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Old 01-08-2009, 09:30 AM   #80
Danny
Head Coach
 
Join Date: Jul 2001
Quote:
Originally Posted by hoopsguy View Post
Well, here is why I think that the roommates will be relatively safe, at least with the seer around:

1.) Seer is likely to scan their roommate(s) initially to see if they are worth talking to via PMs
2.) Seers next target is likely to be the surviving roommate from N1 kill
3.) Repeat step #2 for each day

So I think the top wolf priority will be getting the seer (duh - this is WW, right?) because until they do they will be figuratively walking on eggshells with their kills. If the seer lives too many days they kind of box themselves in a corner because they will inadvertantly create a circle-of-trust (surviving roommates) while exposing themselves to higher risk with the bodyguard block if he is still alive.

Anyway, I think the wolves most likely avoid their roommates early on, foregoing the "sure thing" to avoid the likelihood of being scanned the following day.

I'm not sure we'll be able to assume the seer has scanned surviving roommates. Might be the smart thing, but if people get a gut feeling for someone that might take precedence over scanning the surviving roomate.
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