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QuikSand · 05-01-2024, 10:13 AM

I am a pace guy, so here's what seems likely early on:

1 DORNOCH has no choice but to go, push toward or take the lead. He's not gonna be passing horses late, his path to win is keep the rail and hope for the best. 5, 8, 9, maybe 10/11, 12, and maybe a couple others from the outside are all candidates to either pressure for the lead or to park just off DORNOCH's hip. I don't see an easy pace setup, I think they will work early. That seems to favor those who will be stalking behind them, or possibly coming from way back.

Best guess is that for the two short price horses, FIERCENESS is either on the front row or the second row, likely 3-5 wide early. And SIERRE LEONE likely well toward the back, probably on the inside but saving ground would put him 6-8-10 lengths back early in a big field, I'd think.

05-01-2024, 10:13 AM	#3
QuikSand lolzcat Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Annapolis, Md	I am a pace guy, so here's what seems likely early on: 1 DORNOCH has no choice but to go, push toward or take the lead. He's not gonna be passing horses late, his path to win is keep the rail and hope for the best. 5, 8, 9, maybe 10/11, 12, and maybe a couple others from the outside are all candidates to either pressure for the lead or to park just off DORNOCH's hip. I don't see an easy pace setup, I think they will work early. That seems to favor those who will be stalking behind them, or possibly coming from way back. Best guess is that for the two short price horses, FIERCENESS is either on the front row or the second row, likely 3-5 wide early. And SIERRE LEONE likely well toward the back, probably on the inside but saving ground would put him 6-8-10 lengths back early in a big field, I'd think.