With hindsight, if the Rangers do knock off the Caps, it really shouldn't be that much of a surprise. Everyone is in love with the Caps skill players, but there is a history of teams with questionable goaltending, no true shutdown defensive defensemen and great skill players losing to physical teams with solid defense and a great goalie. I'll take pretty much any team with Lundqvist over any team with Theodore any time in the playoffs.
EDIT - I see Varlamov was the goalie today and did a nice job. A rookie goalie with that little experience isn't going to hold up for the whole series though. Rangers in 5