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Old 05-06-2010, 03:12 PM   #14
SportsDino
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Join Date: Oct 2001
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subby View Post
Why Wall Street panicked

By David Cho
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, May 6, 2010; 3:55 PM

For months, the words "financial crisis" seemed antiquated.

Wall Street profits were soaring once again. Economic growth returned. Our 401(k)s bulked back up. Massive, triple-digit losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average seemed a thing of the past, or at least of early 2009.

For a day, at least, that optimistic sentiment evaporated. Panicked investors sold off everything they could and snapped up U.S. Treasuries, one of the safest investments on earth. The Dow Jones industrial index nearly dropped 1,000 points before recovering about half of those losses.

What happened?

In a word, Greece.

It seemed to sneak up on us, the issue of Greece indebtedness. The problem isn't complicated: the country borrowed way too much and now is struggling mightily to pay back what it owes. Now, its financiers in Germany and elsewhere in Europe are facing massive losses.

The danger had been percolating in Europe for a while. But only this week did it seem to sink in with U.S. investors how closely related Greek's problems were to our own. Some on this side of the Atlantic believed the rest of Europe would step in and provide a bailout to protect the rest of the continent. Now some believe the package that was announced by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund won't work or won't be enough, raising questions about how the European Central Bank has handled the crisis.

Greece alone can't take down the world's economy. But if the panic spreads to Spain, a very significant economy which is several times larger, the situation could become far more ominous, which is why so many investors are hitting the "sell" button on their trading desks.

Some of the dramatic fall and rise of the Dow today could have been aggravated by technical glitches and weird trading patterns.

But officials and market watchers say that the threat from Europe could significantly crimp what has been a fairly good recovery. Some economists say it is akin to the Asian financial crises that gripped the markets more than a decade ago.

The question is whether we -- now out of the fire of Wall Street's financial crisis of our country's own making -- are confronting a new peril out of Europe.


I call bullshit, it wasn't a day, it was closer to an afternoon, and the precipitious drop itself was all of 20 minutes at most. Thats not investors, that is machines. No amount of group psychology explains that DOW line. And the average investor could give a crap about Greece.

To me it looks like this. People in the know had a clue that is was about time for profit taking (look at the DOW, its at a peak and also all the news is about BP and GS being FUBAR). They come in this morning, overnight trading lopped a good 150 points to start the day, so everyone is in a bad mood to start, and the ones in the know are like, yep time to secure a chunk of that peak that has run its course.

A point hits where more people are pulling out than looking to buy and somehow some indicator in the computers goes south and they decide to sell (it probably was programmed earlier in the week to be ready to exit at a moment's notice). Boom goes the financial dynamite and we all have an interesting phenonmenon to try and figure out.
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