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Was looking the past performances over. Here are my notes (for what they're worth):

1 Lookin At Lucky -- 98 two back on dirt, trouble last time. wonder about distance, gained position but not lengths at 1 1/8. Blinkers off? Decent but beatable.
2 Ice Box -- deep closer on the rail in a 20 horse field? doubt it.
3 Noble's Promise -- steadied 3/4 in last but lost one position and 1 1/4 lengths thru stretch at 1 1/8. i remember that race, he wasn't a factor. before that nipped at 1 1/16. distance problem.
4 Super Saver -- tough down the stretch but couldn't get it done last out but 98 is good for this field so far. bounce? borel is a plus. improving beyers thruout. interesting.
5 Line of David -- first run on dirt he improves 10 points on his best previous beyer. how do you evaluate that? rabbited in last and just hung on at 1 1/8, though it was a decent pace with a 1:10.3 6 furlongs. i don't think he gets a clear lead here.
6 Stately Victor -- he sure looks better on turf/synthetics than he does dirt, and ran a 59 at cd lst fall. might be able to rate lower midpack. beyers look a bit low but improving. could move up if wet?
7 American Lion -- he's won G3's and lost G2's. why would he jump up and grab the derby? strong looking last out but still G3.
8 Dean's Kitten -- no dirt record. workouts at cd ok, one bullet at 5f but rest average. best beyer 93 last out on synthetic. does he jump 6-8 points on dirt? leaning no.
9 Make Music for Me -- one win and that in a 68k minor stakes. certainly has been beaten regularly by a few of these. no dirt record, one average work at cd. no.
10 Paddy O'Prado -- wow. this isn't a strong year. battled but faded to place in blue grass - 87? low. rest turf except first race in slop. bullet in slop at cd. not thrilled.
11 Devil May Care -- filly that took esks place iirc. first 100 so far, that's an impressive line. 'shied from whip str', what does that mean? blinkers on. might be a bit skittish for this atmosphere. got a chance i suppose.
12 Conveyance -- beat dublin who i'm hearing good things about. G3 only so far but decent beyers. not sure if can lay off pace, tougher job if has to go with line of david. 58.3 breeze at cd is pretty nice.
13 Jackson Bend -- last two outs eskendereya beat by 9 3/4 and 8 1/2 lengths. so question is, are there any horses who were within 8 lengths of eskendereya? i think there probably were. last three beyers 90, 92, 93 so improving but needs to jump 6-8 higher.
14 Mission Impazible -- improved beyers every out. only five starts. fair grounds has long stretch like cd, looks to be able to rate. should be moving in stretch. bad name. beaten by conveyance and dublin two back.
15 Discreetly Mine -- consistently near the front in every race at G2 and G1 company. doesn't win that often though. 'no final kick', lost 3/4 in stretch in last. belongs on class but don't see on top.
16 Awesome Act -- good in gotham, not so good in wood. looking at comments this horse gets in a lot of trouble and/or rank. i don't think 20 horses is going to be good for him.
17 Dublin -- do i just look at the pretty good beyers (96,97) or do i look at the fact that no fewer than eight horses in this race have beaten him in the past plus he shows no bold names behind his in any race?
18 Backtalk -- american lion beat him by 14 lengths last out. i'm leaning no.
19 Homeboykris -- last out was feb 27th where he was second in a 44k alw. high beyer 89. if he beats me he beats me.
20 Sidney's Candy -- no dirt form but a couple good cd works. nice horse, frontrunner. 95, 95, 100 last three in two G2 and sa derby. post doesn't hurt as much from way outside, he can get position before turn, esp considering not tons of pace. beat lucky by 6 last out. contender.

So looking this over (this will change I'm sure) I like Sidney's Candy and Super Saver best, and would put Lookin At Lucky, Mission Impazible, Devil May Care and Discreetly Mine as the main contenders with Line of David as an interesting longshot.