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Originally Posted by albionmoonlight
Good catch. So what are the best reasonable odds that a player will get a hit in any given game? 70%? 80%? (Assuming, of course, that you get to pick the most favorable player based on pitchers, etc.).
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If you a assume a player has a 50% of getting a hit in any at bat. With 4 at bats per game they have a 93% chance of getting a hit at least once.
If you have assume a player has a 35% chance of a hit in any bat those odds decrease to about 82% chance of getting a hit.
A 300 hitter has a 75% chance of a hit in any game.
Thus a 300 hitter will has a 1 in 13 million chance of hitting in 57 straight games.
However, if you could be 93% certain a player will get a hit in a game the odds are 1 in 63. 1/(.93 ^ 57)
Todd