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QuikSand · 11-24-2022, 10:37 AM

Okay, the Training Variety Pack disappeared an hour or so ago...that was, we believe, the main thing keeping "the market" artificially high. Since then, the market has dropped -- training can now be purchased for under 9 coins/training, and that likely comes down over the next day or two with the new wave of cards coming 8pm ET tonight.

The question for me (a no money spent guy, immune to all the "good deal for cash" stuff that will be out there soon) is how much do I invest in the notion that this is a market bottom and it will rise again after the Blitz program?

My default assumption is something like this:

-Market will drop to something like 7 coin/training soon
-I could buy up non-special player cards at the lowest rate possible
-I could spend $1m to buy, say, 150,000 training units worth of cards
-The Market will rebound after this artificial drop, to some degree
-Later, training will rise to, say, 8 coins per training
-If I sell my cards at training rate, net of tax, I get back 1.2m ... profit

So, how much to risk on the guess that this is how things will work? The last two years, I'm pretty confident it worked this way... through Dec/Jan we were looking back on the late Nov Blitz program as the cheapest training/market by far.

I don't know what to do here... it feels like easy money, but it's fairly risky.

11-24-2022, 10:37 AM	#493
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	Okay, the Training Variety Pack disappeared an hour or so ago...that was, we believe, the main thing keeping "the market" artificially high. Since then, the market has dropped -- training can now be purchased for under 9 coins/training, and that likely comes down over the next day or two with the new wave of cards coming 8pm ET tonight. The question for me (a no money spent guy, immune to all the "good deal for cash" stuff that will be out there soon) is how much do I invest in the notion that this is a market bottom and it will rise again after the Blitz program? My default assumption is something like this: -Market will drop to something like 7 coin/training soon -I could buy up non-special player cards at the lowest rate possible -I could spend $1m to buy, say, 150,000 training units worth of cards -The Market will rebound after this artificial drop, to some degree -Later, training will rise to, say, 8 coins per training -If I sell my cards at training rate, net of tax, I get back 1.2m ... profit So, how much to risk on the guess that this is how things will work? The last two years, I'm pretty confident it worked this way... through Dec/Jan we were looking back on the late Nov Blitz program as the cheapest training/market by far. I don't know what to do here... it feels like easy money, but it's fairly risky.