10-21-2003, 11:43 PM | #1 | ||
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More NFL predictions/strange standings
Basically, here is a loose stastical outlook on the the season and where teams should stand as opposed to their actual records, and where they may end up. (Note: % is Pythagorean percent based on points and weird math stuff I don't understand).
Here it is Supposed playoffs: AFC: Bye - KC and IN TN @ Mia Den @ Bal NFC: Bye - MN and SL SF @ Dal. Sea. @ TB Cards, Bears and Falcons are fighting it out for the #1 pick. Nothing really shocking. Edit: Fixed to comply with TroyF statement below. Last edited by Easy Mac : 10-21-2003 at 11:52 PM. |
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10-21-2003, 11:46 PM | #2 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Actually, it has Denver at 12-4. They'd finish ahead of an 11-5 Tennessee team.
TroyF |
10-21-2003, 11:47 PM | #3 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Allen Park, MI
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What exactly is the tie-breaker for the #1 pick because the way my Lions have played this year, they deserve some consideration.....
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10-21-2003, 11:48 PM | #4 |
Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Allen Park, MI
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dola.... forget it.... figured it out
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10-21-2003, 11:50 PM | #6 | |
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Quote:
oops, tend to forget the broncos as much as possible That being said, given how the schedules play out, I sincerely doubt these records are possible anyway, just things to think about as trends start to set in for teams (i.e. Carolina's offense showing itself to be a huge liability, its team being too reliant on a D that can't be on every game.) |
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10-21-2003, 11:54 PM | #7 |
Coordinator
Join Date: Oct 2000
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Just pointing out your flaw.
It actually has the Panthers at 9-7. That's a likely record for them. They'd have to go 4-6 the rest of the way for that to happen? I think it's possible with that defense. I can't see Dallas finishing 12-4 or the Packers winning 10 games though. TroyF |
10-22-2003, 12:04 AM | #8 |
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Hey, math is never wrong!
A lot of factors unfortuantely can't completely be taken into account when producing these standings. If I had the time, I'm sure I could figure out a way so that points scored in a blowout (see 49ers v. Bears) wouldn't skew their win percentage. Also, it doesn't factor in schedule strength (I could probably do that within a few hours if I were bored enoguh), so it can't accurately predict how the Cowboys will play against better teams. But oh well, if I am somehow right, I can tout my geniousness, and if not, I can just blame it on the computer. |
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