From 538.
https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-lea...y?id=109506070
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Specifically, as of April 25 at 9 a.m. Eastern, our national polling average shows 40.9 percent of likely voters would support Biden if the election were held today, while 41.6 percent would support Trump.
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But there's considerable uncertainty in those numbers.
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To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time.
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Right now, that interval shows that Biden's support could be anywhere between 39.4 and 42.2 percent, while Trump’s range is from 40.3 to 42.8 percent.
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So in other words, a long ways to go yet.