Mid major level three and four seeds that have a consistent resume can threaten to win it all though. See: Fresno State last year, San Jose State in 2000. The old "that's baseball" idea. I don't remember the last major-conference-barely-got-in three to make it to Omaha though. That's usually because those teams struggled consistently for a reason, and they won't suddenly find a formula in the post season to be consistent enough to make it to Omaha.
Rhode Island probably had a much better chance of going 2 and out than Baylor and Okie State. But they had the more praise worthy season and a better chance at making serious noise in the tournament.
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