11-04-2020, 01:09 AM | #6201 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Quote:
Does the NYT not have the needle for the midwestern states or am I looking in the wrong place? PA is probably gone but I'm also cautiously optimistic about the rest - they were always going to be blue then red on election night, but there are a lot more blue votes out there considering they are somewhere between 1/3 and 1/4 uncounted so far. The real wildcard is how many of those remaining votes actually get counted, and that's where the battle in the courts will start tomorrow. But as I see it barring shenanigans I think you'd give Biden the edge, and if he does pull out GA (and I guess that's the same question about whether all those Atlanta votes end up actually counting once it's been through the courts) then it really starts to look good for him Last edited by bhlloy : 11-04-2020 at 01:11 AM. |
|
11-04-2020, 01:10 AM | #6202 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
|
Quote:
Looking at AP, Trump is up by 117,000 with 90% in. Seems like a little more than 300,000 left. That’s like Biden needs 70% left. Doable, but yikes. |
|
11-04-2020, 01:10 AM | #6203 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
Biden surging on PredictIt right now.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
11-04-2020, 01:14 AM | #6204 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Just hypothetical but if you are McConnell (or maybe pick another non-Trumper R) are you half hoping that Biden gets the presidency now that the senate is off the table and he's going to inherit COVID, a tanking economy and you'll still be able to hamper him doing much about it?
|
11-04-2020, 01:16 AM | #6205 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
|
|
11-04-2020, 01:23 AM | #6206 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
|
oh god this press conference already.
|
11-04-2020, 01:23 AM | #6207 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: PDX
|
Quote:
Nope. The page suggests that they are only tracking those three particular states (FL, GA & NC) for timing/logistics reasons: "If Joe Biden wins one of these three states, he is likely to win the presidency. If President Trump wins all three, it could be days or more before a winner is declared."
__________________
Last edited by thesloppy : Today at 05:35 PM. |
|
11-04-2020, 01:25 AM | #6208 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
|
Unifying speech here.
|
11-04-2020, 01:26 AM | #6209 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
That seems like a bit of a miscalculation in hindsight... although the logistics of trying to figure out where the votes have still to come from in the states that didn't plan to count most of the votes on election night probably makes it a non starter
|
11-04-2020, 01:26 AM | #6210 |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
|
Nate Silver is no longer the god of election predicting but here's how he sums things up now:
"So to summarize a bit, Biden basically has three “easy” paths to victory remaining. In rough order of likelihood: 1) Win Arizona and NE-02, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 2) Win Pennsylvania, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 3) Win Georgia, hold Michigan and Wisconsin." He's in a better place than Clinton was in this moment 4 years ago. I am officially done looking at this shit for tonight. One more wind-down firepit beer. My dog (who is dying of cancer) doesn't know what the fuck is going on, but he's loving that we're hanging out at the firepit at 12:30 AM. Last edited by molson : 11-04-2020 at 01:29 AM. |
11-04-2020, 01:27 AM | #6211 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
|
what the fuck is wrong with this guy.
|
11-04-2020, 01:29 AM | #6212 |
hates iowa
Join Date: Oct 2010
|
God I hope this speech becomes a classic.
|
11-04-2020, 01:29 AM | #6213 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
|
he literally called it fraud.
|
11-04-2020, 01:32 AM | #6214 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
Every Republican who fails to call him out for that is a fucking coward.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
11-04-2020, 01:37 AM | #6215 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
Quote:
My dog jumped up on the couch (he almost never does) to comfort me because I was so upset earlier. He's been here for like 4 hours now. Dogs are awesome. Sorry to hear about yours. I lost one to cancer about 3 years ago and it's tough.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
|
11-04-2020, 01:41 AM | #6216 | |
General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
|
Quote:
Thanks. Your dog sounds awesome. Mine is a few weeks past his vet-predicted life expectancy and still having a good time. The hardest thing is just waiting for him to decline and not being sure what form that will take, but I suppose that's the reality of dog ownership generally. I'm hoping he makes it to his 10th birthday in about 2 weeks. |
|
11-04-2020, 02:47 AM | #6217 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
|
Looks like Republicans control 28ish house delegations.
|
11-04-2020, 02:50 AM | #6218 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Concord, MA/UMass
|
You haven't heard Dan Forest. His entire platform seemed to be that COVID was a myth & he'd force every kid back to school & every business to open as soon as he took office. Like the dude couldn't even phrase it as I'd he'd give people the option, he said he'd make them do it.
|
11-04-2020, 03:08 AM | #6219 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the yo'
|
I barely watch CNN but Don Lemon makes me hate liberals
|
11-04-2020, 03:30 AM | #6220 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2007
|
Is Wisconsin still conceivable as a Biden vote ? Seems Georgia and Michigan very much are given trends and estimates of outstandings, couldn't get a clear picture for Wisconsin,
__________________
“The only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue centerlight pop and everybody goes "Awww!” |
11-04-2020, 03:32 AM | #6221 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
Quote:
There's an update coming in 20 minutes with the absentees from Milwaukee.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
|
11-04-2020, 03:34 AM | #6222 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Nov 2014
|
Biden has a 2k lead in wisconsin with 95% of precincts reported
|
11-04-2020, 03:47 AM | #6223 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2007
|
My bad. Last i saw was Trump+4 with aprox. 16% not counted
__________________
“The only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue centerlight pop and everybody goes "Awww!” |
11-04-2020, 03:51 AM | #6224 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
The absentees have put Biden ahead by 20k in Wisconsin.
Here's where we're at. Biden looks good in AZ. That would leave 5 remaining races - PA, MI, WI, GA, NC. Biden needs to only win 2 of those to get to 270. Trump needs to win 4 of 5.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner Last edited by larrymcg421 : 11-04-2020 at 03:51 AM. |
11-04-2020, 03:58 AM | #6225 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Nov 2014
|
Biden needs to win WI, MI, and PA assuming he wins AZ.
|
11-04-2020, 04:08 AM | #6226 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2007
|
Ari, Nev, Wis (all likely now) + Mich would be 270 if my math is correct. PA only needed if he misses out on one of those 4 AND does not get Georgia (as many or more electoral votes as any of the others) which seems still possible to likely. Or have i missed sth ?
__________________
“The only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue centerlight pop and everybody goes "Awww!” Last edited by whomario : 11-04-2020 at 04:11 AM. |
11-04-2020, 04:13 AM | #6227 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
What? No. AZ puts him at 244. Any combination of 2 of WI, MI, PA, GA puts him at 270. I will correct my earlier math because NC is only 15 votes, so a combo of WI and NC, but nothing else would give him 269.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
11-04-2020, 04:24 AM | #6228 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
PredictIt now has Biden at .65, almost exactly where he was at 7pm.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
11-04-2020, 04:30 AM | #6229 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Dec 2002
|
|
11-04-2020, 04:36 AM | #6230 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
|
Looks like Biden has it with Wisconsin coming through and outstanding votes in Michigan heavily favoring him. Guess if he pulls out Pennsylvania, it won't be far off from the predictions.
Guilty of ignoring all those experts who said it would look like Trump won on election night till the mail in ballots got counted. |
11-04-2020, 04:41 AM | #6231 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Georgia
|
Hmmm. Some concern for Biden in NV. Biden's lead down to 9k with 15% remaining.
__________________
Top 10 Songs of the Year 1955-Present (1976 Added) Franchise Portfolio Draft Winner Fictional Character Draft Winner Television Family Draft Winner Build Your Own Hollywood Studio Draft Winner |
11-04-2020, 04:44 AM | #6232 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2007
|
Quote:
Aren't most of the missing from Vegas/Clark County (which skews heavily democrat) ?
__________________
“The only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue centerlight pop and everybody goes "Awww!” Last edited by whomario : 11-04-2020 at 04:45 AM. |
|
11-04-2020, 04:46 AM | #6233 | |
College Prospect
Join Date: Dec 2002
|
Quote:
75K from what I just saw:
|
|
11-04-2020, 04:48 AM | #6234 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
|
Looks like Biden heavy votes left in Nevada.
|
11-04-2020, 04:50 AM | #6235 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Dec 2002
|
They just stated that no more Nevada updates until 9 AM on the 5th.
|
11-04-2020, 04:50 AM | #6236 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Sep 2005
|
Sending my sympathy from the U.K. Can't believe anyone would vote for Trump, what goes on inside these peoples heads. It doesn't look good right now, but hopefully something unexpected happens. This guy is an embarrassment. If he loses its rigged, lol, sounds like a loony FOF GM.
|
11-04-2020, 04:55 AM | #6237 | |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Jul 2007
|
Quote:
This will open the door wide for Trump to launch his tirades.
__________________
“The only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue centerlight pop and everybody goes "Awww!” |
|
11-04-2020, 04:56 AM | #6238 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Yeah, I don't think there's major concern in NV given where the votes have to come from and given that they are mail in ballots.
Of course any state that ends up within 1% they can ask for a recount, and that's when I imagine the courts start getting involved and things getting wacky... at first glance NV and WI could definitely fall into that category. And there's almost certainly going to be something to try to stop processing mail/late arriving ballots in PA/MI as well. What a mess. |
11-04-2020, 05:23 AM | #6239 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
1. Sounds like this will be the most insane and ugly week-ish of the Trump Presidency. That's saying a lot.
2. I have reviewed the reports (there were, um, a lot) of BillyMadison. He won't be rejoining us until after the inauguration at the earliest.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! Last edited by Ben E Lou : 11-04-2020 at 05:28 AM. |
11-04-2020, 05:24 AM | #6240 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
|
Surprise, surprise. Pollsters wrong again, there were some shy Trumpsters out there.
Just great, at least another day (or two) of drama. Even if Biden wins, its evident it won't be by a large margin to indicate significant repudiation of Trump. Unfortunately, this means Trumpism will be with us for a while and likely into 2024. I've said we can survive another 4 years of Trump. But the worst to me is the Senate with fair odds to remain GOP. That is the bad combo and another +2 to +4 years of the same. Joe, pull this out. |
11-04-2020, 05:29 AM | #6241 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-04-2020, 05:55 AM | #6242 | |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Quote:
This, longer than that I would say. The country needed a repudiation of that and regardless of anything else, we didn't get that. My top takeaway from the election is that this is who we are as a nation. This is who we are as a nation. |
|
11-04-2020, 05:56 AM | #6243 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Maassluis, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands
|
Quote:
(Yes, I adore the irony that I'm the one asking others what the tie-breaker would be )
__________________
* 2005 Golden Scribe winner for best FOF Dynasty about IHOF's Maassluis Merchantmen * Former GM of GEFL's Houston Oilers and WOOF's Curacao Cocktail |
|
11-04-2020, 05:59 AM | #6244 |
Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: May 2006
|
Practical answer; SCOTUS. You know it would go there, it might end up doing so anyway.
But in the event of a tie, the House chooses the president and the Senate chooses the VP. Ponder for a moment the prospects of a Biden-Pence presidency as one possibility. But each state, rather than each Rep, would get one vote in the house; the reps from each state vote as one delegation. So it essentially turns the House into a mini-Senate for the purposes of that vote. We don't want this. We really, really don't want this. Last edited by Brian Swartz : 11-04-2020 at 06:01 AM. |
11-04-2020, 06:02 AM | #6245 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
The only way Trumpism gets repudiated is in a Republican Presidential Primary. It should be clear as a bell now that in a GE, the huge majority of Americans are going to vote for whatever scumbag their team is offering, because they view said scumbag as better than letting the other team get control.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-04-2020, 06:07 AM | #6246 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Pacific
|
Doesnt seem like a whole lot changed over night. Trump being Trump and the 6 states holding up the process.
It is going to get ugly in this country, Im afraid.
__________________
Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15 |
11-04-2020, 06:07 AM | #6247 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
Quote:
We’re his posts deleted because I could use a giggle this morning after I take some Advil. |
|
11-04-2020, 06:12 AM | #6248 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
|
No man, just look at the last page
__________________
My listening habits |
11-04-2020, 06:12 AM | #6249 | |
College Prospect
Join Date: Dec 2002
|
Quote:
I guess it depends on what time you went to bed but I'm much more confident of a Biden win this morning. Granted, I was only like 10% last night but I'm, more like 65% now. |
|
11-04-2020, 06:13 AM | #6250 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
|
Quote:
This exactly. Tribalism and absolutism are the fabric of our times.
__________________
Jacksonville-florida-homes-for-sale Putting a New Spin on Real Estate! ----------------------------------------------------------- Commissioner of the USFL USFL |
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 13 (0 members and 13 guests) | |
Thread Tools | |
|
|