Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49
Take any 3 people in this game on day 1. There is a basically a 50/50 chance that one of the three is a werewolf (51% all villagers/49% a least 1 wolf). It gets better.
On day 2 you have 6 villagers and 2 wolves. So in any random group of three there's only a 42% chance that all three are villagers. So it would have been a safe bet with any permutation of players to bet that at least one is a wolf.
Apologies for the statistics interlude.
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This doesn't even count the Sorc. Naturally, and unfortunately, I didn't know I was talking to a wolf in Font as D1 ended. DT read like a villager, so I felt okay working with him and hoping he'd have fingers pointed at him later on.