11-02-2020, 03:15 PM | #5551 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
|
Quote:
There were some other important nuggets from the case
SI
__________________
Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" |
|
11-02-2020, 03:33 PM | #5552 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
|
Judge Hanan has been known for being a pretty partisan judge. So... it's a good thing that he's basically saying early voting drive thru voting is protected and telling folks to not do it on election day because they may have problems. He could have just not said that part and let people get surprised who voted on election day.
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
11-02-2020, 03:40 PM | #5553 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
Quote:
GASP!
__________________
Coastal Carolina Baseball-2016 National Champion! 10/17/20-Coastal Football ranked in Top 25 for first time! |
|
11-02-2020, 03:44 PM | #5554 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
Yeah I mean I won't be surprised if the Republicans try again in Texas, but I think they are unlikely to succeed given this ruling
__________________
Coastal Carolina Baseball-2016 National Champion! 10/17/20-Coastal Football ranked in Top 25 for first time! |
11-02-2020, 04:05 PM | #5555 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
|
GA African American 65+ is already at 124% of 2016 total.
Turnout is going to be crazy in some states.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
11-02-2020, 04:32 PM | #5556 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
FL is at 69% Biden. It hasn't been that high previously, has it?
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-02-2020, 04:44 PM | #5557 | |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
OK, so I wasn't crazy. It was 61% a few days ago...
Quote:
PA: 85-->85 FL: 61-->69 GA: 50-->56 IA: 50-->39 AZ: 66-->68 Also pretty sure NC has gone up from a few days ago. It's at 65% now. Definite upward Biden trend in the southeast. Related to black voter turnout perhaps?
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
|
11-02-2020, 04:50 PM | #5558 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
|
I saw that turnout in red counties in Florida was way up too so not sure if Biden can count on sheer volume there. Plus we know Florida is going to do some wonky shit.
|
11-02-2020, 04:51 PM | #5559 | |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
|
Quote:
I assumed their model was just polling. If it doesn't include turnout, the massive black voter turnout (esp older black folk) is going to really help Biden a ton in NC and GA.
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
|
11-02-2020, 04:55 PM | #5560 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
|
Quote:
I'm not sure offhand what makes up the fundamentals they use, but they've been taken out by now and it's pretty much just state level polling right now. The only good poll that hasn't been in Biden's favor in Florida recently is an ABC/WA Post poll that has Trump up 2. |
|
11-02-2020, 05:02 PM | #5561 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Closer it gets to the election it becomes pure polling rather than weighting by incumbency and other factors (e.g. economic) IIRC... so this would be expected assuming Biden's poll #'s haven't taken a dive.
I actually am a lot less bullish on FL, TX and NC than I was a week ago, but maybe that's just the nerves talking. 2016 it was pretty clear early on from PA numbers that Clinton was in serious trouble and I expect it to be the same this year... should be relatively simple to extrapolate from what has been counted and when in PA if this will be a laugher or if it's going to play out in the courts. I can't see any inbetween. |
11-02-2020, 05:13 PM | #5562 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
The fact that the Republican Speaker of the House in Texas argued against the case, as well as Ben Ginsburg, a former speaker filed a brief against the suit tells you how much they no shot of winning.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
11-02-2020, 06:13 PM | #5563 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
Ok, I giggled.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-02-2020, 06:49 PM | #5564 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
|
Aubrey been Huffin' something, alright. Although it's amazing how many Trumpists believe this is going to be a landslide for Trump.
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
11-02-2020, 07:11 PM | #5565 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
I'm back from my final honk and wave plus guerilla sign posting plus dinner at skyline.
So....I did a lot of little honk and wave rallies. Some in burb Sharonville. like 3 but mostly NE in Mason in Warren County which is more of a solid red county and HEAVILY gerymandered so that half of blue hamilton has to be in the same place as mostly red warren county. Yes VERY stupid. One thing I noticed is that at at least 4 of the honk and waves that I did, there was at least one asshole trumper that showed up with a trump flag. This is not coincidence. They have been given marching orders to be full on obxnoxious and go aftger any biden groups. I never saw ONE trump honk and wave or anything. Like...why don't they sread their own positive message somewhere. Oh yeah because all they do is bully. We need to vote that sentiment out of this country. |
11-02-2020, 07:38 PM | #5566 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
Quote:
hey! that's like mine only a differnt color! She copied my idea!~ I'm suing! |
|
11-02-2020, 07:42 PM | #5567 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
|
11-02-2020, 07:44 PM | #5568 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
|
11-02-2020, 07:47 PM | #5569 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Puyallup, WA
|
|
11-02-2020, 07:48 PM | #5570 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Morgan Hill, CA
|
He’s a certifiable asshole
__________________
Fan of SF Giants, 49ers, Sharks, Arsenal |
11-02-2020, 07:55 PM | #5571 |
Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
|
Sometimes things just line up perfectly, doncha think?
__________________
Check out Foz's New Video Game Site, An 8-bit Mind in an 8GB world! http://an8bitmind.com |
11-02-2020, 08:01 PM | #5572 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
A shy trump voter is the kind that says things like "Both sides spread misinformation"
like my bitch of a sister |
11-02-2020, 08:18 PM | #5573 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
James Carville is saying it is going to be over by 10pm. He predicts a Biden landslide. The Good Lord knows I hope he is right.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
11-02-2020, 08:31 PM | #5574 |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
|
11-02-2020, 08:39 PM | #5575 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Surfside Beach,SC USA
|
So Aubrey, the one state Trump has railed against the most ever since 2016, where his advice for the forest fires there was to rake the forests, and he turned down (I think) the Governor's request for disaster aid for the latest fires is suddenly going to join the Trump cult?
Man I can't wait to see your twitter feed tomorrow
__________________
Coastal Carolina Baseball-2016 National Champion! 10/17/20-Coastal Football ranked in Top 25 for first time! |
11-02-2020, 08:45 PM | #5576 | |
Favored Bitch #1
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: homeless in NJ
|
Quote:
We will see the word rigged a lot |
|
11-02-2020, 09:54 PM | #5577 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
|
11-02-2020, 10:04 PM | #5578 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
|
11-02-2020, 10:27 PM | #5579 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: The scorched Desert
|
|
11-02-2020, 10:36 PM | #5580 | |
Coordinator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: San Diego via Sausalito via San Jose via San Diego
|
Quote:
I was about to say, whoa there tiger, but, then I saw the second 'j'.
__________________
I'm no longer a Chargers fan, they are dead to me Coming this summer to a movie theater near you: The Adventures of Jedikooter: Part 4 |
|
11-02-2020, 10:39 PM | #5581 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Nov 2003
|
Tonight feels very much like the calm before the storm... maybe it's the meds I'm taking for my back. I hope I'm wrong but feels like the next month+ is going to be written about in history books no matter what happens.
|
11-02-2020, 10:56 PM | #5582 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: The scorched Desert
|
|
11-03-2020, 12:12 AM | #5583 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
Quote:
see this is what I never understood. How both Louisiana and Mississippi and like all these deep south states are always red when I thought they had quite a heavy african american and probably latino population. Am I wrong? Have I watched too much TV? |
|
11-03-2020, 12:23 AM | #5584 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Dec 2009
|
so like have all democrats voted already? Is all that's left are republicans and old people that don't want to drive anywhere to the early voting polling stations and didn't trust mailin?
|
11-03-2020, 12:54 AM | #5585 |
College Prospect
Join Date: Nov 2014
|
So these southeast spikes for biden is why all of a sudden these black and/or hip hop artists have started announcing their endorsements for trump? Trump is that desperate?
|
11-03-2020, 01:59 AM | #5586 |
lolzcat
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Annapolis, Md
|
Honestly, I think they throw out a variety of flim flam in the last throes of an election cycle -- especially the stuff that they know really doesn't hold any water. The "Hunter Biden's laptop(s)" stuff is pretty clearly bullshit, so you don't unroll that in July when it can get picked apart and debunked -- you use it as a classic October Surprise, trying to get mileage of the same sort the "Comey letter" granted in the final days of the 2016 election. A sort of final argument that XXX is important, in case you're still trying to decide.
That said...I fully expect the Republican Party (whatever that even means now) to shift gears in its approach to minority communities, and try to reframe their policies as "pro-success." You connect with someone like, say, Lil' Wayne (to the extent there's any logic there i cannot translate) and you can get him behind you based on his thinking that he's primarily a millionaire rather than primarily a black man. He's not going to get pulled over by one of the right-empowered thug cops, he's not going to lose out on an educational opportunity due to a conservative court's elimination of diversity programs, he's not going to have his Section 8 housing voucher limited to rotten neighborhoods ... but he is going to enjoy a fat tax cut for the super rich, and he is going to appreciate more legal ways to make even more money off his lowest-paid underlings. Cynicism aside, I think this is a productive line for a party that really doesn't advance traditional "minority issues." If Democrats are going to remain the party of government handouts (and they are), the downside is that exudes a future pinned to those programs. Republicans have a lane to argue to minority communities that they are about promoting opportunity and success... damn right they're the party of millionaires, don't you want to be one? |
11-03-2020, 05:16 AM | #5587 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
My map prediction. (I think Biden actually wins GA, but shenanigans prevail.)
And yeah, there seems to be a fairly solid chance that NC and FL are called for Biden tonight, and that's that.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 05:31 AM | #5588 | |
College Benchwarmer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Fort Wayne, Indiana
|
Quote:
That's my prediction map as well minus Maine-2 going to Biden. Last edited by Racer : 11-03-2020 at 05:32 AM. |
|
11-03-2020, 05:45 AM | #5589 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
Just re-ran the maps based on what's likely to be reported tonight. It's reasonable that Biden could get to 283 or 284 tonight (needs FL + either GA or NC to do that.) Trump's 11/3 ceiling looks like 248 from where I'm sitting, and that would mean him winning NC, FL, GA, TX, and OH tonight, then we'd probably have to wait on AZ (sounds like Wed morning,) and then whenever MI and PA finish. In that scenario, it's 243-238 Trump tonight, and 2 outta 3 wins the election for either side.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 05:53 AM | #5590 |
Resident Alien
Join Date: Jun 2001
|
On Morning Joe, they seemed to think Texas is really in play for Democrats. We’ll see.
|
11-03-2020, 05:55 AM | #5591 |
Morgado's Favorite Forum Fascist
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Greensboro, NC
|
So, here's a fun thought: it's not out of the realm of possibility that the FAKE NEWS ends the night with the race uncalled, but OANN calls it for Trump and he claims victory based on that.
__________________
The media don't understand the kinds of problems and pressures 54 million come wit'! |
11-03-2020, 06:12 AM | #5592 | |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
Quote:
Of course the problem was Durham found nothing Durham Investigation: How Trump’s October Surprise Went Bust. Then the FDA and the CDC made clear they were definitely not approving an early vaccine candidate. All they had left was the laptop. I am sure they were still surprised they couldn't get any traction from the main stream media on the story. |
|
11-03-2020, 06:19 AM | #5593 |
World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
|
Ummmmm....what?
|
11-03-2020, 06:29 AM | #5594 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
|
Quote:
Assuming they are for possible violence, seems prudent to me. |
|
11-03-2020, 06:31 AM | #5595 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2005
|
I just want to say "thank the gods that this f*cking day is finally here".
|
11-03-2020, 06:45 AM | #5596 |
This guy has posted so much, his fingers are about to fall off.
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: In Absentia
|
So my GOP friends/co-workers who feel confident Trump is going to win are pointing to RealClearPolitics poll averages, which have the races way tighter than any of the poll averages I've seen anywhere else. I don't have much context for RCP - are they a GOP lean site, are they averaging in crappy polls that others leave out? What gives?
__________________
M's pitcher Miguel Batista: "Now, I feel like I've had everything. I've talked pitching with Sandy Koufax, had Kenny G play for me. Maybe if I could have an interview with God, then I'd be served. I'd be complete." |
11-03-2020, 06:46 AM | #5597 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
|
Speaking of October Surprises that never arose, my "Will Obama face charges before Nov. 3" bet on PredictIt finally resolved to NO at midnight.
At 3c, I thought it was worth betting on Trump to be just petty enough to do it. |
11-03-2020, 06:47 AM | #5598 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Dayton, OH
|
I was reading something yesterday that referred to RCP as a right-leaning site, but I could've been reading it on a left-leaning site. So.
__________________
My listening habits |
11-03-2020, 06:57 AM | #5599 | |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
|
Quote:
RCP has always been right leaning but credible. That has apparently changed. If you click this tweet, he goes on to explain
Last edited by albionmoonlight : 11-03-2020 at 06:58 AM. |
|
11-03-2020, 06:59 AM | #5600 |
Head Coach
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: North Carolina
|
dola:
I guess RCP might have made the (probably correct) financial decision that there's more clicks to be had as part of the right-wing media ecosystem than the mainstream media. |
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 16 (0 members and 16 guests) | |
Thread Tools | |
|
|