2020 Democratic Primaries/General Election Thread - Page 116

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 06:25 PM

Miami/Dade County bad enough for Dems that it might cost them FL.

Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 06:25 PM

Yep. Biden way underperforming in Miami.

Atocep · 11-03-2020, 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips

Miami/Dade County bad enough for Dems that it might cost them FL.

Biden is overperforming nearly everywhere else in the state but Miami-Dade is going to be tough to make up.

kingfc22 · 11-03-2020, 06:28 PM

Yep. Cubans sunk the Dems in Florida. Onto GA, NC, and PA.

molson · 11-03-2020, 06:30 PM

Such a dramatic odds shift already. 538 closed at 69% likely for Biden in Florida, NY Times already has it 84% Trump.

Of course who knows the order of reporting and I saw that needle flying all over the place last time.

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 06:32 PM

Florida is toast for Biden. LOL Dems

Jas_lov · 11-03-2020, 06:34 PM

Are the Miami Dade numbers only election day vote?

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 06:38 PM

NYT has Trump 93% to win Fl.

Anyone else getting a sinking feeling?

Ben E Lou · 11-03-2020, 06:38 PM

NYT right now, odds of winning...

FL: trump 94%
GA: Trump 60%
NC: Biden 65%

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jas_lov

Are the Miami Dade numbers only election day vote?

CNN just said most is in pearson early voting and still waiting on some from today

molson · 11-03-2020, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jas_lov

Are the Miami Dade numbers only election day vote?

Mostly in-person they just said.

Not sure if the early votes are counted today, tomorrow, next week, or if they're in a swamp somewhere.

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

NYT has Trump 93% to win Fl.

Anyone else getting a sinking feeling?

If you felt comfortable with the Dems winning an easy election, it is on you. This is what they do.

Jas_lov · 11-03-2020, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

NYT has Trump 93% to win Fl.

Anyone else getting a sinking feeling?

Yep...need NC or GA to come through. Don't want to leave this up to PA or AZ.

kingfc22 · 11-03-2020, 06:41 PM

Moving on to NC, GA, OH, WI, MI

FL is toast.

GrantDawg · 11-03-2020, 06:42 PM

Jamie Dupree says that Miami-Dade has only count part of their early vote. To Dem reps are down right now which makes it look like the more blue areas have been counted.

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Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 06:42 PM

So did Bernie's praise of Castro sink Dems in Miami?

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker

If you felt comfortable with the Dems winning an easy election, it is on you. This is what they do.

you can have a sinking feeling while not being comfortable. The two aren't mutually exclusive.

Ben E Lou · 11-03-2020, 06:46 PM

NYT up to ">95% Trump" in FL.

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker

If you felt comfortable with the Dems winning an easy election, it is on you. This is what they do.

Incumbents almost always win. Not sure why every time Dems lose it's because they blew an easy election.

kingfc22 · 11-03-2020, 06:50 PM

Early OH numbers look promising for Biden. Some big gains compared to Clinton’s numbers.

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 06:50 PM

All those panhandle counties are going to be heavily Trump..

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup

So did Bernie's praise of Castro sink Dems in Miami?

Not the first person who has already hedged by blaming Bernie for a Biden loss.

Edward64 · 11-03-2020, 06:51 PM

Good thing FL has fixed their hanging chad issues.

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 06:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips

Incumbents almost always win. Not sure why every time Dems lose it's because they blew an easy election.

Losing to Donald Trump twice would be a remarkable accomplishment. Especially after he destroyed the economy and killed a quarter of a million people.

GrantDawg · 11-03-2020, 06:54 PM

Biden not expected to win Ohio, but the Ohio numbers look really good so far.

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Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 06:55 PM

Atlanta absentee ballots won't be reported tonight. Pipe burst at State Farm Arena.

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup

Atlanta absentee ballots won't be reported tonight. Pipe burst at State Farm Arena.

Did it damage them or something?

Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker

Not the first person who has already hedged by blaming Bernie for a Biden loss.

I mean, I used to live down there. Castro hate is real even to this day. All GOP did was tag Biden as a radical liberal. Not that difficult a reach.

tarcone · 11-03-2020, 06:56 PM

TRUMP WINS INDIANA! DECLARES HE IS PRESIDENT!

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 06:56 PM

Times gives trump a 75% chance to win the state of Georgia

JPhillips · 11-03-2020, 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker

Losing to Donald Trump twice would be a remarkable accomplishment. Especially after he destroyed the economy and killed a quarter of a million people.

Biden's going to have record Dem turnout. Not sure who would have done better.

And he's probably still going to win.

Ksyrup · 11-03-2020, 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

Did it damage them or something?

No, just delayed the count. Although one board member is saying it might be until Friday. I don't know why that long a lag.

tarcone · 11-03-2020, 07:01 PM

I hate this projected winner BS. Yeah I get they are heavily Dem, but, come on.

bhlloy · 11-03-2020, 07:01 PM

This obviously isn't the runaway that anyone thought. We're a close race in PA away from another Trump presidency.

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup

I mean, I used to live down there. Castro hate is real even to this day. All GOP did was tag Biden as a radical liberal. Not that difficult a reach.

Anyone who thinks Biden, a guy who spent his political career fighting for banks and credit cards, is a communist, is dumb as shit.

timmynausea · 11-03-2020, 07:02 PM

Many of the offshore books now have the election as near a tossup.

RainMaker · 11-03-2020, 07:04 PM

I mean it sucks he lost Florida but it seems like it was mostly the Cuban vote. Everywhere else he is making gains and the Cuban vote is not an issue in other states.

cuervo72 · 11-03-2020, 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker

Anyone who thinks Biden, a guy who spent his political career fighting for banks and credit cards, is a communist, is dumb as shit.

I know a family with Cuban roots. Good people. Formerly normal people. They are absolutely convinced Biden would turn the US into a Communist hellscape.

GrantDawg · 11-03-2020, 07:07 PM

Biden won Duvall county in Florida. He is the first dem to do that since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Biden did well everywhere else in Florida except Miami Dade.

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Brian Swartz · 11-03-2020, 07:07 PM

Tarcone, what do you think the networks should do differently? I'm not sure what you are looking at specifically, but they are projecting winners both ways.

Personally, I would bar them from reporting any results until the polls have closed everywhere, but I think it's clear why that hasn't happened.

tarcone · 11-03-2020, 07:07 PM

Trump has absolutely perverted this country.

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 07:09 PM

What is up with Virginia. I can only assume some major dem areas haven't reported yet.

tarcone · 11-03-2020, 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz

Tarcone, what do you think the networks should do differently? I'm not sure what you are looking at specifically, but they are projecting winners both ways.

Personally, I would bar them from reporting any results until the polls have closed everywhere, but I think it's clear why that hasn't happened.

Yes. It is 0.0% for Trump and 0.0% for Biden yet they say one is the projected winner. Lets see some results first.

Ben E Lou · 11-03-2020, 07:11 PM

Silver on ABC has dropped to 66% Biden win.

Lathum · 11-03-2020, 07:11 PM

Haven't seen anything on senate races. Am I missing something?

Vegas Vic · 11-03-2020, 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum

What is up with Virginia. I can only assume some major dem areas haven't reported yet.

Fox News called Virginia for Biden almost an hour ago.

cuervo72 · 11-03-2020, 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou

Silver on ABC has dropped to 66% Biden win.

Whee boy, here we go.

Brian Swartz · 11-03-2020, 07:12 PM

I'm still not worried, but this definitely doesn't look like what I expected.

Danny · 11-03-2020, 07:13 PM

What link do you see currently state odds?

GrantDawg · 11-03-2020, 07:14 PM

Steve Kornaki is taking dirty to me about Texas. Just hot stuff.

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11-03-2020, 06:25 PM	#5751
JPhillips Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Newburgh, NY	Miami/Dade County bad enough for Dems that it might cost them FL. __________________ To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers

11-03-2020, 06:25 PM	#5752
Ksyrup This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off. Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: In Absentia	Yep. Biden way underperforming in Miami. __________________ M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

11-03-2020, 06:28 PM	#5754
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	Yep. Cubans sunk the Dems in Florida. Onto GA, NC, and PA. __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

11-03-2020, 06:38 PM	#5759
Ben E Lou Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Greensboro, NC	NYT right now, odds of winning... FL: trump 94% GA: Trump 60% NC: Biden 65% __________________ The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'!

11-03-2020, 06:41 PM	#5764
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	Moving on to NC, GA, OH, WI, MI FL is toast. __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

11-03-2020, 06:30 PM	#5755
molson General Manager Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: The Mountains	Such a dramatic odds shift already. 538 closed at 69% likely for Biden in Florida, NY Times already has it 84% Trump. Of course who knows the order of reporting and I saw that needle flying all over the place last time.

11-03-2020, 06:32 PM	#5756
RainMaker Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Chicago, IL	Florida is toast for Biden. LOL Dems

11-03-2020, 06:34 PM	#5757
Jas_lov College Starter Join Date: Oct 2000	Are the Miami Dade numbers only election day vote?

11-03-2020, 06:38 PM	#5758
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	NYT has Trump 93% to win Fl. Anyone else getting a sinking feeling?

11-03-2020, 06:42 PM	#5765
GrantDawg World Champion Mis-speller Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Covington, Ga.	Jamie Dupree says that Miami-Dade has only count part of their early vote. To Dem reps are down right now which makes it look like the more blue areas have been counted. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

11-03-2020, 06:42 PM	#5766
Ksyrup This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off. Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: In Absentia	So did Bernie's praise of Castro sink Dems in Miami? __________________ M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

11-03-2020, 06:46 PM	#5768
Ben E Lou Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Greensboro, NC	NYT up to ">95% Trump" in FL. __________________ The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'!

11-03-2020, 06:50 PM	#5770
kingfc22 Head Coach Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Morgan Hill, CA	Early OH numbers look promising for Biden. Some big gains compared to Clinton’s numbers. __________________ Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal

11-03-2020, 06:50 PM	#5771
JPhillips Hall Of Famer Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Newburgh, NY	All those panhandle counties are going to be heavily Trump.. __________________ To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers

11-03-2020, 06:51 PM	#5773
Edward64 Head Coach Join Date: Oct 2005	Good thing FL has fixed their hanging chad issues.

11-03-2020, 06:54 PM	#5775
GrantDawg World Champion Mis-speller Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Covington, Ga.	Biden not expected to win Ohio, but the Ohio numbers look really good so far. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

11-03-2020, 06:55 PM	#5776
Ksyrup This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off. Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: In Absentia	Atlanta absentee ballots won't be reported tonight. Pipe burst at State Farm Arena. __________________ M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete."

11-03-2020, 06:56 PM	#5779
tarcone Coordinator Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Pacific	TRUMP WINS INDIANA! DECLARES HE IS PRESIDENT! __________________ Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15

11-03-2020, 06:56 PM	#5780
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	Times gives trump a 75% chance to win the state of Georgia Last edited by Lathum : 11-03-2020 at 06:57 PM.

11-03-2020, 07:01 PM	#5783
tarcone Coordinator Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Pacific	I hate this projected winner BS. Yeah I get they are heavily Dem, but, come on. __________________ Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15

11-03-2020, 07:01 PM	#5784
bhlloy Coordinator Join Date: Nov 2003	This obviously isn't the runaway that anyone thought. We're a close race in PA away from another Trump presidency.

11-03-2020, 07:02 PM	#5786
timmynausea College Starter Join Date: Dec 2002	Many of the offshore books now have the election as near a tossup.

11-03-2020, 07:04 PM	#5787
RainMaker Hall Of Famer Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Chicago, IL	I mean it sucks he lost Florida but it seems like it was mostly the Cuban vote. Everywhere else he is making gains and the Cuban vote is not an issue in other states.

11-03-2020, 07:07 PM	#5789
GrantDawg World Champion Mis-speller Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Covington, Ga.	Biden won Duvall county in Florida. He is the first dem to do that since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Biden did well everywhere else in Florida except Miami Dade. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

11-03-2020, 07:07 PM	#5790
Brian Swartz Grizzled Veteran Join Date: May 2006	Tarcone, what do you think the networks should do differently? I'm not sure what you are looking at specifically, but they are projecting winners both ways. Personally, I would bar them from reporting any results until the polls have closed everywhere, but I think it's clear why that hasn't happened.

11-03-2020, 07:07 PM	#5791
tarcone Coordinator Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Pacific	Trump has absolutely perverted this country. __________________ Excuses are for wusses- Spencer Lee Punting is Winning- Tory Taylor The word is Fight! Fight! Fight! For Iowa FOFC 30 Dollar Challenge Champion-OOTP '15

11-03-2020, 07:09 PM	#5792
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	What is up with Virginia. I can only assume some major dem areas haven't reported yet.

11-03-2020, 07:11 PM	#5794
Ben E Lou Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Greensboro, NC	Silver on ABC has dropped to 66% Biden win. __________________ The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'!

11-03-2020, 07:11 PM	#5795
Lathum Favored Bitch #1 Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: homeless in NJ	Haven't seen anything on senate races. Am I missing something?

11-03-2020, 07:12 PM	#5798
Brian Swartz Grizzled Veteran Join Date: May 2006	I'm still not worried, but this definitely doesn't look like what I expected.

11-03-2020, 07:13 PM	#5799
Danny Head Coach Join Date: Jul 2001	What link do you see currently state odds?

11-03-2020, 07:14 PM	#5800
GrantDawg World Champion Mis-speller Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Covington, Ga.	Steve Kornaki is taking dirty to me about Texas. Just hot stuff. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

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