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Old 06-25-2008, 08:30 AM   #612
Telle
College Starter
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49 View Post
I'd love to talk this out. What are the odds that Lathum makes a fake reveal here? In favor of making a fake reveal is the fact that the fake and real seers just assume that Lathum is the other seer as thus feel no inherent need to vote against him. IN favor of a fake reveal is that he did it very very early.

Against a fake reveal is that he did it very very early. He was under a lot of pressure and this seems but a short term way of getting pressure off (what happens if he's still alive D3? We've got to lynch him then, right?).

I think he just got desperate. There was a definite run on him, and he said he was worried that there could be eight to ten votes on him by this morning. So instead of just going down on Day 1 he could have taken a gamble. And with knowing that there's two people who think they're seers in the game it's not a real bad gamble to take. Especially since he set himself up as "probably" the fake seer.. he can spend all game going "this guy came up good" and not have anybody refute his fake seer status for days on end.
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