Baseball Season Projection

[21C]

I always enjoy reading the Diamond Mind Baseball projections. You can read the latest one for the coming season here:
http://www.diamond-mind.com/articles/proj2005.htm

I'm not a customer of DMB but I appreciate the thoroughness of their predictions. There is nothing to say that they will get them right but I always like the idea of how they put these together. They are probably no better than simming a season in MVP but they do go to lengths to explain the reasons for their projections. I usually print them them out and read them in my "library".

Here is the summary for their 100 sims and the average number of wins:

Legend
W, L, Pct, GB -- average wins, average losses, winning percentage, games behind leader
RF, RA -- average runs for and against
#DIV, #WC -- number of division titles and wild cards (fractions given for ties)

AL East         W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
New York       97  65  .599   -  904  744  55.5  38.8
Boston         96  66  .593   1  922  765  44.5  43.0
Baltimore      80  82  .494  17  827  837         6.5
Toronto        73  89  .451  24  800  877
Tampa Bay      66  96  .407  31  729  883

AL Central      W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
Minnesota      89  73  .549   -  854  786  71.5    .3   
Cleveland      79  83  .488  10  815  830   9.0   1.0
Chicago        79  83  .488  10  817  841   8.5   2.3
Detroit        79  83  .488  10  832  857  11.0   1.0
Kansas City    67  95  .414  22  761  890

AL West         W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
Oakland        85  77  .525   -  873  817  31.0   1.0 
Los Angeles    84  78  .519   1  803  775  29.0   2.5
Seattle        83  79  .512   2  795  778  25.0   2.0
Texas          80  82  .494   5  852  875  15.0   1.5

NL East         W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
Philadelphia   90  72  .556   -  861  781  53.0  13.0
Atlanta        86  76  .531   4  793  738  25.0  10.0
Florida        82  80  .506   8  756  746  12.0  10.0
New York       82  80  .506   8  788  774   8.0   8.0 
Washington     79  83  .488  11  748  780   2.0   3.0

NL Central      W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
St. Louis     103  59  .636   -  876  666  99.0 
Chicago        83  79  .512  20  783  768   1.0  17.8
Houston        77  85  .475  26  766  810         1.0
Cincinnati     72  90  .444  31  769  854         1.0
Pittsburgh     72  90  .444  31  725  809
Milwaukee      70  92  .432  33  721  812         1.0

NL West         W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
Los Angeles    90  72  .556   -  811  733  56.5  11.3
San Francisco  88  74  .543   2  853  782  35.0  17.3
San Diego      81  81  .500   9  784  767   7.5   6.5
Colorado       70  92  .432  20  852  978   1.0
Arizona        68  94  .420  22  786  903

[SackAttack]

That NL Central prediction is shocking. The Cards won the Central 99% of the time?

I'm heartened by the Dodgers finishing first 57% of the time, though. Maybe Depodesta's moves will work out after all, then.