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Old 05-13-2024, 11:26 PM   #258
thesloppy
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: PDX
Quote:
Originally Posted by RainMaker View Post
So when they ask a person which Senator they will vote for, it's correct. When they ask that same person which President they vote for, it's wrong.


Of course it's not that simple. They could be using an entirely different model for Presidential polling for all that you or I know. Here's what I do know once again:


1. Presidential polling was historically bad for the last 2 presidential elections
2. Those folks who fucked up the polling for those last 2 elections have course-corrected their Presidential polling models
3. The Presidential polling results are entirely out-of-whack with the down-ballot polling results


I am absolutely not going to tell you that means Joe Biden isn't losing or isn't a horrible candidate, but you can't tell me those facts aren't remarkable.
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Last edited by thesloppy : 05-13-2024 at 11:26 PM.
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