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Given the Bush's horrid job record, and Edward's ability to campaign, I think Edwards could pull some of the South, so long as Kerry shuts the fuck up about it. Kerry can't keep saying he can ignore the South (regardless of the truth to the statement), because a good part of the South is having a hell of a time in the job market, and many of them see it as Bush's fault (whether rightly or not). He's shooting himself in the foot with that. I could see Edwards giving Bush a better run at this point because he can pull a good bit of the South, even if he has a short political record.
And on Kerry running as a centrist: Bush also ran as a centrist when he ran, and the people sure as hell didn't see through that.
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