Quote:
Originally Posted by QuikSand
I think that the ideal thing to do, if in that situation, is to trust the people who have actually run the numbers. They all advise you to hit, so you hit.
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Yeah, but it's no that much of a difference. Staying will have you win 2.7% more, but also lose 3.1% more often. For $1 bet, you will lose .537 if you stand and .535 if you hit. So, it's a fractional better play to hit - depending on the hand. If you have a three card 16, the numbers actually say to stay.
One interesting strategy I read was to add up all the A-5 cards on the table (good) and 6-K (bad). Then, if the "good" cards make up more than 40% of the total - you stand. If it is under 40%, you hit. I don't think it makes that much of a difference, but it was an interesting idea since the difference is so razor thin.
What I usually do is hit if I am playing the push (casinos near me do the 10-1 push bet as a side) or stay if I'm not (depending on if I'm counting or not). But, I may try the good/bad ratio next time. Either way, it's a losing bet and I would surrender if it was offered, but it's an interesting thought experiment.