’t do that.

I thought abortion was where McCain missed the strongest point he had.

Betsy Newmark
High School Government and History Teacher/Blogger

Sounds pretty good for Obama. When Cal Thomas calls it a tie...
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Old 10-16-2008, 01:07 AM   #7583
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Wow, reading this thread for republicans is like being a Yankee fan watching a Red Sox-Yankee game in a Boston bar

I'm not sure who won, or that it matters. I think McCain is what he is, about 40% of what I am interested in while Obama is about 30%. I can't see this debate changing many minds, so it appears that Obama should have pretty clear sailing from here on in. Maybe it's just facing reality, but I'm not all that concerned about an Obama presidency. Either he comes in and makes a bunch of progress and helps for the next 2-4 years - in which case I will gladly vote for his re-election; or it doesn't turn out as well and (with the "centrist" McCain's loss) it opens the door for a more fiscal conservative in 2012 (plus some congress pickups in 2010). So, I'm actually beginning to drink a little of the Obama kool-aid I atleast feel like he believes what he is saying and buys into these plans. McCain looks like someone reading homework written for him by someone else but passing it off as his own.

That said, I do want to make a few quick points:

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jas_lov
Why is Sarah Palin an expert on autism? I thought her baby had down syndrome. Did John McCain forget that?

oooh - good point
If you guys would have put as much reading into Palin's record/history as you did to troopergate, you would know that her sister has a child with autism. Plus, she supported and signed a bill to triple funding for students with autism and other special needs (going to $73,840 in fiscal 2011, from the current $26,900 per student in fiscal 2008).

Quote:
Originally Posted by QuikSand View Post
So, back to Joe... if he's paying more taxes under the Obama tax plan, that means he's pulling down more than a quarter million in "small business" income. Presumably a good deal more than a quarter million, in order for the new higher tax bracket to matter much. Is a guy making, say, a half million dollars a year really the best pivot point for tax policy in this country now?
According to the government standards, a large number of small businesses make over $250K. For some reason, people think of small businesses being Bob's Landscaping or Karen's tax preparation service (which is how Obama has framed it). When, in reality, you have a majority of agriculture, manufacturing, construction, food and apparel small businesses employing between 50 and 500 people and some bringing in millions of dollars.

Electronic Code of Federal Regulations:

Not to disparage those business like mine that make less than 250K, but we don't employ many (if any) people and aren't the big impact on improving the economy. The ones in the list above with 100-200 employees are the ones we need to look out for. These are the small businesses that employ workers and fuel our economy and will probably face layoffs if their economic situation changes through a more burdensome tax policy. Now, just simple math shows that if you employ 100 people (even making just 30K), you better be bringing in more 250K. It's a shame McCain is unable to make that point, but it's probably better that he doesn't at this point. I can't see four years of McCain working out all that well for this country so I say let's give Obama a shot and see what happens. My hope is that he will abandon the middle class tax cut and the cap gains increase and also spare the small business the added tax hike. In the end, that's probably best. Don't raise (or cut) anyone taxes and survive this next 16 months.
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Old 10-16-2008, 01:24 AM   #7584
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I am officially voting today (Los Angeles County, California overseas absentee voter.)

I probably shouldn't say this to a largely Democrat group here but DON'T FORGET TO VOTE.

OT: Beyond voting for President and a couple of judges, I am starting to see how "out-of-control" spending works. I was asked to vote on 10-15 state initiatives that each cost anywhere from $500 million a year to a billion a year. But I wasn't asked to vote for anything in order to rescind programs in place hoping to save the state $500 million a year or $1 billion a year. The initiatives seemed decent enough, but it gave the impression that money grew on trees...
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Old 10-16-2008, 01:54 AM   #7585
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The only CA initiative I have strong views on is Prop 8 - I really hope it fails. Voting to deny people rights because you find it "icky" is idiotic at best, and downright cruel at most.
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Old 10-16-2008, 05:00 AM   #7586
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Sounds pretty good for Obama. When Cal Thomas calls it a tie...


Yeah. I turned over there when they were talking to their panel of undecided voters. Only a handful of them had made a desicion after the debate, but they all went to Obama. I think whoever pointed out how Obama looked more "presidential" hit it on the head. I think it is how these debates have helped him the most. Being a good public speaker helps a presidential candidate, but showing cool under fire like in a debate wins you many more points. Obama definitely stayed cool.
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Old 10-16-2008, 05:14 AM   #7587
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I think whoever pointed out how Obama looked more "presidential" hit it on the head.

I'm not sure what you are talking about?

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Old 10-16-2008, 06:17 AM   #7588
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So, back to Joe... if he's paying more taxes under the Obama tax plan, that means he's pulling down more than a quarter million in "small business" income. Presumably a good deal more than a quarter million, in order for the new higher tax bracket to matter much. Is a guy making, say, a half million dollars a year really the best pivot point for tax policy in this country now?

That's a really good point. I can imagine a world in which the Joe the Plumber bit gets a lot of play, and I can also see it getting dismissed fairly quickly because of what you say here. McCain was obviously trying to scare people with his "share the wealth" line, but that scare tactic won't work with the middle class.

I also noticed like most of you that McCain won the early part of the debate, but as it wore on, just looked testy and angry. The McCain that the polls have shown people don't like. I thought Obama was especially strong during the abortion question, when McCain was trying to paint Obama as "pro-abortion" and also dismissed the claims of the health of the mother by actually using finger-quote marks around the term... that did not play well at all, I'm sure.
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Old 10-16-2008, 06:41 AM   #7589
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Originally Posted by Butter_of_69 View Post
I thought Obama was especially strong during the abortion question, when McCain was trying to paint Obama as "pro-abortion" and also dismissed the claims of the health of the mother by actually using finger-quote marks around the term... that did not play well at all, I'm sure.

YouTube - McCain: Health of Mother Is for Pro-Abortion Extremists

For any of you that missed that.

McCain has giant balls.
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Old 10-16-2008, 06:52 AM   #7590
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Originally Posted by Northwood_DK View Post
I'm not sure what you are talking about?






Maybe they should make the debates radio-only. But then CNN's army of analysts would be out on the street, there's so many of them the unemployment rate would go up another half a percent.
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:02 AM   #7591
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Well, I used boxing analogies to describe the first debate (10-10 draw), and the second debate (10-9 Obama). So why get in the way of a good thing?

To extend the analogy even further, Obama came into this final debate like it was the 14th round of a 15 round fight, and he had won 9 of the first 13 rounds. Quite obviously, McCain needs a knockout blow to win. So this debate was McCain throwing wild punch after wild punch, trying to land that knockout blow.

There was a couple good lines (the prepared "If you wanted to run against President Bush, you should have done so four years ago" for example, although I can see that turned into a Pro-Obama point where that soundbite gets followed up with a McCain agreed with Bush 90% of the time)... But most of the wild swings were just that, wild swings that missed completely.

Obama didn't land any real huge shots of his own.. but that's ok.. he didn't need to. He just jabbed and moved throughout the whole round (debate). I think this is a 10-9 round again for Obama, because the mental image of the round is McCain chasing after Obama and throwing the wild punches that missed. That is, this debate will be remembered for what McCain DIDN'T do.. rather than what Obama DID do.
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:03 AM   #7592
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Heh, I just saw another Biden gaffe on the stump.

“John’s last-minute economic plan does nothing to tackle the number one job facing the middle class, and it happens to be, as Barack says, a three letter word: jobs. J-O-B-S”
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:09 AM   #7593
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Originally Posted by clemsonfan View Post
YouTube - McCain: Health of Mother Is for Pro-Abortion Extremists

For any of you that missed that.

McCain has giant balls.

He's a maverick! A maverick I say! The problem with the whole campaign, McCain doesn't know how to present a cohesive message and his campaign team is such a hodgepodge of just right of center and super right wingers that its gotta be hard for him to get cohesiveness from them.

Its the carnival house of horrors of presidential campaigns.
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:15 AM   #7594
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Originally Posted by SirFozzie View Post
That is, this debate will be remembered for what McCain DIDN'T do.. rather than what Obama DID do.

I'm hard pressed to think this debate will actually be remembered for any length of time at all.

(I'd put a little winky smiley there 'cause I'm not really busting your chops but I'm also serious enough that I don't want to use the emoticon)
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:16 AM   #7595
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I'm hard pressed to think this debate will actually be remembered for any length of time at all.

(I'd put a little winky smiley there 'cause I'm not really busting your chops but I'm also serious enough that I don't want to use the emoticon)


Sorry, bad choice of words there Jon. Would it have been better if i had said "This debate will be judged more on what McCain DIDN'T do rather then what Obama DID do?"
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Last edited by SirFozzie : 10-16-2008 at 07:17 AM.
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:29 AM   #7596
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There was a couple good lines (the prepared "If you wanted to run against President Bush, you should have done so four years ago" for example, although I can see that turned into a Pro-Obama point where that soundbite gets followed up with a McCain agreed with Bush 90% of the time)... But most of the wild swings were just that, wild swings that missed completely.

Ask and you shall receive.
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Old 10-16-2008, 07:58 AM   #7597
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I thought Obama was especially strong during the abortion question, when McCain was trying to paint Obama as "pro-abortion" and also dismissed the claims of the health of the mother by actually using finger-quote marks around the term... that did not play well at all, I'm sure.

McCain didn't explain his point fully though. I've heard other people say that he's been in so many town halls with Republicans that he assumes the general population knows what he means. Basically the argument is that "health of the mother" has been streached so far that anything is covered. "Mental anguish" is considered "health of the mother".

--

I think on substance McCain wins (barely, did much better early on), but on style McCain was awful. It's very much like a Nixon/Kennedy TV debate. I'm sure those listening thought McCain did a very good job, while those watching thought he was awful.
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Old 10-16-2008, 08:25 AM   #7598
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Is either side of the abortion debate an argument that can win undecideds? I thought it was odd to spend so much time on an issue that doesn't have a lot of relevance to undecideds.
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Old 10-16-2008, 08:25 AM   #7599
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With issues like "health" in quotes, I think Senator McCain (and, presumably, his handlers and prep helpers) are really missing their audience. You can make a speech to die-hard supporters, committed anti-abortion types, and use that kind of language. Among that crowd, you can speak a sort of code language -- when pretty much everyone in the room knows that the other side (those "pro-abortion" folks we hear about) try to define terms like "health" (in quotes) very loosely as an end run around sensible restrictions on abortion availability. This sort of code language works pretty well with a confirmed audience, where everyone knows that you are making a jab at the wackos on the other side... but it doesn't work at all in a general audience debate setting, where people are watching from a very wide range of perspectives.

I think he made comparable mistakes in other places, too -- the one that comes to mind for me is his awkwardly dismissive tone about safety for nuclear power. Among true believers, he might be able to make Senator Obama sound cowardly or meek on the topic, but with a general audience, suggesting that your opponent is wrong on an issue (especially one as unsettling to so many people as nukes) because he's worried about public safety just isn't a winner unless it's delivered perfectly (IMO, something closer to the way in which he said things like "he's eloquent, but you have to listen carefully to what he says, my friends" last night). McCain, again, delivered that odd jab only very briefly and in a manner more fitting an audience of the converted, rather than a general audience.

I honestly don't know where this fits along the continuum of "debate points" versus "stuff that matters to real people" but seeing this pattern really coalesced with me last night after thinking a bit about the abortion back-and-forth.
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Old 10-16-2008, 08:32 AM   #7600
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Originally Posted by JPhillips View Post
Is either side of the abortion debate an argument that can win undecideds? I thought it was odd to spend so much time on an issue that doesn't have a lot of relevance to undecideds.

I think the main issue with a back-and-forth on abortion is to position yourself as not totally out of touch. While there are diehards on both sides, there are an awful lot of people who are fairly ambivalent about the issue, I think, and who dislike people on either fringe. The pro-life crowd tends to score when they focus on things like partial-birth abortion and things like "a 15 year old girl needs a note from mom to get an aspirin, but not to get an abortion." The pro-choice crowd tends to score when they focus on the other side prosecuting abortion as murder, and when they convert the issue into an abridgement of the reasonable treatment of women in society, I think.

The best example of this being turned to an effective argument in recent politics was when Bill Clinton coined the phrase "safe, legal, and rare." That is probably the best, and simplest, synthesis of what the middle majority of people in this country want as an abortion policy, but more importantly it keeps you from looking like you are totally out of touch on the issue the way that both sides of the deeply entrenched can come off.
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