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I have $10 live on the Oaks-Derby double with 12 TAIBA so that's my win bet, for all intents and purposes. Despite my splash here with big tickets, I am generally not all that deep of a bettor.
I have two tri tickets entered, and I'm probably on my way toward a couple more w-t-f tickets in the last ten minutes before it goes off, but my final thoughts:
I just feel like TAIBA has shown me the most talent
ZANDON should be the favorite and is an overlay in the 8-1 range
I'm fading EPICENTER without much remorse
CHARGE IT moving up my board and into my exotic bets now
the workouts from CROWN PRIDE have me messing up wagers to get him in
RICH STRIKE does not have the lowest chance of hitting the board
MESSIER has a similar narrative to last year's MEDINA SPIRIT, beware
seriously, just a "Santa Anita was the key race" outcome and it comes in 12 or 6/6 or 12/x/x would not come as any kind of surprise to me, and the bettors seem to agree as they're putting both of them lower than the ML suggested
see y'all in the drunk guy thread, especially if any of this nonsense hits for another crush (honestly last year I was all over MEDINA SPIRIT, but it was my quiet backing of actual official winner MANDALOUN that sent me into four figures and the IRS window)
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