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QS - Bear in mind that I believe a lot of those states reward their delegates on a proportional basis. So he can lose a lot of states by a small margin, but still be pretty close in delegates. So the real question is where he can go to make up delegates. Obviously his big predicted win in Illinois will help (Illinois is #3 in number of delegates, I believe), but beyond that, I'm just not close enough to the numbers.
The X Factor here, of course, is that the polls for this nomination have been all over the place. I know I'm not placing a lot of faith in them beyond indicating general trends.
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