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OK, took a look back at the Day 1 voting. I've included some comments along with the votes; they are bolded.
Day 1
Post 83 - J23 votes Schmidty. 1-0 Schmidty
Post 108 - Autumn votes Jackal. 1-1 Schmidty/Jackal
Post 109 - Heinz votes NTN. 1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN
Post 110 - DV votes Crimson. 1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF
* Note #1: above vote is first one cast by someone who is not cleared villager at this point
Post 114 - Jackal votes Autumn. 1-1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF/Autumn
Post 120 - CrimsonFox votes DV. 1-1-1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV
* Note #2: CF and DV cross-vote each other early. Would be surprised if both are wolves - no reason to bring new wolf candidates into shallow voting pool at this point.
Post #122 - KWhit votes Danny. 1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny
Post #125 - CR votes Henry. 1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/Henry
* Note #3: 8 people with single votes in 14 person game? God, what a frigging mess.
Post #129 - Schmidty votes J23. 1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Schmidty/Jackal/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/Henry/J23
Post #131 - NTN votes Jackal. 2-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/Henry/J23
Post #132 - Danny unvotes Abe, votes Henry. 2-2-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal/Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/J23
* Note #4: I appear to have missed Danny's earlier vote on Abe. Not worried about it with both parties ID'd at this point.
Post #135 - Henry votes Jackal. 3-2-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal over Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/J23
Post #136 - Abe votes Henry. 3-3-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal/Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/J23
* Note #5: only known wolf vote
Post #146 - Hoops votes Jackal. 4-3-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal over Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/Danny/J23
Post #147 - KWhit unvotes Danny, votes Henry 4-4-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal/Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/J23
* Note #6: we don't know what Henry is but we do know Jackal was a villager. Pretty clear that KWhit and Henry are not wolves together.
Post #151 - Abe "I'm here, and I'm not afraid to make a move late in order to avoid shenanigans"
* Note #7: Abe has vote on Henry, so would be offering to swing vote from unknown to a villager. 15 minutes before deadline at this point.
Post #158 - Abe unvotes Henry, votes Jackal. 5-3-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal over Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/J23
* Note #8: This was five minutes before deadline in tie vote. He clearly knows he is moving to villager - does a wolf risk doing this in Villager vs Villager?
Post #167 - CR unvotes Henry, votes Jackal. 7-2-1-1-1-1-1-1 Jackal over Henry over Schmidty/NTN/CF/Autumn/DV/J23
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